Top Banner
Energy transition Our future is starting now !
63

Energy transition

Apr 12, 2017

Download

Environment

Kongsbreen
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: Energy transition

Energy transition

Our future is starting now !

Page 2: Energy transition

Contents

1) Changing Direction2) The Rise and Fall of Oil3) Closing Coal Plants4) Nuclear Power in Decline5) The Solar Revolution6) The Age of Wind7) Tapping the Earth’s Heat8) Hydropower: Past and Future9) Accelerating the Transition

Page 3: Energy transition

Glimpses of the Energy Transition

• South Australia: Wind farms supply more electricity than coal plants

• China: Water for 170 million households is heated by rooftop solar water heaters

• United Kingdom: For several days in August 2014, wind electricity eclipsed that from coal

• Spain: Wind is close to overtaking nuclear power as the leading source of electricity

Page 4: Energy transition

Global Annual Energy Growth, 2008-2013

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Per

cent

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Source: EPI from BP, EIA, and REN21

Page 5: Energy transition

Drivers

• Economic: Cost of renewables falling• Technological: Advances in PV, batteries• Social: Growing opposition to coal and

nuclear power• Geological: Remaining fossil fuels harder

to access and more costly• Climatic: Carbon emissions destabilizing

the climate, threatening civilization

Page 6: Energy transition

Climate Disruption

• Fossil fuel burning is increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) levels in the atmosphere, raising the earth’s temperature

• Continued heavy fossil fuel reliance could raise the global temperature up to 6°C (nearly 11°F) by 2100

18801881188218831884188518861887188818891890189118921893189418951896189718981899190019011902190319041905190619071908190919101911191219131914191519161917191819191920192119221923192419251926192719281929193019311932193319341935193619371938193919401941194219431944194519461947194819491950195119521953195419551956195719581959196019611962196319641965196619671968196919701971197219731974197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201413.4

13.6

13.8

14.0

14.2

14.4

14.6

14.8

260

280

300

320

340

360

380

400

Average Global Temperature and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration, 1880-2014

Source: NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; Worldwatch

Tem

pera

ture

(deg

rees

Cel

sius

)

Atm

osph

eric

CO

2 (p

pm)

Temperature

CO2

Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org

Page 7: Energy transition

2° Safety Limit

• The international community agreed to limit warming to 2°C (3.6°F) to prevent dangerous climate change

• Higher temperatures:– Melt ice sheets and glaciers– Raise sea level– Increase drought in some areas– Intensify rainfall in others– Cause more-destructive storms

Photo Credit: Nomadic Lass (Flickr: Columbia Glacier)

Page 8: Energy transition

Stranded Assets• To keep global warming to

2°C, most fossil fuels need to stay in the ground

• Fossil energy companies will likely lose value

• Related infrastructure may also become stranded– Power plants– Coal mines– Pipelines– Coal handling and storage

facilities

Photo credit: Emily Adams

Page 9: Energy transition

T H E R I S E A N D FA L L O F O I L

Photo Credit: U.S. Coast Guard

Page 10: Energy transition

The Rise and Fall of Oil

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100World Oil Consumption, 1965-2013

Source: BP

Mill

ion

Bar

rels

Dai

ly

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

• Worldwide oil use continues to grow

• But “easy oil” is getting tapped out

• In some countries, like the United States and Japan, oil use has peaked and is on the decline

Page 11: Energy transition

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

5

10

15

20

25

Source: EPI from EIA

Mill

ion

Bar

rels

Per

Day

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Consumption

Production

U.S. Oil Use Down

• U.S. #1 consumer• U.S. oil use fell 8.5%

from 2005 to 2014– People driving less– Better vehicle efficiency– Public transit expanding– Culture change: young

people no longer prioritizing cars

– Car sharing and bike sharing spreading

U.S. Oil Consumption and Production, 1965-2014

Page 12: Energy transition

Natural Gas: A Bridge to Nowhere

• Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) have created a U.S. oil and gas boom

• Methane leaks along the supply chain mean gas may be more climate disrupting than coal

