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Developing Low Carbon Society (LCS)Low Carbon Society (LCS)
ScenariosIskandar Malaysia –Iskandar Malaysia -
1. If we cannot go to LCS,…2. LCS offers higher QOL with
less energy demand and lower carbon energy supplylower-carbon
energy supply
3. LCS needs good design, early action, and innovations
Designed by Hajime Sakai
early action, and innovations
Junichi FUJINO On behalf of AIM teamNIES (National Institute for
Environmental Studies), Japan
1
Side Event “FINANCING, PARTNERSHIP & NETWORKING STRATEGIES for ACTION‐ORIENTED RESEARCH & CAPACITY BUILDING: WHAT DOES/DOESN’T WORK? “
Japan Pavilion in Warsaw, Nov 13, 2013
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AIM (Asia‐Pacific Integrated Model) since 1990
•
AIM (Asia‐Pacific Integrated Model) is an integrated assessment model to assess
mitigation options
toassess mitigation options to reduce GHG emissions and impact/adaptation to avoid impact/adaptation
to avoidsevere climate change damages.
2
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Overall research procedure of our LC development approach•
Area
Qualification of Socio‐
Setting framework• Base year• Target year• Covered
sectors
• Demography• Lifestyle• Economy
Quantification of Socio‐d
Qua cat o o Soc oeconomic Vision• Actors/Players
• LCS target
Economy• Transport• Building• Resource
T d t k
economic Visions and GHG emission
efficiency
• Energy strategy• Power supply
Quantifications of parameters:• Population• Final demand
Try and error to keep
consistency and unity among Socio‐
Economic policies and LCD targets
• Final demand • Transport parameters• Energy service
demand generationEvaluation of Scenarios / measures:
Analysis of Alternative LCD scenarios and
LCD targets• Energy device share• Power supply
assumptions
measures:• Transportation system• Energy service demand
generation• Energy device share
measuresEnergy device share
• Power supply options• Renewable energy• Carbon sink• etc
Design LCD Actions d R d f
3
etc.and Roadmaps from the analysis
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How to reach to Low Carbon Society in Asia
?
ta
High C b High Carbon
Climate catastrophe:
per capit Carbon
Locked in Society
High Carbon Locked‐in type Development
catastrophe:Significant Damage to E
d
missions p
Low Carbon
Leapfrog‐
Economy and Eco‐ System
GHG
em Carbon
Locked in Society Low Carbon
SocietyBackcasting
Development
Development of Asia LCS ScenariosSocietyTime
(1) Depicting narrative scenarios for
LCS(1) Depicting narrative scenarios for LCS(2) Quantifying future LCS visions(3) Developing robust roadmaps by backcasting
Funded by Ministry of Environment, Japan (GERF, S-6) and
NIES
Policy Packages for Asia LCS
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Low‐Carbon Society Scenarios in Asia using AIM
Shi Shi K t JiliJapan Japan
ShigaJapan
ShigaJapan
KyotoJapan
JilinChina
GuangzhouChina India
AhmedabadIndia
BhopalIndia Thailand Indonesia
h
India India
Whatis
NEXT???Iskandar Putrajaya CyberjayaMalaysia
j yMalaysia Malaysia Vietnam Bangladesh
http://2050.nies.go.jp5
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BackgroundCOP 18 Side Event . Doha . 30 November 2012
Voluntary 40%
Iskandar Malaysia: Key Challenges
Issues
40% reduction of CO2emission intensity
byIssues
Rapid urbanization and industrializationHigher energy demand and Co2 emission Decouple
economic growth and emission
intensity by 2020
Decouple economic growth and emissionon fossil fuel
_
Blueprint – 3 main thrusts –
Green economy, community and environment.
Si 2 216 3 k ²
=12 actions Joint collaboration work of UTM, KU,
Size: 2,216.3 km²Population: 1.3 mil. (2005) I 3.0 mil.
