Page 1
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor Indonesia
B b T i lBambang TrisuloNoegardjito
SEMINAR NASIONAL OTOMOTIF & WORKSHOPStrategi Pengembangan Industri Otomotif Dengan Berdaya Saing Global
Institut Teknologi Sepuluh NopemberInstitut Teknologi Sepuluh NopemberFakultas Teknologi Industri Jurusan D3 Teknik Mesin
Surabaya, 20 Juni 2009
Page 2
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
SASARAN, STRATEGI, KEBIJAKANINDUSTRI OTOMOTIF
GOAL Automotive Industry with high efficiency & strongglobal competitiveness
Focus on Component Industries
Enhance the development of SmallSTRATEGY
Enhance the development of SmallCommercial Car, MPV (< 5 tons)
& Motorcycle industries
Develop passenger car industry < 1.500 CC
O i h d i k
POLICIES Increasing the export market
Opening the domestic market
Fostering the Industry’s structure
Page 3
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries TABEL PAJAK BEA MASUK & PPnBM
2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2008
CATEGORY REMARKS
IMPORT DUTYLUXURY TAXCBU CKD IKD
2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2008CC < 1.5 lt 55 50 25 15 15 15 30
1.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt(G) / 2.5lt( D ) 55 50 30 15 - - 40CC > 3.0 lt ( G) / 2.5 ( D ) 55 50 40 15 - - 75
CC < 1 5 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 10
SEDAN TYPE
CC < 1.5 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 101.5 lt < CC < 2.5 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 202.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 40
CC > 3.0 lt ( G) / 2.5 (G/D) 45 45 20 15 15 15 75CC < 1 5 lt 45 45 20 15 - - 30
4X2 TYPE
CC < 1.5 lt 45 45 20 15 - - 301.5 lt < CC < 3.0 lt(G) / 2.5( D ) 45 45 20 15 - - 40
CC > 3.0 lt (G) / 2.5 ( D ) 45 45 20 15 - - 75GVW 5 - 24 ton ( G/D ) 40 40 20 15 5 5 10GVW > 24 ton ( G/D ) 10 10 5 5 5 5 10
4X4 TYPE
BUS GVW > 24 ton ( G/D ) 10 10 5 5 5 5 10GVW < 5 ton ( G/D ) 45 45 20 15 15 15 0
GVW 5 - 24 ton ( G/D ) 40 40 20 15 5 5 0GVW > 24 ton ( G/D ) 10 10 5 5 5 5 0
DOUBLE CABIN GVW < 5 ton ( G/D )
PICK UP/TRUCK
DOUBLE CABIN GVW < 5 ton ( G/D )4X2 / 4X4 ALL ACC
G : GasolineD : Diesel
45 201520 1545 15
Page 4
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR OTOMOTIF GLOBAL2004 - 2008
Units M/S Units M/S Units M/S Units M/S Units M/S
1 NORTH AMERICA 19.983.999 33,6% 20.233.472 33,1% 19.893.670 31,7% 19.289.646 29,6% 16.240.822 26,0%
2 WEST EUROPE 16.810.816 28,3% 16.852.692 27,6% 17.089.945 27,2% 17.238.612 26,5% 15.785.516 25,3%
20082006 2007NO. COUNTRY
2004 2005
3 CHINA 5.151.618 8,7% 5.724.569 9,4% 7.183.558 11,4% 8.784.791 13,5% 9.363.306 15,0%
4 JAPAN 5.853.382 9,9% 5.852.067 9,6% 5.739.506 9,1% 5.352.931 8,2% 5.082.235 8,1%
5 EAST EUROPE 3.146.164 5,3% 3.141.981 5,1% 3.229.329 5,1% 3.531.718 5,4% 4.971.873 8,0%
