1 DPR Korean Energy Demand/Supply DPR Korean Energy Demand/Supply Analysis: Energy Balance Analysis: Energy Balance Sheet 2003 Sheet 2003 1 DPRK Energy Experts Study Group Meeting DPRK Energy Experts Study Group Meeting June 26 – June 27, 2006 June 26 – June 27, 2006 Standford University, Palo Alto, California, USA Standford University, Palo Alto, California, USA Kyung-Sool Kim Kyung-Sool Kim Korea Energy Economics Institute Korea Energy Economics Institute Center for Energy Research, Northeast Asia Center for Energy Research, Northeast Asia
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DPR Korean Energy Demand/Supply Analysis: Energy Balance Sheet 2003
1. DPR Korean Energy Demand/Supply Analysis: Energy Balance Sheet 2003. DPRK Energy Experts Study Group Meeting June 26 – June 27, 2006 Standford University, Palo Alto, California, USA. Kyung-Sool Kim Korea Energy Economics Institute Center for Energy Research, Northeast Asia. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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DPR Korean Energy DPR Korean Energy
Demand/Supply Analysis: Demand/Supply Analysis:
Energy Balance Sheet 2003Energy Balance Sheet 2003
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DPRK Energy Experts Study Group MeetingDPRK Energy Experts Study Group Meeting
Korea Energy Economics InstituteKorea Energy Economics InstituteCenter for Energy Research, Northeast AsiaCenter for Energy Research, Northeast Asia
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A. OverviewA. Overview11
1. Gvnt’s Official Estimates on Primary Energy Supply ■ TPES of Coal, Oil, Hydro and Others ■ Socio-Economic Comparison between South/North Korea, Korean National Statistical Office, Published at the end of every year
2. Other Sources■ From related organizations, institutions, industries, departments of government, ■ experts, media and sometimes from DPR Korea
3. Bold assumption and experts judgments ■ Estimates and inferences ■ Refugee Interview
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B. Primary Energy SupplyB. Primary Energy Supply11
■ Primary Energy Supply in 2004: 16.5 mil. TOE
69.0% level of 1990’s
Average Annual Growth Rate of
Coal: -2.6%
Oil: -5.0%
Hydro: -1.3%
Others: -2.6%
TPES: -2.6%
Coal Oil Hydro Others TPES
1990 16575 2520 3748 1120 23963
1991 15500 1890 3750 780 21920
1992 14020 1520 3550 780 20450
1993 13550 1360 3323 799 19013
1994 12700 910 3480 785 17870
1995 11850 1100 3550 795 17280
1996 10500 1436 2120 791 15836
1997 10300 1006 2660 784 14746
1998 9300 1400 2550 776 14030
1999 10500 881 2794 780 14955
2000 11250 1117 2540 780 15687
2001 11550 1250 2650 780 16230
2002 10950 1253 2655 780 15640
2003 11150 1219 2930 780 16079
2004 11400 1230 3125 780 16535
'90-'04 -2.6 -5.0 -1.3 -2.6 -2.6
'04/'90 68.8 48.8 83.4 69.6 69.0
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B. Primary Energy SupplyB. Primary Energy Supply11
When TPES in 1990 is 1.0 oil decreased to 0.69, coal decreased to 0.688
1990 = 1.0 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Primary Total 1.000 0.721 0.655 0.677 0.653 0.671 0.690