(2025)GDP: 35.7 bil. RM (2005) I 141.4 bil. RM (2025)
NIES under SATREPS program
http://2050.nies.go.jp/cop/cop18/SPM_LCS%20Blueprint_Iskandar%20Malaysia.pdf6
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Background of ProjectD l t f L C b S i t S i f A i R
iDevelopment of Low Carbon Society Scenarios for Asian Regions
Research Team: Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM), Kyoto
University (KU), Okayama University (OU),National Institute for
Environmental Studies (NIES)
Joint Coordinating Committee: Iskandar Regional Development
Authority (IRDA), FederalDepartment of Town and Country Planning
(JPBD), Malaysia Green Technology Corporation(MGTC)
Sponsorship: Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) ,
Japan Science and Technology(JST)
Period: 2011 - 2016
Research Output:i. Methodology to create LCS scenarios which is
appropriate for Malaysia is developed.
ii. LCS scenarios are created and utilised for policy
development in IM.
iii. Co-benefit of LCS policies on air pollution and on
recycling-based society is quantified in IM
iv. Organizational arrangement of UTM to conduct trainings on
LCS scenarios for Malaysia andAsian countries is consolidated, and
a network for LCS in Asia is established
IM LCS Actions, 10 July 2012 at IRDA, Danga
Bay, Johor Bahru7
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Potential Mitigation Options for Iskandar
MalaysiaCOP 18 Side Event . Doha . 30 November 2012
Green Economy, Green Community and Green Environment
Green Economy 59%
Green Community21%21%
Green Environment20%
8
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Development of Low Carbon Society Scenarios for Asian RegionsLCS
Actions for IM by Three Main Themes
Action Names Themes
1 Integrated Green Transportation
Development of Low Carbon Society Scenarios for Asian
Regions
1 Integrated Green Transportation
GREENGREEN ECONOMYECONOMY
2 Green Industry
3 Low Carbon Urban Governance GREENGREEN ECONOMYECONOMY3 Low
Carbon Urban Governance
4 Green Building & Construction
5 Green Energy System & Renewable Energy5 Green Energy
System & Renewable Energy
6 Low Carbon LifestyleGREEN COMMUNITYGREEN COMMUNITY
7 Community Engagement & Consensus Buildingy g g g
8 Walkable, Safe, Livable City Design
9 Smart GrowthGREEN ENVIRONMENTGREEN ENVIRONMENT10 Green and
Blue Infrastructure & Rural Resources
11 Sustainable Waste Management
12 Green and Clean Environment9
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Development of Low Carbon Society Scenarios for Asian RegionsLCS
Actions for IM – Work Breakdown Structure
Work Breakdown Structure of 12 LCS Actions
Development of Low Carbon Society Scenarios for Asian
Regions
Action1.0 Key Policy Actions needed to achieve the final goal of
the project (targeted 50% cut in carbon emission intensity by 2025
based on 2005 levels)Action1.1 Sub-actions needed to produce policy
outcomes that jointly lead to the achievement of a
Sub-actions
key Policy Action
1.1.1 Measures that are more detailed breakdown Sub-actions1.1.1
Measures that are more detailed breakdown and interpretation of
Sub-actions into strategies with a clearer implementation
dimension
M
1.1.1.1 Programs – Specific activities, deliverables, from which
resource requirements, budget,implementation agencies and duration
may be identified/estimatedMeasuresidentified/estimated
10
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LCS Actions for IM – WBS Diagram by Action(WBS: Work Breakdown
Structure)
Action 1: Integrated Green Transportation
( )
1.1Integrated
Public Transportation
1.2Improving JB-Singapore, JB-KL Connectivity
1.3Diffusion of Low
Carbon Passenger Vehicles
1.4Enhancing Traffic Flow Conditions &
Performance
1.5Green
Transportation in Rural Areas
1.6GreenFreight
TransportationTransportation KL Connectivity Vehicles
Performance in Rural Areas Transportation
1.1.1Public transport
system improvement
1.1.2Introducing
rail- & water-based public
t t
1.1.3Efficient & seamless
intermodal t f f iliti
1.2.1Intercity high-
speed rail transit (HSRT)
1.3.1Promote use of
low carbon vehicles
1.4.1Transportation
Demand Management (TDM)
