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Epidemiology

Feb 18, 2016

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Epidemiology. Definition Biology. The “Triple Negative” Breast Cancer. Estrogen Receptor ( ER ) negative Progesterone receptor ( PR ) negative Her2neu ( HER2 ) negative. ER/PR/HER2 -. “Basal-Like” . Clinical features. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Epidemiology

Epidemiology

Page 2: Epidemiology
Page 3: Epidemiology

DefinitionBiology

Page 4: Epidemiology

“Basal-Like”

The “Triple Negative” Breast Cancer

Estrogen Receptor (ER) negativeProgesterone receptor (PR) negative

Her2neu (HER2) negative

ER/PR/HER2 -

Page 5: Epidemiology
Page 6: Epidemiology
Page 7: Epidemiology
Page 8: Epidemiology
Page 9: Epidemiology

Clinical features

Page 10: Epidemiology

“Triple-Negative” Breast Cancer: Clinical Features and Patterns of

Recurrence• HBBC database (1987-1997)

• 1601 (80%) of patients had details on hormone receptors/HER2 and were eligible for the study

• 180 (12%) of the 1601 patients were defined as “triple negative” breast cancers

• Mean follow up was 8.1 years

Dent, R. et al. Clin Cancer Res 2007

Page 11: Epidemiology

Characteristics of “Triple Negative” vs. Other Breast Cancers

CharacteristicOther

(N=1421)number (percent)

“Triple Negative”(N=180)

number (percent)

Significancep value *

Mean Age at Diagnosis (yrs) 57.7 53 p < 0.0001

Mean Tumor Size 2.1 cm 3.0 cm p < 0.0001

Tumor Size

T1 (≤ 2 cm) 880 (62.7) 65 (36.5) p < 0.0001

T2 (>2cm to ≤ 5cm) 461 (32.8) 99 (55.6)

T3 (>5cm) 64 (4.6) 14 (7.9)

Missing 16 2

Lymph Node Status

Positive 510 (45.6) 87 (54.4) p = 0.02

Negative 609 (54.4) 70 (44.6)

Missing or Not Tested 302 23

Tumor Grade

I 237 (19.9) 15 (9.8) p < 0.0001

II 616 (51.8) 37 (24.2)

III 336 (28.3) 101 (66.0)

Missing

* p values were calculated with the use of the chi-square test

Dent, R. et al. Clin Cancer Res 2007

Page 12: Epidemiology

Tumor Size by Nodal Status according to “Basal-Like” Group

Non “Basal-like” Group(N=1421)

“Basal-like” Group(N=180)

Tumour Size Lymph Node PositiveNumber (percent)

Lymph Node PositiveNumber (percent)

<1.0 cm 38 (19.3) 5 (55.6)

1 - 2 cm 180 (39.3) 25 (55.6)

2.1- 5 cm 238 (59.5) 43 (48.9)

>5.1 cm 53 (91.4) 12 (92.3)

p<0.0001 p=0.042

* p values were calculated with the use of the chi-square test

Dent, R. et al. Clin Cancer Res 2007

Page 13: Epidemiology

Distant Recurrence

Dent, R. et al. Clin Cancer Res 2007;13:4429-4434

Prob

abili

ty o

f bei

ng re

curr

ence

-free

1.0

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Years after diagnosis

p<0.0001 (log-Rank test)

Other (290 of 1421) “Triple-negative” (61 of 180)

Page 14: Epidemiology

Overall Survival

Dent, R. et al. Clin Cancer Res 2007;13:4429-4434

Prob

abili

ty o

f sur

viva

l

1.0

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Years after diagnosis

p<0.0001 (log-Rank test)

Other (261 of 1420) “Triple-negative” (62 of 180)

Page 15: Epidemiology
Page 16: Epidemiology

Non-random distribution X² statistic 42.78p 0.0003

Subtype

Smid et al, Cancer Res, in press

Page 17: Epidemiology

Patterns of Metastatic Spread• More likely to spread to brain, lung and possibly liver

and less likely to spread to bone and soft tissues– Tsuda et al. 2000 Am J of Surgical Pathology– Rodriguez-Pinilla et al. Clinical Cancer Research 2006– Fulford et al. Breast Cancer Research and Treatment 2007– Hicks et al. 2006 Am J of Surgical Pathology

