Cromwell Property Group 1 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES Cromwell – Prospering in a low growth world London - March 2013
Cromwell Property Group 1 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Cromwell – Prospering
in a low growth world
London - March 2013
Cromwell Property Group 2 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Important Information & Disclaimer
This presentation and its appendices ("Presentation") are dated 20
February 2013 and have been prepared by the Cromwell Property
Group, which comprises Cromwell Corporation Limited (ACN 001 056
980) and Cromwell Diversified Property Trust (ARSN 102 982 598) of
which Cromwell Property Securities Limited (ACN 079 147 809; AFSL
238052) is the responsible entity. Units in the Cromwell Diversified
Property Trust are stapled to shares in Cromwell Corporation Limited.
The stapled securities are listed on the ASX (ASX Code: CMW).
Financial Information
This Presentation contains summary information about Cromwell
Property Group as at 31 December 2012. Statutory financial
information has been reviewed by Cromwell Property Group's auditors.
Operating financial information has not been subjected to audit review.
All information is in Australian dollars and all statistics are as at 31
December 2012 unless otherwise stated. The pro forma historical
financial information included in this Presentation does not purport to be
in compliance with Article 11 of Regulation S-X of the rules and
regulations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Investors
should also be aware that certain financial data included in this
Presentation are "non-IFRS financial information" under ASIC
Regulatory Guide 230 Disclosing non-IFRS financial information
published by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission
("ASIC") and "non-GAAP financial measures" under Regulation G of the
U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These measures include
distributions per Security, gearing, EPS yield, DPS yield, cap rates and
distribution yield. The disclosure of such non-GAAP financial measures
in the manner included in this Presentation would not be permissible in
a registration statement under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 as
amended ("Securities Act"). Cromwell Property Group believes this
non-IFRS financial information provides, and these non-GAAP financial
measures provide, useful information to users in measuring the financial
performance and conditions of Cromwell Property Group. The non-
IFRS financial information and these non-GAAP financial measures do
not have a standardised meaning prescribed by Australian Accounting
Standards and, therefore, may not be comparable to similarly titled
measures presented by other entities, nor should they be construed as
an alterative to other financial measures determined in accordance with
Australian Accounting Standards. Investors are cautioned, therefore,
not to place undue reliance on any non-IFRS financial information or
non-GAAP financial measures and ratios included in this Presentation.
Not an Offer
This Presentation is not an offer or an invitation to acquire securities in
Cromwell Property Group or securities in Cromwell Box Hill Trust,
Cromwell Riverpark Trust, Cromwell Ipswich City Heart Trust and
Cromwell Phoenix Property Securities Fund or any other financial
products and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement or other
offering document under Australian law or any other law. It is for
information purposes only. This Presentation may not be distributed or
released in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute an
offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in the
United States. Securities have not been, and will not be, registered
under the Securities Act or the securities laws of any state or other
jurisdiction of the United States, and may not be offered or sold directly
or indirectly in the United States unless they have been registered
under the Securities Act or are offered and sold in a transaction exempt
from, or not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities
Act and any other applicable US state securities laws.
The contents of this Presentation have not been reviewed or approved
by any regulatory authority in Australia, United States, United Kingdom,
the Netherlands or elsewhere. Cromwell Property Group does not
intend to offer any stapled securities or securities to the public in any
country outside of Australia.
Summary Information
The information in this Presentation is subject to change without notice
and does not purport to be complete or comprehensive. It does not
purport to summarise all information that an investor should consider
when making an investment decision. It should be read in conjunction
with Cromwell Property Group's other periodic and continuous
disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities
Exchange, which are available at www.asx.com.au.
Past Performance
Cromwell Property Group does not guarantee any particular rate of
return or the performance of Cromwell Property Group or any other
financial product nor do they guarantee the repayment of capital from
Cromwell Property Group, any other financial product or any particular
tax treatment. Past performance information given in this Presentation
is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as
(and is not) an indication of future performance. Actual results could
differ materially from those referred to in this Presentation.
Future Performance
This Presentation contains certain "forward looking" statements.
Forward looking statements, opinions and estimates are based on
assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without
notice. Forward-looking statements, including projections, indications or
guidance on future earnings or financial position and estimates are
provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an
indication or guarantee of future performance.
There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ
materially from these statements. To the fullest extent permitted by law,
Cromwell Property Group and its directors, officers, employees,
advisers, agents and intermediaries disclaim any obligation or
undertaking to release any updates or revisions to the information to
reflect any change in expectations or assumptions.
Reliance
The information in this Presentation has been obtained from or based
on sources believed by Cromwell Property Group to be reliable. To the
maximum extent permitted by law, Cromwell Property Group, their
officers, employees, agents and advisors do not make any warranty,
express or implied as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or
completeness of the information in this Presentation and disclaim all
responsibility and liability for the information (including without limitation,
liability for negligence).
