European Roadshow June 2009
European Roadshow
June 2009
2
Cautionary statement
Unless otherwise stated, all financial data of National Grid contained in this presentation is as reported under IFRS.This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information. These statements are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements include information with respect to National Grid’s financial condition, National Grid’s results of operations and businesses, strategy, plans and objectives. Words such as “anticipates”, “expects”, “intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “may”, “will”, “continue”, “project” and similar expressions, as well as statements in the future tense, identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of National Grid’s future performance and are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual future results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements. Many of these assumptions, risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond National Grid’s ability to control or estimate precisely, such as delays in obtaining, or adverse conditions contained in, regulatory approvals and contractual consents, unseasonable weather affecting the demand for electricity and gas, competition and industry restructuring, changes in economic conditions, currency fluctuations, changes in interest and tax rates, changes in energy market prices, changes in historical weather patterns, changes in laws, regulations or regulatory policies, developments in legal or public policy doctrines, the impact of changes to accounting standards, technological developments and the ability to access capital markets and other sources of credit in a timely manner on acceptable terms, especially considering the recent deterioration of market conditions in the global economy and financial markets. Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in this presentation include the ability to integrate the businesses relating to announced or recently completed acquisitions with National Grid’s existing business to realise the expected synergies from such integration, the availability of new acquisition opportunities and the timing and success of future acquisition opportunities, the timing and success or other impact of the sales of National Grid’s non-core businesses, the failure for any reason to achieve reductions in costs or to achieve operational efficiencies, the failure to retain key management, the behaviour of UK electricity market participants on system balancing, the timing of amendments in prices to shippers in the UK gas market, the performance of National Grid’s pension schemes and the regulatory treatment of pension costs, and any adverse consequences arising from outages on or otherwise affecting energy networks, including gas pipelines owned or operated by National Grid. For a more detailed description of some of these assumptions, risks and uncertainties, together with any other risk factors, please see National Grid’s filings with and submissions to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) (and in particular the "Risk Factors" and "Operating and Financial Review" sections in its most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F). Except as may be required by law or regulation, National Grid undertakes no obligation to update any of its forward-looking statements. The effects of these factors are difficult to predict. New factors emerge from time to time and National Grid cannot assess the potential impact of any such factor on its activities or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. The contents of any website referenced herein do not form part of this document.
3
Financial headlines
Strong results
� Operating profit and EPS up
� Dividend cover improved* at 1.43 times
Strong financial position
� Funding programme well advanced
Well positioned for 2009/10
� Investment driving growth
� RPI indexation benefits UK revenues
� Lower effective interest rates
* On a pro forma basis.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements, and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
� 2008 constant currency figures calculated by applying the average 2009 rate ($1.54 to £1.00) to 2008 results (when the average rate was $2.01 to £1.00).
4
Delivering our plans
� Invested £3.2bn – in line with Plan
� Asset base growth – UK 3%, US 4%
� KeySpan savings run rate $129m
� Procurement savings ahead of plan –
run rate exceeds £100m
� Good incentive performance
5
Transmission Gas Distribution
Elec. Dist. & Gen. Non-reg.
2008/09 capital investment in line with
Business Plan:
� 98% supported by regulatory arrangements /
long-term contracts
Growing our asset base:
� 3% growth in UK regulatory asset value (RAV)
� 4% growth in US rate base
Capital investment
£3.2bn2008/09 capital investment
� Capital investment for continuing operations, excluding Joint Ventures.
£427m
£355m
£1,019m
£1,441m
6
Planned further long-term issuance
activity:
� ~£0.6m long term debt required for
2009/10
� Pre-funding for 2010/11
� £1.5bn to £2bn further total long term
issuance expected in 2009/10
� £3bn per annum ongoing
Funding 2009/10
~75%2009/10 funding
funding requirement Issued to date
Refinancing New funding Issued / agreed
~£1.1bn
~£1.4bn£1.9bn
complete
2009/10 long term funding requirement
~£0.6bn to go
� 2009/10 funding requirements are based on current exchange rates, and assume no commercial paper or short term debt issuance.
