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Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor Indonesia The Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor Indonesia B b Ti l Bambang T risulo Noegardjito SEMINAR NASIONAL OTOMOTIF & WORKSHOP Strategi Pengembangan Industri Otomotif Dengan Berdaya Saing Global Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember Fakultas Teknologi Industri Jurusan D3 Teknik Mesin Surabaya, 20 Juni 2009
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B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Nov 28, 2014

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Page 1: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor Indonesia

B b T i lBambang TrisuloNoegardjito

SEMINAR NASIONAL OTOMOTIF & WORKSHOPStrategi Pengembangan Industri Otomotif Dengan Berdaya Saing Global

Institut Teknologi Sepuluh NopemberInstitut Teknologi Sepuluh NopemberFakultas Teknologi Industri Jurusan D3 Teknik Mesin

Surabaya, 20 Juni 2009

Page 2: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

SASARAN, STRATEGI, KEBIJAKANINDUSTRI OTOMOTIF

GOAL Automotive Industry with high efficiency & strongglobal competitiveness

Focus on Component Industries

Enhance the development of SmallSTRATEGY

Enhance the development of SmallCommercial Car, MPV (< 5 tons)

& Motorcycle industries

Develop passenger car industry < 1.500 CC

O i h d i k

POLICIES Increasing the export market

Opening the domestic market

Fostering the Industry’s structure

Page 3: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries TABEL PAJAK BEA MASUK & PPnBM

2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2008

CATEGORY REMARKS

IMPORT DUTYLUXURY TAXCBU CKD IKD

2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2008CC < 1.5 lt 55 50 25 15 15 15 30

1.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt(G) / 2.5lt( D ) 55 50 30 15 - - 40CC > 3.0 lt ( G) / 2.5 ( D ) 55 50 40 15 - - 75

CC < 1 5 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 10

SEDAN TYPE

CC < 1.5 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 101.5 lt < CC < 2.5 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 202.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 40

CC > 3.0 lt ( G) / 2.5 (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 75CC < 1 5 lt 45 45 20 15 - - 30

4X2 TYPE

CC < 1.5 lt 45 45 20 15 - - 301.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt(G) / 2.5( D ) 45 45 20 15 - - 40

CC > 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5 ( D ) 45 45 20 15 - - 75GVW 5 - 24 ton ( G/D ) 40 40 20 15 5 5 10GVW > 24 ton ( G/D ) 10 10 5 5 5 5 10

4X4 TYPE

BUS GVW > 24 ton ( G/D ) 10 10 5 5 5 5 10GVW < 5 ton ( G/D ) 45 45 20 15 15 15 0

GVW 5 - 24 ton ( G/D ) 40 40 20 15 5 5 0GVW > 24 ton ( G/D ) 10 10 5 5 5 5 0

DOUBLE CABIN GVW < 5 ton ( G/D )

PICK UP/TRUCK

DOUBLE CABIN GVW < 5 ton ( G/D )4X2 / 4X4 ALL ACC

G : GasolineD : Diesel

45 201520 1545 15

Page 4: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR OTOMOTIF GLOBAL2004 - 2008

