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Business Analysis FMCG

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    The Role of Business Analytics inOptimising the Fast Moving ConsumerGoods Value Chain

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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    Table o Contents

    Introduction ................................................................................................. 1

    The Benefts o Business Analytics............................................................

    2The FMCG Value Chain ................................................................................ 3

    Consumers .............................................................................................. 3

    R&D ........................................................................................................ 4

    Marketing................................................................................................ 5

    Sales ....................................................................................................... 6

    Production............................................................................................... 7

    Logistics .................................................................................................. 8

    SAS Business Analytics Framework.......................................................... 9

    Data Integration....................................................................................... 9

    Analytics................................................................................................ 10

    Reporting............................................................................................... 10

    Summary.................................................................................................... 10

    About SAS .................................................................................................. 11

    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    1

    Introduction

    Since the early 1990s the Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry has

    been moving rom a manuacturing push to a consumer pull strategy. In thepast, companies would make the products they thought consumers wanted and

    needed to purchase, and would push those into the marketplace. I the products

    didnt sell they would discount them until they sold, which reduced margins and

    lowered profts. Today, FMCG manuacturers rely on consumers pulling products

    through the supply chain, which requires a better understanding o consumer

    behaviours and choice selections.

    Most manuacturers agree that integrated supply chain management initiatives

    are driving these changes in the supply chain. The accurate prediction o

    consumer demand has been cited as the most critical actor in the improvement

    o replenishment orecasts, which directly impact supply chain efciencies.

    Furthermore, most companies are struggling with how to model and predict

    consumer behaviour along with short-term volume lits associated with sales

    promotions, marketing events, economic actors and other related activities.

    Todays consumer is well-inormed through instant access to product inormation,

    in particular promotions and price comparisons through the Web. This makes

    the task o predicting such behaviour ever more complex. The end result is

    potentially lower margins or the manuacturer and lower volume or the retailer

    when selling products at regular prices, as consumers have been trained to buy

    rom promotion-to-promotion, stockpiling products or uture consumption.

    Armed with deeper insights into consumer behaviour FMCG manuacturers willbe able to direct R&D investment, improve the eectiveness o marketing and

    maximise supply chain efciencies. Where will this insight come rom? Within

    this paper we have considered the FMCG value chain and have identifed where

    business analytics can impact and drive proft within this process.

    The accurate prediction of consumerdemand has been cited as the most

    critical factor in the improvement

    of replenishment forecasts, which

    directly impact supply chain

    efficiencies.

    1

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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    The Benefts o Business Analytics

    Business analytics allows organisations to derive predictive insights to enable

    competitive act based decisions. It benefts all aspects o the value chain.

    2

    Kimberly-Clark, the FMCG giant, embraced business analytics

    with ar reaching benefts

    Renee Nocker, ormer IT Director at Kimberly-Clark, needed more than the

    power o her conviction to make the business case or piloting what could

    become signifcant changes to Kimberly-Clarks business processes.

    She needed quantifable business impact to get the attention o her stakeholders.

    But how do you anticipate the return on investment o process improvement?

    We asked the business leaders to quantiy what the new capabilities would

    mean or them, says Nocker. For example, it will generate x million in new

    sales, reduce inventory by x amount. Based on that, I put a stake in the ground

    and said I would deliver $5 million in business beneft in this endeavor. At the end

    o year one, we actually delivered about $23 million worth o business beneft.

    For more information:www.sas.com/news/feature/challengeofchange.html

    Figure 1: The Fast Moving Consumer Goods Value Chain

    An analytical approach will help usmake better decisions using more

    finely tuned, information-driven

    facts in a more efficient way. It

    will drive consistency and speed

    in how we manage the levers that

    impact all of our business process

    outcomes. We need to get people

    focused on seeking the most

    optimal outcome for every decision

    and that can only be done withthe right software capabilities and

    the right skills.