7
Credit ratings and potential funding plans of main issuing entities
A3/P2
A3/P2
A3/P2
Baa1/P2
Moody’s
BBB+/A2
A-/A2
A-/A2
BBB+/A2
S & P
Not
Rated
A/F2
A/F2
BBB+/F2
Fitch
� Total issuance from US operating companies expected to be $1bn - $2bn
� Most likely in 144A format
NGUSA
� Only a small amount of issuance, most likely in the form of taps
� Selective repurchases probable
NGG
� Only a small amount of issuance, most likely in the form of taps
� Selective repurchases probable
NGET
� Likely maximum of one syndicated issue with any currency possible
� Possible that all requirement satisfied by small EMTNs / taps of existing issues
� Repurchases possible
NG plc
Possible 2009/10 Funding
Continued commitment to A range ratings at UK OpCos
8
National Grid structure with Group borrowing facilities
National Grid plcBaa1 / BBB+ / BBB+
National Grid Holdings One plc
NR / BBB+ / NRNational Grid USA
A3 / BBB+ / NR
Niagara Mohawk Power Corp A3 / A- / NR
National Grid Gas plcA3 / A- / A
National Grid Electricity
Transmission plcA3 / A- / A
Massachusetts
Electric A3 / A- / NR
New England Power A3 / A- / NR
Granite State Electric
Nantucket Electric
Narragansett Electric
A3 / A- / NR
KeySpan Corp
Baa1 / A- / A-
KeySpan Gas East Corp A3 / A / A
The Brooklyn Union Gas Company
NR / A / A+
Colonial Gas Co A3 / A- / NRBoston Gas Co. Baa1 / A- / NREssex Gas Co.EnergyNorth Natural Gas Inc
National Grid Generation LLC Baa1/ A- /NR
National Grid plc
� Short-term funding programmes:
� USCP $3bn: Nil outstanding
� ECP $1.5bn: c. $600m outstanding
� €15bn EMTN programme (joint with NGET):
� National Grid in issue € 6.0bn; NGET € 3.2bn
� €5.7bn un-issued
National Grid Electricity
Transmission plc
� Short-term funding
programmes:
� USCP $1bn: Nil outstanding
� ECP $1bn: c. $16m outstanding
� €15bn EMTN programme
(joint with NGET)
National Grid USA Group
� $2bn NGUSA commercial paper programme: Nil outstanding
� €4bn NGUSA EMTN programme: €0.1bn issued
National Grid Gas plc
� Short-term funding programmes:
� USCP $2.5bn: Nil outstanding
� ECP $1.25bn: Nil outstanding
� €10bn EMTN programme: €6bn issued
Possible new funding programmes in 2009/10
Note: Figures are correct as at May 27th 2009
9
Recent funding – loans and bonds
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Ja
n-0
8
Fe
b-0
8
Ma
r-0
8
Ap
r-0
8
Ma
y-0
8
Ju
n-0
8
Ju
l-0
8
Au
g-0
8
Se
p-0
8
Oc
t-0
8
No
v-0
8
De
c-0
8
Ja
n-0
9
Fe
b-0
9
Ma
r-0
9
Ap
r-0
9
Ma
y-0
9
NGUSA
NG
NGET
NGGas
$/£=1.45
Total funding for January 2008 to May 2009 was £5,996m
£m
10
Liquidity support – committed bank lines and cash
Group Committed Facilities
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Oct-08
Nov-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jan-0
9
Feb-0
9
Mar-
09
Apr-
09
May-0
9
Jun-0
9
Jul-09
Aug-0
9
Sep-0
9
Oct-09
Nov-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jan-1
0
Feb-1
0
Mar-
10
Apr-
10
May-1
0
Jun-1
0
Jul-10
Aug-1
0
Sep-1
0
Oct-10
Nov-1
0
Dec-1
0
Maturity
Total Amount (£m)*
KeySpan Corp
New EnglandPower
NG Gas
NG ElectrcityTransmission
National Grid plc
*USD/GBP = 1.5
� c. £1.6bn of available cash at 31st March 2009 � c. £3.0bn of available, undrawn committed
bank lines
� all expire over next 18 months
� renewal process already well under wayRatio between cash and lines is likely to be maintained in 2009/10
Potential to hold more cash or increase bank lines
11
Net debt
Closing net debt
£(22.7)bn
2008 2009FX movements
£(17.6)bn
£(18.7)bn
(a) Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
(b) Includes cash flows relating to exceptional items, stranded cost recoveries, and other non cash items.