1.5.1Improve public
transport services & use in
l
1.6.1Modal shift to
greener freight transport
d
1.6.2Promote
green/hybrid freight transportimprovement transport transfer
facilities ( ) Management (TDM) rural areas modes freight
transport
1. Route network expansion planning (improve network
1. Route network planning2. Connectivity
1. Integrated ticketing system (across all platforms)2 bli
1. Integrate Singapore MRT (SMRT) system with IskandarMalaysia
Light
1. Government agencies to use hybrid vehicles2. Tax reduction f
h b id hi l
1. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS)2. Enhancing traffic i
l
1. Provide hybrid bus services from rural areas to urban areas2.
Provide school
1. Modal shift from road-based to rail-based freight
transport
1. Tax incentives for freight operators in acquisition of hybrid
freight (improve network
coverage and connectivity)2.Increase bus frequency, improve
punctuality and reliability
. Co ec y & integration with existing public transport
modes
2. Public transport interchanges as destinations & urban
activity nodes3. Park and ride facilities in
y gRail Transit (IMLRT) & bus systems2. JB Sentral as
HSRT-SMRT-IMLRT hub
for hybrid vehicle purchase 3. Gradual phasing out of diesel
engine buses4. Subsidy for
h f
signal performance 3. Enhance the use of Variable Message Sign
(VMS) 4. Tidal flow and
t fl l
2. Provide school bus services for students in rural areas3.
Subsidise rural area hybrid bus services
2. Modal shift to ship-freight transport
hybrid freight vehicles
3. Real time arrival information4. Bus priority measures5.
Public transport reimaging 6 Fl t t ti k t
facilities in suburban transit nodes
purchase of hybrid buses
contra-flow along primary radial routes 5. Increase parking
charges
6. Flat rate tickets and central area free shuttle services7.
Web based journey planner 11
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Potential Mitigation Options for Iskandar
Malaysia12 Actions Towards Low Carbon Future
COP 18 Side Event . Doha . 30 November 2012
12 Actions Towards Low Carbon FutureMitigation Options
CO2
Reduction%
G E 7 401 59%Green Economy 7,401
59% Action 1 Integrated Green Transportation
1,916 15% Action 2 Green Industry
1,085 9% Action 3 Low Carbon Urban
Governance**Action 3 Low Carbon Urban Governance**
‐
‐Action 4 Green Building and Construction
1,338
11% Action 5 Green Energy System and Renewable Energy
3,061 24%
Green Community 2,557 21%Green Community 2,557
21% Action 6 Low Carbon Lifestyle
2,557
21% Action 7 Community Engagement and Consensus Building**
‐ ‐
Green Environment 2 510 20%Green Environment
2,510
20% Action 8 Walkable, Safe and Livable
City Design 264
2% Action 9 Smart Urban Growth
1,214
10% Action 10 Green and Blue Infrastructure and Rural Resources
620
5% Action 11 Sustainable Waste Management
412
3% Action 12 Clean Air Environment**
‐ ‐
Total 12,467**
100% *Contribution to GHG emission reduction from 2025BaU to 2025CM ** Action 3, 7 and 12 does not have direct emission reduction,
but their effect is included in other Actions. *** Since contribution of Action 10 includes carbon sink by forest conservation and urban tree planting, the total of contribution of the 12 Actions is greater than difference of the GHG emissions between 2025BaU and 2025CM
in Figure 2 and Table2.
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Launching of the LCSBPIM Launching of the LCSBPIM ––
COP18 Doha 2012COP18 Doha 2012
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Launching of Low Carbon Society Blueprint at CO18After the Low Carbon Society Blueprint –
What’s Next?