6 SOUTH AMERICA 2.025.096 3,4% 2.345.368 3,8% 2.742.335 4,4% 3.519.558 5,4% 3.703.741 5,9%
7 INDIA 1.344.371 2,3% 1.439.613 2,4% 1.754.372 2,8% 1.988.996 3,1% 1.981.054 3,2%
8 KOREA 1.117.976 1,9% 1.173.403 1,9% 1.164.254 1,9% 1.219.335 1,9% 1.239.046 2,0%
9 AUSTRALIA 955.229 1,6% 986.818 1,6% 962.666 1,5% 1.049.982 1,6% 1.012.165 1,6%
10 THAILAND 626.026 1,1% 703.432 1,2% 682.161 1,1% 631.251 1,0% 615.270 1,0%, , , , ,
11 INDONESIA 483.148 0,8% 533.917 0,9% 318.904 0,5% 433.341 0,7% 603.774 1,0%
12 MALAYSIA 487.605 0,8% 552.316 0,9% 490.768 0,8% 487.176 0,7% 548.115 0,9%
13 SOUTH AFRICA 449.603 0,8% 565.147 0,9% 646.987 1,0% 677.610 1,0% 533.398 0,9%
14 TAIWAN 484 282 0 8% 514 627 0 8% 311 214 0 5% 274 368 0 4% 229 497 0 4%14 TAIWAN 484.282 0,8% 514.627 0,8% 311.214 0,5% 274.368 0,4% 229.497 0,4%
15 PAKISTAN 134.082 0,2% 176.016 0,3% 199.678 0,3% 205.958 0,3% 157.182 0,3%
16 PHILIPPINES 88.075 0,1% 97.063 0,2% 99.541 0,2% 117.903 0,2% 124.449 0,2%
17 SINGAPORE 113.157 0,2% 130.237 0,2% 137.564 0,2% 122.254 0,2% 110.574 0,2%
18 VIETNAM 40 141 0 1% 35 266 0 1% 41 113 0 1% 80 392 0 1% 110 186 0 2%
Source : AAF & Fourin
18 VIETNAM 40.141 0,1% 35.266 0,1% 41.113 0,1% 80.392 0,1% 110.186 0,2%
19 NEW ZEALAND 98.104 0,2% 102.547 0,2% 99.460 0,2% 102.449 0,2% 97.192 0,2%
59.392.874 100% 61.160.551 100% 62.787.025 100% 65.108.271 100% 62.509.395 100%TOTAL
Page 5
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR OTOMOTIF ASEAN 62004 - 2008
YEAR
2004 2005 20072006 2008
UNITS M/S UNITS M/S UNITS M/S UNITS M/S UNITS M/S
1. THAILAND 626.026 34,1% 703.432 34,3% 682.161 38,5% 631.251 33,7% 615.270 29,1%
2004 2005 20072006 2008
ASEAN MEMBERS
2. INDONESIA 483.148 26,3% 533.917 26,0% 318.904 18,0% 433.341 23,1% 603.774 28,6%
3. MALAYSIA 487.605 26,5% 552.316 26,9% 490.768 27,7% 487.176 26,0% 548.115 25,9%
4. PHILIPPINE 88.075 4,8% 97.063 4,7% 99.541 5,6% 117.903 6,3% 124.449 5,9%
5. SINGAPORE 113.157 6,2% 130.237 6,3% 137.564 7,8% 122.254 6,5% 110.574 5,2%
6 VIETNAM 40 141 2 2% 35 266 1 7% 41 113 2 3% 80 392 4 3% 110 186 5 2%6. VIETNAM 40.141 2,2% 35.266 1,7% 41.113 2,3% 80.392 4,3% 110.186 5,2%
1.838.152 100% 2.052.231 100% 1.770.051 100% 1.872.317 100% 2.112.368 100%ASEAN TOTAL
Source : AAF
Page 6
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIKPER KATEGORI 2004 - 2008
UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/SCC < 1.5 (G/D) 27.299 6% 25.006 5% 10.241 3% 16.207 4% 18.753 3%
1.5 < CC < 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 12.892 3% 10.164 2% 7.188 2% 10.974 3% 15.284 3%CC > 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 290 0% 199 0% 136 0% 200 0% 263 0%
40 481 8 4% 35 369 6 6% 17 565 5 5% 27 381 6 3% 34 300 5 7%
SEDAN TYPE
Sub Total
1.