£(4.0)bn
(22,673)Net debt at 31 March 2009
(3,951)FX movements
(1,081)Net change in net debt
345Other (b)
(1,465)Dividends & share repurchase
1,617Disposals
(3,231)Investment
(1,683)Interest & tax
3,336Operating cash flow (a)
(17,641)Net debt at 1 April 2008
£m
12
Debt in the Group
25.6
4.3
21.3
0.3
7.3
4.6
9.1
Gross Debt
* Measured as the contribution to the consolidated Group accounts
** Gross debt defined as total borrowings, net of derivative financial assets and liabilities. Net debt defined as gross debt,
less cash and cash equivalents and financial investments
22.7Total IFRS debt**
4.0Total US debt (at $1.4368 = £1.00)
18.7Total UK debt
0.3National Grid Grain LNG
6.3National Grid Gas plc*
3.9National Grid Electricity Transmission plc
8.2National Grid plc, NGG Finance plc and other
Net DebtGross and net debt as at 31 March 2009 (IFRS, £bn)
13
Funding policies
Counterparty risk
� Controlled through credit limits, approvals and monitoring procedures
� For multiple transactions with a single counterparty we usually use a
master netting agreement to reduce exposure to credit risk
Debt maturity profile as at 27th May 09 at £1=$1.597
Refinancing risk
� Controlled through limits on the amount of financing obligations
arising in any given year
� Limits the amount of debt falling due for refinancing in any given
time frame
Foreign exchange risk management
� Principle foreign exchange risk is $US
� ‘Natural hedge’: manage $US financial liabilities to match $US
cash flows
� Hedge certain contractually committed foreign exchange
transactions
Interest rate risk management
� We minimise total financing costs to manage interest cost and
total financing cost below pre-set limits
� Exposure managed using fixed-rate and floating rate debt,
interest rate swaps, swap options & forward rate agreements
National Grid long term debt maturity profile 27th May 2009
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
12/13
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
18/19
19/20
20/21
21/22
22/23
23/24
24/25
25/26
26/27
27/28
28/29
29/30
30/31
31/32
32/33
33/34
34/35
35/36
36/37
37/38
38/39
39/40
40/41
41/42
43/44
46/47
48/49
52/53
56/57
Maturity
£ equiv (m
)
Grain LNG
National Grid USA Group
National Grid/NGGF
National Grid Electricity Transmission
National Grid Gas Group
14
Strong financial position
Interest cover
� Aim to manage within a 3.0 – 3.5x range
� Consistent with single ‘A’ range credit rating
commitment at UK OpCo level
Credit rating metrics strengthen in 2009/10
� 2009/10 revenues ‘locked in’
� Interest costs fall with lower RPI
� Share buy-back suspended
3.1 timesInterest cover
2.50x
2.75x
3.00x
3.25x
3.50x
3.75x
4.00x
2007 2008 2009
Target range Interest cover
15
Outlook for 2009/10 strong
… and finally, our focus for 2009/10
� Regulation
� Disciplined investment
� Deliver opex savings and drive efficiency
Appendix
17
We are a very low risk business…
NOTES(a) Measured on a business performance basis. Business performance results are the primary financial performance measure used by National Grid,
being the results for continuing operations before exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries. Remeasurements comprise gains or losses recorded in the income statement arising from changes in the fair value of commodity contracts and derivative financial instruments to the extent that hedge accounting is not achieved or is not fully effective. Stranded cost recoveries are costs associated with historic generation investment and related contractual commitments that were not recovered through the sale of those investments – these recoveries end in 2011.
� $ earnings exposure minimised by our natural debt hedge� +/-10 cent move ≈ +/-£10m on earnings(a)Very lowCurrency
� No commodity exposure under UK agreements� US rate-plans pass through commodity costs
Very lowCommodity (energy)
� No UK demand exposure� Residual exposure under some US rate plans – diminishing risk as new rate case
filings include demand decoupling
Low����
ZeroDemand
� UK revenues RPI indexed, nominal US revenues (variety of protections against high inflation under US regulation)
� Over 50% of net debt index linked / floating rateLowInflation / deflation
� ~95% of our activities(a) are regulated� Portfolio of ~20 regulatory agreements� Predictable revenues and cash flows
LowRegulation
NotesExposureRisk factor
18
Regulatory process……many common elements to rate agreements
US specific
� Some residual volume drivers
� Protection from uncontrollable costs
� Varied approaches to capex
UK specific
� No volume exposure
� Indexation
� Capex revenue drivers
Common elements
Return on asset base
Opex allowance
Pensions and tax allowance
No commodity exposure
Incentive mechanisms
19
Current US regulatory position
Regulatory entity Base allowed return Achieved return
New England Power
Narragansett (electricity transmission)
Canadian interconnector
KEDNY
KEDLI
11.14% 11.7%
11.14% 11.6%
13.0% 13.5%
9.8% 11.9%
9.8% 11.1%
Previously agreed
33%
(a) Includes Long Island generation rate base of $574m.
(b) Includes Granite State and Nantucket electric rate bases, totalling $131m.