• Other concerns: wasted investment in short-term infrastructure; water and air pollution; earthquakes

Photo Credit: Bilfinger SE/U.S. Department of Energy

Page 13: Energy transition

C L O S I N G C O A L P L A N T S

Photo Credit: National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Page 14: Energy transition

World Electricity Profile, 2012

Coal40%

Natural Gas23%

Hydro16%

Nuclear11%

Oil5%

Wind2%

Biofuels and Waste1.9%

Solar0.4%

Geothermal0.3%

Eart

h Po

licy

Inst

itute

- w

ww

.ear

th-p

olic

y.or

g

Source: OECD

Page 15: Energy transition

Coal: Last Century’s Dirty Fuel

• Air pollution from coal-burning leads to heart and lung diseases, early death

• Leading source of CO2 emissions

• Coal-fired power plants require large amounts of water

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500World Coal Consumption, 1965-2013

Source: BP

Milli

on T

ons

Oil

Equ

ival

ent

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 16: Energy transition

Coal Plants Closing

• Lower natural gas prices, air pollution regulations, and local campaigns are closing coal plants across the United States

• Of the 523 U.S. coal-fired power plants, 188 have recently closed or plan to close

• Australia, Canada, and many E.U. countries have also passed peak coal

Coal Consumption in the United States, 1965-2014

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Source: EIA

Mill

ion

Tons

Oil

Equ

ival

ent

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 17: Energy transition

Peak Coal in China?• China’s coal use:

– Exceeds the rest of the world combined

– But fell in 2014 for the first time in recent history

• Peak coal is near:– Air pollution concerns– Environmental regulations– Wind and solar booming– Improving efficiency– Slowing economic growth– U.S.-China climate

agreement

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000Coal Consumption in China, 1965-2014

Source: BP; NBS

Mill

ion

Tons

Oil

Equ

ival

ent

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 18: Energy transition

India Coal Use Growing• Indian government claims

to be doubling down on coal, planning hundreds of new plants

• How many will be built remains to be seen– Urban air pollution worse

than in China– Local opposition to coal– Taxes on coal doubled, partly

funding solar development– Solar costs undercut the grid

in much of the country

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

50

100

150

200

250

300

350Coal Consumption in India, 1965-2013

Source: BP

Milli

on T

ons

Oil

Equ

ival

ent

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 19: Energy transition

N U C L E A R P O W E R I N D E C L I N E

Photo Credit: Sandia Science & Technology Park

Page 20: Energy transition

Nuclear Power in Decline

• Global nuclear generation peaked in 2006

• Peaked in France in 2005; United States in 2010

• Number of operating reactors dropped from high of 438 in 2002 to 390 as of end-2014

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 20200

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

World Electricity Generation from Nuclear Power Plants, 1970-2014

Source: EPI from BP, IAEA/Chabot

Tera

wat

t-hou

rs

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 21: Energy transition

Costly from Cradle…• Unlike with wind and solar

power, building new nuclear facilities has become more expensive over time

• Construction delays and cost overruns are typical features of nuclear projects

• Of 66 reactors under construction in mid-2014, 49 were behind schedule, including all 5 in the United States and 20 of 27 in China

Photo Credit: Wikimedia Commons/ Tennessee Valley Authority

Page 22: Energy transition

…to Grave• Costs rising for aging plants—

operation, maintenance, fuel• Squeezed by cheap renewables

and natural gas, 5 U.S. reactors have retired early since 2013

• Closing is costly: ~$4.4 billion for two California reactors; $130 billion for 4-reactor U.K. site with legacy of weapons-grade plutonium

• Nuclear waste disposal problem remains unresolved

Photo credit: Wikimedia Commons/awnisALAN

Page 23: Energy transition

Fukushima Meltdown Hastens Decline• 2011 earthquake/tsunami

crippled Fukushima plant, leaked radiation

• All Japanese reactors eventually off-line; no nuclear generation since mid-2013, as of early 2015

• Germany, Switzerland, Belgium announced nuclear phase-outs

• France cutting nuclear reliance from 75% of electricity to 50% by 2025

Data provided by: Mycle Schneider Consulting www.worldnuclearreport.org

Page 24: Energy transition

Low-Carbon, Low-Risk EnergyBuilding wind and solar power capacity is quicker and more affordable than building nuclear—without the financial, environmental, and health risks associated with atomic power

Photo Credit: Wikimedia Commons/ILIOTEC Solar GmbH; Iberdrola Renewables Inc.