CATEGORY 2008200620052004YEAR
2007
40.481 8,4% 35.369 6,6% 17.565 5,5% 27.381 6,3% 34.300 5,7%CC < 1.5 (G/D) 160.991 33% 189.845 36% 136.793 43% 194.422 45% 279.051 46%
1.5 < CC < 2.5 (G/D) 108.858 23% 132.842 25% 62.205 20% 87.527 20% 105.822 18%2.5 < CC < 3.0 (G) 319 0% 3.110 1% 3.489 1% 2.359 1% 2.702 0%
CC > 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 974 0% 1.358 0% 1.147 0% 1.425 0% 1.215 0%271.142 56,1% 327.155 61,3% 203.634 63,9% 285.733 65,9% 388.790 64,4%
CC < 1.5 (G/D) - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0%
Sub Total
2.4X2 TYPE
Sub Total
1.5 < CC < 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 982 0% 1.663 0% 1.029 0% 1.479 0% 1.707 0%CC > 3.0 (G) / 2.5 (D) 260 0% 132 0% 159 0% 176 0% 470 0%
1.242 0,3% 1.795 0,3% 1.188 0,4% 1.655 0,4% 2.177 0,4%GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 914 0% 1.264 0% 1.009 0% 896 0% 1.651 0%
GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 1.239 0% 1.028 0% 552 0% 804 0% 1.210 0%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0% - 0%
2.153 0,4% 2.292 0,4% 1.561 0,5% 1.700 0,4% 2.861 0,5%
4. BUS
Sub Total
3. 4X4 TYPE
Sub Total
GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 92.899 19% 97.815 18% 51.583 16% 55.706 13% 80.099 13%GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 63.524 13% 55.601 10% 32.183 10% 43.651 10% 66.258 11%
GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 4.416 1% 3.887 1% 3.160 1% 3.427 1% 5.302 1%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) 3.162 1% 3.946 1% 2.614 1% 5.774 1% 10.088 2%
164.001 33,9% 161.249 30,2% 89.540 28,1% 108.558 25,1% 161.747 26,8%GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 4.129 1% 6.057 1% 5.416 2% 8.314 2% 13.899 2%
For all CC6. DOUBLE CABIN
5. PICK UP/TRUCK
Sub Total
For all CC4.129 0,9% 6.057 1,1% 5.416 1,7% 8.314 1,9% 13.899 2,3%
483.148 100% 533.917 100% 318.904 100% 433.341 100% 603.774 100%
EXPORTS
MARKET TOTAL
CBU EXPORT (UNITS)
6.Sub Total
30.974 17.805 9.572 100.982 60.267
IMPORTS
G : Gasoline, D : Diesel ©GAIKINDOCBU IMPORT (UNITS)
CKD EXPORT (SETS)COMPONENTS EXPORT (PIECES) 447.420
65.845 105.917 380.371 103.370
72.646 33.663 31.760 32.250
311.066 103.710
285.124 105.642 290.475
55.112
Page 7
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIKPER KATEGORI JAN-MEI 2009
SALES SHAREJAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2009 %
703 787 452 765 766 - - - - - - - 3.473 2,0%236 690 526 605 768 - - - - - - - 2.825 1,7%
7 40 17 20 15 - - - - - - - 99 0,1%946 1.517 995 1.390 1.549 - - - - - - - 6.397 3,8%
18.133 17.773 18.564 18.178 19.236 - - - - - - - 91.884 54,2%
CC > 3.001 (G)/2.501 (D)SUB TOTAL
CC < 1.500 (G/D)
CATEGORYMONTH
1. SEDAN TYPECC < 1.500 (G/D)
1.501 < CC < 3.000 (G)/2.500 (D)
18.133 17.773 18.564 18.178 19.236 91.884 54,2%4.620 4.848 4.872 5.478 5.322 - - - - - - - 25.140 14,8%
136 103 97 153 118 - - - - - - - 607 0,4%36 69 49 53 19 - - - - - - - 226 0,1%
22.925 22.793 23.582 23.862 24.695 - - - - - - - 117.857 69,5%- - - - - - - - - - - - - 0,0%
72 49 123 66 52 - - - - - - - 362 0,2%13 34 42 37 61 187 0 1%
1.501 < CC < 3.000 (G)/2.500 (D)
2.501 < CC < 3.000 (G)
CC > 3 001 (G)/2 500 (D)
CC 1.500 (G/D)1.501 < CC < 2.500 (G/D)
3. 4X4 TYPECC < 1.500 (G/D)
2.4X2 TYPE
SUB TOTALCC > 3.001 (G)/2.501 (D)
13 34 42 37 61 - - - - - - - 187 0,1%85 83 165 103 113 - - - - - - - 549 0,3%
GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 120 101 14 139 86 - - - - - - - 460 0,3%GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 84 67 114 103 148 - - - - - - - 516 0,3%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0,0%
204 168 128 242 234 - - - - - - - 976 0,6%GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 3.104 3.774 3.510 3.841 3.884 - - - - - - - 18.113 10,7%
CC > 3.001 (G)/2.500 (D)SUB TOTAL
4.
