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Chap008tn SPC

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    1

    Technical Note 8

    Process Capability and

    Statistical Quality Control

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    2

    Process Variation

    Process Capability

    Process Control Procedures

    Variable data

    Attribute data

    Acceptance Sampling

    Operating Characteristic Curve

    OBJECTIVES

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    3

    Basic Forms of VariationAssignable variation

    is caused byfactors that can beclearly identified

    and possiblymanaged

    Common variationisinherent in theproduction process

    Example: A poorly trained

    employee that creates

    variation in finished

    product output.

    Example: A moldingprocess that always leaves

    burrs or flaws on a

    molded item.

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    4Taguchis View of Variation

    Incremental

    Cost of

    Variability

    High

    Zero

    Lower

    Spec

    Target

    Spec

    Upper

    Spec

    Traditional View

    Incremental

    Cost of

    Variability

    High

    Zero

    Lower

    Spec

    Target

    Spec

    Upper

    Spec

    Taguchis View

    Exhibits

    TN8.1 &

    TN8.2

    Traditional view is that quality within the LS and US is good

    and that the cost of quality outside this range is constant, where

    Taguchi views costs as increasing as variability increases, so seek

    to achieve zero defects and that will truly minimize quality costs.

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    5Process CapabilityProcess limits

    Specification limits

    How do the limits relate to one another?

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    6

    Process Capability Index, Cpk

    3

    X-UTLor

    3

    LTLXmin=Cpk

    Shifts in Process Mean

    Capability Index shows

    how well parts being

    produced fit into design

    limit specifications.

    As a production process

    produces items small

    shifts in equipment or

    systems can cause

    differences inproduction

    performance from

    differing samples.

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    7

    A simple ratio:

    Specification Width_________________________________________________________

    Actual Process Width

    Generally, the bigger the better.

    Process Capability A Standard

    Measure of How Good a Process Is.

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    8

    Process Capability

    This is a one-sided Capability Index

    Concentration on the side which is closest to

    the specification - closest to being bad

    3

    ;3

    XUTLLTLXMinCpk

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    9The Cereal Box Example

    We are the maker of this cereal. Consumer reportshas just published an article that shows that we

    frequently have less than 15 ounces of cereal in a

    box.

    Lets assume that the government says that wemust be within 5 percent of the weight advertised

    on the box.

    Upper Tolerance Limit = 16 + .05(16) = 16.8 ounces

    Lower Tolerance Limit = 16 .05(16) = 15.2 ounces

    We go out and buy 1,000 boxes of cereal and find

    that they weight an average of 15.875 ounces with a

    standard deviation of .529 ounces.

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    10

    Cereal Box Process Capability

    Specification orTolerance Limits Upper Spec = 16.8 oz

    Lower Spec = 15.2 oz

    Observed Weight Mean = 15.875 oz

    Std Dev = .529 oz

    3

    ;3

    XUTLLTLXMinCpk

    )529(.3

    875.158.16;

    )529(.3

    2.15875.15MinCpk

    5829.;4253.MinCpk

    4253.pkC

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    11

    What does a Cpk of .4253 mean?

    An index that shows how well the units

    being produced fit within the specification

    limits.This is a process that will produce a

    relatively high number of defects.

    Many companies look for a Cpk of 1.3 orbetter 6-Sigma company wants 2.0!

    12

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    12

    Types of Statistical Sampling

    Attribute (Go or no-go information) Defectives refers to the acceptability of product

    across a range of characteristics.

    Defects refers to the number of defects per unit

    which may be higher than the number ofdefectives.

    p-chart application

    Variable (Continuous) Usually measured by the mean and the

    standard deviation.

    X-bar and R chart applications

    13

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    13

    Statistical

    Process

    Control(SPC) Charts

    UCL

    LCL

    Samples

    over time

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    UCL

    LCL

    Samples

    over time

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    UCL

    LCL

    Samples

    over time

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    Normal Behavior

    Possible problem, investigate

    Possible problem, investigate

    14

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    14Control Limits are based on theNormal Curve

    x

    0 1 2 3-3 -2 -1z

    m

    Standarddeviation

    units or z

    units.