Settlement reached / pending (a)
Rhode Island (gas)Double digit basereturns expected
7.6%
NiMo (gas) 4.8%
New Hampshire (gas) 4.4%
14%47%
To be filed in the next 15 months (b)
Massachusetts Electric Company 7.0%
Rhode Island (electric) 2.3%
NiMo (electric) 6.7%
Boston gas
Colonial gas 8.3%
Essex gas
Massachusetts gas
53%
100%
% of US rate base
20
Our US regulatory agenda
� Timely recovery of costs
� Pension & benefit true ups
� Bad debt recovery
� Decoupling
� Investment
� Competitive returns
Jan 2010 Mass Electric Company
Jan 2010 Narragansett (electric)
Nov 2010 Boston gas
Nov 2010 Colonial gas
Nov 2010 Essex gas
Jan 2011 NiMo (electric)
What we are asking for Anticipated new rates effective
21
Transmission – our activities
Transmission UK – electricity and gas
Transmission US – electricity
Electricity transmission owner
Gas
transmission owner
Electricity system operator
Gassystem operator
French interconnector
LNG storage
Electricity transmission owner/operator
Canadian interconnector
We own the electricity transmission system in England and Wales.Our assets comprise ~7,200km of overhead line; ~675km of underground cable; and 337 substations at 244 sites.
We are the Great Britain System Operator, responsible for managing the operations of both the England and Wales transmission system that we own, and also the two independently owned high-voltage electricity transmission networks in Scotland.
We are the gas national transmission system operator, responsible for managing the operations of the Great Britain transmission system that we own.
We own the gas national transmission system in Great Britain.Our assets comprise ~7,400km of high pressure gas pipe and 26 compressor stations, connecting to 8 regional distribution networks and to third party independent systems.
We own and operate the UK assets, and a portion of the sub sea cables, that comprise the electricity interconnector between England and France as part of a joint agreement with the French transmission operator.
We own and operate four liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage facilities in Great Britain.
We own and operate the electricity transmission network spanningupstate New York, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, and Vermont. Our assets comprise ~13,700km of overhead line; ~160km of underground cable; and 501 substations.
We own and operate a 224km direct current transmission line rated at 450kV that is a key section of an electricity interconnector between new England and Canada.
22
Transmission – results
Operating profit
10% upat constant currency
2008 2009FX adjustment
Operating profit mainly driven by
increases in regulated revenue
� UK regulated net revenues +£111m
� US regulated net revenues +£29m
� Other items net £(27)m
Returns
� Overall UK vanilla return above base allowance
� New England RoEs above base allowance
Transmissionoperating profit
Rest of National Grid
£1,149m£1,301m
£39m
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements, and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
� Constant currency figures calculated by applying the average 2009 rate ($1.54 to £1.00) to 2008 results (when the average rate was $2.01 to £1.00).
45%
23
Transmission – asset bases and returns
Base allowed return
Rate base / RAV
Achieved return
Sharing factors(shareholder retention at RoE)
Last / next rate case filing
UK electricity transmission (a)
New England Power (c)
Equity / debt(assumed)
UK gas transmission (b)
Narragansett electric (d)
(Transmission)
CanadianInterconnector (e)
Regulator Ofgem
£6,720m
5.05%(‘vanilla’ return)
4.7%
40 / 60
100%plus incentive
schemes
New price control from April 2012
FERC
$790m
11.14%(RoE)
11.7%
65 / 35
100%
Monthly formula rates
FERC
$73m
13.0%(RoE)
13.5%
40 / 60
100%
-
Ofgem
£4,281m
5.05%(‘vanilla’ return)
6.9%
40 / 60
100%plus incentive
schemes
New price control from April 2012
FERC
$169m
11.14%(RoE)
11.6%
50 / 50
100%
Monthly formula rates
(a) Includes electricity system operator regulatory asset base of £55m. The system operator is subject to annual price controls.
(b) Includes gas system operator regulatory asset base of £42m. The system operator is subject to annual price controls.
(c) New England Power rate base as at 31 March 2009. Excludes $13m of US stranded assets rate base.
(d) Narragansett electric (Transmission) rate base was reported within the distribution rate base in 2007/08.
(e) National Grid retains 100% of the return it earns on its stake of ~54% in the Canadian Interconnector.
Asset base and returns reported by regulatory entity as at 31 March 2009 and 31 December 2008 for UK and US entities respectively.