Page 25: Energy transition

T H E S O L A R R E V O L U T I O N

Photo Credit: Dennis Schroeder / NREL

Page 26: Energy transition

The Solar Revolution• Solar PV converts sun’s

energy into electricity • Fastest-growing

electricity source worldwide

• > 50% annual growth 2008–2013

• Can scale up from small rooftop systems to massive utility-scale arrays

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 20160

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Source: BPTe

raw

att-h

ours

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

World Solar-Generated Electricity, 2000-2013

Page 27: Energy transition

Solar Beating the Grid• In growing number of markets,

solar-generated electricity now cheaper than grid average

• U.S. utility-scale PV system costs down ~80% since 2009

• Globally, solar panels cost over $74/watt in 1972

• Mid-2014 price: below 70¢/watt• Innovation and policy drove

remarkable price decline

Image Credit: Lazard

Levelized Cost of Energy for Utility-scale Solar PV Systems in the United States,

2009-2014

Page 28: Energy transition

The Utility Death Spiral• Spread of rooftop PV threatening traditional utility business

model– Customers with PV buy less electricity from utility– More PV electricity on grid drives down power prices– Utility forced to raise rates, more people go solar

• RWE and E.ON, Germany’s two largest utilities, caught off-guard– Did not anticipate fast rise of solar and wind– Overinvested in fossil fuel and nuclear generation– Now reinventing themselves to survive in new energy

landscape

Page 29: Energy transition

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 20160

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

Source: EPI from BP, IEA-PVPS

Meg

awat

ts

Germany

Japan

U.S.

Italy

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

China

Solar Goals Expanding

• Chinese goal for 2020 was 20,000 MW of PV; then 50,000; now it’s 70,000 MW by 2017

• India was aiming for 22,000 MW by 2022; government indicates new target will be 100,000 MW

Cumulative Installed Solar Photovoltaics Capacity in Leading Countries, 2000-2014

Page 30: Energy transition

PV Improving Access to Electricity• For the 1.3 billion people without access to

electricity, PV is cheaper than building centralized power systems

• India:– Replacing polluting kerosene lamps with PV charging

for CFL or LED lamps and a cell phone: 1) lowers monthly outlays, and 2) pays for itself in ~3 years

• Bangladesh:– As of 2014, with World Bank help, over 70,000 solar

home systems were being installed each month

Page 31: Energy transition

Concentrating Solar Power

• In CSP systems, mirrors concentrate sunlight to drive conventional steam turbines or engines

• By mid-2014, world had 4,100 MW of CSP, mostly in Spain and the U.S.

• Thermal storage in molten salts allows for generation after sundown

Photo Credit: Sandia National Laboratories

Page 32: Energy transition

Solar Water Heaters• Rooftop solar thermal collectors

heat water directly• China dominates: enough

installed rooftop systems to supply 170 million households

• Used in some 85% of Israeli homes

• Also popular in Europe (e.g. Germany and Austria)

Photo Credit: www.davidlearnschinese.com

Page 33: Energy transition

T H E A G E O F W I N D

Photo Credit: Wikimedia Commons/Drenaline

Page 34: Energy transition

The Age of Wind

• Wind is abundant and widespread

• Wind farms are easily scalable, and increasingly cheap

• Nearly 370,000 MW installed in some 90 countries produce enough electricity to power 90 million U.S. homes