    15

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    15Control LimitsWe establish the Upper Control Limits (UCL) and

    the Lower Control Limits (LCL) with plus or minus

    3 standard deviations from some x-bar or mean

    value. Based on this we can expect 99.7% of our

    sample observations to fall within these limits.

    xLCL UCL

    99.7%

    16

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    16

    Example of Constructing a p-Chart:Required Data

    1 100 4

    2 100 2

    3 100 5

    4 100 3

    5 100 6

    6 100 4

    7 100 3

    8 100 7

    9 100 1

    10 100 2

    11 100 3

    12 100 2

    13 100 2

    14 100 8

    15 100 3

    Sample

    No.

    No. of

    Samples

    Number of

    defects found

    in each sample

    17

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    17

    Statistical Process Control Formulas:Attribute Measurements (p-Chart)p =

    T o t al N u m b e r o f D e fe c tiv e s

    T o ta l N u m b e r o f O b s e rv a tio n s

    n

    s

    )p-(1p=p

    p

    p

    z-p=LCL

    z+p=UCL

    s

    s

    Given:

    Compute control limits:

    18

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    1. Calculate the

    sample proportions,

    p (these are what

    can be plotted on thep-chart) for eachsample

    Sample n Defectives p1 100 4 0.04

    2 100 2 0.02

    3 100 5 0.05

    4 100 3 0.03

    5 100 6 0.066 100 4 0.04

    7 100 3 0.03

    8 100 7 0.07

    9 100 1 0.01

    10 100 2 0.02

    11 100 3 0.03

    12 100 2 0.02

    13 100 2 0.02

    14 100 8 0.08

    15 100 3 0.03

    Example of Constructing a p-chart: Step 1

    19

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    19

    2. Calculate the average of the sample proportions

    0.036=

    1500

    55=p

    3. Calculate the standard deviation of the

    sample proportion

    .0188=100

    .036)-.036(1=

    )p-(1p=p

    n

    s

    Example of Constructing a p-chart: Steps 2&3

    20

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    20

    4. Calculate the control limits

    3(.0188).036

    UCL = 0.0924LCL = -0.0204 (or 0)

    p

    p

    z-p=LCL

    z+p=UCL

    s

    s

    Example of Constructing a p-chart: Step 4

    21

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    21

    Example of Constructing a p-Chart: Step 5

    0

    0.02

    0.04

    0.06

    0.08

    0.1

    0.12

    0.14

    0.16

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

    Observation

    p

    UCL

    LCL

    5. Plot the individual sample proportions, the averageof the proportions, and the control limits

    22

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    22

    Example of x-bar and R Charts:Required DataSample Obs 1 Obs 2 Obs 3 Obs 4 Obs 5

    1 10.68 10.689 10.776 10.798 10.714

    2 10.79 10.86 10.601 10.746 10.779

    3 10.78 10.667 10.838 10.785 10.723

    4 10.59 10.727 10.812 10.775 10.73

    5 10.69 10.708 10.79 10.758 10.6716 10.75 10.714 10.738 10.719 10.606

    7 10.79 10.713 10.689 10.877 10.603

    8 10.74 10.779 10.11 10.737 10.75

    9 10.77 10.773 10.641 10.644 10.725

    10 10.72 10.671 10.708 10.85 10.71211 10.79 10.821 10.764 10.658 10.708

    12 10.62 10.802 10.818 10.872 10.727

    13 10.66 10.822 10.893 10.544 10.75

    14 10.81 10.749 10.859 10.801 10.701

    15 10.66 10.681 10.644 10.747 10.728

    23

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    23

    Example of x-bar and R charts: Step 1.Calculate sample means, sample ranges,mean of means, and mean of ranges.Sample Obs 1 Obs 2 Obs 3 Obs 4 Obs 5 Avg Range

    1 10.68 10.689 10.776 10.798 10.714 10.732 0.116

    2 10.79 10.86 10.601 10.746 10.779 10.755 0.259

    3 10.78 10.667 10.838 10.785 10.723 10.759 0.171

    4 10.59 10.727 10.812 10.775 10.73 10.727 0.221

    5 10.69 10.708 10.79 10.758 10.671 10.724 0.1196 10.75 10.714 10.738 10.719 10.606 10.705 0.143

    7 10.79 10.713 10.689 10.877 10.603 10.735 0.274

    8 10.74 10.779 10.11 10.737 10.75 10.624 0.669

    9 10.77 10.773 10.641 10.644 10.725 10.710 0.132

    10 10.72 10.671 10.708 10.85 10.712 10.732 0.179

    11 10.79 10.821 10.764 10.658 10.708 10.748 0.16312 10.62 10.802 10.818 10.872 10.727 10.768 0.250