24
UK electricity transmission load related investment
future potential investment to connect Scottish renewables
existing network
potential wind farm sites
future potential onshore load related investment
potential nuclear sites
Total potential investment~£5bn to ~£9bn
Future Scenario
� Further offshore wind leasing targeted to deliver 25GW by 2020
� Political will for nuclear replanting
� EU directive for greater interconnection
� Target of 30 – 40% generation from renewable (i.e. wind) sources could require a plant margin of 40 – 60%
� 2 Nuclear stations (3.5GW) by 2020
� 7 Nuclear stations (10GW) by 2030
25
Gas Distribution – our activities
Gas Distribution US
Gas Distribution UK
UK Networks
Gas Distribution US
US Networks
UK Customers
US Customers
UK additional services
US additional services
Comprises four of the eight regional gas distribution networks in Great Britain
Comprises gas distribution networks across the northeastern US, located in service territories in upstate New York, New York City, Long Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Rhode Island.
Our network of approximately 58,000 kilometres of gas pipelines covers an area of approximately 28,800 square kilometres.
Comprise approximately 132,000 kilometres of gas distribution pipelines.
We transport gas on behalf of approximately 33 active shippers from the gas national transmission system to 10.8 million consumers.
Provide services to 3.5 million consumers.
In addition we also manage the national emergency number for allthe gas distribution networks and for other transporters in the UK.
Our core services are the operation and emergency responses for each of our gas distribution networks, in addition to billing, customer service and supply services.
Gas Distribution UK
26
Gas Distribution – results
Operating profit
16% upat constant currency
2008 2009FX adjustment
Operating profit mainly driven by
increases in regulated revenue
� UK regulated net revenues +£63m
� US regulated net revenues +£140m
� Other items net £(26)m
Returns
� UK vanilla return above allowed return
� Downstate New York & Long Island RoEs
above base allowances
� Remaining gas RoEs below base allowances –
addressed by new rate cases
£987m
£1,284m
£120m
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements, and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
� Constant currency figures calculated by applying the average 2009 rate ($1.54 to £1.00) to 2008 results (when the average rate was $2.01 to £1.00).
Gas Distributionoperating profit
Rest of National Grid44%
27
Gas Distribution – asset bases and returns
Base allowed return
Rate base / RAV
Achieved return
Sharing factors(shareholder retention at RoE)
Last / next rate case filing
UK gas distribution
Down-state New York(KEDNY)
Equity / debt(assumed)
Long Island(KEDLI)
Up-stateNew York (a)
(NiMo gas)
Massachusetts gas (b)
Narragansett gas (c) Energy North (d)
Regulator Ofgem
£6,550m
4.94%(‘vanilla’ return)
5.8%
37.5 / 62.5
100%plus incentive
schemes
New price control from April 2013
New York PSC
$1,795m
9.8%(RoE)
11.1%
45 / 55
100% to 10.5%50% to 12.5%35% to 13.5%
Effective from January 2008
New York PSC
$2,294m
9.8%(RoE)
11.9%
45 / 55
100% to 10.5%50% to 12.5%35% to 13.5%
Effective from January 2008
New York PSC
$1,067m
10.2%(RoE)
4.8%
44 / 56
100% to 11.35%50% to 13.6%25% to 15.6%
10% above 15.6%
New rate agreement
pending
Massachusetts DPU
$2,425m
10.6%(RoE)
8.2%
~50 / ~50
100% to 14.2%75% above 14.2%
New rate filing planned for 2010
Rhode Island PUC
$337m
10.5%(RoE)
7.6%
48 / 52
100% to 10.5%50% to 11.5%
25% above 11.5%
Effective from December 2008
New Hampshire PUC
$191m
TBC
4.4%
50 / 50
TBC
New rate agreement
pending
(a) Settlement agreement reached on new rate plan, decision pending. Previously part of the 2001 combined NiMo electric & gas rate plan.
(b) Massachusetts gas currently comprises three separate entities: Boston gas, Colonial gas and Essex gas. A combined gas rate plan will be filed in 2010. Base allowed and achieved RoEs are weighted averages (using rate base). Rate base includes $937m of embedded goodwill that will be reflected in the 2010 rate case filing. Earnings sharing factors apply to Boston gas only.
(c) Narragansett gas rate plan agreed February 2008, rates effective from December 2008.
(d) Energy North temporary rate increase effective August 2008, settlement agreed January 2009, NH PUC decision pending.
Asset base and returns reported by regulatory entity as at 31 March 2009 and 31 December 2008 for UK and US entities respectively.
28
Electricity Distribution & Generation – our activities
Electricity Distribution & Generation operations
Electricity distribution
Long Island generation
We own and manage electricity distribution networks in New York, Massachusetts, Rhode Island and New Hampshire.Our assets comprise ~116,000km of electricity circuits, serving ~3.4m electricity customers.