SUB TOTAL
BUS
GVW 5 - 10 Ton (G/D) 3.146 3.599 3.911 3.466 3.725 - - - - - - - 17.847 10,5%GVW 10 - 24 Ton (G/D) 258 419 390 340 373 - - - - - - - 1.780 1,1%GVW > 24 Ton (G/D) 375 675 370 562 433 - - - - - - - 2.415 1,4%
6.883 8.467 8.181 8.209 8.415 - - - - - - - 40.155 23,7%DOUBLE CABIN GVW < 5 Ton (G/D) 514 1.342 773 493 406 - - - - - - - 3.528 2,1%
4X2 / 4X4514 1.342 773 493 406 - - - - - - - 3.528 2,1%
5.
SUB TOTAL
SUB TOTAL
6. For all CC
PICK UP / TRUCK
514 1.342 773 493 406 3.528 2,1%
31.557 34.370 33.824 34.299 35.412 - - - - - - - 169.462 100%31.557 65.927 99.751 134.050 169.462 - - - - - - -
EXPORTS7.088 5.913 5.117 3.814 3.641 - - - - - - - 25.573
SUB TOTAL
SALES TOTALCUMMULATIVE
CBU (UNIT)3.830 3.623 3.540 3.010 4.300 - - - - - - - 18.303
20.454 5.190 10.835 12.398 19.124 - - - - - - - 68.001
IMPORTS606 1.238 817 1.293 1.802 - - - - - - - 5.756
©GAIKINDO-09
CKD (SET)COMPONENTS (PIECES)
CBU (UNIT)
Page 8
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIKPER MERK 2004 - 2009
200820072004 2005 2006 JAN MAY 2009UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S
A J A P A N 452.004 93,6% 505.934 94,8% 304.918 95,6% 411.289 94,9% 579.371 96,0% 162.332 95,8%1 TOYOTA 141.940 29,4% 182.765 34,2% 123.703 38,8% 150.631 34,8% 211.909 35,1% 61.999 36,6%2 DAIHATSU 47.621 9,9% 48.762 9,1% 33.021 10,4% 51.957 12,0% 78.041 12,9% 29.340 17,3%3 MITSUBISHI 89.590 18,5% 89.158 16,7% 47.023 14,7% 61.547 14,2% 87.524 14,5% 22.414 13,2%4 SUZUKI 82.242 17,0% 87.274 16,3% 44.760 14,0% 58.095 13,4% 73.067 12,1% 16.977 10,0%5 HONDA 46.500 9,6% 53.750 10,1% 30.000 9,4% 40.000 9,2% 52.500 8,7% 12.624 7,4%
200820072004 2005 2006 JAN-MAY 2009
5 HONDA 46.500 9,6% 53.750 10,1% 30.000 9,4% 40.000 9,2% 52.500 8,7% 12.624 7,4%6 NISSAN 12.201 2,5% 10.551 2,0% 4.006 1,3% 19.030 4,4% 31.879 5,3% 7.380 4,4%7 ISUZU 23.452 4,9% 25.010 4,7% 16.605 5,2% 18.270 4,2% 25.325 4,2% 6.208 3,7%8 HINO 6.401 1,3% 6.145 1,2% 4.193 1,3% 8.224 1,9% 14.227 2,4% 4.622 2,7%9 MAZDA 365 0,1% 652 0,1% 203 0,1% 1.336 0,3% 2.241 0,4% 346 0,2%
10 UD NISSAN DIESEL 1.692 0,4% 1.867 0,3% 1.380 0,4% 2.115 0,5% 2.391 0,4% 321 0,2%11 LEXUS - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% 46 0,0% 241 0,0% 82 0,0%12 SUBARU - 0,0% - 0,0% 24 0,0% 38 0,0% 26 0,0% 19 0,0%
B K O R E A 14.032 2,9% 15.060 2,8% 6.861 2,2% 8.064 1,9% 7.681 1,3% 1.923 1,1%1 KIA 6.211 1,3% 8.668 1,6% 3.852 1,2% 4.039 0,9% 3.880 0,6% 1.104 0,7%2 HYUNDAI (PC) 7.745 1,6% 6.391 1,2% 3.003 0,9% 4.020 0,9% 3.800 0,6% 819 0,5%3 SSANGYONG 76 0,0% 1 0,0% 6 0,0% 5 0,0% 1 0,0% - 0,0%
C GERMANY 4.821 1,0% 4.048 0,8% 1.754 0,6% 3.340 0,8% 3.904 0,6% 1.580 0,9%1 MERCEDES BENZ 2.513 0,5% 2.443 0,5% 914 0,3% 2.022 0,5% 2.872 0,5% 1.191 0,7%2 B M W 2.053 0,4% 1.257 0,2% 600 0,2% 1.000 0,2% 720 0,1% 298 0,2%3 VOLKSWAGEN 96 0 0% 228 0 0% 150 0 0% 208 0 0% 200 0 0% 60 0 0%3 VOLKSWAGEN 96 0,0% 228 0,0% 150 0,0% 208 0,0% 200 0,0% 60 0,0%4 AUDI 159 0,0% 120 0,0% 90 0,0% 110 0,0% 112 0,0% 31 0,0%
