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The Role of Business Analytics inOptimising the Fast Moving ConsumerGoods Value Chain
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THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
Table o Contents
Introduction ................................................................................................. 1
The Benefts o Business Analytics............................................................
2The FMCG Value Chain ................................................................................ 3
Consumers .............................................................................................. 3
R&D ........................................................................................................ 4
Marketing................................................................................................ 5
Sales ....................................................................................................... 6
Production............................................................................................... 7
Logistics .................................................................................................. 8
SAS Business Analytics Framework.......................................................... 9
Data Integration....................................................................................... 9
Analytics................................................................................................ 10
Reporting............................................................................................... 10
Summary.................................................................................................... 10
About SAS .................................................................................................. 11
THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
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Introduction
Since the early 1990s the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry has
been moving rom a manuacturing push to a consumer pull strategy. In thepast, companies would make the products they thought consumers wanted and
needed to purchase, and would push those into the marketplace. I the products
didnt sell they would discount them until they sold, which reduced margins and
lowered profts. Today, FMCG manuacturers rely on consumers pulling products
through the supply chain, which requires a better understanding o consumer
behaviours and choice selections.
Most manuacturers agree that integrated supply chain management initiatives
are driving these changes in the supply chain. The accurate prediction o
consumer demand has been cited as the most critical actor in the improvement
o replenishment orecasts, which directly impact supply chain efciencies.
Furthermore, most companies are struggling with how to model and predict
consumer behaviour along with short-term volume lits associated with sales
promotions, marketing events, economic actors and other related activities.
Todays consumer is well-inormed through instant access to product inormation,
in particular promotions and price comparisons through the Web. This makes
the task o predicting such behaviour ever more complex. The end result is
potentially lower margins or the manuacturer and lower volume or the retailer
when selling products at regular prices, as consumers have been trained to buy
rom promotion-to-promotion, stockpiling products or uture consumption.
Armed with deeper insights into consumer behaviour FMCG manuacturers willbe able to direct R&D investment, improve the eectiveness o marketing and
maximise supply chain efciencies. Where will this insight come rom? Within
this paper we have considered the FMCG value chain and have identifed where
business analytics can impact and drive proft within this process.
The accurate prediction of consumerdemand has been cited as the most
critical factor in the improvement
of replenishment forecasts, which
directly impact supply chain
efficiencies.
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THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
The Benefts o Business Analytics
Business analytics allows organisations to derive predictive insights to enable
competitive act based decisions. It benefts all aspects o the value chain.
2
Kimberly-Clark, the FMCG giant, embraced business analytics
with ar reaching benefts
Renee Nocker, ormer IT Director at Kimberly-Clark, needed more than the
power o her conviction to make the business case or piloting what could
become signifcant changes to Kimberly-Clarks business processes.
She needed quantifable business impact to get the attention o her stakeholders.
But how do you anticipate the return on investment o process improvement?
We asked the business leaders to quantiy what the new capabilities would
mean or them, says Nocker. For example, it will generate x million in new
sales, reduce inventory by x amount. Based on that, I put a stake in the ground
and said I would deliver $5 million in business beneft in this endeavor. At the end
o year one, we actually delivered about $23 million worth o business beneft.
For more information:www.sas.com/news/feature/challengeofchange.html
Figure 1: The Fast Moving Consumer Goods Value Chain
An analytical approach will help usmake better decisions using more
finely tuned, information-driven
facts in a more efficient way. It
will drive consistency and speed
in how we manage the levers that
impact all of our business process
outcomes. We need to get people
focused on seeking the most
optimal outcome for every decision
and that can only be done withthe right software capabilities and
the right skills.
Kimberly-Clark
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The FMCG Value Chain
Many leading FMCG manuacturers have embraced business analytics just as
Kimberly-Clark has done. SAS customers are answering many business questionsand, as such, tackling many business issues with business analytics, some o which
are highlighted on the ollowing pages:
Consumers
Business questions:
Whereareyourconsumers?
Canyouidentifythecharacteristicsthatbondyourconsumerstothebrandsthey
buy? Can you segment your consumers using those characteristics and create a
consumer purchase decision tree?
Canyouaccessandtranslatethesentimentthatyourcustomersaresaying
about your company, your products and your customer service?
Canyousharedatawithyourretailandconveniencestorecustomersona
regular basis?
With SAS you can:
Integratestructureddatafromoperationalsystemswithunstructureddatafrom
the web, social media sites, call centres and web sites to understand what is
important to consumers.
