Revenue EBITDA Less Operating Profit (EBIT) Less Net interest Less Less Taxation Net Profit Less Less Cash flow Summary Add Cash flow from operations Less Less Capex Less Dividends + / - Change in net debt Less Change in WC FCFE Relative Valuation data EV/ Sales EV / EBITDA EV / Invested Capital PE P/ Book Value
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RevenueEBITDA LessOperating Profit (EBIT)
Less Net interest LessLess Taxation
Net Profit Less
LessCash flow Summary Add
Cash flow from operations LessLess CapexLess Dividends+ / - Change in net debtLess Change in WC
FCFE
Relative Valuation data
EV/ SalesEV / EBITDAEV / Invested CapitalPEP/ Book Value
Sales (Revenue)Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)Gross MarginStaff, Gen & Admn Exp (SG&A)EBITDADepreciationEBIT InterestOther IncomePBTTaxPATMinority InterestReported PAT
This is from the Annual Report of Century Textiles and Industries Limited for the year 2008-09
Rs. In Crores2008-09
A CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
Profit For The Year Before Taxation : 346.95 Add / (Less) : Depreciation and Amortization 206.42 (Surplus) / Loss on sale / discardment of Fixed Assets (Net) -54.09 Interest and Finance charges (Net) 97.2 Dividend on Investments -2.74 Proportionate amounts written off against Miscellaneous Expenditure 99.99 Prior Period Adjustments (Net) -0.71
Operating Profit Before Working Capital Changes 693.02 Adjustments for : Trade and other receivables -4.76 Inventories -57.69 Trade Payables 107.55
Cash Generated From Operations 738.12 Add / (Less) : Voluntary Retirement Compensation -16 Direct Taxes Paid -48.32
Net Cash Generated From Operating Activities 673.8
B CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES :
Purchase of Fixed Assets (Includes Borrowing Costs Capitalized) -892.33 Sale of Fixed Assets 72.37 Interest Received 6.59 Dividend on Investments 2.74 Long term Investments Acquired -18.84 Current Investments Acquired -798.67 Current Investments Sold 798.67
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities -829.47
C CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES :
Working Capital and Short Term Borrowings -37.93 Repayment of Other Borrowings -368.64 Other Loans taken 748.08 Interest and Finance Charges paid -117.89 Dividend Paid -41.78 Tax on Dividend -7.12
Net Cash Generated From Financing Activities 174.72
NET INCREASE / (DECREASE) IN CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS 19.05
Cash and Cash equivalents - Opening balance 46.64
Cash and Cash equivalents - Closing balance 65.69
CALCULATION OF FCFF FOR THE CURRENT YEAR FROM THE ABOVE
Net cash generated from Operating activitiesAdd / Less Net cash used in Investing activities
Free Cash Flow to Firm
CALCULATION OF FCFE FOR THE CURRENT YEAR FROM THE ABOVE
Net cash generated from Operating activitiesAdd / Less Net cash used in Investing activitiesAdd / Less Net Cash generated / used from / in Financing activities :
Net debt borrowed Interest and finance charges paid Net Preference shares issued Prefrence dividend paid including tax on dividend Equity shares issued (Equity dividend paid is delebrately not included)
Free Cash Flow to Equity holders
This is from the Annual Report of Century Textiles and Industries Limited for the year 2008-09
Rs. In Crores2007-08
397.73
170.162.88
89.18-8.192.6-0.5
743.95
-30.91-138.51175.08
749.61
-54.35-110.1
585.16
-694.352.373.89
8.1-11.76
-1531.061531.06
-691.75
CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES :
17.94 Net debt borrowed-576.49 Preference shares issued674.95 Interest and Finance charges paid
-100.56 Preference dividend paid including tax on dividend0 Equity shares issued0 Equity dividend paid including tax on dividend
15.84
-90.75
137.39
46.64
Valuation of Equity shares using FCFF
Present Value of FCFF including the PV of Terminal ValueAdd: Opening Cash and Cash equivalentsLess : Preference shares outstanding including the preference dividend payable to themLess : Debt outstanding including interest charges payable to themValue of Equity Number of Equity sharesIntrinsic value of equity per share is : Value of Equity / Number of Equity shares
Less : Preference shares outstanding including the preference dividend payable to them