Units M/S Units M/S Units M/S Units M/S Units M/S

1 NORTH AMERICA 19.983.999 33,6% 20.233.472 33,1% 19.893.670 31,7% 19.289.646 29,6% 16.240.822 26,0%

2 WEST EUROPE 16.810.816 28,3% 16.852.692 27,6% 17.089.945 27,2% 17.238.612 26,5% 15.785.516 25,3%

20082006 2007NO. COUNTRY

2004 2005

3 CHINA 5.151.618 8,7% 5.724.569 9,4% 7.183.558 11,4% 8.784.791 13,5% 9.363.306 15,0%

4 JAPAN 5.853.382 9,9% 5.852.067 9,6% 5.739.506 9,1% 5.352.931 8,2% 5.082.235 8,1%

5 EAST EUROPE 3.146.164 5,3% 3.141.981 5,1% 3.229.329 5,1% 3.531.718 5,4% 4.971.873 8,0%

6 SOUTH AMERICA 2.025.096 3,4% 2.345.368 3,8% 2.742.335 4,4% 3.519.558 5,4% 3.703.741 5,9%

7 INDIA 1.344.371 2,3% 1.439.613 2,4% 1.754.372 2,8% 1.988.996 3,1% 1.981.054 3,2%

8 KOREA 1.117.976 1,9% 1.173.403 1,9% 1.164.254 1,9% 1.219.335 1,9% 1.239.046 2,0%

9 AUSTRALIA 955.229 1,6% 986.818 1,6% 962.666 1,5% 1.049.982 1,6% 1.012.165 1,6%

10 THAILAND 626.026 1,1% 703.432 1,2% 682.161 1,1% 631.251 1,0% 615.270 1,0%, , , , ,

11 INDONESIA 483.148 0,8% 533.917 0,9% 318.904 0,5% 433.341 0,7% 603.774 1,0%

12 MALAYSIA 487.605 0,8% 552.316 0,9% 490.768 0,8% 487.176 0,7% 548.115 0,9%

13 SOUTH AFRICA 449.603 0,8% 565.147 0,9% 646.987 1,0% 677.610 1,0% 533.398 0,9%

14 TAIWAN 484 282 0 8% 514 627 0 8% 311 214 0 5% 274 368 0 4% 229 497 0 4%14 TAIWAN 484.282 0,8% 514.627 0,8% 311.214 0,5% 274.368 0,4% 229.497 0,4%

15 PAKISTAN 134.082 0,2% 176.016 0,3% 199.678 0,3% 205.958 0,3% 157.182 0,3%

16 PHILIPPINES 88.075 0,1% 97.063 0,2% 99.541 0,2% 117.903 0,2% 124.449 0,2%

17 SINGAPORE 113.157 0,2% 130.237 0,2% 137.564 0,2% 122.254 0,2% 110.574 0,2%

18 VIETNAM 40 141 0 1% 35 266 0 1% 41 113 0 1% 80 392 0 1% 110 186 0 2%

Source : AAF & Fourin

18 VIETNAM 40.141 0,1% 35.266 0,1% 41.113 0,1% 80.392 0,1% 110.186 0,2%

19 NEW ZEALAND 98.104 0,2% 102.547 0,2% 99.460 0,2% 102.449 0,2% 97.192 0,2%

59.392.874 100% 61.160.551 100% 62.787.025 100% 65.108.271 100% 62.509.395 100%TOTAL

Page 5: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR OTOMOTIF ASEAN 62004 - 2008

YEAR

2004 2005 20072006 2008

UNITS M/S UNITS M/S UNITS M/S UNITS M/S UNITS M/S

1. THAILAND 626.026 34,1% 703.432 34,3% 682.161 38,5% 631.251 33,7% 615.270 29,1%

2004 2005 20072006 2008

ASEAN MEMBERS

2. INDONESIA 483.148 26,3% 533.917 26,0% 318.904 18,0% 433.341 23,1% 603.774 28,6%

3. MALAYSIA 487.605 26,5% 552.316 26,9% 490.768 27,7% 487.176 26,0% 548.115 25,9%

4. PHILIPPINE 88.075 4,8% 97.063 4,7% 99.541 5,6% 117.903 6,3% 124.449 5,9%

5. SINGAPORE 113.157 6,2% 130.237 6,3% 137.564 7,8% 122.254 6,5% 110.574 5,2%

6 VIETNAM 40 141 2 2% 35 266 1 7% 41 113 2 3% 80 392 4 3% 110 186 5 2%6. VIETNAM 40.141 2,2% 35.266 1,7% 41.113 2,3% 80.392 4,3% 110.186 5,2%

1.838.152 100% 2.052.231 100% 1.770.051 100% 1.872.317 100% 2.112.368 100%ASEAN TOTAL

Source : AAF

Page 6: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIKPER KATEGORI 2004 - 2008

UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/SCC < 1.5 (G/D) 27.299 6% 25.006 5% 10.241 3% 16.207 4% 18.753 3%

1.5 < CC < 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 12.892 3% 10.164 2% 7.188 2% 10.974 3% 15.284 3%CC > 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 290 0% 199 0% 136 0% 200 0% 263 0%

40 481 8 4% 35 369 6 6% 17 565 5 5% 27 381 6 3% 34 300 5 7%

SEDAN TYPE

Sub Total

1.