D FRANCE 960 0,2% 535 0,1% 137 0,0% 93 0,0% 63 0,0% 15 0,0%1 PEUGEOT 821 0,2% 486 0,1% 118 0,0% 85 0,0% 59 0,0% 15 0,0%2 RENAULT (PC) 139 0,0% 49 0,0% 19 0,0% 8 0,0% 4 0,0% - 0,0%
E SWEDEN 337 0,1% 143 0,0% 69 0,0% 60 0,0% 62 0,0% 17 0,0%1 VOLVO 337 0,1% 143 0,0% 69 0,0% 60 0,0% 62 0,0% 17 0,0%
F UNITED KINGDOM 243 0,1% 146 0,0% 81 0,0% 109 0,0% 91 0,0% 27 0,0%F UNITED KINGDOM 243 0,1% 146 0,0% 81 0,0% 109 0,0% 91 0,0% 27 0,0%1 LAND ROVER 110 0,0% 85 0,0% 54 0,0% 77 0,0% 52 0,0% 12 0,0%2 JAGUAR 133 0,0% 61 0,0% 27 0,0% 32 0,0% 39 0,0% 15 0,0%
G U S A 10.475 2,2% 7.812 1,5% 4.340 1,4% 7.801 1,8% 10.656 1,8% 2.822 1,7%1 FORD 6.097 1,3% 5.727 1,1% 3.515 1,1% 6.405 1,5% 7.999 1,3% 1.843 1,1%2 CHEVROLET 4.378 0,9% 2.085 0,4% 825 0,3% 1.396 0,3% 2.657 0,4% 979 0,6%
H MALAYSIA - 0,0% - 0,0% 305 0,1% 1.584 0,4% 1.089 0,2% 599 0,4%1 PROTON - 0,0% - 0,0% 305 0,1% 1.584 0,4% 1.089 0,2% 599 0,4%
I CHINA - 0,0% - 0,0% 269 0,1% 759 0,2% 853 0,1% 147 0,1%1 CHERY - 0,0% - 0,0% 269 0,1% 759 0,2% 853 0,1% 147 0,1%
J INDONESIA 276 0,1% 239 0,0% 170 0,1% 242 0,1% 4 0,0% - 0,0%1 TIMOR 276 0,1% 239 0,0% 170 0,1% 242 0,1% 4 0,0% - 0,0%
483.148 100% 533.917 100% 318.904 100% 433.341 100% 603.774 100% 169.462 100%
PC : PASSENGER CAR ©GAIKINDO-09
TOTAL MARKET
Page 9
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR OTOMOTIF DOMESTIK (RETAIL)PER AREA 2004 - 2008
UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S UNIT M/S1 SUMATERA 1 Sumatera Utara 23.439 5,4% 27.855 5,6% 18.405 5,8% 21.910 5,5% 28.936 5,2%
2 Riau 11.467 2,6% 11.635 2,3% 8.753 2,8% 12.737 3,2% 19.910 3,6%3 Sumatera Selatan 8.438 1,9% 8.009 1,6% 7.642 2,4% 9.299 2,4% 13.934 2,5%4 Lampung 7.574 1,7% 8.138 1,6% 5.204 1,6% 6.758 1,7% 10.712 1,9%
2008PROVINCEAREANO. 2007200620052004
5 Sumatera Barat 7.653 1,8% 7.211 1,4% 4.511 1,4% 6.242 1,6% 9.897 1,8%6 Jambi 4.323 1,0% 4.291 0,9% 3.383 1,1% 4.395 1,1% 6.869 1,2%7 N A D 805 0,2% 1.474 0,3% 2.532 0,8% 3.178 0,8% 3.503 0,6%8 Bengkulu 1.804 0,4% 1.562 0,3% 482 0,2% 1.788 0,5% 3.355 0,6%9 Bangka Belitung 1.080 0,2% 2.412 0,5% 1.137 0,4% 811 0,2% 1.405 0,3%
10 Kepulauan Riau - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%2 J A W A 11 DKI Jakarta 130 829 30 2% 153 708 30 8% 98 379 31 1% 124 882 31 6% 160 899 29 1%2 J A W A 11 DKI Jakarta 130.829 30,2% 153.708 30,8% 98.379 31,1% 124.882 31,6% 160.899 29,1%
12 Jawa Barat 81.335 18,8% 94.842 19,0% 52.557 16,6% 67.024 17,0% 92.273 16,7%13 Jawa Timur 49.617 11,5% 53.593 10,8% 31.753 10,0% 38.725 9,8% 54.340 9,8%14 Banten 25.024 5,8% 29.272 5,9% 18.629 5,9% 24.254 6,1% 31.517 5,7%15 Jawa Tengah 25.096 5,8% 28.708 5,8% 15.496 4,9% 18.200 4,6% 29.290 5,3%16 D.I. Yogyakarta 5.475 1,3% 6.391 1,3% 3.777 1,2% 5.110 1,3% 7.596 1,4%