Intrinsic value of equity per share is : Value of Equity / Number of Equity shares
Assumptions
Revenue growth rates have to be projected based on business conditionsCapex can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed assetsDepreciation can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed assetsWorking capital items like cash, BR, inventory etc can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed AssetsTrademarks, intangibles, goodwill, other assets, deferred taxes and pension obligations in the balance sheet have to be projected based on estimatesEBIT and / or EBITDA / NOPAT margins can be expressed as a percentage of RevenueTax rate is to be projected
Revenue growth rates have to be projected based on business conditionsCapex can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed assetsDepreciation can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed assetsWorking capital items like cash, BR, inventory etc can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed AssetsTrademarks, intangibles, goodwill, other assets, deferred taxes and pension obligations in the balance sheet have to be projected based on estimatesEBIT and / or EBITDA / NOPAT margins can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue
Working capital items like cash, BR, inventory etc can be expressed as a percentage of Revenue or as a percentage of Net or Gross Fixed AssetsTrademarks, intangibles, goodwill, other assets, deferred taxes and pension obligations in the balance sheet have to be projected based on estimates
Current Projected Period3/31/2011 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Sales 315065.6Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)EBITDA (Operating Income)Dep & AmortisationOther non-cash chargesEBIT InterestEBTTaxEATSales GrowthEBITDA Margin
Net capexNet working capital
Net debt raisedPreference capital raisedEquity capital raisedOutstanding debtOutstanding preference sharesOutstanding equity sharesOutstanding number of eq sh
Cost of debtEffective Tax RateBeta of the companyRisk Free RateMarket ReturnCost of equityCost of Preference sharesWACCTerminal rate
TerminalYear 5
DCF VALUATION
FCFF
RevenueX Operating Margin (%)= Operating Profit
Less Depreciation= EBIT
Effective Tax Rate (%)Tax Adjusted EBIT
Add DepreciationAdd Other Non Cash ChargesLess Increase / Decrease in WC AddLess Capex Add
Free Cash Flow to the Firm LessLessLess+/-
Discounted Free flow for the Operating periodTerminal Value DiscountedFirm Value
Less Total Debt & Pref CapitalAdd Transferable Liquid Investments Add
Total Equity Value of the CompanyNumber of Shares in issueIntrinsic Value of per shareCurrent Market Value per share
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WACCCost of EquityRf + B (Rm - Rf)Rf BetaRmCost of Equity
Cost of Debt (pre-tax)Cost of Debt (post-tax)
WACC
Terminal Value (Value driver formula)Terminal Growth Rate (%)Terminal Value Discounted
DCF VALUATION
FCFE
Revenue 1Operating Margin (%) 2Operating Profit 3Depreciation 4EBIT 5Interest Charges paid 6EBT 7Effective Tax Rate (%) 8EAT 9Depreciation 10Other Non Cash Charges 11Increase / Decrease in WC 12Capex 13Pref Dividends Paid 14Net change in Debt 15Free Cash Flow to the Equity shareholders 16
1718
Discounted Free flow for the Operating period 19Terminal Value Discounted 20Equity Value 21
22Transferable Liquid InvestmentsTotal Equity Value of the CompanyNumber of Shares in issueIntrinsic Value of per shareCurrent Market Value per share
Cost of EquityRf + B (Rm - Rf)Rf BetaRmCost of Equity
Terminal Value (Value driver formula)Terminal Growth Rate (%)Terminal Value Discounted
GIVEN
Opening Revenue (Rs) 10000Revenue growth per year 25%Operating Margin 15%Depreciation (Rs) 700 per yearEffective Tax Rate 30%Other non-cash charges (Rs) 500 per yearInc / Dec in Working Capital (Rs) 300 per yearCapex 2000 in the third yearPref Div paid per year 0 per yearDebt raised during the year 700 at the beginning of the 4th yearCost of Debt 14%Risk Free rate of Interest 6%Market Return 16%Beta of the Stock 1.15Terminal Growth Rate 2.50%Debt outstanding 2000Encashable liquid investments 100Total equity shares issued by the company 7500Number of shares in issue 750Current Market Price 45Cash flow projection period 5 yearsPref Shares outstanding 0