Not financial product advice
This Presentation is not financial product advice or a recommendation
to acquire securities. The information in this Presentation does not take
into account your individual objectives, financial situation or needs.
Before making an investment decision, Investors should consider, with
or without a financial or taxation adviser, the relevant information
(including the information in this Presentation) having regard to their
own objectives, financial situation and needs. Investors should also
seek such financial, legal or tax advice as they deem necessary or
consider appropriate for their particular jurisdiction.
Cromwell Corporation Limited is not licensed to provide financial
product advice in respect of Cromwell Property Group securities. To
the extent that general financial product advice in respect of Cromwell
Property Group stapled securities is provided in this Presentation. It is
provided by Cromwell Property Securities Limited. Cromwell Property
Securities Limited and its related bodies corporate, and their associates,
will not receive any remuneration or benefits in connection with that
advice. Directors and employees of Cromwell Property Securities do
not receive specific payments of commission for the authorised services
provided under its Australian financial services licence. They do not
receive salaries and may also be entitled to receive bonuses, depending
upon performance. Cromwell Property Securities Limited is a wholly
owned subsidiary of Cromwell Corporation Limited.
NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Cromwell Property Group 3 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Cromwell Property Group
Cromwell Property Group
Market cap: $1.3 bn1
Security price: $0.921
Gearing: 44.0%2 Operating earnings: 7.50 cps3 Distributions: 7.25 cps3
Investment portfolio4
Portfolio value: $1.9 bn
# Assets: 25 Weighted average cap rate: 8.4% Weighted average lease expiry: 6.0 yrs
Funds management platform Assets under management: $718 m5 Number of Funds: 4 Capital employed: $15 m6
1) As at 20 February 2013
2) Calculated as net debt to total assets less cash, as at 31 December 2012 adjusted for subsequent sale of 101 Grenfell Street, Adelaide and settlement of security purchase plan announced in December 2012
3) FY13 guidance
4) As at 31 December 2012 adjusted for subsequent sale of 101 Grenfell Street, Adelaide
5) Includes value of Ipswich City Heart and Box Hill properties as if complete
6) As at 30 June 2012
Cromwell has evolved organically over 13 years
Listed fund manager recapitalised by existing
management in 1998
REIT structure created through stapling and
merger of unlisted funds in 2006
Focused and clear strategic direction
Conservatively opportunistic investment style
Innovative and considered product creation
Disciplined and diligent operations
Cromwell Property Group 4 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Current Cromwell Property Portfolio
HQ North, QLD
475 Victoria
Avenue, NSW
Exhibition St, VIC Collins St, VIC
Qantas HQ, NSW
Synergy, QLD
Cromwell Property Group 5 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Property portfolio1
Approximately 69% of gross portfolio income growing by an average minimum of 3.8% over FY13
Australian portfolio, with 91.4%2 office
Balanced allocation to Brisbane, Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra
69% of portfolio subject to fixed or minimum rent reviews in FY13
Average minimum increase of 3.8% in FY13
84% of rental income from government3 or listed companies4
Tenant Classification2
1) Statistics as at 31 December 2012 adjusted for sale of 101 Grenfell Street , Adelaide
2) By income
3) Includes Government owned and funded entities
4) Includes subsidiaries of listed companies
Next Review Type
Total
Gross Income Cumulative
Fixed (avg 3.8% FY13) 69.3 % 69.3 %
CPI 22.0 % 91.3 %
Market / Expiring 8.7 % 100.0 %
Geographic Diversification2 Sector Diversification2
25.0%
1.4%
1.6%
28.2% 20.4%
23.4% VIC
TAS
SA
QLD
NSW
ACT
4.1%
91.4%
4.5%
Retail
Commercial
Industrial
39.3%
45.1%
15.6%
Government Authority
ListedCompany/Subsidiary
Private Company
Cromwell Property Group 6 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Clear strategy and investment philosophy
Consistent, focused
strategy
Focus on CBD, CBD fringe and established suburban markets
Maintain defensive portfolio characteristics of strong tenant covenant, long WALE and fixed growth
Active recycling programme to secure returns, improve portfolio quality and fund investment opportunities
Seek acquisitions that offer superior returns (yield and value upside) within a defensive portfolio strategy
Leverage property expertise and distribution base to expand funds management platform, boosting profitability and
growth
Differentiated strategy provides access to a greater opportunity set and potential for outperformance
Complementary
asset acquisitions
Cromwell intends to continue to seek acquisition opportunities which complement its investment strategy and
existing portfolio
Typical acquisition targets must complement existing portfolio:
initial acquisition yield of 8% pa +
total return targets of 12% pa +
focus on markets which Cromwell consider will outperform
Value adding
co-investment and
funds management
opportunities
In line with expansion of the funds management platform, where appropriate, Cromwell will seek to warehouse and
sell down new retail funds generating targeted 20-35% IRR’s on Cromwell’s committed equity
On a case by case basis, Cromwell will consider co-investment opportunities with key wholesale partners to
increase overall income and generate additional fund and property management fee revenue
Cromwell Property Group 7 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Disciplined capital management strategy
Debt diversified amongst five lenders and seven facilities
Structure provides most cost effective form of funding and is well suited to nature of portfolio
Long term quality cashflow enables gearing of 40-50% to be carried comfortably
All four major Australian banks participating
Weighted average debt maturity of 2 years with no material maturities until May 2014
