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Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum Beyond The Streamflow Forecast What is affecting short term forecasts Tracking conditions within the River Basin Seasonal discussions / Seasonal trends Providing the most pertinent information Future Improvements (keeping it simple yet informative) CBRFC Web Page Navigati on
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Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Feb 22, 2016

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Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum. Beyond The Streamflow Forecast. What is affecting short term forecasts Tracking conditions within the River Basin Seasonal discussions / Seasonal trends Providing the most pertinent information - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Colorado Basin River Forecast CenterStakeholder Forum

Beyond The Streamflow Forecast

What is affecting short term forecasts

Tracking conditions within the River Basin

Seasonal discussions / Seasonal trends

Providing the most pertinent information

Future Improvements (keeping it simple yet informative)

CBRFC Web Page Navigation

Page 2: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 3: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 4: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 5: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Future Rise – Precipitation ? Temperature ? Upstream Regulation ?

Page 6: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 7: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 8: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 9: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Colorado Basin River Forecast CenterStakeholder Forum

Beyond The Streamflow Forecast

Tracking conditions within the River Basin

Precipitation (recent, monthly, seasonal)

Snow conditions (points, basins, comparison abilities)

Soil Moisture (Impacts to forecasts & runoff)

Page 10: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 11: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Recent Weather

Page 12: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 13: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 14: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 15: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

As of 2/21/2014

Page 16: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 17: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 18: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Basin Info: Snow ProductsFebruary 5th Snow

Snow Groups

Page 19: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Basin Info: Snow ProductsFebruary 5th Snow

closest pattern to current year

maximum years

Comparison Ability

Page 20: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

: Snow ProductsMake sure you are comparing apples to apples

Page 21: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Interface exists to create snow groups

Check existing groups first

Page 22: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 23: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Model Soil Moisture

Page 24: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Recent Precipitation / Increase in Snowpack

Tracking basin conditions to explain model trends

Soil Moisture(base flow)

Changing Snowpack

Page 25: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Colorado Basin River Forecast CenterStakeholder Forum

Beyond The Streamflow Forecast

Seasonal Discussions / Seasonal Trends

Provide water supply forecast discussionsUpdate more frequently than once/monthStarted pushing these out via email subscription

Graphics to summarize basin conditions / trends

Page 26: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum
Page 27: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Dramatic change in conditions the first 2 weeks of February 2014

Providing updated discussions and daily ESP guidance are ways to keep up on changes between official forecast updates

Page 28: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Graphics to help describe the situation

Page 29: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Colorado Basin River Forecast CenterStakeholder Forum

Beyond The Streamflow Forecast

What is the most pertinent information and how can we best provide it ?

How do we keep it simple to access yet informative ?

How useful is the information we currently provide ?

Page 30: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

January 2014 Precipitation – contributing areasareas

Refocus on what is important: Areas that are primary contributors to seasonal runoff

Page 31: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

February 1st Water Supply Forecasts

Spatial displays in addition to plots and lists

Page 32: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

San Juan Basin Snow

Snow – As our model sees it

San Juan Basin

Page 33: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Access Information by River Basin of Interest

Obtain Information by River Basin

Page 34: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Colorado Basin River Forecast CenterStakeholder Forum

NOAA’s National Weather Service

Simple Text Format – Pushed Via Email

Page 35: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center Stakeholder Forum

Colorado Basin River Forecast CenterStakeholder Forum

Beyond The Streamflow Forecast

What is the most pertinent information and how can we best provide it ?

How do we keep it simple to access yet informative ?

How useful is the information we currently provide ?