Designing An Information Commons for Sustainability Science: Lessons Learned from a World Data Center Marc Levy CIESIN Earth Institute, Columbia University Presentation to International Workshop on Designing Global Information Commons for Innovation in Frontier Sciences 8-10 November 2007 Tokyo, Japan World Data Center for Human Interactions in the Environment
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Designing An Information Commons for Sustainability Science: Lessons Learned from a World Data Center
Marc LevyCIESIN
Earth Institute, Columbia University
Presentation to International Workshop on Designing Global Information Commons for Innovation in Frontier Sciences
8-10 November 2007Tokyo, Japan
World Data Center for Human Interactions in the Environment
Evolution of the Data Provider Model
Researcher
Researcher
Repository
Public
ResearcherResearcher
Public
Researcher
Researcher
Data
Cyberinfrastructure
Research community
Decision-making community
Data Domain Understanding (What do these data mean? Are they suitable for my use?)
Access
Linkage Understanding (How do these data relate to other data?)
DiscoveryReliability and continuity
Catalogs
Documentation, visualization
Integration
On-line databasesStewardship
Interoperability
Standards; georeferencing; time-stamping
Data Domain Understanding (What do these data mean? Are they suitable for my use?)
Access
Linkage Understanding (How do these data relate to other data?)
DiscoveryReliability and continuity
Interoperability
What data communities provide
Dynamics of Human-Environment Interactions
OpportunityEconomic loss
Complex change
Equilibrium
This is our world• Multiple stresses
– Economic– Demographic– Political– Change in land cover– Water scarcity– Soil fertility problems
, , , , g , , j , , , , , ( ) gPoor Livestock Keepers at the Global Level for Research and Development Targeting. Land Use Policy, 20(4): 311-322.
Tobler, W., Deichmann, U., Gottsegen, J., and Maloy, K. (1997) World Population in a Grid of Spherical Quadrilaterals. International Journal of Population Geography, 3: 203-225.
van Lieshout, M., Kovats, R.S., Livermore, M.T.J., and Martens, P. (2004) Climate Change and Malaria: Analysis of the SRES Climate and Socio-Economic Scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 14(1): 87-99.
Vassolo, S. and Döll, P. (2005) Global-scale Gridded Estimates of Thermoelectric Power and Manufacturing Water Use. Water Resources Research, 41.
Verburg, P.H., and Chen, Y. (2000) Multiscale Characterization of Land-Use Patterns in China. Ecosystems, 3(4): 369-385.
Viviroli, D. and Weingartner, R. (2004) The Hydrological Significance of Mountains: from Regional to Global Scale. Hydrology and Earth System Science, 8(6): 1016-1029.
Vorosmarty, C.J., Green, P., Salisbury, J., and Lammers, R.B. (2000) Global Water Resources: Vulnerability From Climate Change Acid Population Growth. Science, 289(5477): 284-288.
Vorosmarty, C.J., and Sahagian, D. (2000) Anthropogenic Disturbance of the Terrestrial Water Cycle. Bioscience, 50(9): 753-765.
White, M.A., Hoffman, F., Hargrove, W.W., and Nemani, R.R. (2005) A Global Framework for Monitoring Phenological Responses to Climate Change. Geophysical Research Letters, 32(L04705): 4pp.
White, M.A., Nemani, R.R., Thornton, P.E., and Running, S.W. (2002) Satellite Evidence of Phenological Differences Between Urbanized and Rural Areas of the Eastern United States Deciduous Broadleaf Forest. Ecosystems, 5(3): 260-273.
Wilson, S.J., Steenhuisen, F., Pacnya, J.M., and Pacnya, E.G. (2006) Mapping the Spatial Distribution of Global
Source: Vörösmarty et al. 2000
• 80% of future stress frompopulation
& development, not climate change!
• Future distortions of thewater cycle are inevitable
• Issue gaining momentum in global policy fora
(e.g. Millennium Assessment, World Water Assessment
Programme, MDGs)
Water Stress Changes to 2025
UNH
Less stressNo changeMore stress
•
Information on data quality is critical to judging goodness of fit
It shouldn’t even be this hard
Helping users make wise choices is a
community-building and community-
strengthening task
Moore’s Law Benefits Data Collection Processes Unequally
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1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
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Census costProcessor cost
Pace of progress across data domains is very uneven.
Greater the divergence, greater the Integration Frustration
CIESIN, Gridded Population of the World, 350,000 census input units
73 M people. Largest urban extent
Exposure to Multiple Natural Hazards
Seismic hazards include earthquakes and volcanoes; hydrological hazards include floods, cyclones, and landslides
Growing Season and DroughtDistribution of non-poor population
Distribution of poor and extremely poor population
Presenter�
Presentation Notes�
This shows drought and growing season together. �
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005
Presenter�
Presentation Notes�
This is some work we did for the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. We calculated average IMR within each of the MA ecosystem boundaries. We also calculated another measure of well-being, the ratio of the share of world population to share of world GDP. The two measures largely agreed. Very clearly the drylands are the most disadvantaged. We further calculated rates of population growth within each ecosystem unit, and noted that the drylands had the highest rate of growth. Some have argued that, in broad historical terms, this is a very unusual circumstance. It is more common for disadvantaged regions to have emigration and advantaged regions to grow fastest. To have fragile ecosystems with low levels of well-being experience the highest population growth is bound to make challenges more difficult in these regions.�
Many more gaps to fill!• Roads • Migration• Time-series spatial data on population,
urbanziation• Spatial economic data• Soil fertility• Spatial health data
Prioritize
Assign roles
Be transparent
Persevere!
Challenge of model data
Input data sets
Harmonized data sets Model
Output data sets
ConclusionsClear ExplanationIncomprehensible
ExplanationTOUGHEST NUT
Interoperability
Standards
Develop, adopt, refine, encourage use of standards for representing and distributing data
Brute Force
Reprocess, reformat, recode data to be consistent with established framework data
Example: Household Surveys
Stewardship
• Almost always under-provided• Everyone underestimates the speed by
which data becomes invisible or unintelligible
• Inter-disciplinary, problem-oriented data especially vulnerable
Data Domain Understanding (What do these data mean? Are they suitable for my use?)
Access
Linkage Understanding (How do these data relate to other data?)
DiscoveryReliability and continuity
Catalogs
Documentation, visualization
Integration
On-line databasesStewardship
Interoperability
Standards; georeferencing; time-stamping
Conclusions• We don’t know how to do everything yet, but we
know a lot more now than a decade ago• The investments show positive economies of
scale– each step forward getting the data questions right
generates more research and policy return than previous steps
• But what remains is going to require sustained, focused effort– There’s a lot of hard stuff yet to do
• Historically, funders don’t like this kind of work– That seems to be changing