The Low Carbon Society Blueprint for Iskandar Malaysia 2025,
officially launched by the Prime( )Minister of Malaysia and adopted
by the Iskandar Regional Development Authority (IRDA) in 2012,
sets a target for 58% carbon intensity reduction in 2025 as
compared to the 2005 level andrecommends a total of 283 strategic
policies towards minimising carbon emissions in IskandarMalaysia
(IM).Malaysia (IM).
Taking the blueprint into the implementation phase poses several
questions:
Which policies should come first?Which policies should come
first?How long should the implementation period be?When should
these policies be implemented?Who are the potential implementation
agencies involved with these policies?
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IntroductionA Roadmap towards Low Carbon Iskandar
Malaysia 2025
Low Carbon City 2025: Sustainable Iskandar
MalaysiaLow Carbon City 2025: Sustainable Iskandar
Malaysia
Low Carbon Society Blueprint for Iskandar
Malaysia 2025
IRDA’s Implementation Plan 2013‐2015
Thi d h b f l d l d h bl i
A Roadmap towards Low Carbon Iskandar
Malaysia 2025
This roadmap has been formulated to serve as a complementary
document to the blueprint.It provides a pathway to guide the
implementation of policy actions proposed in the blueprintby
outlining implementation programmesaccording to the given priority
timeline and related implementation agencies including the
10according to the given priority, timeline and related
implementation agencies, including the 10implementation plans that
IRDA has identified for 2013‐2015 period.
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01 IntroductionLCS Blueprint , IRDA’s Implementation Plan and LCS Roadmap
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Low Carbon Society Blueprint for Iskandar Low Carbon Society Blueprint for Iskandar Malaysia:Malaysia:
Actions for a Low Carbon FutureActions for a Low Carbon
FutureMalaysia: Malaysia: Actions for a Low Carbon FutureActions for a Low Carbon Future
11 Integrated Green TransportationIntegrated Green
Transportation –– Mobile ManagementMobile Management1.1.
Integrated Green Transportation Integrated Green Transportation ––
Mobile Management Mobile Management SystemSystem
2.2. Green Economy GuidelinesGreen Economy Guidelines2.2.
Green Economy GuidelinesGreen Economy Guidelines3.3.
EcoEco‐‐Life Challenge Project for SchoolsLife Challenge Project for Schools4.4.
Portal on Green TechnologyPortal on Green Technologygygy5.5.
Trees for Urban Parks/ForestsTrees for Urban Parks/Forests6.6.
Responsible Tourism and Biodiversity Conservation Responsible Tourism and Biodiversity Conservation 7.7.
Bukit Bukit BatuBatu EcoEco‐‐CommunityCommunity8.8.
GAIA GAIA ––
Green Accord Initiative AwardGreen Accord Initiative Award9.9.
Low Carbon Village FELDA Taib Low Carbon Village FELDA Taib AndakAndak10.10.Special Feature: Smart City Special Feature: Smart City ––
Pasir Gudang ‘NAFAS BARU’: Pasir Gudang ‘NAFAS BARU’:
CLEAN AND HEALTHY CITYCLEAN AND HEALTHY
CITYCLEAN AND HEALTHY CITYCLEAN AND HEALTHY CITY
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our side eventsour side events…N 13th (W d) 15 00 16
30 t J P iliNov 13th
(Wed) 15:00‐16:30 at Japan Pavilion“Pathways toward low carbon societies in Asia by 2050 and
contribution of Japan to their
realization”and contribution of Japan
to their realization
Nov 15th (Fri) 11:30‐13:00 at RoomWroclawNov 15
(Fri) 11:30
13:00 at Room Wroclaw“Roadmap and Actions toward Low Carbon Societies in Malaysia and throughout Asia”
Nov 18th
(Mon) 9:00‐10:00 at Japan Pavilion“Low Carbon Implementation in Asia –
Launching Iskandar
Malaysia Low Carbon Implementation Plan”