Gearing to moderate over the medium term through the cycle
Aim to maintain gearing around 45% over FY13
Growth in asset base due to yield compression across investment portfolio expected to reduce gearing
FY13 payout ratio of 96% appropriate given long WALE and nature of underlying portfolio
Limited maintenance capital and lease costs required
Recent equity raisings provide capacity for growth
Institutional placement of $143m in December 2012 materially oversubscribed
Security purchase plan for retail securityholders raised $39m after scale-back
Capital will also be realised through recycling of non core assets
Provides significant funds for future acquisition and funds management initiatives
Cromwell Property Group 8 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Consistent outperformance vs. market
Cromwell has consistently outperformed the S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT Accumulation Index since stapling in 2006
Outperformance of 6.6%, 14.8% and 37.0% per annum over 3, 5 and 10 years respectively
Direct property performance in top quartile of managers rated by IPD since inception in 1999
Cromwell Performance to December 2012 (Annualised Total Securityholder Return)1
11.7%
7.6%
11.3%
9.8%
5.1%
9.7%
1.9% 2.5% 1.6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Cromwell PropertyGroup
IPD Australian AllFund Universe
Excess Returns
Direct Property Returns (to 31 December 2012 Annualised)
15.7%
6.1%
39.4%
9.1%
-8.7%
2.4% 6.6%
14.8%
37.0%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
3 year 5 year 10 year
CMW Return
S&P / ASX 300 A-REITAccumulation Index
Excess Performance
Source: IRESS Source: IPD
1) Includes distributions and change in price, annualised amount
Cromwell Property Group 9 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Superior yields to peer group
Cromwell offers superior yields and growth compared to its peer group
100bps premium to average FY13 EPS yield of peer group
180bps premium to average FY13 DPS yield of peer group
Focus on long-term leases and quality tenants represents best risk-adjusted return on equity in current environment
Funds management earnings can grow with minimal committed equity
FY13 EPS yield1 FY13 DPS yield1
BWP: BWP Trust; CPA: Commonwealth Property Office Fund; CQR: Charter Hall Retail REIT; DXS: Dexus Property Group; IOF: Investa Office Fund; SCP: SCA Property Group
1) Cromwell EPS and DPS yields are FY13 EPS and FY13 DPS as at 20 February 2013 (closing price of $0.92)
Source: Broker earnings and distributions consensus estimates; company filings. Pricing as at 20 February 2013
5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.5%
7.0% 7.9%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
DXS CPA IOF BWP SCP CQR CMW
Peer average 6.1%
180bps premium
6.1%
7.1% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
BWP IOF DXS SCP CPA CQR CMW
Peer average 7.2%
100bps premium
Cromwell Property Group 10 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Australian property sector poised for capital growth
Continuing strong investor preference for high quality long term
yield
Australian bond yields and interest rates close to historic lows,
but still one of the highest of the developed economies
Low interest rate environment offering significant yield arbitrage
vs. property and A-REIT yields
Increased investor focus expected to force up pricing and lead to
overall cap rate compression
Significant opportunity for capital upside as property yields expected to tighten
Property yield vs. 10 year bond rate
Source: IRESS; BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Office cap rate (7.7%) 10-year bond (3.5%)
Cromwell cap rate (8.4%)
Cromwell Property Group 11 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Office assets seeing increased buyer demand
Investor focus on high quality yield now impacting on overall
demand for office assets
minimal supply in most markets which is expected to
drive significant rental appreciation over 2 – 5 years
Retail property remains subject to weak consumer spending
pressure on rents not abating and traditional retailers
continuing to face challenges of lower spending growth
and increased online sales
Industrial in demand, but limited scope for a further reduction in
yields
Residential still a challenging sector, particularly in Victoria
where significant supply is available in coming years
Rolling capital return indicies to December 2012
Cromwell is well placed to benefit from an upturn in commercial property values
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Dec
-85
Dec
-87
Dec
-89
Dec
-91
Dec
-93
Dec
-95
Dec
-97
Dec
-99
Dec
-01
Dec
-03
Dec
-05
Dec
-07
Dec
-09
Dec
-11
All Property Retail Office Industrial
Source: IPD Research
Cromwell Property Group 12 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Funds Management
Fund Sector Investors Total Assets
Number of
Properties Ongoing Fees Initial Fees
Cromwell Box Hill Trust Direct property Retail $117m1
1 0.60% 3.0%
Cromwell Riverpark Trust Direct property Retail $197m 1 0.60% 3.0%
Cromwell Ipswich City Heart Trust Direct property Retail $93m1 1 0.60% 3.0%
Cromwell Phoenix Property Securities Fund Listed property Retail $47m N/A 0.82% N/A
Phoenix Mandates Listed property Wholesale $264m N/A Variable N/A
Total $718m
Funds Management Summary
1) Forecast completion value
Focus on retail distribution
Over 12,000 Cromwell securityholders, many of
whom invested in our products originally and
continue to do so
Over 20,000 prequalified potential retail investors
Over 4,000 are current fund investors
Initiatives in place to add 5,000 plus new
prequalified investors in next 12 months
Larger dealer groups and financial advisors
Focusing on boutique advisors, many of whom
are long term supporters
Larger groups are showing interest in direct
property again
Can bring significant volume once they commit to
the sector
Need a combination of product approval and
platform inclusion to maximise inflows
Wholesale clients
Investigating opportunities on a case by case
basis
Likely to be targeting for core plus property assets
Cromwell Property Group 13 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Why target retail investors?
