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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement
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Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Dec 31, 2015

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Page 1: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 2

Measurement

Page 2: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-2

Chapter 2 Topics

• Measuring GDP

• Nominal and real GDP and price indices

• Labor market measurement

Page 3: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-3

GDP

• The dollar value of final outputs produced during a given period of time within the borders of a country.

• Example: published in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) in U.S.

Page 4: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-4

Measuring GDP: The National Income and Product Accounts

• GDP Measured Using: (i) the product approach; (ii) the expenditure approach; (iii) the income approach.

• Three approaches yield the same value of GDP.

Page 5: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-5

National Income Accounting Example

• Fictional Island Economy

• Coconut Producer, Restaurant, Consumers, Government

Page 6: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-6

Table 2.1 Coconut Producer

Page 7: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Table 2.2 Restaurant

Page 8: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-8

Table 2.3 After-Tax Profits

Page 9: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-9

Table 2.4 Government

Page 10: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-10

Table 2.5 Consumers

Page 11: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-11

Measuring GDP Using the Product (Value-added) Approach

• Sum of value added to goods and service in production across all productive units in economy.

• Add the value of all goods and service, and subtract the value of all intermediate goods and service used in production.

Page 12: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Table 2.6 GDP Using the Product Approach

Page 13: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-13

Expenditure Approach

• Total spending on all final goods and service in economy.

• Total expenditure = C + I + G + NX

I: expenditure on goods that are produced, but not consumed as consumption goods. For example, machinery in plants.

NX=Exports – Imports. Exports are produced within a country, while imports are produced abroad.

Page 14: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-14

Table 2.7 GDP Using the Expenditure Approach

Page 15: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-15

Income Approach

• Add up all incomes received by all economic agents contributing to production in an economy.

• Income includes:– Wage incomes– Interest incomes– Corporate incomes (profits)– Taxes net of subsidies on products or factors of

production

Page 16: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-16

Table 2.8 GDP Using the Income Approach

Page 17: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-17

Inventory Investment

• Def: goods produced in the current period, but not consumed.

• Components:– Finished goods– Goods in process– Raw materials.

Page 18: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-18

Inventory Investment

• Back to coconut economy:– If harvest 13M instead of 10M coconuts, and put 3M

in warehouse as inventory, how is GDP affected?– Product approach: 3M*2 – value added in coconut

production.– Expenditure approach: I = 3M*2– Income approach: 3M*2 - after-tax profits received

by coconut producers increase since assets rise.

Page 19: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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GNP (gross national product)

• The value of outputs produced by domestic factors of production, no matter whether or not the production takes place within a country.

• Difference from GDP:– Within a country for GDP, no matter who owns the

production unit.– Chinese plants in the U.S. (GNP, not GDP)– American plants in China (not GNP, GDP)

Page 20: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 2-20

Nominal and Real GDP and Price Indices

• Price index: price of a set of goods and service produced in an economy over a period of time. A general measure of price level.

• Inflation rate: the rate of change in the price level.

• Growth in nominal GDP = Growth in real GDP + Inflation

Page 21: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Table 2.10 Data for Real GDP Example

Page 22: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Chain-Weighting Approach

• Use rolling base year.

• g3= sqrt ( (1+g1)(1+g2) ) - 1

– A geometric average of the growth rates calculated by using year 1 and year 2 as base year.

Page 23: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Figure 2.1 Nominal GDP (black line) and Chain-Weighted Real GDP (colored line) for the Period 1947–2006

Page 24: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Table 2.11 Implicit GDP Price Deflators, Example

Page 25: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Figure 2.2 Inflation Rate Calculated from the CPI (blue line), and Calculated from the Implicit GDP Price Deflator (black line)

Page 26: Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Measurement.

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Figure 2.3 The Price Level as Measured by the CPI and Implicit GDP Price Deflator, 1947–2006