3 KALIMANTAN 17 Kalimantan Timur 9.702 2,2% 11.987 2,4% 9.420 3,0% 11.261 2,8% 16.285 2,9%18 Kalimantan Selatan 5.067 1,2% 6.754 1,4% 4.520 1,4% 5.001 1,3% 8.711 1,6%19 Kalimantan Barat 2.167 0,5% 2.280 0,5% 2.270 0,7% 2.802 0,7% 4.538 0,8%20 Kalimantan Tengah 565 0,1% 459 0,1% 985 0,3% 633 0,2% 1.362 0,2%
4 B A L I 21 Bali 9.425 2,2% 13.268 2,7% 8.095 2,6% 9.987 2,5% 16.277 2,9%5 LOMBOK 22 Nusa Tenggara Barat 1.382 0,3% 1.566 0,3% 872 0,3% 956 0,2% 1.385 0,3%6 TIMOR 23 Nusa Tenggara Timur 621 0,1% 754 0,2% 639 0,2% 716 0,2% 921 0,2%7 SULAWESI 24 S l i S l t 10 249 2 4% 12 056 2 4% 8 462 2 7% 9 459 2 4% 13 104 2 4%7 SULAWESI 24 Sulawesi Selatan 10.249 2,4% 12.056 2,4% 8.462 2,7% 9.459 2,4% 13.104 2,4%
25 Sulawesi Utara 3.779 0,9% 3.804 0,8% 3.627 1,1% 4.580 1,2% 7.641 1,4%26 Sulawesi Tenggara 883 0,2% 990 0,2% 594 0,2% 292 0,1% 1.153 0,2%27 Sulawesi Tengah 1.085 0,3% 1.327 0,3% 560 0,2% 78 0,0% 1.821 0,3%28 Sulawesi Barat - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%29 Gorontalo - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%
8 SERAM 30 Maluku 1.003 0,2% 1.364 0,3% 1.335 0,4% 1.173 0,3% 1.485 0,3%
Source : ASTRA
S , % , % , % , % 8 , %9 HALMAHERA 31 Irian Jaya Barat 3.021 0,7% 2.789 0,6% 2.715 0,9% 3.068 0,8% 3.789 0,7%
32 Maluku Utara - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%33 Papua - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0% - 0,0%
432.908 100% 498.499 100% 316.734 100% 395.319 100% 552.908 100%NATIONAL TOTAL
Page 10
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
DATA REGISTRASI POLISI *PER PROVINSI 2004 - 2008
NO DAERAH 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1 METROJAYA 3.730.387 4.004.640 4.183.722 5.628.862 5.787.359 2 JATIM 1.193.253 1.328.865 1.333.277 1.355.069 1.357.260 3 JABAR 980.198 1.040.712 1.079.771 1.096.909 1.109.648 4 JATENG 1.097.318 1.179.352 1.185.893 1.098.908 1.101.658 5 BANTEN 58 650 58 542 63 229 262 609 870 6335 BANTEN 58.650 58.542 63.229 262.609 870.633 6 KEPRI - 64.864 112.766 103.362 784.362 7 SULSEL 657.896 701.844 711.465 713.955 717.849 8 BALI 579.619 696.956 705.703 708.567 717.771 9 SUMSEL 391.785 605.125 611.210 626.339 628.605 10 KALBAR 424.797 451.542 460.826 493.174 518.013 11 SUMUT 479 342 496 843 508 729 511 381 509 72311 SUMUT 479.342 496.843 508.729 511.381 509.723 12 RIAU 396.179 425.342 446.825 448.555 473.437 13 KALSEL 401.534 437.395 444.846 448.351 461.268 14 KALTIM 410.171 432.698 441.237 443.038 444.384 15 SULUT 98.994 114.991 345.095 345.754 354.307 16 SUMBAR 341.727 251.552 188.583 317.913 319.516 17 D I YOGYAKARTA 201 965 289 768 307 188 315 765 274 01417 D.I.YOGYAKARTA 201.965 289.768 307.188 315.765 274.014 18 SULTENG 202.357 208.271 242.349 264.227 265.282 19 BABEL 36.737 39.695 171.106 171.913 256.862 20 NAD 150.838 102.197 110.154 226.469 234.236 21 NTB 180.235 189.725 205.089 205.464 206.643 22 NTT 173.185 182.755 186.493 190.511 190.827 23 KALTENG 157 778 439 204 451 707 452 201 185 94823 KALTENG 157.778 439.204 451.707 452.201 185.948 24 LAMPUNG 138.132 146.495 159.576 173.646 178.277 25 JAMBI 229.283 249.701 252.718 255.380 167.635 26 PAPUA 114.840 80.804 115.603 133.814 141.738 27 SULTRA 103.606 130.513 133.297 133.740 139.887 28 GORONTALO 975 10.048 16.669 120.458 121.500 29 BENGKULU 55.963 75.715 82.115 83.842 85.584