We own 57 electricity generation plants on Long Island that together provide 4.1GW of power under regulated contract to the Long Island Power Authority (LIPA). We manage fuel supplies for LIPA to fuel our plants and purchase energy, capacity and ancillary services in the open market on LIPA’s behalf.
LIPA T&D services
On Long Island, we are responsible for managing the electricity transmission and distribution system on behalf of LIPA. LIPA owns approximately 2,100km of transmission lines, ~170 substations, and ~21,000km of distribution circuits, serving ~1.1m electricity customers.
29
Electricity Distribution & Generation – results
Operating profit
39% downat constant currency
2008 2009FX adjustment
Operating profit significantly impacted by
storms and one-offs
� Storm recovery costs £(74)m
� One-off items £(45)m
� Other items net £(47)m
Returns
� New England RoEs below base allowances –
new rate case filings in May and June
� New York RoE below base allowance – new
rate case filing in early 2010
£330m£265m
£101m
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements, and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
� Constant currency figures calculated by applying the average 2009 rate ($1.54 to £1.00) to 2008 results (when the average rate was $2.01 to £1.00).
Electricity Distribution & Generation operating profit
Rest of National Grid
9%
30
Electricity Distribution & Generation – asset bases and returns
Base allowed return
Rate base / RAV
Achieved return
Sharing factors(shareholder retention at RoE)
Last / next rate case filing
Up-stateNew York (a)
(NiMo elec.)
Narragansett electric
(Distribution)
Equity / debt(assumed)
Massachusetts electric (b)
Granite State Electric
Nantucket electric (c)
Long Island Generation (d)
RegulatorMassachusetts
DPU
$1,495m
11.0%(RoE)
7.0%
50 / 50
100% of first $70m
50% ofnext $75m
Agreed May 2000Filing May 2009
$62m
%(RoE)
6.3%
- / -
-
-
Massachusetts DPU
$69m
%(RoE)
11.0%
- / -
-
-
FERC
$574m
9.5%(RoE)
7.1%
40 / 60
Incentives
Rate case in progress
New York PSC
$3,550m
10.6%(RoE)
6.7%
47 / 53
100% to 11.75%50% to 14%25% to 16%
10% above 16%
Agreed July 2000Filing early 2010
Rhode Island PUC
$564m
10.5%(RoE)
2.3%
50 / 50
100% to 10.5%50% to 11.5%
25% above 11.5%
Agreed May 2000Filing June 2009
New Hampshire PUC
Asset base and returns reported by regulatory entity as at 31 December 2008.
(a) NiMo electric rate base excludes $1,059m of US stranded assets rate base.
(b) Massachusetts electric rate base includes $29m relating to transmission assets.
(c) Nantucket electric rate base includes $52m relating to sub-sea cables.
(d) Long Island generation rate base includes peaking plant rate base of $149m, also reflected in the achieved RoE.
31
Non-regulated businesses – results
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements, and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
� Constant currency figures calculated by applying the average 2009 rate ($1.54 to £1.00) to 2008 results (when the average rate was $2.01 to £1.00).
Operating profit
50% downat constant currency
2008 2009
Property Metering, Grain & Other
Operating profit significantly impacted by
planned suspension of property sales
� Property £(92)m
� Suspension of sales in current property market
� Site clean-up work continuing
� Other items net +£28m:
� Metering: mainly price increases and lower
controllable costs
� Grain LNG: Phase 2 operations commissioned
December 2008
£129m
£65m
£(92)m
+£28m
Non-regulated & otheroperating profit
Rest of National Grid
2%
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Business performance results and statutory results
122.3p38.5pEarnings per share
3,190944Statutory earnings attributable to equity shareholders
(3)(3)Minority interests
3,193947Statutory profit
1,61825Statutory profit (discontinued operations)
1,575922Statutory profit (continuing businesses)
(607)(472)Tax
2,1821,394Statutory profit before tax (continuing businesses)
45Share of post tax results of joint ventures
(786)(1,234)Net finance costs (including exceptional items and remeasurements)
369(292)Exceptional operating items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries
2,5952,915Operating profit*
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
* Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
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Revenue
11,42315,624Total revenue
(210)(226)(Sales eliminations)
382435Stranded cost recoveries
642719Non-regulated businesses and other
3,1264,537Electricity distribution (excluding stranded cost recoveries)
2,8454,786Gas distribution - US
1,3831,466Gas distribution - UK
299420Transmission - US
2,9563,487Transmission - UK
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations.