A SIMPLE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) MODEL FOR VALUING A SHARE
Revenue Growth Rate 22%Terminal Growth Rate 4%Operating Margin 15%Tax Rate 25%Capex Growth as % of gross assets 2%Inc WC as % of revenues 1%Cost of Debt 12%Cost of Equity using CAPM 17.33%Debt Equity Ratio 2:03Weighted Avg Cost of Capital 14.00%Equity 60 RsNo.of Shares at Rs.10 Face Vale per Share 6Total Capital 100 Rs
FCFF Year 0 Year 1 Year 2
Revenues 200.00 244.00 297.68Operating Margin 0.15 0.15 0.15EBIT 30.00 36.60 44.65Taxes 7.50 9.15 11.16EBIT(1-t) 22.50 27.45 33.49 + Depreciation 12.50 5.00 5.00 - Capital Expenditures 3.00 10.00 10.00 - Chg WC 1.00 1.22 1.49Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) 31.00 21.23 27.00Terminal year Present Value of FCFF 18.62 20.78Present Value of Terminal year cash flow
The ValuationPV of FCFF during growth phase = 62.38PV of Terminal Value = 239.11Value of Operating Assets of the firm = 301.49Value of Excess Cash & Non-operating asse 10Value of Firm = 311.49 - Value of Outstanding Debt = 40Value of Equity = 271.49Value of Equity per share = 45.25
A SIMPLE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) MODEL FOR VALUING A SHARE
Risk Free Rate of Return 7.50%Market Return 15%Beta of the Stock 1.31
Value of Equity Per Share 45.25
Year 3
363.170.15
54.4813.6240.86 0 1 2 3
5.00 GFA 150 160 170 180
10.00 DEP 30 35 40 45
1.82 NFA 120 125 130 135
34.04354.20
22.98239.11
A SIMPLE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) MODEL FOR VALUING A SHARE FCFF
FCFF Year 0 Year 1 Year 2
Revenues 306335.70 335284.42 366968.80Operating Margin 0.254 0.263 0.272EBITDA 77809.27 88057.76 99656.11Less: Dep and Amortization 6559.90 6559.90 6559.90Taxes 22613.17 26079.32 29790.79EBIT(1-t) 48636.19 55418.54 63305.42 + Depreciation+Other non cash cha 6559.90 6559.90 6559.90 - Capital Expenditures 11968.70 15622.54 15622.54 - Chg WC 458.60 458.60 458.60Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) 42768.79 45897.30 53784.18
Present Value of FCFF 41432.06 43828.16
The ValuationPV of FCFF during growth phase = 230238.82PV of Terminal Value = 4164224.10Value of Operating Assets of the fir 4394462.92
250Value of Firm = 4394712.92 - Value of Outstanding Debt = 1600 - Value of Pref sh outstanding = 0Value of Equity = 4393112.92Value of Equity per share = 488.12
Calculation of WACCPost tax cost of debt 38.33%Cost of Equity 10.50%Cost of Preference shares 0.00%Debt for years 1 to 5 1600Equity 158999Preference shares 0Total Capital 160599WACC for years 1 to 5 10.78%
Value of Excess Cash & Non-operating assets=
Debt for year 5 onwards 1600Equity 158999Preference shares 0Total Capital 160599WACC for year 5 onwards 10.78%
Interest on debt 583.2Interest on debt after year 5 901.92
A SIMPLE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) MODEL FOR VALUING A SHARE FCFF
6946843.89 Terminal period value46130.04 48349.87 50498.70
4164224.10 PV of Terminal period
A SIMPLE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) MODEL FOR VALUING A SHARE FCFE
Revenue Growth Rate 25%Terminal Growth Rate 5%Operating Margin 15%Tax Rate 30%Capex Growth as % of incremental revenues 5%Inc WC as % of incremental revenues 2%Cost of Debt 12%Cost of Equity using CAPM 16.80%Debt Equity Ratio 200000Weighted Avg Cost of Capital 11.20%Equity 100000 RsNo.of Shares at Rs.10 Face Vale per Share 10000Total Capital 100 Rs
FCFE Year 0 Year 11
Revenues 10000.00 12500.00Operating Margin 0.15 0.15EBITDA 1500.00 1875.00Less: Interest paid 280.00 280.00Less: Depreciation & Amort 700.00 700.00EBT 520.00 895.00Taxes 156.00 268.50EAT 364.00 626.50 + Depreciation and non-cash charges 1200.00 1200.00 - Capital Expenditures 0.00 0.00 - Chg WC 300.00 300.00+/- Net change in debt- Dividends to Pref shares 0.00 0.00Free Cash Flow to Equity Shareholders (FCFE) 1264.00 1526.50
Present Value of FCFE 1306.93
The ValuationPV of FCFE during growth phase = 6175.88PV of Terminal Value = 13591.79Value of Operating Assets of the firm = 19767.67Value of Excess Cash & Non-operating assets 100Value of Equity = 19867.67Value of Equity per share = 26.49
A SIMPLE DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) MODEL FOR VALUING A SHARE FCFE
