Copyright © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Copyright © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved Reserved CHAPTER 4 Strategic Capacity Management
Dec 15, 2015
Copyright © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Copyright © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights ReservedRights Reserved
CHAPTER 4Strategic Capacity Management
Learning Objectives
1. Recognize the concept of capacity and how important it is to “manage” capacity.
2. Explain the impact of economies of scale on the capacity of a firm.
3. Understand Decision Making considerations when choosing a technique
4. Understand how to use decision trees to analyze alternatives when faced with the problem of adding capacity.
Capacity Management in Operations• Capacity can be defined as the ability to hold, receive,
store, or accommodate
• Strategic capacity planning is an approach for determining the overall capacity level of capital intensive resources, including facilities, equipment, and overall labor force size
Economies and Diseconomies of Scale
• Economies of scale: as a business gets larger, the average cost per unit drops• Lower operating and capital costs• Per unit cost of equipment drops• More specialization of labor
• At some point, the business becomes too large• Diseconomies of scale becomes a problem
LO 2LO 2
Other Factors That Affect Business Size• Internal equipment• Labor• Capital expenditures• Transportation costs• Advantages of being close to markets
LO 2LO 2
Planning Service Capacity• Time: goods can not be stored for later use and capacity
must be available to provide a service when it is needed • Location: service goods must be at the customer demand
point and capacity must be located near the customer• Volatility of demand: much greater than in
manufacturing
LO 4LO 4
Capacity Utilization and Service Quality
• Must consider the day-to-day relationship between service utilization and service quality
• Optimal utilization rate is very context specific• Low rates are appropriate when both the degree of
uncertainty and stakes are high• Relatively predictable services or service facilities
without customer contact can operate much nearer 100 percent utilization
LO 4LO 4
How Much Certainty exists?
Complete Risk
• Break-even decision theory• Calculus AOV• Linear Prog Queuing Theory• Integer Prog. Decision Trees• Goal Prog. Simulation• PERT and CPM
Extreme
• Game theory• Coin Flip
Six-Step Problem-Solving Process
• Step 1: Identify and Select the problem• Step 2: Analyze the problem• Step 3: Generate Potential Solutions• Step 4: Select and Plan the Solution• Step 5: Implement the Solution• Step 6: Evaluate the Solution
Using Decision Trees to Evaluate Capacity Alternatives• Decision tree: a schematic model of the sequence of
steps in a problem and the conditions and consequences of each step
• Decision tree helps understand problem and helps find solution
• Decision trees are composed of decision nodes with branches• Squares represent decision points• Circles represent chance events
LO 3LO 3
Decision Trees
= Event node= Event node
= Decision node= Decision node
EEii = Event = Event ii
PP((EEii) = Probability of event ) = Probability of event ii
1st1stdecisiondecision
PossiblePossible2nd decision2nd decision
Payoff 1Payoff 1
Payoff 2Payoff 2
Payoff 3Payoff 3
Alternative 3Alternative 3
Alternative 4Alternative 4
Alternative 5Alternative 5
Payoff 1Payoff 1
Payoff 2Payoff 2
Payoff 3Payoff 3
EE11 [ [PP((EE11)])]
EE22 [ [PP((EE22)])]
EE33 [ [PP((EE33)])]
EE22 [ [PP((EE22)])]
EE33 [ [PP((EE33)])]
EE 11 [ [PP
((EE 11)])]
Altern
ativ
e 1
Altern
ativ
e 1
Alternative 2
Alternative 2
Payoff 1Payoff 1
Payoff 2Payoff 2
11 22
Decision Trees
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
11
22
Decision Trees
Low dem
and
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
Decision Trees
Low dem
and
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
Decision Trees
Low dem
and
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
0.3(20) + 0.7(220)0.3(20) + 0.7(220)
Decision Trees
$160$160Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
0.3(20) + 0.7(220)0.3(20) + 0.7(220)
Decision Trees
$160$160Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
$160$160
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
$270$270
Decision Trees
($160)($160)Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
$270$270
$160$160
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
Decision Trees
($160)($160)Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
$270$270
$160$160
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
0.4(200) + 0.6(270)0.4(200) + 0.6(270)
0.4(160) + 0.6(800)0.4(160) + 0.6(800)
Decision Trees
($160)($160)Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
$270$270
$160$160
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
$242$242
$544$544
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
0.4(200) + 0.6(270)0.4(200) + 0.6(270)
0.4(160) + 0.6(800)0.4(160) + 0.6(800)
Decision Trees
$160$160Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
$270$270
$160$160
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
$544$544
$242$242
$544$544
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33
Decision Trees
$160$160Low d
emand
Low dem
and
[0.4]
[0.4]
$270$270
$160$160
Smal
l fac
ility
Smal
l fac
ility
Large facility
Large facility
$544$544
$242$242
$544$544
Low demand [0.4]Low demand [0.4]
Don’t expandDon’t expand
ExpandExpand
Do nothingDo nothing
AdvertiseAdvertise
$200$200
$223$223
$270$270
$40$40
$800$800
Modest response [0.3]Modest response [0.3]
Sizable response [0.7]Sizable response [0.7]
$20$20
$220$220
High demand
High demand
[0.6][0.6]
High demand [0.6]High demand [0.6]
11
22
33