Segmentconsumerstoidentifynewmarkets,deepenunderstandingofcategoryperormance and how the consumer shops it.
Usethisinsighttooptimisepacksizes,developavours,varietiesandinform
above the line marketing.
3
The Wine House know the power o SAS
To survive the recession and move the business orward, The Wine House
needed to track the productivity o its extensive inventory and access current
accurate customer data to better service and market to its best customers.
For more information:www.sas.com/success/winehouse.html
Ive got less money tied upin inventory, I know where our
customers are coming from, how to
market to them and can monitor the
effectiveness of our marketing. Our
ROI with SAS has been well over
100%.
The Wine House
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THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
R & D
Business questions:
Howdoyouensureanewproductmeetsourstandardsforsafety,packagingor
transportation?
Areyouabletobringtogetherallthedatafromyourexperimentaltestsand
evaluate the results?
Howcanyouquicklyunderstandifaconcepthasalreadybeenpatentedandhow
will that impact our potential patents?
With SAS you can:
Ensurequalitytoimprovecustomersatisfaction.
Leverageconsumerdatatodrivenewproductinnovation.
Ensurenewproductsaredesignedtorequiredstandards.
Assessthelikelyrangeofuncertaintyinnewproductlaunches,andplanmore
eectively taking account o the risks.
4
Krat Foods knows the power o analytics
KraftFoodswerelookingtoensureconsistentavourandappearanceofsnack
oods by regulating production processes. In order to do this they wanted to
assignnumericalmeasurementstoquantifytheavour,colour,aromaandother
attributesofeachproduct.UsingSAStheyevaluaterecipereformulations,
product improvements and market trends, by measuring and determining the
appropriate levels o chewiness, sweetness, crunchiness and creaminess.
For more information: www.sas.com/success/kraft.html
Our SAS applications encompassthe full project life-cycle of
product and sensory testing.
From ingredient selection to
questionnaire development,
experimental design and top-line
reporting, SAS software cranks
through all of the collected data
and reports summary results.
Kraft Foods
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Marketing
Business questions:
Canyouanalysetheeffectivenessofeachproduct?
Howdoyouevaluateconsumerresearchtotrulyunderstandtheimpactofanew
product? Can you predict where your marketing spend will provide the best return
on investment?
Canyoupredictfutureperformanceoverthelife-cycleofyourbrands?
Howprice-sensitiveareyourconsumers?Howpricesensitiveareyourproducts?
Howloyalareyourconsumers?Whatwillmakethemswitchtoanotherbrandand
what is the threshold or switching?
Whatarethepurchaseattractorsforyourbrands?Howarethesechanging
over time and how will they map against the changing demographics o your
consumers?
Doyouunderstandwhichmarketingstrategiesyourconsumersrespondtobest?
Canyouoptimiseyourmarketingspendacrossthemarketingmixtodrive
proftable volume growth and revenue?
With SAS you can:
Decomposemarketdatatounderstandthetrueeffectsofproductlaunches,price
changes and promotions.
Segmentconsumersbytypeandtheirresponsivenesstodifferentmarketing
activity.
Analysetheeffectivenessofyourmarketingspendbychannelandmechanic.
Decompose layered marketing activity into its component parts to understand
which combinations o media and mechanics work together.
Forecastdemandbychanneltosupportindividualbrandstrategies.
Understandtheeffectsonyourbrandsofcompetitivepricingandpromotional
strategies.
Performpricesensitivityanalysistopredictbrandswitchingthresholds.
5
Williams-Sonoma knows the power o analytics
Williams-Sonoma needed a way to target customers, manage cost and increasepersonalisation. Founded in 1947 as a small cookware shop, Williams-Sonoma
now boasts more than 2 billion dollars in sales annually. The companys strong
commitment to quality and service is evident in its product mix and customer
relationship management programs.
For more information:www.sas.com/success/williamssonoma.html
As a solution for predicting andtargeting marketing returns, SAS
is pretty easy to justify. Every
tenth of a percent that we improve
our targeted marketing effortstranslates into millions of dollars in
savings.
Williams-Sonoma
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THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
Sales
Business questions:
Canyouoptimiseyourtradeplaninordertomeetyourbusinessobjectives?
Howaccurateareyourdemandforecastsandhoweasyaretheytomanage?
Howmuchtimedoyouspendforecasting?
Areyouconstantlytryingtoresolveinternalforecastingconicts?Arepersonal
agendas contaminating what should be an unbiased best guess at what is really
going to happen?
Doyouknowwhatinuencesdemand?
