Dynamic Environments of the Future Mr. Keith Seaman Senior Adviser, Command and Control Modeling and Simulation Office of Warfighting Integration and Chief Information Officer
Dec 16, 2015
Dynamic Environments of the Future
Mr. Keith SeamanSenior Adviser, Command and Control Modeling and Simulation
Office of Warfighting Integration and Chief Information Officer
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
"We better be prepared to "We better be prepared to dominate the skies above the dominate the skies above the
surface of the earth or be prepared surface of the earth or be prepared to be buried beneath it."to be buried beneath it."
General Carl A. "Tooey" Spaatz General Carl A. "Tooey" Spaatz
11stst AF Chief of Staff AF Chief of Staff
““If you want to go anywhere in If you want to go anywhere in modern war, in the air, on the sea, modern war, in the air, on the sea,
on the land, you must have on the land, you must have command of the air.”command of the air.”
Admiral William “Bull” HalseyAdmiral William “Bull” Halsey
We Exist to DOMINATEWe Exist to DOMINATE Air, Space and Cyberspace for America Air, Space and Cyberspace for America
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Win the Global War on Terror Recapitalize/Modernize Care for Airmen
Our Mission… …deliver sovereign options for the defense of the U.S. and its interests – in air, space, and cyberspace.”
Everything is done in context ofEverything is done in context of JointnessJointness
Guided by Three Priorities
Failure is not an option…Can’t afford to re-learn lessons!Failure is not an option…Can’t afford to re-learn lessons!
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Change AgentsM&S Opportunities Abound
National Security Strategy
Base Realignment and Closure
Quadrennial Defense Review
Joint Planning Guidance
President’s Budget
DoD Technology Plan
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
The mission of the United States Air Force is to deliver sovereign options for the defense of the United States of America and its global interests – to fly and fight in Air, Space, and Cyberspace.
Air Force Mission Statement
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
AJP ACTD Map Viewer 1.0AJP ACTD Map Viewer 1.0
X
XX
X
INFORMATION-RICH VISUALIZATIONS
NET CENTRIC OPS
Sample Callout in 12-point type
V1468
COLLABORATION
INTERACTIVE PLANNING
IMMERSIVE TRAINING
FUSED EXECUTION
DYNAMIC BATTLESPACEGLOBAL DECISION ENVIRONMENT
COMPETITIVE SIMS
Challenges Demand New Constructs
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
TECHNOLOGY EXPLODING MULTI-DISCIPLINARY LED BY COMMERCIAL WORLD
TECHNOLOGY SURPRISE REACTIVE PROGRAMS
TECHNOLOGY EUPHORIA UNFOCUSED PROGRAMS SOLUTIONS SEEKING PROBLEMS
TECHNOLOGY COMPLACENCY “DON’T FIX WHAT AIN’T BROKE” TECHNICAL CYNICISM
COMPUTERERA
INFORMATIONERA
CAPABILITYGAP
1960 1970 1980 2005
Military Adoption
Business Adoption
Available Technology
InformationSystemsTechnology
Source: Adapted from William R. Synnot, The Information Weapon
Today’s Technology Environment
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
National Critical Technology
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Creating War-Winning Effects…
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
VIDEO OPTION #2
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Modeling and SimulationLive-Virtual-Constructive Integration
• Increase training realism• Mitigate resource constraints• Overcome geographical constraints
Constructive
Interoperability Between C4I Systems
Interoperability Between Simulations
Interoperability between C4I systems and simulations
Live
Nevada Test & Training Range
• Enable Joint interoperability• Expand training audience size• Expand the battlespace
Virtual
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
MSN REHEARSALMSN REHEARSAL
ANALYSISANALYSIS
WARGAMINGWARGAMING
EXERCISESEXERCISESTESTINGTESTING TRAININGTRAINING
EXPERIMENTSEXPERIMENTS
FUTUREFUTURE
ACQUISITIONACQUISITIONPLANNINGPLANNING
What is achieved from simulation?1) Safer 2) WX 3) MX 4 ) Joint 5) Real 6) Greater Security 7) Interoperative
In simulation, there IS a rerun button!In simulation, there IS a rerun button!