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

World Wind-Generated Electricity, 1985-2013

Source: BP

Tera

wat

t-hou

rs

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 35: Energy transition

World Wind Leaderboard

• In Spain, wind output now exceeds that from coal plants

• India targeting at least 60,000 MW by 2022

• Offshore installations expanding; half the world’s capacity in the U.K

• Development heating up in Latin America

Cumulative Installed Wind Power Capacity in Leading Countries, 1995-2014

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 20200

15,000

30,000

45,000

60,000

75,000

90,000

105,000

120,000

135,000

Source: EPI from GWEC, Worldwatch, CREIA, EWEA, BWEA

Meg

awat

ts

United States

Germany

Spain

China

IndiaE

arth

Pol

icy

Inst

itute

- w

ww

.ear

th-p

olic

y.or

g

United Kingdom

Page 36: Energy transition

Wind Overtakes Nuclear in China

• Wind is now China’s #3 electricity source behind coal and hydro

• Wind’s lead over nuclear will grow– Much quicker to build– No water constraints– Wind potential could meet

current electricity demand 10 times over

– Goal = 200 gigawatts of wind capacity by 2020

Wind- and Nuclear-generated Electricity in China, 1995-2014

1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Source: EPI from BP, NEA, CNEA

Tera

wat

t-hou

rs Nuclear

Wind

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 37: Energy transition

U.S. Wind Power• China has greater installed

wind capacity, but U.S. wind farms generate more electricity

• Nine states generate >12% of electricity from wind

• In Iowa and South Dakota, the share exceeds 25%

• If Texas were a country, it would rank sixth in installed wind power capacity

China

United

Stat

es

German

ySpa

inInd

iaTex

as UK

Canad

a

France

Ita

lyBraz

il0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

Cumulative Installed Wind Power Capacity in Leading Countries and Texas, 2014

Meg

awat

ts

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Source: EPI from GWEC, AWEA

Page 38: Energy transition

Denmark

Portugal

Spain

Ireland

United Kingdom

Germany

Romania

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

42.8

24.1

20.0

18.9

9.4

9.1

8.8

Percent

Source: Compiled by EPI from Energinet.dk; REN; REE; EirGrid; DECC; BDEW; Transelectrica E

arth

Pol

icy

Inst

itute

- w

ww

.ear

th-p

olic

y.or

g

More Wind on the Grid

• European countries dominate in the share of electricity generated from wind farms

• Four German states get more than 50% of their electricity from wind

• On some days wind power exceeds half of Ireland’s electricity generation

Wind Share of Electricity Generation in Leading Countries, 2014

Page 39: Energy transition

Wind-Powered Denmark• In 1970s, began using electricity

taxes to pay for renewable energy R&D

• Home to Vestas, world’s #1 wind turbine installer

• Got 62% of its electricity from wind in January 2014

• For 2014 as a whole: 40%• By 2016, new wind farms will

supply electricity at half the cost of new coal or gas plants

• Goal is 50% wind by 2020

Photo Credit: Dirk Ingo Franke

Page 40: Energy transition

TA P P I N G T H E E A R T H ’ S H E AT

Photo credit: Wikimedia Commons/Gretar Ívarsson

Page 41: Energy transition

Tapping the Earth’s Heat• Geothermal

resources richest in areas with high tectonic activity

• Some 40 countries with 860 million people could meet all their electricity needs with geothermal energy

Image Credit: NOAA mod. USGS/Topinka

Page 42: Energy transition

Iceland: Geothermal Powerhouse• Space heating:

– In 1970, over 50% came from burning oil, 43% from geothermal

– Today geothermal heat covers close to 90%

• Other direct uses:– Swimming/bathing, fish farming,

greenhouse heating, snow melting• Electricity:

– 29% of electricity from geothermal, more than any other country

– Cheap electricity from geothermal and hydropower allowed Iceland to become a leading aluminum producer

Photo Credit: Wikimedia Commons/Bloody-libu

Page 43: Energy transition

Geothermal Energy – Direct Use• In China, geothermal district

heating rose 5-fold in last decade

• Japan has 2,000 spas, 5,000 bathhouses, and 15,000 hotels using nature’s hot water