    Kimberly-Clark

    http://www.sas.com/news/feature/challengeofchange.htmlhttp://www.sas.com/news/feature/challengeofchange.html
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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    3

    The FMCG Value Chain

    Many leading FMCG manuacturers have embraced business analytics just as

    Kimberly-Clark has done. SAS customers are answering many business questionsand, as such, tackling many business issues with business analytics, some o which

    are highlighted on the ollowing pages:

    Consumers

    Business questions:

    Whereareyourconsumers?

    Canyouidentifythecharacteristicsthatbondyourconsumerstothebrandsthey

    buy? Can you segment your consumers using those characteristics and create a

    consumer purchase decision tree?

    Canyouaccessandtranslatethesentimentthatyourcustomersaresaying

    about your company, your products and your customer service?

    Canyousharedatawithyourretailandconveniencestorecustomersona

    regular basis?

    With SAS you can:

    Integratestructureddatafromoperationalsystemswithunstructureddatafrom

    the web, social media sites, call centres and web sites to understand what is

    important to consumers.

    Segmentconsumerstoidentifynewmarkets,deepenunderstandingofcategoryperormance and how the consumer shops it.

    Usethisinsighttooptimisepacksizes,developavours,varietiesandinform

    above the line marketing.

    3

    The Wine House know the power o SAS

    To survive the recession and move the business orward, The Wine House

    needed to track the productivity o its extensive inventory and access current

    accurate customer data to better service and market to its best customers.

    For more information:www.sas.com/success/winehouse.html

    Ive got less money tied upin inventory, I know where our

    customers are coming from, how to

    market to them and can monitor the

    effectiveness of our marketing. Our

    ROI with SAS has been well over

    100%.

    The Wine House

    http://www.sas.com/success/winehouse.htmlhttp://www.sas.com/success/winehouse.html
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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    R & D

    Business questions:

    Howdoyouensureanewproductmeetsourstandardsforsafety,packagingor

    transportation?

    Areyouabletobringtogetherallthedatafromyourexperimentaltestsand

    evaluate the results?

    Howcanyouquicklyunderstandifaconcepthasalreadybeenpatentedandhow

    will that impact our potential patents?

    With SAS you can:

    Ensurequalitytoimprovecustomersatisfaction.

    Leverageconsumerdatatodrivenewproductinnovation.

    Ensurenewproductsaredesignedtorequiredstandards.

    Assessthelikelyrangeofuncertaintyinnewproductlaunches,andplanmore

    eectively taking account o the risks.

    4

    Krat Foods knows the power o analytics

    KraftFoodswerelookingtoensureconsistentavourandappearanceofsnack

    oods by regulating production processes. In order to do this they wanted to

    assignnumericalmeasurementstoquantifytheavour,colour,aromaandother

    attributesofeachproduct.UsingSAStheyevaluaterecipereformulations,

    product improvements and market trends, by measuring and determining the

    appropriate levels o chewiness, sweetness, crunchiness and creaminess.

    For more information: www.sas.com/success/kraft.html

    Our SAS applications encompassthe full project life-cycle of

    product and sensory testing.

    From ingredient selection to

    questionnaire development,

    experimental design and top-line

    reporting, SAS software cranks

    through all of the collected data

    and reports summary results.

    Kraft Foods

    http://www.sas.com/success/kraft.htmlhttp://www.sas.com/success/kraft.html
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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

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    Marketing

    Business questions:

    Canyouanalysetheeffectivenessofeachproduct?

    Howdoyouevaluateconsumerresearchtotrulyunderstandtheimpactofanew

    product? Can you predict where your marketing spend will provide the best return

    on investment?

    Canyoupredictfutureperformanceoverthelife-cycleofyourbrands?

    Howprice-sensitiveareyourconsumers?Howpricesensitiveareyourproducts?

    Howloyalareyourconsumers?Whatwillmakethemswitchtoanotherbrandand

    what is the threshold or switching?

    Whatarethepurchaseattractorsforyourbrands?Howarethesechanging

    over time and how will they map against the changing demographics o your

    consumers?