Risk Free Rate of Return 6.00%Market Return 15%Beta of the Stock 1.2
InputsEarnings before interest and taxes = 100Expected growth for next 5 years = 10%Expected growth after year 5 = 5%Tax rate = 40%Debt ratio for the firm = 20%Cost of equity = 12%Pre-tax cost of debt = 7%Return on capital in high growth= 12%Return on capital in stable growth = 10%
Net income (PAT) Net income (PAT)Depreciation Add Interest ExpenseAmortization Less Tax Effect of Interest ExpenseDeferred Taxes = After Tax Interest ExpenseMinority Interest NOPATIncome from Affiliates Add DepreciationOther Non-Cash Items Add AmortizationChanges in Net Working Capital Add Deferred Taxes Equity Cash Flow from Operations Add Minority InterestCapital Expenditures Add Income from AffiliatesChange in Debt Add Other Non-Cash ItemsChange in Preferred Less Changes in Net Working CapitalPreferred Dividends (includes convertible) Other Less Capital Expenditures
Other Residual Cash Flows Unlevered Free Cash Flow Terminal Value (P/E Multiple) Terminal Value (EBITDA Multiple) Cash Flows to Common Equity Holders Cash Flows to Capital Providers
Valuation ValuationEquity Value Unlevered Free Cash FlowsValue per Share Add Debt Tax Shield
Firm ValuePlus: Debt Outstanding Plus: Excess CashPlus: Minority Interest Less: Debt OutstandingPlus: Preferred Stock Less: Minority InterestLess: Excess Cash Less: Preferred StockFirm Value Equity ValueCost of Equity Calculation Value per ShareDebt/Market EquityRelevered Beta
Ke
FCFF Model adjusted for leverage of the firm
DCF Analysis: Adjusted Present Value (for leverage)
Aban Offshore - Parag Parikh
CASH FLOW
OPENING CASH AND BANK
Profit After TaxLess Investment IncomeAdd Interest PaidAdd Miscellaneous Expenses W/OffAdd DepreciationAdd Minority IncomeAdd / Less Deferred TaxationAdd / Less OthersAdd / Less Change in Working Capital
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Add / Less Change in Fixed AssetsAdd / Less Change in InvestmentsAdd Investment Income
CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Add Increase in EquityAdd / Less Change in Preference CapitalAdd / Less Change in BorrowingsAdd / Less Change in Minority InterestLess Interest PaidLess Dividend- EquityLess Dividend- Preference CapitalLess Minority Income
Operating Profit 1541.54 (Total Income-Other Income - Total Expenses)PBDIT (add back Other Income) 1712.66Interest 129.98PBDT 1582.68Depreciation 120.9Other Written Off 0Profit Before Tax 1461.78Extra-Ordinary items 56.29PBT (Post Extra Ord Items) 1518.07Tax 320.74Reported Net Profit 1197.33
(Total Income-Other Income - Total Expenses)
Tommy Hilfiger
Total RevenuesLess Cost of Goods Sold Add= Gross Profit =Less SG & A expense LessLess D&A expense == Operating Income (EBIT) LessLess Interest expense Less= Taxable Income LessLess Tax expense LessLess Minority Interest and Other == Net Income AddAdd Interest LessAdd D&A expense AddLess Capital Exp =Add Asset Sales LessLess Acquisitions =Less Changes in WC= FCFF
Less=AddLessAdd=
Star Bucks CorporationIncome Statement 2000
Retail Sales 1807704Speciality Sales 315810Net Sales 2123514Cost of Goods Sold 961999Gross Margin 1161515Store Operating Expenses 671420Other Operating Expenses 64292Depreciation and Amortisation 111578SG & A expenses 119250Operating Income (EBIT) 194975Interest and Other Income 21255Interest and Other Expense 0Gain on Sale of Investment 216230Earnings Before Tax 432460Income Taxes 86492Net Income 129738Number of Shares 182190Earnings Per Share 0.71
EBIT 194975Taxes on EBIT 77990NOPAT 116985Depreciation and Amortization 111578Capex -222565Change in WC 299495Free Cash Flow to Firm 305493
Parameters Dabur HUL ITCRs. In Crores
PBDIT 12 15 20Book Value of Assets 75 80 100Sales 80 100 160Profit after Tax 8 10 16Cash Flow 9 12 18
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Filters
1 Past 5 years growth of top line (Revenue or Sales) > 20%
2 Past 5 years growth of bottom line (PAT or Net Profit) > 20%
3 Past 5 years growth of EPS > 20%
4 Past 5 years EBIT, EBITDA, NOPAT & PAT margins > 20%
5 EBITDA to (Net Working Capital + Net Fixed Assets) ratio > 20%
6 EBITDA to EV (Market Capitalization of Equity + Debt - Excess Cash & CE) > 15%
7 PE ratio < 10
8 PEG ratio (PE / EPS growth rate) < 1
9 Dividend Yield Ratio (Dividend / Share price) > 5%