• More likely to present with visceral metastases versus bone metastases as first site of metastases

– 70% vs 37%, p < 0.001 (Dent et al. SABCS 2007)

Page 18: Epidemiology

Median Time from Distant Relapse to Death

0 5 10 15 20 25

22 months

9 months

Dent R, Trudeau M, Pritchard K, Hana W, Narod S. et al. Clinical Cancer Res 2007

“Triple Negative” Breast CA

Other Breast CA

Page 19: Epidemiology

Treatment

Page 20: Epidemiology

Days

0 20 40 60 80 100

Tum

or V

olum

e (m

m3 )

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

Control5mg Doxorubicin1.25mg Doxorubicin3mg Cisplatin1.25mg Cisplatin6mg Cisplatin (non-average)

Response of Brca1/p53 Mammary Tumors to Doxorubicin or Cisplatin/Carboplatin in vivo

Page 21: Epidemiology

Characteristics of retrieved studies Characteristics of retrieved studies - I- I

Study Comparison HER2 status determined (%)

NSABP B11 Paik S et al, JNCI 1998 PF vs PAF 638/682 (94%)

NSABP B15Paik S et al, JNCI 2000 CMF vs AC 2.034/2.295 (89%)GUN 3 De Laurentiis M et al, ASCO 2001 CMF vs CMF/EV 123/220 (56%)

BelgianDi Leo A et al, Clin Cancer Res 2002 CMF vs HEC/EC 354/777 (46%)

Milan Moliterni A et al, J Clin Oncol 2003 CMF vs CMF→ A 506/552 (92%)

DanishKnoop AS et al, J Clin Oncol 2005 CMF vs FEC 805/980 (82%)

NCIC MA5 Pritchard KI et al, NEJM 2006 CMF vs CEF 628/710 (88%)

Gennari et al, JNCI 2008

Total (determined/randomised)Total (determined/randomised) 5.088/6.216 (82%)5.088/6.216 (82%)

Page 22: Epidemiology

Characteristics of studies - IICharacteristics of studies - II

Study MethodHER2

positive/screened

%

NSABP B11 IHC 239/638 37%

NSABP B15 IHC 599/2.034 29%

GUN 3 IHC 30/123 24%

Belgian FISH 73/354 21%

Milan IHC 95/506 19%

Danish IHC/FISH 246/805 33%

NCIC MA5 IHC/FISH/PCR 163/628 (FISH) 26%

Total (positive/screened)Total (positive/screened) 1.445/5.0881.445/5.088 28%28%Gennari et al, JNCI 2008

Page 23: Epidemiology

Adjuvant Anthracyclines and HER2:Adjuvant Anthracyclines and HER2:Disease Free SurvivalDisease Free Survival

Anthra betterStudy HER2 status HR (95% CI)+ 0.60 (0.44 to 0.82)- 0.96 (0.75 to 1.23)+ 0.84 (0.65 to 1.08)- 1.02 (0.86 to 1.20)+ 0.65 (0.34 to 1.26)- 1.35 (0.93 to 1.97)+ 0.83 (0.46 to 1.49)- 1.22 (0.91 to 1.64)+ 0.75 (0.53 to 1.06)- 0.79 (0.60 to 1.05)+ 0.52 (0.34 to 0.80)- 0.91 (0.71 to 1.17)

Overall 0.90 (0.82 to 0.98)+ 0.71 (0.61 to 0.83)- 1.00 (0.90 to 1.11)

NSABP B11

NSABP B15

Belgian

Milan

DBCG 89D

NCIC MA5

HER2 specific

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00

Test for interaction: 2 13.7, p< .001

Non anthra better

Gennari A. et al. JNCI 2008Gennari A. et al. JNCI 2008

Page 24: Epidemiology

Adjuvant Anthracyclines and HER2 :Adjuvant Anthracyclines and HER2 :Overall SurvivalOverall Survival