    Doyouunderstandwhichmarketingstrategiesyourconsumersrespondtobest?

    Canyouoptimiseyourmarketingspendacrossthemarketingmixtodrive

    proftable volume growth and revenue?

    With SAS you can:

    Decomposemarketdatatounderstandthetrueeffectsofproductlaunches,price

    changes and promotions.

    Segmentconsumersbytypeandtheirresponsivenesstodifferentmarketing

    activity.

    Analysetheeffectivenessofyourmarketingspendbychannelandmechanic.

    Decompose layered marketing activity into its component parts to understand

    which combinations o media and mechanics work together.

    Forecastdemandbychanneltosupportindividualbrandstrategies.

    Understandtheeffectsonyourbrandsofcompetitivepricingandpromotional

    strategies.

    Performpricesensitivityanalysistopredictbrandswitchingthresholds.

    5

    Williams-Sonoma knows the power o analytics

    Williams-Sonoma needed a way to target customers, manage cost and increasepersonalisation. Founded in 1947 as a small cookware shop, Williams-Sonoma

    now boasts more than 2 billion dollars in sales annually. The companys strong

    commitment to quality and service is evident in its product mix and customer

    relationship management programs.

    For more information:www.sas.com/success/williamssonoma.html

    As a solution for predicting andtargeting marketing returns, SAS

    is pretty easy to justify. Every

    tenth of a percent that we improve

    our targeted marketing effortstranslates into millions of dollars in

    savings.

    Williams-Sonoma

    http://www.sas.com/success/williamssonoma.htmlhttp://www.sas.com/success/williamssonoma.html
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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    Sales

    Business questions:

    Canyouoptimiseyourtradeplaninordertomeetyourbusinessobjectives?

    Howaccurateareyourdemandforecastsandhoweasyaretheytomanage?

    Howmuchtimedoyouspendforecasting?

    Areyouconstantlytryingtoresolveinternalforecastingconicts?Arepersonal

    agendas contaminating what should be an unbiased best guess at what is really

    going to happen?

    Doyouknowwhatinuencesdemand?

    Canyougaugetheimpactofpricechangesandpromotionsandnewproduct

    launches on demand?

    Canyousensedemandsignalsotherthantrendandseasonality(eg.price,sales

    promotions, marketing events, advertising, in-store merchandising), and then

    shape demand using what-i analysis?

    Howdoyoudecidewhatthepromotionsshouldlooklike?

    Canyouunderstandtheoverallcosttoserveforeachcustomer?

    IfacustomerstartsaSKUrationalisationprogramme,wouldyouknowwhich

    products could be sacrifced without aecting proftablity?

    Doyouknowhowmuchspaceshouldbeallocatedtoeachproductatthepoint

    o sale and where they should be positioned on the fxture?

    With SAS you can:

    Performwhat-ifanalysistounderstandtheimpactofexternalfactorsonthe

    orecast and shape demand.

    Understandtheimpactoftradepromotionstonegotiatebettercustomerdeals

    and drive sales value.

    Largelyautomatethegenerationofstatisticalforecasts,allowingyoutofocustheir

    eorts on the most important or most problematic orecasts.

    ApplyanalyticalmethodslikeForecastValueAdded(FVA)analysistoidentify

    waste and inefciency in your orecasting process. By eliminating those activities

    that make the orecast worse, you can improve the orecast reducing inventory

    and out-o-stocks, releasing working capital and driving availability to customers.

    Understandtheprotabilityofyourproducts,theircontributiontothecategory

    and predict the eects o changes to distribition, switching and brand loyalty asyou implement price changes, launch new products and run promotions.

    Analysexturestoensurethecorrectamountofspaceisallocatedtoeach

    product, visualise the product at the point o sale and collaborate on-line with a

    customer in real-time.

    6

    A large conectionery company knows the powers o analytics

    A North American conectionery company had heavily manual processes and

    required an automated baseline orecast at our levels every week and on the

    frst o every month or the entire company.