    13 10.66 10.822 10.893 10.544 10.75 10.733 0.349

    14 10.81 10.749 10.859 10.801 10.701 10.783 0.158

    15 10.66 10.681 10.644 10.747 10.728 10.692 0.103

    Averages 10.728 0.220400

    24

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    24

    Example of x-bar and R charts: Step 2. DetermineControl Limit Formulas and Necessary TabledValuesx Chart Control Limits

    UCL = x + A R

    LCL = x - A R

    2

    2

    R Chart Control Limits

    UCL = D R

    LCL = D R

    4

    3

    From Exhibit TN8.7

    n A2 D3 D4

    2 1.88 0 3.27

    3 1.02 0 2.57

    4 0.73 0 2.28

    5 0.58 0 2.11

    6 0.48 0 2.00

    7 0.42 0.08 1.92

    8 0.37 0.14 1.869 0.34 0.18 1.82

    10 0.31 0.22 1.78

    11 0.29 0.26 1.74

    25

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    25Example of x-bar and R charts: Steps 3&4.Calculate x-bar Chart and Plot Values

    10.601

    10.856

    =).58(0.2204-10.728RA-x=LCL

    =).58(0.2204-10.728RA+x=UCL

    2

    2

    10.550

    10.600

    10.650

    10.700

    10.750

    10.800

    10.850

    10.900

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

    Sample

    Means

    UCL

    LCL

    26

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    Example of x-bar and R charts: Steps 5&6.Calculate R-chart and Plot Values

    00.46504

    )2204.0)(0(RD=LCL)2204.0)(11.2(RD=UCL

    3

    4

    0 . 0 0 0

    0 . 1 0 0

    0 . 2 0 0

    0 . 3 0 0

    0 . 4 0 0

    0 . 5 0 0

    0 . 6 0 0

    0 . 7 0 0

    0 . 8 0 0

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5

    S a m p l e

    RUCL

    LCL

    27

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    Basic Forms of Statistical Samplingfor Quality Control

    Acceptance Sampling is sampling

    to accept or reject the immediate lot

    ofproduct at hand

    Statistical Process Control is

    sampling to determine if the

    process is within acceptable limits

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    Acceptance Sampling

    Purposes Determine quality level

    Ensure quality is within predetermined level

    Advantages

    Economy Less handling damage

    Fewer inspectors

    Upgrading of the inspection job

    Applicability to destructive testing Entire lot rejection (motivation for

    improvement)

    29

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    Acceptance Sampling (Continued)Disadvantages

    Risks of accepting bad lots and

    rejecting good lots Added planning and documentation

    Sample provides less information

    than 100-percent inspection

    30

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    Acceptance Sampling:Single Sampling PlanA simple goal

    Determine (1) how many units, n,to sample from a lot, and (2) themaximum number of defective

    items, c, that can be found in thesample before the lot is rejected

    31

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    Risk Acceptable Quality Level (AQL)

    Max. acceptable percentage of defectives

    defined by producer

    The a (Producers risk)

    The probability of rejecting a good lot Lot Tolerance Percent Defective (LTPD)

    Percentage of defectives that defines

    consumers rejection point The (Consumers risk)

    The probability of accepting a bad lot

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    Operating Characteristic Curve

    n = 99

    c = 4

    AQL LTPD

    00.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.50.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

    Percent defective

    Probability

    ofac

    ceptance

    =.10(consumers risk)

    a = .05 (producers risk)

    The OCC brings the concepts of producers risk, consumers

    risk, sample size, and maximum defects allowed together

    The shape

    or slope of

    the curve is

    dependent

    on a

    particular

    combination

    of the four

    parameters

    33

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    Example: Acceptance Sampling ProblemZypercom, a manufacturer of video interfaces,purchases printed wiring boards from an outside

    vender, Procard. Procard has set an acceptable

    quality level of 1% and accepts a 5% risk of rejecting

    lots at or below this level. Zypercom considers lotswith 3% defectives to be unacceptable and will assume

    a 10% risk of accepting a defective lot.

    Develop a sampling plan for Zypercom and determinea rule to be followed by the receiving inspection

    personnel.

    34

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    Example:Step 1. What is given and what is not?