CATEGORY 2008200620052004YEAR

2007

40.481 8,4% 35.369 6,6% 17.565 5,5% 27.381 6,3% 34.300 5,7%CC < 1.5 (G/D) 160.991 33% 189.845 36% 136.793 43% 194.422 45% 279.051 46%

1.5 < CC < 2.5 (G/D) 108.858 23% 132.842 25% 62.205 20% 87.527 20% 105.822 18%2.5 < CC < 3.0 (G) 319 0% 3.110 1% 3.489 1% 2.359 1% 2.702 0%

CC > 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 974 0% 1.358 0% 1.147 0% 1.425 0% 1.215 0%271.142 56,1% 327.155 61,3% 203.634 63,9% 285.733 65,9% 388.790 64,4%

CC < 1.5 (G/D) - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0%

Sub Total

2.4X2 TYPE

Sub Total

1.5 < CC < 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 982 0% 1.663 0% 1.029 0% 1.479 0% 1.707 0%CC > 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 260 0% 132 0% 159 0% 176 0% 470 0%

1.242 0,3% 1.795 0,3% 1.188 0,4% 1.655 0,4% 2.177 0,4%GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 914 0% 1.264 0% 1.009 0% 896 0% 1.651 0%

GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 1.239 0% 1.028 0% 552 0% 804 0% 1.210 0%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0%

2.153 0,4% 2.292 0,4% 1.561 0,5% 1.700 0,4% 2.861 0,5%

4. BUS

Sub Total

3. 4X4 TYPE

Sub Total

GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 92.899 19% 97.815 18% 51.583 16% 55.706 13% 80.099 13%GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 63.524 13% 55.601 10% 32.183 10% 43.651 10% 66.258 11%

GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 4.416 1% 3.887 1% 3.160 1% 3.427 1% 5.302 1%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) 3.162 1% 3.946 1% 2.614 1% 5.774 1% 10.088 2%

164.001 33,9% 161.249 30,2% 89.540 28,1% 108.558 25,1% 161.747 26,8%GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 4.129 1% 6.057 1% 5.416 2% 8.314 2% 13.899 2%

For all CC6. DOUBLE CABIN

5. PICK UP/TRUCK

Sub Total

For all CC4.129 0,9% 6.057 1,1% 5.416 1,7% 8.314 1,9% 13.899 2,3%

483.148 100% 533.917 100% 318.904 100% 433.341 100% 603.774 100%

EXPORTS

MARKET TOTAL

CBU EXPORT (UNITS)

6.Sub Total

30.974 17.805 9.572 100.982 60.267

IMPORTS

G : Gasoline, D : Diesel ©GAIKINDOCBU IMPORT (UNITS)

CKD EXPORT (SETS)COMPONENTS EXPORT (PIECES) 447.420

65.845 105.917 380.371 103.370

72.646 33.663 31.760 32.250

311.066 103.710

285.124 105.642 290.475

55.112

Page 7: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIKPER KATEGORI JAN-MEI 2009

SALES SHAREJAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2009 %

703 787 452 765 766 - - - - - - - 3.473 2,0%236 690 526 605 768 - - - - - - - 2.825 1,7%

7 40 17 20 15 - - - - - - - 99 0,1%946 1.517 995 1.390 1.549 - - - - - - - 6.397 3,8%

18.133 17.773 18.564 18.178 19.236 - - - - - - - 91.884 54,2%

CC > 3.001 (G)/2.501 (D)SUB TOTAL

CC < 1.500 (G/D)

CATEGORYMONTH

1. SEDAN TYPECC < 1.500 (G/D)

1.501 < CC < 3.000 (G)/2.500 (D)

18.133 17.773 18.564 18.178 19.236 91.884 54,2%4.620 4.848 4.872 5.478 5.322 - - - - - - - 25.140 14,8%

136 103 97 153 118 - - - - - - - 607 0,4%36 69 49 53 19 - - - - - - - 226 0,1%

22.925 22.793 23.582 23.862 24.695 - - - - - - - 117.857 69,5%- - - - - - - - - - - - - 0,0%

72 49 123 66 52 - - - - - - - 362 0,2%13 34 42 37 61 187 0 1%

1.501 < CC < 3.000 (G)/2.500 (D)

2.501 < CC < 3.000 (G)

CC > 3 001 (G)/2 500 (D)

CC 1.500 (G/D)1.501 < CC < 2.500 (G/D)

3. 4X4 TYPECC < 1.500 (G/D)

2.4X2 TYPE

SUB TOTALCC > 3.001 (G)/2.501 (D)

13 34 42 37 61 - - - - - - - 187 0,1%85 83 165 103 113 - - - - - - - 549 0,3%

GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 120 101 14 139 86 - - - - - - - 460 0,3%GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 84 67 114 103 148 - - - - - - - 516 0,3%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0,0%

204 168 128 242 234 - - - - - - - 976 0,6%GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 3.104 3.774 3.510 3.841 3.884 - - - - - - - 18.113 10,7%

CC > 3.001 (G)/2.500 (D)SUB TOTAL

4.