Modeling and SimulationMultiple Activities and Disciplines
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
EQUIP
EMPOWER
ENABLE
EDUCATE
Developing the Future Airman
Partnering to Define an End-to-End LIFE-CYCLE AIRMANPartnering to Define an End-to-End LIFE-CYCLE AIRMAN
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Creating the Competitive Edge
Mobilization Operations
Training Range L-V-C
LearningCapability
Mobilization Operations
Training Range L-V-C
LearningCapability
Web-EnabledLearning
Capability
Web-EnabledLearning
Capability
EmbeddedLearning
Capability
EmbeddedLearning
Capability
Game-BasedLearning
Capability
Game-BasedLearning
Capability
DistributedSimulationCapability
DistributedSimulationCapability
ReachbackCapabilityReachbackCapabilityOfficeOffice
SchoolSchool
HomeHome FieldField
InTransit
InTransit
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Emerging Technologies
Synthetic Network Warfare
Constructive Cyber Space
Advanced Simulators
Global Interaction
Human Factors/Behaviors
Directed Energy
Inter-Active Competitive Sims
Virtual Testing/Training
Nano … Bio … Quantum
Live-Virtual-Constructive Integration to Support All M&S DomainsLive-Virtual-Constructive Integration to Support All M&S Domains
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Gaming a Disruptive TechnologyInter-Active Competitive Simulations
Games are good at fulfilling training needs
...I hear and I forget
...I see and I remember
...I do and I understand
Game based training actively engages the learner
Games are simulations with goals, missions, and objectives
Game interfaces can be reused
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Types of Strategy Games
Abstract strategy Simulation Real-time strategy War game Real-time tactics Turn-based City building Multiple Worlds Global Cyberspace Command & Control
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Compressed kill chain “One time of flight” strike In-depth battlespace understanding
2006 AL ZARQAWI
1991 SCUD LAUNCHER
1999 S/A-6 MISSILE SITE
2003 SADDAM HUSSEIN
Kil
l C
hai
n T
imel
ine
Hours
Minutes
ENGAGE
ASSESS
FIND
FIX
TRACK
TARGET
Winning the GWOTOperational Impact of Technology
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
VIDEO OPTION #3
Mission and Challenges“A WARFIGHTING DOMAIN”
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Cyberspace
Cyber Ops to ENSURE OUR FREEDOM OF ACTION and DENY FREEDOM OF ACTION TO OUR ADVERSARIES
Cyberspace is a warfighting domain
Its All About The Effects
Full Spectrum Dominance: Global effects at the speed of light
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Fly and Fight in Cyber
Freedom from attack and freedom to attack The first battle will be for control of all three domains Dominating all three allows us to deliver the full spectrum of effects
Cyber favors the offensive Strategic Attack directly at enemy centers of gravity Suppression of Enemy Cyber Defenses Offensive Counter Cyber Defensive Counter Cyber Interdiction
Global effects at the speed of light Minimal CNN effect and need to rebuild
Without Cyber Dominance, Operations in all Domains at Risk
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c eSynergies through integration and interdependence
Cross-Domain Dominance = Sovereign Options
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
DHARAN, SAUDI ARABIA, 25 Jun 1996:Adversary Used: Commercial Comms for coordination
RF Detonation, Handheld wireless comms
We’re at war: Cyber is a battlespace
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
We’re at war: Cyber is a battlespace
BELGRADE, YUGOSLAVIA, 27 Mar 1999:Adversary Used: Mobile Communication, networked
defense, electronic warfare
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
We’re at war: Cyber is a battlespace
PENTAGON, 11 Sep 2001:Adversary Used: Internet for recruitment
International & cell comms for coord; Training on sims
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
We’re at war: Cyber is a battlespace
Hundreds of Jihadi Web Sites and Internet hosts, thousands of individual email accounts
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
We’re at war: Cyber is a battlespace
“The war is really not about Iraq or Afghanistan necessarily, it’s about this broader war that is really global in nature and has no borders. It uses things like the Cyber world to operate in.” - General Lance L. Smith, USJFC Commander
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Integral Fires 2007
TACP-CASS
TLDHS
SOFBAO Kit
Assess data exchange between AF/Army, Marine, and SOF Assess data exchange between AF/Army, Marine, and SOF Terminal Air Controller digital ground kits to coordinate Terminal Air Controller digital ground kits to coordinate
Close Air SupportClose Air Support
F-16
F/A-18
F-15EAV-8
AC-130 (DMIS)
AWACS
ASOC
CAOC
For Each Kit/Aircraft Combination:For Each Kit/Aircraft Combination:-Kit integration into AFATDS Net-Kit integration into AFATDS Net-ASR Flow to ASOC and into TBMCS-ASR Flow to ASOC and into TBMCS-Data connections between kits and aircraft-Data connections between kits and aircraft
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Challenges To ProgressThe Tower of Babel...