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TransmissionDepreciation & Amortisation
412409Total Transmission depreciation & amortisation
1214Sub total – Other
77LNG (storage)
57Interconnectors (UK)
4156Sub total – Electricity Transmission (US)
810Interconnectors
2027New York Transmission
1319New England Transmission
115115Sub total – Gas Transmission (UK)
1614Gas System Operator
99101Gas Transmission Owner
244224Sub total – Electricity Transmission (UK)
1-Other electricity
1816Electricity System Operator
225208Electricity Transmission Owner
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
35
TransmissionOperating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
1,6942,227Total Transmission operating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
3224Sub total – Other
--Internal eliminations
2925LNG (storage)
3(1)Interconnectors (UK)
131190Sub total – Electricity Transmission (US)
1013Interconnectors
6896New York Transmission
5381New England Transmission
301369Sub total – Gas Transmission (UK)
88Other gas
128189Gas System Operator
165172Gas Transmission Owner
1,2301,644Sub total – Electricity Transmission (UK)
3141Other electricity
9011,255Electricity System Operator
298348Electricity Transmission Owner
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
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TransmissionOperating profit
1,1491,301Total Transmission operating profit
4572Sub total – Other
12-LNG (storage)
3372Interconnectors (UK)
128175Sub total – Electricity Transmission (US)
78Interconnectors
4861New York Transmission
73106New England Transmission
305321Sub total – Gas Transmission (UK)
--Other gas
100117Gas System Operator
205204Gas Transmission Owner
671733Sub total – Electricity Transmission (UK)
71Other electricity
419Electricity System Operator
623723Electricity Transmission Owner
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
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Gas Distribution
9871,284Total Gas Distribution operating profit
392612Operating profit (US)
595672Operating profit (UK)
(2,977)(4,621)Total operating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
(2,362)(4,002)Operating costs (US)
(615)(619)Operating costs (UK)
(272)(349)Total depreciation & amortisation
(91)(172)Depreciation & amortisation (US)
(181)(177)Depreciation & amortisation (UK)
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
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Electricity Distribution & Generation
330265Total Electricity Distribution & Generation operating profit
(2,650)(4,054)Operating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
(146)(223)Depreciation & amortisation
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
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Metering, Grain LNG and Property
931Sub total – Property operating profit
(20)(64)Operating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
(1)-Depreciation & amortisation
6624Other operating income
4841Revenue
1221Sub total – Grain LNG operating profit
(21)(40)Operating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
(8)(13)Depreciation & amortisation
--Other operating income
4174Revenue
104133Sub total – Metering operating profit
(143)(133)Operating costs (excluding depreciation & amortisation)
(141)(140)Depreciation & amortisation
--Other operating income
388406Revenue
20082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
� At actual currency.
� Business performance, excluding exceptional items, remeasurements and stranded cost recoveries for continuing operations..
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Pensions & other post retirement benefit obligations: regulatory recovery principles
AnnuallyAnnually20102010Next actuarial valuation expected
(no obligation to fund deficits –
standard practice adopted)
100%100%N/AN/AOPEB costs & deficits recoverable
(true-up mechanisms / filings lead to
timing variances only)
(legacy non-regulated and some
ERDC excluded)
100%100%63%98%Deficits recoverable
100%100%90%98%On-going pension costs recoverable
OPEBsPensionsNGUK PSESPSRegulatory recovery principles
USUK
� US pensions and OPEBs on-going and deficit costs are typically 100% recoverable for regulated activities. Actual pension costs for this purpose are as measured on a US GAAP basis, which includes the amortisation of deficits or surpluses.
� OPEBs = other post retirement benefits.
� ERDC = Early Retirement Deficit Contributions.
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US pensions & other post retirement benefit obligations: regulatory treatment by rate plan
PUC Staff generally oppose reconciliationNew Hampshire
Propose reconciliation mechanism in rate case filing in 2009Rhode Island (electric)
Propose reconciliation mechanism in rate case filing in 2009 (MECO) and next gas filings (TBD)Massachusetts(MECO, Colonial gas, Essex gas)
MechanismJurisdiction
Approach 2:Pension / OPEBs are a component of cost of service used to set rates. Level remains in effect until next rate case with no true-up.
Base rates with no true up at FERC but true-up at end of LIPA contractLIPA Generation
Formula Rate – monthly reconciliation of actual expensesFERC
Annual reconciliation agreed in recent rate caseRhode Island (gas)
Reconciliation with deferred amounts collected/ credited over 3 yearsMassachusetts (Boston gas)
Reconciliation with deferred amounts collected / credited in CTC (deferral account) resetNew York
MechanismJurisdiction
Approach 1:Periodic reconciliation of revenues to reconcile to actual pension / OPEB costs.