SUB TOTAL

BUS

GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 3.146 3.599 3.911 3.466 3.725 - - - - - - - 17.847 10,5%GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 258 419 390 340 373 - - - - - - - 1.780 1,1%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) 375 675 370 562 433 - - - - - - - 2.415 1,4%

6.883 8.467 8.181 8.209 8.415 - - - - - - - 40.155 23,7%DOUBLE CABIN GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 514 1.342 773 493 406 - - - - - - - 3.528 2,1%

4X2 / 4X4514 1.342 773 493 406 - - - - - - - 3.528 2,1%

5.

SUB TOTAL

SUB TOTAL

6. For all CC

PICK UP / TRUCK

514 1.342 773 493 406 3.528 2,1%

31.557 34.370 33.824 34.299 35.412 - - - - - - - 169.462 100%31.557 65.927 99.751 134.050 169.462 - - - - - - -

EXPORTS7.088 5.913 5.117 3.814 3.641 - - - - - - - 25.573

SUB TOTAL

SALES TOTALCUMMULATIVE

CBU (UNIT)3.830 3.623 3.540 3.010 4.300 - - - - - - - 18.303

20.454 5.190 10.835 12.398 19.124 - - - - - - - 68.001

IMPORTS606 1.238 817 1.293 1.802 - - - - - - - 5.756

©GAIKINDO-09

CKD (SET)COMPONENTS (PIECES)

CBU (UNIT)

Page 8: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIKPER MERK 2004 - 2009

200820072004 2005 2006 JAN MAY 2009UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S

A J A P A N 452.004 93,6% 505.934 94,8% 304.918 95,6% 411.289 94,9% 579.371 96,0% 162.332 95,8%1 TOYOTA 141.940 29,4% 182.765 34,2% 123.703 38,8% 150.631 34,8% 211.909 35,1% 61.999 36,6%2 DAIHATSU 47.621 9,9% 48.762 9,1% 33.021 10,4% 51.957 12,0% 78.041 12,9% 29.340 17,3%3 MITSUBISHI 89.590 18,5% 89.158 16,7% 47.023 14,7% 61.547 14,2% 87.524 14,5% 22.414 13,2%4 SUZUKI 82.242 17,0% 87.274 16,3% 44.760 14,0% 58.095 13,4% 73.067 12,1% 16.977 10,0%5 HONDA 46.500 9,6% 53.750 10,1% 30.000 9,4% 40.000 9,2% 52.500 8,7% 12.624 7,4%

200820072004 2005 2006 JAN-MAY 2009

5 HONDA 46.500 9,6% 53.750 10,1% 30.000 9,4% 40.000 9,2% 52.500 8,7% 12.624 7,4%6 NISSAN 12.201 2,5% 10.551 2,0% 4.006 1,3% 19.030 4,4% 31.879 5,3% 7.380 4,4%7 ISUZU 23.452 4,9% 25.010 4,7% 16.605 5,2% 18.270 4,2% 25.325 4,2% 6.208 3,7%8 HINO 6.401 1,3% 6.145 1,2% 4.193 1,3% 8.224 1,9% 14.227 2,4% 4.622 2,7%9 MAZDA 365 0,1% 652 0,1% 203 0,1% 1.336 0,3% 2.241 0,4% 346 0,2%

10 UD NISSAN DIESEL 1.692 0,4% 1.867 0,3% 1.380 0,4% 2.115 0,5% 2.391 0,4% 321 0,2%11 LEXUS - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% 46 0,0% 241 0,0% 82 0,0%12 SUBARU - 0,0% - 0,0% 24 0,0% 38 0,0% 26 0,0% 19 0,0%

B K O R E A 14.032 2,9% 15.060 2,8% 6.861 2,2% 8.064 1,9% 7.681 1,3% 1.923 1,1%1 KIA 6.211 1,3% 8.668 1,6% 3.852 1,2% 4.039 0,9% 3.880 0,6% 1.104 0,7%2 HYUNDAI (PC) 7.745 1,6% 6.391 1,2% 3.003 0,9% 4.020 0,9% 3.800 0,6% 819 0,5%3 SSANGYONG 76 0,0% 1 0,0% 6 0,0% 5 0,0% 1 0,0% - 0,0%

