CARBON CAPTURE, CARBON CAPTURE, TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE AN IRISH PERSPECTIVE AN IRISH PERSPECTIVE Richard Vernon SLR Consulting Ireland UCD Earth Systems Institute 24 th November 2008
CARBON CAPTURE, CARBON CAPTURE, TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGETRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE
AN IRISH PERSPECTIVEAN IRISH PERSPECTIVE
Richard VernonSLR Consulting Ireland
UCD Earth Systems Institute
24th November 2008
THE POLICY CONTEXT
“...we will build on analysis by SEI on costs, benefits and future potential for Ireland of CCS Strategies. Subject to developments, the Government would
envisage the commercial operation of a new clean coal power generation plant
before 2020”
ASSESSMENT OF THE POTENTIAL FOR GEOLOGICAL STORAGE OF CO2FOR THE ISLAND OF IRELAND
Commissioned by:
PROJECT MANAGEMENTGeological Assessment
Energy Policy Environmental Management
Capture TechnologiesScenario ModellingEconomic AnalysisEnergy Policy
Geology/ GISCO2 Sequestration ModelsGeo-Modelling /HydrodynamicsContainment
HydrodynamicsRisk AssessmentScenario ModellingEconomic Modelling
TERMS OF REFERENCE
• Identify large scale CO 2 point emissions appropriate for capture;
• Identify appropriate geological storage structures for each;
• Identify optimal, cost-effective capture, delivery a nd storage routes for each point;
• Move from theoretical to viable potential for geologic al storage of CO 2 on the island of Ireland
ALL-ISLANDCO2ALLOCATIONS
National Allocation Plans
2008 MAJOR POINT SOURCE EMISSIONSConcentration (Hub) Point Source CO 2 Emissions
Source Sectors Mt pa (actual)
Shannon Estuary Power Sector, Cement & Alumina 9.7 Mt
Dublin City and Huntstown
Power Sector & Industry 5.5 Mt
Belfast Power & Industry 4.8Mt
ROI Midlands Power & Cement 3.2 Mt
Cork/ Cork Harbour Power & Oil Refining 1.8 Mt
Drogheda/ Platin Cement & Periclase 1.6 Mt
Cavan Monaghan Cement 1.1 Mt
Derry Power & Industry 0.6 Mt
Fermanagh Tyrone Industry Cement 0.5 Mt
Total (all-island) 28.8Mt pa
ESB MONEYPOINT GENERATING STATION
Basin Locations
Kinsale Gas Field
Corrib Gas
Spanish
Point
Dragon
TECHNO ECONOMIC RESOURCE PYRAMID – CSLF 2007
QUANTIFIED STORAGE POTENTIAL
88,800 Mt
3,500 Mt
Kinsale 330Mt
Portpatrick 37Mt
93,000 Mt
1,500 Mt
Portpatrick 2700Mt
Peel 68,000Mt
GEOLOGICAL STORAGE CAPACITY Kinsale Gas Field (depleting)
• Kinsale (330 Mt practical ) most preferred option due to known reservoir characteristics and potential short term (<10 year) availability, post-production
• If proven up to ‘matched capacity’– 60+ years storage of current 5Mt Moneypoint emissions – 50 years of modelled 6.24Mt Moneypoint CO2 emissions
MARATHON KINSALE HEAD FIELD LAYOUT
KINSALE ALPHA PLATFORM
GEOLOGICAL STORAGE CAPACITY Clare Basin - Saline Aquifer?
• Unquantifiable storage capacity during study• Clare Basin strategically placed, proximal to Moneypoint , but will
require costly programme to prove up• No gas discovery to date
– limited exploration potential?
• Will require offshore investigation of Carboniferous Sandstones• High risk with low probability of quantifying storage
CONCLUSIONS
• Island of Ireland has significant potential to store CO2 in geological formations.
• Most assessable and best understood is the Kinsale gas complex.
• Sherwoood Sandstone offshore the East Coast offers significant aquifer storage.
• Potential storage in East Irish Sea oil and gas fields and aquifer
� The total quantified but unproven CO2 storage capacity of the Island of Ireland is 93,000 Mt
>> 88,800 Mt falls into the theoretical storage capacity and 5,000 Mt of effective/practical CO2 storage capacity.