Source : Babinkam POLRI (Infolantas)
29 BENGKULU 55.963 75.715 82.115 83.842 85.584 30 MALUKU 34.868 35.364 28.767 36.510 39.878 31 MALUT 215 232 322 3.089 3.164
13.022.827 14.471.750 15.286.330 17.369.775 18.647.268 TOTAL
* BUKAN POPULASI
Page 11
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries KEMAMPUAN MANUFAKTUR & TEKNOLOGI
1 000 i
35 BRAND 27 BRAND 23 BRANDMAKERS 31 BRAND 29 BRAND23 BRAND +1 National Car ‘96
322379
332387
318354
483534
319
433
604
400
500
600
700x 1,000 units
50 50 50 52 53 72 88 103 103172
208 189152 152 144 162 160 158 178
274 261
170211
322 332
5894
301 300 318 319
0
100
200
300
0'71 '72 '73 '74 '75 '76 '77 '78 '79 '80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08
Assembly PlantAssembling Support Industry (Paint, Tire, Battery)
Stamping PlantGeneral Component Plant :Radiator Glass Seat Exhaust Pipe Spring
Engine PlantTransmission & R/Axle Plant
Support Industry & Up-stream Industry (Casting, Die manufacturing, Forging)
INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT :
(Paint, Tire, Battery)Karoseri
Radiator, Glass, Seat, Exhaust Pipe, Spring,Rubber Parts, Shock Absorber, Wheel Disc,Plastic Parts, Interior Parts, Wiring, GasketJigs Maker
R/Axle PlantPropeller PlantOthersExport Oriented
CBU & Component Facilities
ENGINEERING CAPABILITY :Design Jig & FixturesProduction Process ( Painting,Welding, Trimming andMetal Finish )
Stamping Die(s)Stamping Technology,Capability for Industry Support :•Body Maker•Maintenance•Dies and Jigs Maintenance
MachiningFerro castingHeat TreatmentInternational STDQuality Control
Capability for Supporting Upstream Industry Capability for Selecting Design and Layout of Machining
CBU & Component Design
Page 12
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries VENDOR KOMPONEN LOKAL
J
Page 13
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
VENDOR KOMPONEN LOKAL(Hino-Mitsubishi-UD Nissan Diesel-Mercedes Benz)
K
Page 14
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
SEJARAH & PERKEMBANGAN INDUSTRI OTOMOTIF1976 - 2015
168/M/SK/9/79
KEPPRES 20/98KEP :19/MPP/KEP/9820/MPP/KEP/98
307/M/SK/8/76
201/KPB/VII/92
PAKJUN '96PP.36 '96
KEPPRES 42 '96INPRES No. 2 '96
PP.145 '0049/MPP/KEP/2/00
586/PJ/01460/KMK.03/01
PP.60 '01172/MPP/05/01
34/PMK.011/0734/M IND/PER/4/07
756/MPP/KEP/11/02
08/M-DAG/PER/2/09
12/M- IND/PER/3/200607/M-DAG/PER/3/200606/M-DAG/PER/3/2006
PM LH 05/2006 231/M/SK/11/78
PAKMEI '95
117/M/SK/4/86PP.59 '99
PAKJUN '99
PP.43 '03411/MPP/KEP/06/03458/MPP/KEP/07/03KEPMEN LH 141/03
024/SK/ILMEA/XI/2003
349/M/SK/8/80
371/M/SK/9/83
201/KPB/VII/92107/M/SK/VII/92
PAKJUN '93