C GERMANY 4.821 1,0% 4.048 0,8% 1.754 0,6% 3.340 0,8% 3.904 0,6% 1.580 0,9%1 MERCEDES BENZ 2.513 0,5% 2.443 0,5% 914 0,3% 2.022 0,5% 2.872 0,5% 1.191 0,7%2 B M W 2.053 0,4% 1.257 0,2% 600 0,2% 1.000 0,2% 720 0,1% 298 0,2%3 VOLKSWAGEN 96 0 0% 228 0 0% 150 0 0% 208 0 0% 200 0 0% 60 0 0%3 VOLKSWAGEN 96 0,0% 228 0,0% 150 0,0% 208 0,0% 200 0,0% 60 0,0%4 AUDI 159 0,0% 120 0,0% 90 0,0% 110 0,0% 112 0,0% 31 0,0%

D FRANCE 960 0,2% 535 0,1% 137 0,0% 93 0,0% 63 0,0% 15 0,0%1 PEUGEOT 821 0,2% 486 0,1% 118 0,0% 85 0,0% 59 0,0% 15 0,0%2 RENAULT (PC) 139 0,0% 49 0,0% 19 0,0% 8 0,0% 4 0,0% - 0,0%

E SWEDEN 337 0,1% 143 0,0% 69 0,0% 60 0,0% 62 0,0% 17 0,0%1 VOLVO 337 0,1% 143 0,0% 69 0,0% 60 0,0% 62 0,0% 17 0,0%

F UNITED KINGDOM 243 0,1% 146 0,0% 81 0,0% 109 0,0% 91 0,0% 27 0,0%F UNITED KINGDOM 243 0,1% 146 0,0% 81 0,0% 109 0,0% 91 0,0% 27 0,0%1 LAND ROVER 110 0,0% 85 0,0% 54 0,0% 77 0,0% 52 0,0% 12 0,0%2 JAGUAR 133 0,0% 61 0,0% 27 0,0% 32 0,0% 39 0,0% 15 0,0%

G U S A 10.475 2,2% 7.812 1,5% 4.340 1,4% 7.801 1,8% 10.656 1,8% 2.822 1,7%1 FORD 6.097 1,3% 5.727 1,1% 3.515 1,1% 6.405 1,5% 7.999 1,3% 1.843 1,1%2 CHEVROLET 4.378 0,9% 2.085 0,4% 825 0,3% 1.396 0,3% 2.657 0,4% 979 0,6%

H MALAYSIA - 0,0% - 0,0% 305 0,1% 1.584 0,4% 1.089 0,2% 599 0,4%1 PROTON - 0,0% - 0,0% 305 0,1% 1.584 0,4% 1.089 0,2% 599 0,4%

I CHINA - 0,0% - 0,0% 269 0,1% 759 0,2% 853 0,1% 147 0,1%1 CHERY - 0,0% - 0,0% 269 0,1% 759 0,2% 853 0,1% 147 0,1%

J INDONESIA 276 0,1% 239 0,0% 170 0,1% 242 0,1% 4 0,0% - 0,0%1 TIMOR 276 0,1% 239 0,0% 170 0,1% 242 0,1% 4 0,0% - 0,0%

483.148 100% 533.917 100% 318.904 100% 433.341 100% 603.774 100% 169.462 100%

PC : PASSENGER CAR ©GAIKINDO-09

TOTAL MARKET

Page 9: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIK (RETAIL)PER AREA 2004 - 2008

UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S1 SUMATERA 1 Sumatera Utara 23.439 5,4% 27.855 5,6% 18.405 5,8% 21.910 5,5% 28.936 5,2%

2 Riau 11.467 2,6% 11.635 2,3% 8.753 2,8% 12.737 3,2% 19.910 3,6%3 Sumatera Selatan 8.438 1,9% 8.009 1,6% 7.642 2,4% 9.299 2,4% 13.934 2,5%4 Lampung 7.574 1,7% 8.138 1,6% 5.204 1,6% 6.758 1,7% 10.712 1,9%

2008PROVINCEAREANO. 2007200620052004

5 Sumatera Barat 7.653 1,8% 7.211 1,4% 4.511 1,4% 6.242 1,6% 9.897 1,8%6 Jambi 4.323 1,0% 4.291 0,9% 3.383 1,1% 4.395 1,1% 6.869 1,2%7 N A D 805 0,2% 1.474 0,3% 2.532 0,8% 3.178 0,8% 3.503 0,6%8 Bengkulu 1.804 0,4% 1.562 0,3% 482 0,2% 1.788 0,5% 3.355 0,6%9 Bangka Belitung 1.080 0,2% 2.412 0,5% 1.137 0,4% 811 0,2% 1.405 0,3%