• Ball State University in Indiana expects geothermal heating and cooling to save the school 33,000 tons of coal and $2 million per year

China

Turkey

Iceland

Japan

India

Italy

United States

Hungary

New Zealand

Brazil

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000

Installed Direct-Use Geothermal Capacity in Leading Countries, 2014

Megawatts

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Source: EPI from Lund

Page 44: Energy transition

Geothermal Power• Philippines’ goal is 3,300 MW

by 2030• Indonesia’s target is 10,000

MW by 2025• Japan has enough geothermal

power potential to meet over half its electricity needs

• Enhanced Geothermal Systems technology could lead to some 500,000 MW of geothermal power in the United States

United StatesPhilippinesIndonesia

ItalyNew Zealand

MexicoIcelandJapanKenyaTurkey

Costa RicaEl SalvadorNicaragua

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

Megawatts

Source: BP

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Geothermal Electricity-Generating Capacity in Leading Countries, 2013

Page 45: Energy transition

Photo credit: Grand Coulee, Farwestern / Gregg M. Erickson via Wikimedia Commons

H Y D R O P O W E R : PA S T A N D F U T U R E

Page 46: Energy transition

Hydropower Worldwide

• Used in 150 countries • Supplies 16% of the

world’s electricity• Global capacity of

1 million MW• Of the world’s 45,000

large dams, 8,600 generate electricity

• Pumped storage

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Source: BP, IEA

Tera

wat

t-hou

rs

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

World Hydroelectric Generation, 1965-2013

Page 47: Energy transition

• Industrialized country rivers near dam saturation

• Lower-income countries still expanding hydro

• Race is on to develop remaining hydropower frontiers, including the powerful Congo River and rivers originating in the Himalayas

China

Canada

Brazil

United States

Russia

India

Norway

Venezuela

Japan

France

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000

Terawatt-hours

Source: BP

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Hydropower DevelopmentHydroelectric Generation in Leading Countries, 2013

Page 48: Energy transition

Large Hydropower: a Mixed PicturePros

• Abundant energy resource• Renewable• Dams can provide flood

control• Can provide irrigation water• Can provide continuous

baseload power or quickly ramp on or off

Cons• Flooding displaces people,

plants, and animals• Weakens river resilience • Traps sediment, shrinking

downstream lakes and wetlands• Impedes the movement of fish

and other creatures• Reservoirs emit climate-

disrupting methane gas• Power distribution required• Expensive: typically >2x original

cost estimate, per Oxford study• Long build time; opportunity cost

Page 49: Energy transition

Three Gorges Dam• Location: Yangtze River, China• Online in 2003, complete in 2012• Height: 600 feet• Capacity: 22,500 MW• Annual output: 83 million

megawatt-hours– Equivalent to 45 million tons

of coal, 12 nuclear reactors• Flooded 244 square miles and

displaced 1.4 million people• Total cost could reach $88 billion

Photo Credit: Le Grand Portagederivative work: Rehman via Wikimedia Commons

Page 50: Energy transition

Hydropower in the United States• Supplies 7% of all electricity

generation, 51% of renewable generation

• Most in Pacific Northwest• Fewer than 3% of the

80,000 U.S. dams generate electricity

• Over the last quarter century, nearly 900 U.S. dams have been removed

• Powering unequipped dams could ramp up generation

Photo credit: Clubber Lang via Flickr

Page 51: Energy transition

A C C E L E R AT I N G T H E T R A N S I T I O N

Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Joe Gough

Page 52: Energy transition

Saving Energy Saves Money• Investing in efficiency is less costly than building new

generating capacity• Efficiency measures by 11 industrial countries since

the 1970s saved $740 billion in avoided energy costs in 2011 alone

• A systemic switch from incandescent bulbs to efficient lighting solutions worldwide could allow closure of some 270 coal-fired power plants

• Japan’s Top Runner Program is a model for ratcheting up efficiency standards on lighting, electronics, vehicles, and more