OrganizationalOrganizational
FiscalFiscal
TechnicalTechnical
HumanHuman
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Modeling & Simulation Supporting the Warfighter
Operational Training Warfighter Ready for the Fight
Decision SupportCompete, Challenge, Confront
Mission Rehearsal Dynamic, Live, Interactive
Developing Tools to: Empower Airman…Enhance Judgment…Effect Change…Elevate Combat Readiness!!!
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Looking to a limitless horizon
…striving for greater air, space and cyberspace capabilities
Securing Cyberspace
…taking action to increase our advantage in this new domain
Emphasizing innovation
…improving Joint warfighting
…improving processes
…pursing energy initiatives
The Future…Firmly Resolving Ourselves to Action
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Questions?
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
BACKUP SLIDES
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Building From Our Proud Heritage Toward A New Horizon
Supporting the Leadership priorities
Meeting mission challenges … C4ISR, Cyberspace, GWOT, … in a resource constrained environment
Building on our legacy, evolving, growing, and innovating within the Joint/Coalition M&S environment with strong focus on end “use”
M&S: Relevant - Responsive - Responsible
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Shape Choices
Defeat Terrorist
ExtremismCounter
WMD
DefendHomeland
Today's Capability Portfolio
“Shifting Our Weight”
Transitioning to full-spectrum M&S
JTF
SEA AIRLAND
OPFOR
SEA LANDAIR
U. S.U. S.
LeadershipPopulationInfrastructureIndustryFinanceNews MediaMoraleNuclear ForcesIntelligenceMil Forces
COALITIONCOALITION
LeadershipPopulationInfrastructureIndustryFinanceNews MediaMoraleNuclear ForcesIntelligenceMil Forces
OPFOROPFOR
LeadershipPopulation
Infrastructure
IndustryFinance
News MediaMoraleWMD
IntelligenceMil Forces
ALLIESALLIES
LeadershipPopulation
Infrastructure
IndustryFinance
News MediaMoraleWMD
IntelligenceMil Forces
RESOURCES
SEA & AIRLIFT
C2 SATCOM
RESOURCES
SEA & AIRLIFT
C2 SATCOM
ENVIRONMENTPolitical Economic Geography / Terrain Weather Electromagnetic
ENVIRONMENTPolitical Economic Geography / Terrain Weather Electromagnetic
Irregular Warfare Humanitarian Relief Ops Homeland Defense Cyber Warfare Information Operations Space and C2 Human Behavior Logistics, mobility,
& sustainment
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
What Cyberspace Is
Cyberspace is An inherently technological domain in and through which we conduct
operations Characterized by the electromagnetic spectrum—not just “networks” A domain where information lives 24/7/365 The global connective tissue and our Country’s nervous system More than just the components that create it--connections, content,
context, and cognition matter greatly
In cyberspace National boundaries and socio-political divides are minimal barriers Constraints of distance, space, time and investment are reduced--for
us and our enemies Different notions of sovereignty, ownership and behavior Laws, conventions, ROE, doctrine, concepts lag technology
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Cyberspace: Vulnerabilities
As the dominant global power, US is most vulnerable to attacks in this domain
“Electronic Pearl Harbor”/ “E-Katrina” Cyberspace provides a fulcrum to leverage physical attacks by
disrupting/delaying/hindering US response Cyber weapons can be Weapons of Mass Disruption / Mass Effect
Anything we can do in Cyberspace can be done to us cheaper and faster
Vulnerabilities are open to the world, available to anyone, anywhere, with the capability and intent to exploit them
Cyberspace provides the means for organized attacks on our infrastructure, from a distance, at the speed of light
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Effects-based Cyber Enterprise
Supporting Capabilities
Enabling Capabilities
Directed Energy
Cyber Effects
Physical Effects
Air Operations Centers
Intel Operations
Support
Network Operations
Center
Command Control
Facilities
Multi-Domain Surveillance and Reconnaissance
USAF Air Warfare Center
Network Infrastructure
Maintenance and Logistics
Intelligence Centers
Material
Doctrine and Training
PersonnelC2ISRC
Leadership
Sustaining Foundation
Programs
IntelOperations
Network Warfare
Global and TheaterElectronic Warfare
Policy