10 Kepulauan Riau - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%2 J A W A 11 DKI Jakarta 130 829 30 2% 153 708 30 8% 98 379 31 1% 124 882 31 6% 160 899 29 1%2 J A W A 11 DKI Jakarta 130.829 30,2% 153.708 30,8% 98.379 31,1% 124.882 31,6% 160.899 29,1%

12 Jawa Barat 81.335 18,8% 94.842 19,0% 52.557 16,6% 67.024 17,0% 92.273 16,7%13 Jawa Timur 49.617 11,5% 53.593 10,8% 31.753 10,0% 38.725 9,8% 54.340 9,8%14 Banten 25.024 5,8% 29.272 5,9% 18.629 5,9% 24.254 6,1% 31.517 5,7%15 Jawa Tengah 25.096 5,8% 28.708 5,8% 15.496 4,9% 18.200 4,6% 29.290 5,3%16 D.I. Yogyakarta 5.475 1,3% 6.391 1,3% 3.777 1,2% 5.110 1,3% 7.596 1,4%

3 KALIMANTAN 17 Kalimantan Timur 9.702 2,2% 11.987 2,4% 9.420 3,0% 11.261 2,8% 16.285 2,9%18 Kalimantan Selatan 5.067 1,2% 6.754 1,4% 4.520 1,4% 5.001 1,3% 8.711 1,6%19 Kalimantan Barat 2.167 0,5% 2.280 0,5% 2.270 0,7% 2.802 0,7% 4.538 0,8%20 Kalimantan Tengah 565 0,1% 459 0,1% 985 0,3% 633 0,2% 1.362 0,2%

4 B A L I 21 Bali 9.425 2,2% 13.268 2,7% 8.095 2,6% 9.987 2,5% 16.277 2,9%5 LOMBOK 22 Nusa Tenggara Barat 1.382 0,3% 1.566 0,3% 872 0,3% 956 0,2% 1.385 0,3%6 TIMOR 23 Nusa Tenggara Timur 621 0,1% 754 0,2% 639 0,2% 716 0,2% 921 0,2%7 SULAWESI 24 S l i S l t 10 249 2 4% 12 056 2 4% 8 462 2 7% 9 459 2 4% 13 104 2 4%7 SULAWESI 24 Sulawesi Selatan 10.249 2,4% 12.056 2,4% 8.462 2,7% 9.459 2,4% 13.104 2,4%

25 Sulawesi Utara 3.779 0,9% 3.804 0,8% 3.627 1,1% 4.580 1,2% 7.641 1,4%26 Sulawesi Tenggara 883 0,2% 990 0,2% 594 0,2% 292 0,1% 1.153 0,2%27 Sulawesi Tengah 1.085 0,3% 1.327 0,3% 560 0,2% 78 0,0% 1.821 0,3%28 Sulawesi Barat - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%29 Gorontalo - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%

8 SERAM 30 Maluku 1.003 0,2% 1.364 0,3% 1.335 0,4% 1.173 0,3% 1.485 0,3%

Source : ASTRA

S , % , % , % , % 8 , %9 HALMAHERA 31 Irian Jaya Barat 3.021 0,7% 2.789 0,6% 2.715 0,9% 3.068 0,8% 3.789 0,7%

32 Maluku Utara - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%33 Papua - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%

