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Broad failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone leading to Economic Crises KOU Xiaoting ABOU SALEH Habib GIRDAL Sylvain MITCHELL Rodolfo MOHREZ Rafael
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Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Aug 07, 2015

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Page 1: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Broad failures of Governmental Policies within

Euro Zone leading to Economic Crises

KOU XiaotingABOU SALEH HabibGIRDAL SylvainMITCHELL RodolfoMOHREZ Rafael

Page 2: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Presentation Outline

Introduction

What happened ?

Greece

Spain

Why it happened ?

Possible Solutions & Preventions

Page 3: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Introduction

Page 4: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Same Monetary Policies

Different Financial Polices

EU countries are tightly intertwined

The financial crisis in 2008 affect EU

EU is a Monetary Union

Finical Polices

VS

Page 5: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

What happened ?

Page 6: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Overspending Policies:

• Benefit programs (public sector, government committees, Olympic Airlines)

• Early retirement pensions which allows Greeks to retire in their 40s•Overspending far more than most other EU members on arms

Wrong Policies:•Absence of proper tax payments from citizens balanced with proper tax collection from the government •Absence of proper allocation of defense budget (80 % spent on administrative and staff payments)

Greece entered EMU without preparation and fell into: the debt trap and the competitiveness trap

Policies and Root Causes

Page 7: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Spain

Page 8: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Real Estate Bubble

+

Trade Balance deficit

+ Financial Crisis

=> Spain Debt Crisis

Housing price

Housing investment

Unemployment (%)Debt (% GDP)Deficit (% GDP)

Trade Balance (Billions of €)

Page 9: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Why it happened ?

Page 10: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Analysis

Before 2007

Taxes

Borrowing

Spending

Deficit spending

After 2007

Dry money market Difficulties to refinance

debts Austerity measures

Page 11: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Possible Solutions & Preventions

Page 12: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

• Cutting spendings• Borrowing less• Paying back more debt• But...

• Nobody wants austerity• It doenst balance the government accounts automatically• It will not prevent it from happening in the future

Political organization with authority to set fiscal policy in the Euro Area

• Cutting spending• Setting laws• Increasing taxes• Preventing excess

Can Europe take the necessary steps to create a Fiscal Union alongside the Monetary Union?

Page 13: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

Bibliography

Page 14: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

• Tejvan, Pettinger (2011), Facts on European Debt Crisis, Economics, [online] Available at http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/2847/economics/eu-debt-crisis/ [ 1 February 2015]

• Jarvis, J. (2014), The European Debt Crisis Visualized. Bloomberg Business, 11 February 2014 [online] Available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8xAXJx9WJ8 [ 4 February 2015]

• Ventura, Luca; Aridas, Tina (December 2011). Public Debt by Country ,Global Finance, Gfmag.com. [ 5 February 2015]

• Crisis in Euro-zone—Next Phase of Global Economic Turmoil ,Competition master, Archived from the original on 2010-05-25. [ 5 February 2015]

• Aljazeera.com, 'Greece's Economic Crisis'. N.p., 2010. Web. [2 Feb. 2015]. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2010/04/201042961414904780.html

• BBC News, 'Greek Debt Crisis'. N.p., 2012. Web. http://www.bbc.com/news/business-13798000[3 Feb. 2015].

• Stewart, Heather. 'A New Idea Steals Across Europe – Should Greece's Debt Be Forgiven'. the Guardian. N.p., 2015. Web http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jan/18/should-greece-debt-forgiven-new-idea-europe-syriza. [3 Feb. 2015].

• Eurozone Crisis explained - BBC News Business – Sptember 2012 - http://www.bbc.com/news/business-17549970

• Stephen Burgen - Pain in Spain as bank warns of 10-year jobs blight and public debt leaps €8.1bn – The Guardian – April 2014 - http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/14/spain-unemployment-economy-recovery-financial-crisis

Page 15: Broad Failures of Governmental Policies within Euro Zone Leading to Economic Crises

• Francisco Carballo-Cruz – Causes and consequences of the Spanish economic Crisis : why the recovery is taken so long? – Panoeconomicus 2011-3 – September 2011 - http://www.google.fr/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=14&ved=0CDgQFjADOAo&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.doiserbia.nb.rs%2Fft.aspx%3Fid%3D1452-595X1103309C&ei=xRfmVOPDNcvxUtnHgqgE&usg=AFQjCNFPDPp4PqJO8UcA20jEezbHTCTzAA&sig2=E0pA3AM8AzDOJjb1_fDhiw&bvm=bv.85970519,d.d24

• Lewis, M. (2012), Boomerang: travels in the new Third World 1th ed. New York: Norton & Company.

• Jarvis, J. (2014), The European Debt Crisis Visualized. Bloomberg Business, 11 February 2014 [online] Available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8xAXJx9WJ8 [ 2 February 2015]

• Spiegel (2010), PIIGS to the Slaughter: Can the Euro Zone Cope with a National Bankruptcy? Spiegel Online International, 22 February 2010 [online] Available at http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/piigs-to-the-slaughter-can-the-euro-zone-cope-with-a-national-bankruptcy-a-679502.html [ 31 January 2015]

• Jarvis, J. (2014), The European Debt Crisis Visualized. Bloomberg Business, 11 February 2014 [online] Available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8xAXJx9WJ8 [ 2 February 2015]

• Bogdan, C, & Daniela, H 2014, 'IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON SOVEREIGN DEBT IN THE EUROPEAN UNION', Annals Of The University Of Oradea, Economic Science Series, 23, 1, pp. 719-727, Business Source Complete, EBSCOhost, viewed 02 February 2015.

• Krajewska, A 2014, 'Fiscal Policy in the EU Countries Most Affected by the Crisis: Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain',Comparative Economic Research, 17, 3, pp. 5-27, Business Source Complete, EBSCOhost, viewed 02 February 2015.