Canyougaugetheimpactofpricechangesandpromotionsandnewproduct
launches on demand?
Canyousensedemandsignalsotherthantrendandseasonality(eg.price,sales
promotions, marketing events, advertising, in-store merchandising), and then
shape demand using what-i analysis?
Howdoyoudecidewhatthepromotionsshouldlooklike?
Canyouunderstandtheoverallcosttoserveforeachcustomer?
IfacustomerstartsaSKUrationalisationprogramme,wouldyouknowwhich
products could be sacrifced without aecting proftablity?
Doyouknowhowmuchspaceshouldbeallocatedtoeachproductatthepoint
o sale and where they should be positioned on the fxture?
With SAS you can:
Performwhat-ifanalysistounderstandtheimpactofexternalfactorsonthe
orecast and shape demand.
Understandtheimpactoftradepromotionstonegotiatebettercustomerdeals
and drive sales value.
Largelyautomatethegenerationofstatisticalforecasts,allowingyoutofocustheir
eorts on the most important or most problematic orecasts.
ApplyanalyticalmethodslikeForecastValueAdded(FVA)analysistoidentify
waste and inefciency in your orecasting process. By eliminating those activities
that make the orecast worse, you can improve the orecast reducing inventory
and out-o-stocks, releasing working capital and driving availability to customers.
Understandtheprotabilityofyourproducts,theircontributiontothecategory
and predict the eects o changes to distribition, switching and brand loyalty asyou implement price changes, launch new products and run promotions.
Analysexturestoensurethecorrectamountofspaceisallocatedtoeach
product, visualise the product at the point o sale and collaborate on-line with a
customer in real-time.
6
A large conectionery company knows the powers o analytics
A North American conectionery company had heavily manual processes and
required an automated baseline orecast at our levels every week and on the
frst o every month or the entire company.
SAS improved forecast accuracy
by 6%.
North American confectionery
company
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Production
Business questions:
Whatmeasuresaretheretoensurequalityassurancethroughoutproduction?
Isyourproductionprocessoptimisedtodeliveragainstdemand?Isitintegrated
with the orecasting process to avoid over- / under-production?
Canyouidentifyproductionprocesscoststhroughout?
Howdoyoumanageandpredictassetmaintenancetoensureminimal
production downtime?
Howdoyouoptimisehumancapitalagainstproductiondemands?
Canyouaccuratelyplanproductiontoavoidover-/under-production?
With SAS you can:
Analyseprocessmanufacturingdatatoimproveyields,detectproblemsquicklyand optimise perormance.
Identifyqualityproblemswithinthemanufacturingprocessandtakeimmediate
remedial action.
Understand,modelandpredictcomplexqualityissues.
Understandtrueproductprotabilityandtheimpactofchangesinrawmaterials.
Scenarioplanningtooptimisethemanufacturingprocess.
Increaserevenuesbyreducingassetandplantdowntime,bypredictingevents
that can cause outages. As a consequence, maximise the use o maintenance
resources to meet operational goals or proftability, saety and environmental
compliance.
IBM knows the power o analytics
IBM has constructed one o the most advanced, error-ree chip abrication
actories, in the world. The ability to quickly detect and address quality and
production problems is crucial to the ongoing success o this operation. Data
rom all aspects o the manuacturing process including logistics, process,
electrical test and deect data are collected rom each production and test
location. IBM engineers throughout the world use SAS to continuously access
and analyse the terabytes o data as part o their quality assurance programme.
For more information:www.sas.com/success/ibm_dataview.html
SAS has been a key component ofour yield learning and engineering
analysis program for many years.
IBM
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THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
Logistics
Business questions:
Howdoyouoptimisedistributionchannels,casesize,packingandtruckloading?
Areshortcomingsinyourforecastingcapabilitiesimpactingwarehousespaceand
workorce planning?
Canyouidentifyexcesscostswithintheprocess?
CanyouoptimiseroutesandtransportmethodstomeetcustomerSLAs?
Areyouadheringtoyourcorporatesustainabilityprogramme?
Howdoyouminimisethecosttoserveacustomer?
With SAS you can:
Reducesupplychaincoststhroughoptimisationoftransportationroutes.
EnsurethatyoumeetyourcustomersSLAswhilstnotincreasingyourcosts. Measure,manageandreportonthekeysustainabilityareasenvironmental,
social and economic indicators and determine business strategies that reduce
risk and increase shareholder value and reduce costs.