Significant cash on the sidelines
Over 496,000 self managed super (pension) funds (Dec 12) with
$136 billion in cash and term deposits
Majority of new inflows to super and retail investment platforms is
being retained in cash
Bank funding from customer deposits has risen significantly since
2008
Investors are at an inflection point
Cash returns have reduced significantly over past 18 months
Have seen a significant increase in investment inflows and
enquiries
Product quality and structure remains key to securing retail
demand
Cromwell has limited competitors with scale in the market
Most new entrants are smaller scale or targeting wholesale funds
Box Hill Trust Key Statistics1
1) For further details on the Box Hill Trust, see the PDS dated 18 December
2012.
2) Initial yield, expected to increase to 8.00% post practical completion
3) Payable as the equity is raised (2.5%) and the building is constructed (0.5%)
4) Payable from the date of practical completion.
Box Hill Trust Fee Structure
Fund
Syndicate equity to be raised $67m
Gearing 48%
Initial Distribution 7.75%2
Fee Type Amount
Acquisition & project management $3.5m (3%)3
Ongoing funds management (annual) $0.7m (0.6%) 4
Property asset management (annual) $0.25m (0.15%)4
Performance Fee
20% of excess above
10% IRR, payable on
sale and any
extension of the term
Cromwell Property Group 14 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Future growth drivers
Average fixed property rental growth of 3.8% for FY13
Underpins property income in current soft market
Growth in earnings from increased activity in funds management business
Property yield premium to bond / cash yields close to historical highs
Strong appetite for yield with low volatility amongst retail investors
Demand for current Box Hill equity raising exceeding Ipswich City Heart Trust
Actively sourcing product for next unlisted fund launch
Earnings upside potential from lower base interest rates
Current average cost of debt of 6.4% based on existing hedged rates
Cost of new debt approximately 5.25%
Majority of hedges expire over the next 3 years, leading to potential lowering of interest costs over this period
In addition to these organic factors, growth potential through accretive opportunistic acquisitions
Capital available through recent equity raisings and continued recycling of non-core assets
Will maintain a disciplined approach to new acquisitions
Seeking to deploy further funds during 2013
Cromwell is able to benefit from a number of organic growth factors
Cromwell Property Group 15 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Near term outlook
Continued focus on maximising cash flow to securityholders
Operating earnings expected to be at least 7.5 cps in FY13, 8.2% yield1
Distributions expected to be 7.25 cps in FY13, 7.9% yield1
Simple balance sheet and minimal development exposure
Enables payout ratio of 90% plus
Targeting growth in NTA and operating earnings per security
Minimum rental increases will underpin property earnings
Will benefit significantly from improving valuations if yield compression occurs
Will continue disciplined approach to transactions
Continued sale of assets with low growth potential
Targeting improvement in debt profile over next 1-2 years
Exploring cost effective alternatives to extend debt expiry profile
Targeting index inclusion in S&P / ASX 200 and 300 over time
Currently ranked 123th largest entity by free float market cap2
Cromwell believes liquidity has built to levels which enable qualification for S&P/ASX 300
1) Based on closing price of $0.92 on 20 February 2013
2) Bloomberg, 20 February 2013
Cromwell Property Group 16 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR RELEASE IN THE UNITED STATES
Daryl Wilson
CFO
Ph: +61 402 046 883
Discover what we’re about www.cromwell.com.au/in-a-nutshell
Presented by:
Paul Weightman
CEO / Managing Director
Ph: +61 411 111 028