    SAS improved forecast accuracy

    by 6%.

    North American confectionery

    company

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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

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    Production

    Business questions:

    Whatmeasuresaretheretoensurequalityassurancethroughoutproduction?

    Isyourproductionprocessoptimisedtodeliveragainstdemand?Isitintegrated

    with the orecasting process to avoid over- / under-production?

    Canyouidentifyproductionprocesscoststhroughout?

    Howdoyoumanageandpredictassetmaintenancetoensureminimal

    production downtime?

    Howdoyouoptimisehumancapitalagainstproductiondemands?

    Canyouaccuratelyplanproductiontoavoidover-/under-production?

    With SAS you can:

    Analyseprocessmanufacturingdatatoimproveyields,detectproblemsquicklyand optimise perormance.

    Identifyqualityproblemswithinthemanufacturingprocessandtakeimmediate

    remedial action.

    Understand,modelandpredictcomplexqualityissues.

    Understandtrueproductprotabilityandtheimpactofchangesinrawmaterials.

    Scenarioplanningtooptimisethemanufacturingprocess.

    Increaserevenuesbyreducingassetandplantdowntime,bypredictingevents

    that can cause outages. As a consequence, maximise the use o maintenance

    resources to meet operational goals or proftability, saety and environmental

    compliance.

    IBM knows the power o analytics

    IBM has constructed one o the most advanced, error-ree chip abrication

    actories, in the world. The ability to quickly detect and address quality and

    production problems is crucial to the ongoing success o this operation. Data

    rom all aspects o the manuacturing process including logistics, process,

    electrical test and deect data are collected rom each production and test

    location. IBM engineers throughout the world use SAS to continuously access

    and analyse the terabytes o data as part o their quality assurance programme.

    For more information:www.sas.com/success/ibm_dataview.html

    SAS has been a key component ofour yield learning and engineering

    analysis program for many years.

    IBM

    http://www.sas.com/success/ibm_dataview.htmlhttp://www.sas.com/success/ibm_dataview.html
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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    Logistics

    Business questions:

    Howdoyouoptimisedistributionchannels,casesize,packingandtruckloading?

    Areshortcomingsinyourforecastingcapabilitiesimpactingwarehousespaceand

    workorce planning?

    Canyouidentifyexcesscostswithintheprocess?

    CanyouoptimiseroutesandtransportmethodstomeetcustomerSLAs?

    Areyouadheringtoyourcorporatesustainabilityprogramme?

    Howdoyouminimisethecosttoserveacustomer?

    With SAS you can:

    Reducesupplychaincoststhroughoptimisationoftransportationroutes.

    EnsurethatyoumeetyourcustomersSLAswhilstnotincreasingyourcosts. Measure,manageandreportonthekeysustainabilityareasenvironmental,

    social and economic indicators and determine business strategies that reduce

    risk and increase shareholder value and reduce costs.

    Bunge knows the powers o analytics

    Bunge Alimentos, one o the worlds largest agribusiness and ood companies,

    with a wide product distribution network, needed a solution to improve their

    logistic process analysis and to reduce costs.

    For more information: www.sas.com/news/preleases/041707/news6BungeOR.html

    Logistical costs in commoditiesare one of the leading factors

    determining competitiveness. We

    needed to anticipate problems

    more quickly and take correctivesteps before problems arose. Using

    SAS, it became easier to reduce

    the companys costs.

    Bunge

    http://www.sas.com/news/preleases/041707/news6BungeOR.htmlhttp://www.sas.com/news/preleases/041707/news6BungeOR.html
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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    9

    SAS

    Business Analytics Framework

    Only SAS provides data integration, analytics and reporting as part o one business

    analytics ramework. SAS can incorporate and integrate all data required or analysisand reporting, regardless o data source or ormat.

    Data Integration

    SASDataIntegrationprovidesafullandexiblesolutiontothedataintegrationand

    managementchallengesfacedbyFMCGorganisationsofallsizes,suchas:

    Distributedandrapidlyincreasingdatavolumes.

    InconsistentlydenedandpoorqualitydataacrossdisparateITsystems.

    Highexpectationsofuserswhodependonthedata.

    SAS Data Integration addresses these challenges in a timely, cost-eective manner,

    and supports enterprise scale projects. SAS Data Integration can:

    Accessallyourdatasources.

    Extract,cleanse,transform,conform,aggregate,loadandmanageyourdata.

    Supportdatawarehousing,migration,synchronisation,federationand

    provisioning initiatives.

    SupportMasterDataManagement(MDM)solutions.

    Createrealtime,reusabledataintegrationservicesinsupportofserviceoriented

    architectures and data governance.

    Figure 2: Integrated Business Analytics Framework

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    THE ROLE OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS IN OPTIMISING THE FMCG VALUE CHAIN

    Analytics

    SAS defnes analytics as act based predictive insight that enables more accurate

    decisions. Analytics rom SAS goes beyond just historical reporting.

    SAS Analytics provides insights and reveals patterns, anomalies, key variables and

    relationships that provide competitive advantage regardless o an organisations

    sizeoritslevelofanalyticsexpertise.Ourunmatchedsuiteofanalyticscapabilities,

    services, solutions and delivery options can be quickly deployed to help organisations

    move orward with confdence.

    SAS competitive dierentiation is built on predictive analytics that allow organisations

    to be more proactive in their decision making analytics that answer:

    Whatwillhappen?

    Whatisthebestthatcouldhappen?

    Whatisthebestnextaction?

    Reporting

    SAS expands inormation use to a wide community o decision makers within an

    organisation. Role-based interaces make users more sel-sufcient by providing the

    right inormation at the right time. This also helps reduce administrative overhead

    and reliance on IT and other support organisations.

    SAS Business Intelligence enables alerts and embedded analytics to be suraced to

    key decision makers in the organisation when its needed most.

    Summary

    Over the past 30 years SAS has been helping organisations within the FMCG sector

    to understand consumer behaviour, innovate new products, orecast and shape

    demand whilst managing costs and improving proft margins.

    By leveraging the SAS Business Analytics ramework, analytics can impact all

    elements o the FMCG value chain.

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    About SAS

    SAS is the largest independent sotware company in the world. With consistent

    revenue growth and proftability since 1976, SAS has the depth o resources tosustain excellence in product development and customer support. While many

    competitors have merged, changed ownership or simply vanished, privately held

    SAS has remained ocused on our primary mission delivering superior sotware

    and enhancing customer relationships.

    Global reach, local presence

    SAS solutions are used at more than 45,000 sites in over 100 countries including

    92ofthetop100companiesonthe2009FORTUNEGlobal500 list to develop

    more proftable relationships with customers and suppliers; to enable better

    decisions; and to move orward with confdence and clarity. More than 11,000 SASemployees in more than 50 countries and 400 SAS ofces provide local support

    or global implementations.

    Financial strength

    SAS record o revenue growth in every year o our existence makes us a stable

    business partner. It also enables us to reinvest a substantial percentage o revenues

    in R&D each year so we can continually improve our products. This commitment

    to innovation is one reason why the overwhelming majority o our customers renew

    their sotware licenses with SAS every year.

    Sustainability

    More than being green, sustainability means that SAS takes a long-term view when

    making business decisions, whether they involve attracting, retaining and motivating

    the best employees; serving customers; or caring or the physical environment. From

    LEED-certiedbuildingstoasolarfarmgeneratingenergyfortheregion,SASstrives

    to meet the sustainable demands o doing business.

    Theres garden-variety analytics,

    and then theres the stuff that

    matters. And what we have chosen

    to do is to put our focus on the

    predictive analytics, because we

    think thats where the value is. And

    the de facto, standard, best guys

    on the planet have been, are today,

    and always will be SAS. And thats

    why our alliance with them is so

    distinctive and important.Bill Green

    CEO, Accenture

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