49/MPP/KEP/2/00569/KMK.04/0097/KMK.05/00
34/M-IND/PER/4/0749/M-DAG/PER/12/07PM DAGRI No. 9/2007
132/PMK 010/05
70/PMK.011/200843/M-IND/PER/7/08
44/M-DAG/PER/10/08
720
820
950
1.000
850
920
700
800
900
1000
111/M/SK/10/90132/PMK.010/05
VOLUME(X 1.000 UNIT)
44/M DAG/PER/10/0832/PMK.04/2008
OPT
NOR
172208 189 152 162 160 158 178
275261 211
322 341 332387
301 300 318354
483534
319
433
604
450540
650
350
450520
640
720
300
400
500
600
700
72 88 103 103172 152 152 144 162 160 158 178
170
58
94
0
100
200
'76 '77 '78 '79 '80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
Rp Devaluation31,0%[86]
Rp Devaluation27.5%[83]
Tight MoneyPolicy (TMP)
[87]
National CarProgram
[96]
Increase ofFuel Price
[05]
General &Presidential Elections
[04]
Increase of Fuel Price &Global Economic Crisis
[08]
General & PresidentialElections
[99]
New BankingRegulation
[89]
Tight MoneyPolicy (TMP)
[91]
EconomicCrisis[98]
General &Presidential Elections
[09]
Blue : Government Policy/RegulationsGreen : Economic & Political Milestones
Page 15
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries DAYA SAING
PASAR GLOBAL / INTERNASIONAL
Daya Saing :Ada ukuran yang kontinu & konsisten
Makro Ekonomi harus diukur lebih telitiMikro Ekonomi vol ekspor produk tertentu
Growth P i t h
Ada ukuran yang kontinu & konsistenSelalu di benchmark terhadap Asean & Asia
Mikro Ekonomi vol. ekspor produk tertentu
EKONOMIInflasiEx. RateInterest
OthersPemerintahStabil Politik, Hukum, Sosial
QInfrastruktur UmumInfrastruktur Industri Pandangan secara umum Industri
Ot tif I d i t d
INVESTASI MARKET/VOLUME
QInfrastruktur Sektor :• Pabrik• R & D• Produk
Otomotif Indonesia setara dengan negara Thailand & Malaysia tetapi masih dibawah negara India dan China
• Teknologi• SDM
Page 16
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries ASUMSI MAKRO/INDIKATOR EKONOMI
NO INDIKATOR 2006 2007 2008 * 2009 *
4 5 – 5 5 *1 GDP Growth (%) 5.5 5.8 – 6.2 6.3
4.5 – 5.5 4.0
2 Inflation (%) 7.8 6 – 7 11.066.5 – 7.5 **
< 7.5
3 SBI 3 Month (%) 10.5 - 11.5 8 - 9 11.088.5 ***< 8.0
4 E R t IDR/USD 9 300 9 200 10 95011,000 – 12,000
(St bl )4 Ex. Rate IDR/USD 9,300 9,200 10,950 (Stable)11.500
5 Oil Price (USD/barrel) 60 65 4035 – 55 ****
50
2009 (Prediction) :* GDP MoF
*Red : Government*Black : GAIKINDO
GDP MoF** Inf BI*** SBI BI**** Oil Price Decreasing
Page 17
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries
PASAR DOMESTIK & PROYEKSI KEDEPAN1997 - 2015
9501.000
9201000
(X 1000 unit)OPT
Klub 1 JutaProduksi
(Depperin)
720
820
720
850
700
800
900 NOR
483534
433
604
450540
650
520
640
500
600
700
387
301 300 318 354
319
433
350
450
300
400
58
94
0
100
200
0'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
Data Proyeksi
1998 : Krisis Ekonomi & Politik2005 : Kenaikan Harga Minyak bulan Mar & Okt2008 : Krisis Ekonomi Global
Page 18
Gabungan Industri Kendaraan Bermotor IndonesiaThe Association of Indonesia Automotive Industries