Study HER2 status HR (95% CI)+ 0.66(0.42 to 1.01)- 0.90(0.69 to 1.18)+ 0.82(0.63 to 1.06)- 1.07(0.88 to 1.30)+ 0.85(0.27 to 2.69)- 1.64(0.85 to 3.15)+ 0.61(0.32 to1.16)- 1.26(0.89 to 1.79)+ 0.73(0.50 to 1.05)- 0.82(0.59 to 1.13)+ 0.65(0.42 to 1.01)- 1.06(0.80 to1.40)+ 0.71(0.32 to 1.55)- 1.25(0.58 to 2.67)

Overall 0.91(0.79 to 1.04)+ 0.73(0.62 to 0.85)- 1.03(0.92 to 1.16)

NSABP B11

NSABP B15

GUN

Milan

DBCG 89D

NCIC MA5

HER2 specific

GOIRC

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.003.50

Test for interaction: 2 12.6, p< .001

Anthra betterNon anthra better

Gennari A. et al. JNCI 2008Gennari A. et al. JNCI 2008

Page 25: Epidemiology

Efficacy summaryEfficacy summary

•Risk of relapse 29% HR 0.71 (0.61-0.83)

•Risk of death 27% HR 0.73 (0.62-0.85)

HER2 positiveHER2 positive

Risk of relapse anthra ≈ non anthra HR 1.00 (0.90-1.11)

Risk of death anthra ≈ non anthra HR 1.03 (0.92-1.16)

HER2 negativeHER2 negative

p <0.001p <0.001

p <0.001p <0.001

Gennari et al, JNCI 2008

Page 26: Epidemiology

Highly hormon-sensitive

Moderately hormon-sensitive

HER-2 amplified

Triple negative

Page 27: Epidemiology
Page 28: Epidemiology

Pathological Complete Response to Chemotherapy Differs by Subtipes

AC → TCarey CCR 07

T → FACRouzier CCR 05

Luminal A/B 4/62 (7%) 2/30 (7%)

Normal-like NA 0/10 (0)

HER2+ and ER- 4/11 (36%) 9/20 (45%)

Triple negative 9/34 (27%) 10/22 (45%)

Page 29: Epidemiology

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Triple Negative Patients. MD Anderson Experience

• The largest date set available (1118 pts) 23% TNBC, pCR 15%

Regimens pts TNBC non-TNBCFAC/FEC/AC 308 20% 5%TFAC/TFEC 588 28% 17%Taxanes 58 12% 2%Other 164 14% 7%Total 1118 22% 11%

p 0.034

Liedtke, M. et al. J Clin Oncol; aheadof print on Febr 4, 2008

Page 30: Epidemiology

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in TNBCSurvival by Pathological Response

Liedtke, M. et al. J Clin Oncol; aheadof print on Febr 4, 2008

Page 31: Epidemiology

Ixabepilone+Capecitabine a Phase III Trial

MetastaticMetastaticbreast cancerbreast cancer

N = 752N = 752

IxabepiloneIxabepilone++

CapecitabineCapecitabine

N = 375N = 375

CapecitabineCapecitabine

N = 377N = 377

Previous AnthraPrevious Anthra

Taxane ResistantTaxane Resistant

Vahdat LTVahdat LT et al: et al: ASCO2007ASCO2007

Page 32: Epidemiology

1.0

0.0

Prop

ortio

n Pr

ogre

ssio

n Fr

ee

Months

0.6

0.8

0.4

0.2

0

MedianMedian5.8 mo5.8 mo

4.2 mo4.2 mo

95 % Cl95 % Cl(5.5 - 7.0)(5.5 - 7.0)

(3.8 - 4.5)(3.8 - 4.5)

HR: 0.75 (0.64-0.88)p = 0.0003

4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36

IxabepiloneIxabepilone++ Capecitabine Capecitabine

CapecitabineCapecitabine

Vahdat LTVahdat LT et al: et al: ASCO2007ASCO2007

Ixabepilone+Capecitabine a Phase III Trial

Page 33: Epidemiology

Ixabepilone+Capecitabine a Phase III Trial

RugoRugo et al: et al: SABCS 2007SABCS 2007

Page 34: Epidemiology

Perspectives

Page 35: Epidemiology
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Basal-like Breast Cancer and BRCA1

= BRCA1+

Sorlie T et al. PNAS 03