Page 53: Energy transition

Policy Matters• Artificially cheap fossil

fuels still heavily subsidized

• Renewable feed-in tariffs, tax credits, and energy mandates help level playing field

• Unpredictable policy environment has led to boom-bust cycle in U.S. wind industry

Net Annual Installed Wind Power Capacity Additions in the United States, 1998-2014

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Source: EPI from Worldwatch, DOE, AWEA

Meg

awat

ts

Production Tax Credit Lapses

Ear

th P

olic

y In

stitu

te -

ww

w.e

arth

-pol

icy.

org

Page 54: Energy transition

Putting a Price on Carbon• Can supercharge the transition by systematically pricing

carbon to better reflect fossil fuels’ true social and environmental costs

• Cap-and-Trade– Regulators set a limit on emissions and polluters can either reduce

their emissions or buy permits on the carbon market– EU had first international Emissions Trading System (ETS)

• Carbon Tax– Tax levied on each ton of carbon dioxide emitted– Far simpler than cap-and-trade– Potentially revenue-neutral – can be offset by reductions in income

taxes

Page 55: Energy transition

Carbon Pricing in Action

Image Credit: World Bank

Page 56: Energy transition

Carbon Tax Successes

• Ireland: set carbon tax on natural gas and oil consumption in 2010; by 2013, emissions had fallen some 6% while economy grew

• British Columbia: set economy-wide carbon tax in 2008; per person consumption of gasoline and other petroleum products fell 15%, three times the national average, while economic growth has kept pace

Page 57: Energy transition

Fossil Fuel Divestment• Campaign is encouraging

divestment from coal, oil, and natural gas companies

• Rockefeller Brothers Fund’s original resources came from Standard Oil; now ditching all fossil fuel related holdings

• Others divesting from all fossils incl.: Guardian Media Group; Syracuse University

• Coal focus: World’s largest sovereign wealth fund (Norway); Stanford University

Photo Credit: 350.org

Page 58: Energy transition

Green Power Purchasing• > 600 entities generate or purchase enough

renewable electricity to meet 100% of their needs in U.S.—including Intel, Kohl’s, Staples, Unilever

• Google aiming for 100% renewable electricity– Buys staggering amount of

wind-generated electricity– Turning abandoned

California oil and gas field into an 82-MW solar farm

Image Credit: SunEdison

Page 59: Energy transition

Renewables Make Business Sense

• Apple’s 25-year, $850 million solar power purchase agreement with First Solar to supply CA operations

• Large investment institutions like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs channeling tens of billions of dollars into renewable energy

“It’s a business decision. The renewable energy we buy meets or beats prices from the grid.” – Walmart CEO Bill Simon, 2014

• Walmart has 260 PV systems on its U.S. buildings, aiming for 400 more by 2018

Photo Credit: Walmart/Flickr

Page 60: Energy transition

Billionaires Betting Big on Renewables

Photo Credit: Todd Spink

• Warren Buffett– $15 billion invested in solar and

wind by early 2014– “There’s another $15 billion

ready to go.”• Ted Turner

– With utility Southern Power, acquired 7 solar PV farms totaling ~300 MW

• Philip Anschutz– Will soon have a massive 3,000

MW wind farm under construction in Wyoming to supply CA, NV, AZ

Page 61: Energy transition

New Energy Economy

• Each country can take advantage of its unique mix of renewable resources

• Developing countries may bypass the electric grid and jump straight to distributed solar

Photo Credit: Flickr/SELF

Page 62: Energy transition

The Future of Energy

• Unlike fossil fuels, energy from the wind and the sun– is clean– is inexhaustible– the costs are falling

fast– the fuel is free

Photo Credit: MrRenewables via. Wikimedia Commons

Page 63: Energy transition

Energy Independence• Rooftop solar panels power homes and

recharge car batteries, delivering a degree of personal energy independence not known for generations

• The old energy economy was tightly controlled by those who held fossil fuel deposits; the new energy economy is much more democratic

• Results we can live with: Cleaner air, cleaner water, and a more stable climate