Bunge knows the powers o analytics
Bunge Alimentos, one o the worlds largest agribusiness and ood companies,
with a wide product distribution network, needed a solution to improve their
logistic process analysis and to reduce costs.
For more information: www.sas.com/news/preleases/041707/news6BungeOR.html
Logistical costs in commoditiesare one of the leading factors
determining competitiveness. We
needed to anticipate problems
more quickly and take correctivesteps before problems arose. Using
SAS, it became easier to reduce
the companys costs.
Bunge
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SAS
Business Analytics Framework
Only SAS provides data integration, analytics and reporting as part o one business
analytics ramework. SAS can incorporate and integrate all data required or analysisand reporting, regardless o data source or ormat.
Data Integration
SASDataIntegrationprovidesafullandexiblesolutiontothedataintegrationand
managementchallengesfacedbyFMCGorganisationsofallsizes,suchas:
Distributedandrapidlyincreasingdatavolumes.
InconsistentlydenedandpoorqualitydataacrossdisparateITsystems.
Highexpectationsofuserswhodependonthedata.
SAS Data Integration addresses these challenges in a timely, cost-eective manner,
and supports enterprise scale projects. SAS Data Integration can:
Accessallyourdatasources.
Extract,cleanse,transform,conform,aggregate,loadandmanageyourdata.
Supportdatawarehousing,migration,synchronisation,federationand
provisioning initiatives.
SupportMasterDataManagement(MDM)solutions.
Createrealtime,reusabledataintegrationservicesinsupportofserviceoriented
architectures and data governance.
Figure 2: Integrated Business Analytics Framework
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THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN
Analytics
SAS defnes analytics as act based predictive insight that enables more accurate
decisions. Analytics rom SAS goes beyond just historical reporting.
SAS Analytics provides insights and reveals patterns, anomalies, key variables and
relationships that provide competitive advantage regardless o an organisations
sizeoritslevelofanalyticsexpertise.Ourunmatchedsuiteofanalyticscapabilities,
services, solutions and delivery options can be quickly deployed to help organisations
move orward with confdence.
SAS competitive dierentiation is built on predictive analytics that allow organisations
to be more proactive in their decision making analytics that answer:
Whatwillhappen?
Whatisthebestthatcouldhappen?
Whatisthebestnextaction?
Reporting
SAS expands inormation use to a wide community o decision makers within an
organisation. Role-based interaces make users more sel-sufcient by providing the
right inormation at the right time. This also helps reduce administrative overhead
and reliance on IT and other support organisations.
SAS Business Intelligence enables alerts and embedded analytics to be suraced to
key decision makers in the organisation when its needed most.
Summary
Over the past 30 years SAS has been helping organisations within the FMCG sector
to understand consumer behaviour, innovate new products, orecast and shape
demand whilst managing costs and improving proft margins.
By leveraging the SAS Business Analytics ramework, analytics can impact all
elements o the FMCG value chain.
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About SAS
SAS is the largest independent sotware company in the world. With consistent
revenue growth and proftability since 1976, SAS has the depth o resources tosustain excellence in product development and customer support. While many
competitors have merged, changed ownership or simply vanished, privately held
SAS has remained ocused on our primary mission delivering superior sotware
and enhancing customer relationships.
Global reach, local presence
SAS solutions are used at more than 45,000 sites in over 100 countries including
92ofthetop100companiesonthe2009FORTUNEGlobal500 list to develop
more proftable relationships with customers and suppliers; to enable better
decisions; and to move orward with confdence and clarity. More than 11,000 SASemployees in more than 50 countries and 400 SAS ofces provide local support
or global implementations.
Financial strength
SAS record o revenue growth in every year o our existence makes us a stable
business partner. It also enables us to reinvest a substantial percentage o revenues
in R&D each year so we can continually improve our products. This commitment
to innovation is one reason why the overwhelming majority o our customers renew
their sotware licenses with SAS every year.
Sustainability
More than being green, sustainability means that SAS takes a long-term view when
making business decisions, whether they involve attracting, retaining and motivating
the best employees; serving customers; or caring or the physical environment. From
LEED-certiedbuildingstoasolarfarmgeneratingenergyfortheregion,SASstrives
to meet the sustainable demands o doing business.
Theres garden-variety analytics,
and then theres the stuff that
matters. And what we have chosen
to do is to put our focus on the
predictive analytics, because we
think thats where the value is. And
the de facto, standard, best guys
on the planet have been, are today,
and always will be SAS. And thats
why our alliance with them is so
distinctive and important.Bill Green
CEO, Accenture
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