    In this problem, AQL is given to be 0.01 and LTPD

    is given to be 0.03. We are also given an alpha of

    0.05 and a beta of 0.10.

    What you need to determine is your sampling

    plan is c and n.

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    Example: Step 2. Determine c

    First divide LTPD by AQL.

    LTPD

    AQL

    =.03

    .01

    = 3

    Then find the value for c by selecting the value in the

    TN7.10 n(AQL)column that is equal to or just greater than

    the ratio above.

    Exhibit TN 8.10

    c LTPD/AQL n AQL c LTPD/AQL n AQL

    0 44.890 0.052 5 3.549 2.6131 10.946 0.355 6 3.206 3.286

    2 6.509 0.818 7 2.957 3.981

    3 4.890 1.366 8 2.768 4.695

    4 4.057 1.970 9 2.618 5.426

    So, c = 6.

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    Example: Step 3. Determine Sample Size

    c = 6, from Table

    n (AQL) = 3.286, from Table

    AQL = .01, given in problem

    Sampling Plan:Take a random sample of 329 units from a lot.

    Reject the lot ifmore than 6 units are defective.

    Now given the information below, compute the sample

    size in units to generate your sampling plan

    n(AQL/AQL) = 3.286/.01 = 328.6, or 329 (always round up)

    37

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    Computers in Quality Control

    Records about quality testing and results limit

    a firms exposure in the event of a product

    liability suit.

    Recall programs require that manufacturers

    Know the lot number of the parts that are

    responsible for the potential defects

    Have an information storage system that can tie

    the lot numbers of the suspected parts to the finalproduct model numbers

    Have an information system that can track the

    model numbers of final products to customers

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    Computers in Quality Control

    With automation, inspection and testing canbe so inexpensive and quick that

    companies may be able to increase sample

    sizes and the frequency of samples, thusattaining more precision in both control

    charts and acceptance plans

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    Question BowlA methodology that is used to show how well parts

    being produced fit into a range specified by

    design limits is which of the following?

    a. Capability index

    b. Producers riskc. Consumers risk

    d. AQL

    e. None of the above

    Answer: a. Capability index

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    Question BowlOn a quality control chart if one of the values plotted falls outside

    a boundary it should signal to the production manager to dowhich of the following?

    a. System is out of control, should be stopped and fixed

    b. System is out of control, but can still be operated without any

    concern

    c. System is only out of control if the number of observations

    falling outside the boundary exceeds statistical expectations

    d. System is OK as is

    e. None of the aboveAnswer: c. System is only out of

    control if the number of observationsfalling outside the boundary exceeds

    statistical expectations

    (We expect with Six Sigma that 3 out of 1,000 observations will fall outside

    the boundaries normally and those deviations should not lead managers

    to conclude the system is out of control.)

    41

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    Question BowlYou want to prepare a p chart and you

    observe 200 samples with 10 in each,

    and find 5 defective units. What is the

    resulting fraction defective?

    a. 25b. 2.5

    c. 0.0025

    d. 0.00025e. Can not be computed on data above

    Answer: c. 0.0025 (5/(2000x10)=0.0025)

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    Question BowlYou want to prepare an x-bar chart. If the number of

    observations in a subgroup is 10, what is the

    appropriate factor used in the computation of

    the UCL and LCL?

    a. 1.88

    b. 0.31

    c. 0.22

    d. 1.78

    e. None of the above

    Answer: b. 0.31 (from Exhibit TN8.7)

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    Question BowlYou want to prepare an R chart. If the number of

    observations in a subgroup is 5, what is the

    appropriate factor used in the computation

    of the LCL?

    a. 0b. 0.88

    c. 1.88

    d. 2.11

    e. None of the above

    Answer: a. 0 (from Exhibit TN8.7)

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    Question BowlYou want to prepare an R chart. If the

    number of observations in a subgroup

    is 3, what is the appropriate factor

    used in the computation of the UCL?

    a. 0.87b. 1.00

    c. 1.88

    d. 2.11

    e. None of the above

    Answer: e. None of the above (from Exhibit

    TN8.7 the correct value is 2.57)

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    Question BowlThe maximum number of defectives that can be

    found in a sample before the lot is rejected is

    denoted in acceptance sampling as which of

    the following?

    a. Alphab. Beta

    c. AQL

    d. c

    e. None of the above

    Answer: d. c

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