432.908 100% 498.499 100% 316.734 100% 395.319 100% 552.908 100%NATIONAL TOTAL

Page 10: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

DATA REGISTRASI POLISI *PER PROVINSI 2004 - 2008

NO DAERAH 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

1 METROJAYA 3.730.387 4.004.640 4.183.722 5.628.862 5.787.359 2 JATIM 1.193.253 1.328.865 1.333.277 1.355.069 1.357.260 3 JABAR 980.198 1.040.712 1.079.771 1.096.909 1.109.648 4 JATENG 1.097.318 1.179.352 1.185.893 1.098.908 1.101.658 5 BANTEN 58 650 58 542 63 229 262 609 870 6335 BANTEN 58.650 58.542 63.229 262.609 870.633 6 KEPRI - 64.864 112.766 103.362 784.362 7 SULSEL 657.896 701.844 711.465 713.955 717.849 8 BALI 579.619 696.956 705.703 708.567 717.771 9 SUMSEL 391.785 605.125 611.210 626.339 628.605 10 KALBAR 424.797 451.542 460.826 493.174 518.013 11 SUMUT 479 342 496 843 508 729 511 381 509 72311 SUMUT 479.342 496.843 508.729 511.381 509.723 12 RIAU 396.179 425.342 446.825 448.555 473.437 13 KALSEL 401.534 437.395 444.846 448.351 461.268 14 KALTIM 410.171 432.698 441.237 443.038 444.384 15 SULUT 98.994 114.991 345.095 345.754 354.307 16 SUMBAR 341.727 251.552 188.583 317.913 319.516 17 D I YOGYAKARTA 201 965 289 768 307 188 315 765 274 01417 D.I.YOGYAKARTA 201.965 289.768 307.188 315.765 274.014 18 SULTENG 202.357 208.271 242.349 264.227 265.282 19 BABEL 36.737 39.695 171.106 171.913 256.862 20 NAD 150.838 102.197 110.154 226.469 234.236 21 NTB 180.235 189.725 205.089 205.464 206.643 22 NTT 173.185 182.755 186.493 190.511 190.827 23 KALTENG 157 778 439 204 451 707 452 201 185 94823 KALTENG 157.778 439.204 451.707 452.201 185.948 24 LAMPUNG 138.132 146.495 159.576 173.646 178.277 25 JAMBI 229.283 249.701 252.718 255.380 167.635 26 PAPUA 114.840 80.804 115.603 133.814 141.738 27 SULTRA 103.606 130.513 133.297 133.740 139.887 28 GORONTALO 975 10.048 16.669 120.458 121.500 29 BENGKULU 55.963 75.715 82.115 83.842 85.584

Source : Babinkam POLRI (Infolantas)

29 BENGKULU 55.963 75.715 82.115 83.842 85.584 30 MALUKU 34.868 35.364 28.767 36.510 39.878 31 MALUT 215 232 322 3.089 3.164

13.022.827 14.471.750 15.286.330 17.369.775 18.647.268 TOTAL

* BUKAN POPULASI

Page 11: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries KEMAMPUAN MANUFAKTUR & TEKNOLOGI

1 000 i

35 BRAND 27 BRAND 23 BRANDMAKERS 31 BRAND 29 BRAND23 BRAND +1 National Car ‘96

322379

332387

318354

483534

319

433

604

400

500

600

700x 1,000 units

50 50 50 52 53 72 88 103 103172

208 189152 152 144 162 160 158 178

274 261

170211

322 332

5894

301 300 318 319

0

100

200

300

0'71 '72 '73 '74 '75 '76 '77 '78 '79 '80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08

Assembly PlantAssembling Support Industry (Paint, Tire, Battery)

Stamping PlantGeneral Component Plant :Radiator Glass Seat Exhaust Pipe Spring

Engine PlantTransmission & R/Axle Plant

Support Industry & Up-stream Industry (Casting, Die manufacturing, Forging)

INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT :

(Paint, Tire, Battery)Karoseri

Radiator, Glass, Seat, Exhaust Pipe, Spring,Rubber Parts, Shock Absorber, Wheel Disc,Plastic Parts, Interior Parts, Wiring, GasketJigs Maker

R/Axle PlantPropeller PlantOthersExport Oriented

CBU & Component Facilities

ENGINEERING CAPABILITY :Design Jig & FixturesProduction Process ( Painting,Welding, Trimming andMetal Finish )

Stamping Die(s)Stamping Technology,Capability for Industry Support :•Body Maker•Maintenance•Dies and Jigs Maintenance

MachiningFerro castingHeat TreatmentInternational STDQuality Control

Capability for Supporting Upstream Industry Capability for Selecting Design and Layout of Machining

CBU & Component Design

Page 12: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries VENDOR KOMPONEN LOKAL

J

Page 13: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

VENDOR KOMPONEN LOKAL(Hino-Mitsubishi-UD Nissan Diesel-Mercedes Benz)