Each of our five US regulatory commissions regulate the level of costs related to pensions and other post-retirement employee benefits (OPEBs) that are charged to customers.
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Pensions & other post retirement benefit obligations: (IAS19 data)
USUK
NG totalOPEBsPensionsNGUK PSESPSAt 31 March 2009 (£m)
7.3%7.3%6.8%6.8%Discount rates
(1,423)(794)(518)183(294)(Deficit) / surplus net of deferred tax
1,388814531(71)114Deferred tax*
(2,811)(1,608)(1,049)254(408)(Deficit) / surplus
(18,330)(2,330)(3,661)(10,786)(1,553)Present value of liabilities
15,5197222,61211,0401,145Market value of assets
* Deferred tax is calculated using the UK statutory tax rate and the US tax rate attributable to the combined pension and OPEBsbalance at 31 March 2009.
� OPEBs = other post retirement benefits.
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Interest cover – calculation
1,7362,0452,465Interest expense (P&L)
70119133Capitalised interest
41078Interest on pensions debt adjustment
447Interest on decommissioning liabilities adjustment
3.7x3.2x3.1xInterest cover (adjusted funds from operations / adjusted interest expense)
3,4743,6184,268Adjusted funds from operations
310110143add back cash tax paid (for continuing operations)
000Ofgem assumed interest
(177)(125)(16)Prior year adjustment (if negative)
4
2
4
(298)
7
(126)
add back decommissioning liabilities adjustment
Corporation tax
846381add back lease rentals
41078add back interest on pensions debt adjustment
276465799add back employer pension contributions
(115)(127)(136)Current pension service cost
(127)150(54)Working capital adjustment
000Dividends received
21821179Interest income on financial instruments
2,9583,1653,413Net cash inflow from operating activities
9441,1431,392Adjusted interest expense
(45)00Exceptional debt redemption costs
(21)(45)(68)Unwinding of discounts on provisions
(869)(1,001)(1,250)Pensions interest on scheme liabilities
282127Interest on lease rentals adjustment
200720082009For the year ended 31 March (£m)
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Predictability of regulated cash flows is a key factor in our ratings – Group credit ratings
A/---A/---A3/---KeySpan Gas East Corporation
A+/---A/---Not ratedThe Brooklyn Union Gas Company
A-/---A-/A2Baa1/P2KeySpan Corporation
Not ratedA-/--Baa1/--Boston Gas Company
Not ratedA-4/---A3/---Colonial Gas Company
Not ratedA-4A2A33/---The Narragansett Electric Co.
Not ratedA-/A2A3/--Niagara Mohawk Power Corporation
Not ratedBBB+/A2A3/P2National Grid USA
Not ratedA-/A2A3/P2New England Power Co.
Not ratedA-/A2A33/P2Massachusetts Electric Co.
1Moody’s ratings placed on Negative Outlook 31-Jan-08 2NGG is also rated “A/Stable” by JCR 3Issuer rating 4Corporate credit rating
Not ratedA-4/---Baa13/---National Grid Generation LLC
A/---A-4/---A3/---National Grid Gas Holdings Limited
A/F2A-/A2A3/P2National Grid Gas plc2
Not ratedBBB+/A2Not ratedNational Grid Holdings One plc
A/F2A-/A2A3/P2National Grid Electricity Transmission plc
BBB+/F2BBB+/A2Baa1/P2National Grid plc
FitchS&PMoody’s1Senior Unsecured / Short-Term ratings
The ratings set forth above are not a recommendation to purchase, hold or sell National Grid’s notes, that may be issued from time to time, inasmuch as the ratings do not comment as to market price or suitability for a particular investor. The ratings are based on current information we have furnished to the rating agencies and information obtained by the rating agencies from other sources. The ratings are only accurate as of the date hereof and may be changed, superseded or withdrawn as a result of changes in, or unavailability of, such information and, therefore, a prospective purchaser should check the current ratings before purchasing National Grid’s notes.
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Treasury contacts
Malcolm Cooper (Group Tax and Treasury Director):
D: +44 (0)20 7004 3340 [email protected]
Andrew Kluth (Assistant Treasurer, Funding):
D: +44 (0)20 7004 3365 [email protected]
Andy Mead (Senior Corporate Banking Manager):
D: +44 (0)20 7004 3369 [email protected]
David Morgan (Corporate Banking Manager):
D: +44 (0)20 7004 3379 [email protected]
Group website: www.nationalgrid.com
Detailed debt investor information: www.nationalgrid.com/corporate/Investor+Relations/Debt
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