• The estimated storage capacities in this study have been classified according to the CSLF methodology
• Sources for Capture Critical – Economies of scale – Centre on largest Power Plants– Maximise existing infrastructure (coal jetties, HV transmission lines)
• Shannon Estuary: Moneypoint • Belfast Lough: Kilroot• Cork Harbour
• Transport to Sink by Pipeline– Moneypoint: pipeline to Kinsale Basin– Kilroot: pipeline to offshore Larne/ Portpatrick – Cork Power generation, pipeline to Kinsale
SOURCE TO SINK OPTIONS
PREFERRED HUB OPTIONS
CLEAN COAL PLANT AT MONEYPOINT: 2020+
• Selected scale of plant to maximise existing transmission capacity of 900 MW
• Plant would supply ~ 15% of electricity demand on an all-island basis
• If Kinsale is proven there would be sufficient CO2 storage capacity for 6.3 Mt of CO2 per year for the life of the plant
STORAGE SITES FOR CO2 FROM MONEYPOINT
Kinsale -– Kinsale Head estimate “practical storage” capacity 330
Mt CO2
– “Matched Capacity” is likely to be less than 330 Mt but adequate for the life of the plant
– Involves ~ 235 km of pipeline (185 km onshore, 50 km offshore)
Clare Basin Alternative– Time scale to explore prospects for CO2 storage in
nearby Clare Basin is conservatively estimated at 10 years plus
– Pipeline distance would depend on where in the basin the injection points are located – could be as little as 30 km but much longer if offshore
New CCGT’s under construction • ESB at Aghada – 431 MW• BGE at Whitegate – 432 MW
Location• Potential hub sources are geographically close to Aghada and
Whitegate• Cork Harbour good take off point for Kinsale as storage locaton
OPTIONS FOR CORK HARBOUR
ECONOMICS OF CCS
• Cost of clean coal CCS may be €3 billion• Capture costs ~ 70% • Cost of power capturing 90% CO2 would be €80-109 MWh –
competitive (ESB €104/ MWh 2007) • Little difference in cost / MWh of capture technologies• Ireland need not decide if wish to wait +8 years• Should Ireland elect to be one of 12 EU demo??
– Window of opportunity at Kinsale?• Power plant in Ireland with CCS, at CO2 price of €35/t could be
competitive in all-island market
IRISH ENERGY POLICY
• CCS would support fuel diversification/ security of supply
• Comparative costs of electricity– ESB €104/ MWh (2007); BNE €86 /MWh (2007)
• Comparative prices to REs: – wave €220/ offshore wind €140 / MWh– large onshore €57 / micro-hydro €72/ MWh
� CCS could be very attractive at price midway between onshore/ offshore wind
COMPARATIVE ELECTRICITY GENERATION COSTS
Coal at $90/tonne and CO 2 at €35/tonne
Price of Power from CCS and non CCS sources (€/MWh)
0
50
100
150
200
250
Wave PowerIncentive
OffshoreWind Power
IncentivePrice
ESB 2007Average
GenerationCost
3A NewKilroot 540
MW PC CCS
1AMoneypoint900 MW PC
CCS
2A Cork 900MW PC CCS
OnshoreLarge ScaleWind EnergySupport Price
(current)
New 900 MWCoal Fired
Plant no CO2penalty
Source Type
Pric
e pe
r M
Wh DB price for economic CCS
€90 /MWh @ 800 MW
ETS – CO2 PRICE VOLATILITY
RECOMMENDATIONS1. Storage: prove up Kinsale (€15m +)2. Further geological studies at Portpatrick & Clare to
increase confidence in storage capacities3. Establishment of an Irish Sea Task Force be
considered (EISB /Kish/ Peel/ CISB)4. Consideration be given to undertake one of early EU
12 Demo projects5. Price support similar to renewable energies (offshore
wind, wave) be considered for CCS
RECOMMENDATIONS1. Storage: prove up Kinsale (€15m +)2. Further geological studies at Portpatrick & Clare to
increase confidence in storage capacities3. Establishment of an Irish Sea Task Force be
considered (EISB /Kish/ Peel/ CISB)4. Consideration be given to undertake one of early EU
12 Demo projects5. Price support similar to renewable energies (offshore
wind, wave) be considered for CCS6. Commence national awareness programme of
potential benefits of CCS
For further information, pleased contact:
Richard Vernon
T: +353 (0) 1 296 4667M: +353 (0) 86 854 2152E: [email protected]