K

Page 14: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

SEJARAH & PERKEMBANGAN INDUSTRI OTOMOTIF1976 - 2015

168/M/SK/9/79

KEPPRES 20/98KEP :19/MPP/KEP/9820/MPP/KEP/98

307/M/SK/8/76

201/KPB/VII/92

PAKJUN '96PP.36 '96

KEPPRES 42 '96INPRES No. 2 '96

PP.145 '0049/MPP/KEP/2/00

586/PJ/01460/KMK.03/01

PP.60 '01172/MPP/05/01

34/PMK.011/0734/M IND/PER/4/07

756/MPP/KEP/11/02

08/M-DAG/PER/2/09

12/M- IND/PER/3/200607/M-DAG/PER/3/200606/M-DAG/PER/3/2006

PM LH 05/2006 231/M/SK/11/78

PAKMEI '95

117/M/SK/4/86PP.59 '99

PAKJUN '99

PP.43 '03411/MPP/KEP/06/03458/MPP/KEP/07/03KEPMEN LH 141/03

024/SK/ILMEA/XI/2003

349/M/SK/8/80

371/M/SK/9/83

201/KPB/VII/92107/M/SK/VII/92

PAKJUN '93

49/MPP/KEP/2/00569/KMK.04/0097/KMK.05/00

34/M-IND/PER/4/0749/M-DAG/PER/12/07PM DAGRI No. 9/2007

132/PMK 010/05

70/PMK.011/200843/M-IND/PER/7/08

44/M-DAG/PER/10/08

720

820

950

1.000

850

920

700

800

900

1000

111/M/SK/10/90132/PMK.010/05

VOLUME(X 1.000 UNIT)

44/M DAG/PER/10/0832/PMK.04/2008

OPT

NOR

172208 189 152 162 160 158 178

275261 211

322 341 332387

301 300 318354

483534

319

433

604

450540

650

350

450520

640

720

300

400

500

600

700

72 88 103 103172 152 152 144 162 160 158 178

170

58

94

0

100

200

'76 '77 '78 '79 '80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

Rp Devaluation31,0%[86]

Rp Devaluation27.5%[83]

Tight MoneyPolicy (TMP)

[87]

National CarProgram

[96]

Increase ofFuel Price

[05]

General &Presidential Elections

[04]

Increase of Fuel Price &Global Economic Crisis

[08]

General & PresidentialElections

[99]

New BankingRegulation

[89]

Tight MoneyPolicy (TMP)

[91]

EconomicCrisis[98]

General &Presidential Elections

[09]

Blue : Government Policy/RegulationsGreen : Economic & Political Milestones

Page 15: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries DAYA SAING

PASAR GLOBAL / INTERNASIONAL

Daya Saing :Ada ukuran yang kontinu & konsisten

Makro Ekonomi harus diukur lebih telitiMikro Ekonomi vol ekspor produk tertentu

Growth P i t h

Ada ukuran yang kontinu & konsistenSelalu di benchmark terhadap Asean & Asia

Mikro Ekonomi vol. ekspor produk tertentu

EKONOMIInflasiEx. RateInterest

OthersPemerintahStabil Politik, Hukum, Sosial

QInfrastruktur UmumInfrastruktur Industri Pandangan secara umum Industri

Ot tif I d i t d

INVESTASI MARKET/VOLUME

QInfrastruktur Sektor :• Pabrik• R & D• Produk

Otomotif Indonesia setara dengan negara Thailand & Malaysia tetapi masih dibawah negara India dan China

• Teknologi• SDM

Page 16: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries ASUMSI MAKRO/INDIKATOR EKONOMI

NO INDIKATOR 2006 2007 2008 * 2009 *

4 5 – 5 5 *1 GDP Growth (%) 5.5 5.8 – 6.2 6.3

4.5 – 5.5 4.0

2 Inflation (%) 7.8 6 – 7 11.066.5 – 7.5 **

< 7.5

3 SBI 3 Month (%) 10.5 - 11.5 8 - 9 11.088.5 ***< 8.0

4 E R t IDR/USD 9 300 9 200 10 95011,000 – 12,000

(St bl )4 Ex. Rate IDR/USD 9,300 9,200 10,950 (Stable)11.500

5 Oil Price (USD/barrel) 60 65 4035 – 55 ****

50

2009 (Prediction) :* GDP MoF

*Red : Government*Black : GAIKINDO

 GDP  MoF** Inf  BI*** SBI  BI**** Oil Price  Decreasing

Page 17: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries

PASAR DOMESTIK & PROYEKSI KEDEPAN1997 - 2015

9501.000

9201000

(X 1000 unit)OPT

Klub 1 JutaProduksi

(Depperin)

720

820

720

850

700

800

900 NOR

483534

433

604

450540

650

520

640

500

600

700

387

301 300 318 354

319

433

350

450

300

400

58

94

0

100

200

0'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

Data Proyeksi

1998 : Krisis Ekonomi & Politik2005 : Kenaikan Harga Minyak bulan Mar & Okt2008 : Krisis Ekonomi Global

Page 18: B.trisulo Noegardjito Gaikindo

Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries