w RECENT VC VINTAGES SEE CONTINUED POTENTIAL GLOBAL PE CASH FLOWS REMAIN MASSIVE VC IT INVESTMENT: PME CASE STUDY 6 11 13 SPONSORED BY BENCHMARKING + FUND PERFORMANCE 4Q 2015 REPORT
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RECEN T VC V IN TAGE S SEE CON T INUED P O T EN T IAL
GL OBAL PE CASH F L OWS REMAIN MAS SIVE
VC I T INVE S T MEN T:PME CASE S T UDY
6
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SPONSORED BY
BENCHMARKING+ F UND P ERF ORM A NCE
4Q 2015 REPORT
CONTENTSIntroduction
PE & VC KS PME Benchmarks
KS PME Case Study: IT
Global IRR by Fund Type
Global Quartiles & Benchmarks
Global PE IRRs
Global PE Fund Return Multiples
Global PE Fund Cash Flows
Global VC IRRs
Global VC Fund Return Multiples
Global VC Fund Cash Flows
Select Top Funds by IRR
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15 COPYRIGHT © 2015 by PitchBook Data, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means—graphic, electronic, or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, and information storage and retrieval systems—without the express written permission of PitchBook Data, Inc. Contents are based on information from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Nothing herein should be construed as any past, current or future recommendation to buy or sell any security or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This material does not purport to contain all of the information that a prospective investor may wish to consider and is not to be relied upon as such or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment.
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RESEARCH
EDITORIAL
SALES
3 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
RR Donnelley is the world’s largest integrated communications company. The company works collaboratively with more than 60,000 customers worldwide to develop custom communications solutions that reduce costs, drive top-line growth, enhance ROI and increase compliance. Drawing on a range of proprietary and commercially available digital and conventional technologies deployed across four continents, the company employs a suite
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RR Donnelley is the sponsor of the PitchBook 4Q 2015 Global PE & VC Benchmarking & Fund Performance Report. All information contained in this publication is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as legal, accounting, tax, or other professional advice of any kind, on any subject matter. RR Donnelley expressly disclaims all liability in respect to actions taken or not taken based on any or all the content herein.
IntroductionAssessing the performance of private equity and venture capital funds is crucial and challenging
in equal measure. The timeline of performance reporting is just one of the key considerations; as fund performance data trails overall investment activity statistics by a matter of months, accurately analyzing those separate datasets to produce a comprehensive overview of how fund results have shaped and will continue to shape investors’ actions can be difficult. But not overly difficult, and, furthermore, armed with not only broad dealmaking numbers but also fund performance figures, clearer and more comprehensive insights into the current private investment landscape are achievable. As an illustration, the primary storyline of the past few months has been a growing incidence of investor caution in both private and public markets, with PE fund managers dialing back activity somewhat in light of persistently high valuations and competition for quality targets. For venture investors, the existence of a true tech bubble remains uncertain, but at the very least, it’s
clear that quite a few vaunted valuations garnered by late-stage startups may have been overly exuberant. Yet, looking at the most recent influx of PE and VC fund performance data, it’s clear that limited partners still have plenty of reasons to recommit to their investors. Last year saw venture fund managers worldwide return no less than $57 billion to their backers, while 1Q 2015 posted an immense $19.7 billion. Global PE cash flows
were comparably mammoth, with a staggering $467.8 billion distributed back to LPs in 2014 and $168.2 billion through the end of March. The M&A boom and surging public markets that helped produce those massive sums may have shifted since, but in light of such success, PE and VC firms that have demonstrated success will likely
continue to enjoy commitments on the part of their LPs, at least for some time. We hope the information contained in this report proves insightful and acts as a starting point in your efforts to benchmark the performance of PE, VC and other asset classes. If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please contact us at [email protected].
Strong cash flows for now signal continued LP
investment, even as caution grows.
4 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
IRR and cash multiples have been the gold standard of benchmarking for decades, but one of their main drawbacks is that they cannot be directly compared to indices that are used in mainstream asset classes. Public-market equivalent benchmarks (PMEs) effectively address this problem, making it possible to directly compare alternative asset fund performance to the performance of indexed asset classes by using fund-level cash flows.
As there are multiple ways to calculate a PME, PitchBook has employed the Kaplan-Schoar PME method.
Kaplan-Schoar (KS) Method:
A white paper detailing the calculations and methodology behind the PME benchmarks can be found at pitchbook.com. PitchBook News & Analysis also contains several articles with PME benchmarks and analysis. These can be read here.
To find out how the PME benchmarks can be utilized to gauge performance of a specific fund or your fund portfolio, please contact us at [email protected].
KS PME Benchmarks
PE KS PME BENCHMARK BY VINTAGE
VC KS PME BENCHMARK BY VINTAGE
Source: PitchBook
The KS PME charts on this page show the relative performance for a particular vintage of PE or VC funds against the specified index since the funds’ inception. Pre-2006 vintage PE funds outperformed the public markets consistently between 2002 and 2005, while VC funds across most vintages show overall underperformance. The stock market’s surge over the last couple of years has definitely cut into PME values for more recent vintages on the PE side in particular; though, in the event of a market downturn, it’s possible recent PE and VC fund vintages will begin to swing up if they generate returns better than stocks.
When using a KS PME, a value greater than 1.0 indicates outperformance of the public index (net of all fees). For example, the 1.12 value for 2005 vintage PE funds means investors in a typical vehicle from that year are 12% better off having invested in PE than if they had invested in public equities over the same period.
PME calculated using Russell 3000® Index
PME calculated using Russell 2000® Growth Index
When using a KS PME, a value less than 1.0 indicates underperformance of the public index (net of all fees). For example, the 0.85 value for 2006 vintage VC funds means the value of an individual’s investments in a typical vehicle from that year would be 85% the value of what it would be if it were instead invested in the public markets. Note: The axes on both charts above are scaled differently, with the area below 1.0 much larger on the VC chart than the PE chart.
PMEKS—TVPI, T =S t=0
distribution
I t
T tNAVTIT
( )+
AN INTRODUCTION TO PME BENCHMARKS
Source: PitchBook
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
S t=0T contribution
I t
t( )
5 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
KS PME Case Study: ITGLOBAL IT-FOCUSED VC FUND KS PME BENCHMARK BY VINTAGE
GLOBAL AVERAGE IT-FOCUSED VC FUND RETURN MULTIPLES BY VINTAGE
PME calculated using Russell 2000 Growth® Index
Given the current heightened valuations of many VC-backed
technology companies, we decided to focus on the IT space for this report’s KS PME case study. Our KS PME benchmark formula allows us to directly compare alternative asset fund performance to the broader public market using fund-level cash flows. Older vintage IT-focused vehicles have consistently underperformed the Russell 2000® Growth Index before shifting gears in 2008. We witnessed the most significant underperformance in 2004 vintage pools, which have underperformed by nearly 60% relative to public equivalents. Prior to the financial crisis, public equities had moved considerably higher in the years following 2004. With this steady rise in values, VC investors may have acquired many stakes in companies unable to weather the recession, and thus the fund returns at that vintage have severely underperformed their benchmark.
While 2007 saw flat performance between IT-focused VC returns and their public equivalents, 2008 vintages have experienced success, outperforming their benchmark by 22%, only second to the near-25% outperformance 2010 vintages displayed. As 2008 came directly in the midst of the last global recession, assets were acquired during distressed states, allowing for significant upside gains as the economy and markets subsequently recovered. Further, in 2010, many VCs were able to fund companies such as Palantir Technologies or Twitter (NYSE: TWTR) that were able to achieve considerable growth amid that recovery following financings at more reasonable valuations, as opposed to today’s environment.
Russell Investments is the source and owner of the Russell Index data contained or reflected in this material and all trademarks and copyrights related thereto. Russell Investments is not responsible for the formatting or configuration of this
material or for any inaccuracy in PitchBook Data, Inc.’s presentation thereof. For more information on Russell Investments and Russell Indexes, visit www.russell.com.
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120.
97x
0.81
x
0.43
x
0.54
x
0.51
x
0.66
x
0.41
x
0.24
x
0.45
x
0.11
x
0.32
x
0.68
x 0.91
x
0.85
x 1.05
x
1.26
x
1.23
x
1.57
x
1.23
x
1.31
x1.08x 1.13x1.11x
1.45x 1.36x
1.71x 1.67x1.47x
2.03x
1.30x1.37x
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average of DPI Average of RVPI Average of TVPI
6 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
IRR by Fund TypeGLOBAL MEDIAN IRR BY FUND TYPE AND VINTAGE YEAR
GLOBAL HORIZON IRR BY FUND TYPE
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Vintage Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
PE 21.5% 14.8% 14.1% 11.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.3% 10.8% 13.0% 9.1% 11.7% 9.8%
VC 3.1% 3.8% 3.2% 0.3% 4.8% 5.3% 7.5% 10.9% 12.1% 21.1% 9.5% 10.1%
Debt 10.4% 17.9% 6.8% 10.6% 5.7% 5.0% 8.2% 12.2% 12.4% 10.2% 11.7% 12.0%
FoF 9.6% 9.0% 10.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 10.4% 11.0% 9.5% 10.6% 8.3%
Looking back to 2001, PE and debt funds have continued to
display the most consistent performance in terms of median IRRs, with older vintages in both outperforming noticeably. Across relatively recent vintages, VC funds have displayed improvement, peaking at the 21.1% median IRR seen thus far by 2010 vintages. That outperformance was likely driven by early stakes acquired prior to the subsequent, rapid rise in valuations. With regard to other asset classes, one-year horizon IRRs for funds-of-funds have been driven by the discrimination managers have been able to exercise in placing capital, especially with the recent volatility in public markets, and modest trepidation in dealmaking.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
PE Funds VC Funds Debt Funds Funds-of-Funds
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
PE Funds VC Funds Debt Funds Funds-of-Funds
7 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Quartiles & BenchmarksGLOBAL PE IRR QUARTILES BY VINTAGE YEAR
GLOBAL VC IRR QUARTILES BY VINTAGE YEAR
With LPs chasing high returns in alternative assets more and more over the past decade, PE
funds have been able to raise considerable amounts of capital. Yet as this has happened across the board, outperforming returns have become more difficult to achieve as competition for quality assets has ramped up. Moving into more recent years, this competition has contributed to rather noticeable tightening in the spread between top quartile, bottom quartile and median fund IRRs. 2001 vintages witnessed a spread of over 14.5% between top-quartile and median IRRs, along with a spread of just under 25% between top-quartile and bottom-quartile pools. Looking at the most recent data for 2012 vintages, we’ve seen these respective spreads narrow to just 9.5% and 14.2%.
IRRs for VC funds with vintages between 2009 and 2012 have been strong, peaking in 2010 with
a median IRR of 21.1% and a top-quartile IRR hurdle of 36.8%. However, the landscape appears to be changing and VCs will face considerable headwinds in attempting to maintain these returns. Valuations have reached frothy levels across most asset classes, and as recent volatility in public comparables has increased the uncertainty regarding the values of many VC-backed companies, we may see a lack of liquidity that can increase hold periods and suppress future returns. Exits are down noticeably thus far in 2015, and secondary transactions are also becoming increasingly difficult to complete. Taking the above into account, recent vintages may well see their numbers slide by an appreciable amount sooner rather than later.
Vintage Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Top Quartile IRR Hurdle 27.7% 26.5% 18.5% 12.0% 11.1% 15.4% 15.2% 20.4% 16.3% 18.0% 19.2%
Median IRR 14.8% 14.1% 11.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.3% 10.8% 13.0% 9.1% 11.7% 9.8%
Bottom Quartile IRR Hurdle 8.9% 8.0% 5.8% 2.8% 3.2% 5.4% 6.6% 8.7% 5.7% 3.2% 5.0%
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Vintage Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Top Quartile IRR Hurdle 8.3% 7.2% 4.8% 10.0% 10.6% 16.5% 17.3% 22.5% 36.8% 19.0% 21.0%
Median IRR 3.8% 3.2% 0.3% 4.8% 5.3% 7.5% 10.9% 12.1% 21.1% 9.5% 10.1%
Bottom Quartile IRR Hurdle (3.5%) (4.8%) (8.0%) (0.8%) (4.4%) 2.5% 2.3% 4.8% 11.7% (0.3%) 5.2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201225th Percentile Median 75th Percentile
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201225th Percentile Median 75th Percentile
8 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Private Equity IRRsPE horizon IRRs recorded through the first quarter of
this year have remained consistent with recently seen trends. Funds sized over $1 billion have outperformed across three-year to 10-year horizons, while vehicles sized between $250 million and $1 billion have fared better across one-year to three-year horizons. Scanning these fund size buckets and their respective horizons, the only 10-year horizon IRR uptick we saw relative to its last recording occurred in $1 billion+ pools, which generated an 18.2% return as of 1Q 2015, compared to 17.4% in 4Q 2014. Such outperformance only further reinforces what seems to be an ever-more significant trend for the PE industry: larger PE vehicles performing better and consequently attracting a disproportionate share of LP interest.
Comparing all traditional PE funds relative to other private fund types including secondaries, VC and fund-of-funds, PE IRRs fare better than all other fund types across three-year to 10-year timeframes, yet funds-of-funds and secondaries lead the way in the short run. As expensive valuations are forcing GPs to potentially overpay to win deals, LPs have been able to utilize funds-of-funds and secondaries to generate returns while downplaying risk to some extent. Those invested in the former are able to take advantage of managers handpicking GPs that they deem most suitable for the client’s needs. Those investing in secondaries are able to achieve heightened visibility into the portfolio companies in a fund, thus providing additional transparency for the buyer to gauge the investment’s risk profile, helping prop short-term horizon IRRs.
GLOBAL PE HORIZON IRR BY SIZE BUCKET
PE HORIZON IRR BY REGION
Outperformance at the long term among larger vehicles indicates LPs may continue favoring them disproportionately.
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Under $250M $250M-$1B $1B+
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
U.S. PE Funds European PE Funds
9 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
PE Fund Return Multiples
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
GLOBAL AVERAGE PE FUND RETURN MULTIPLES BY VINTAGE
GLOBAL AVERAGE PE DPI MULTIPLES OVER TIME BY VINTAGE
Fund return multiples have noticeably improved since the
last edition of this report, driven by a continued push to exit portfolio companies before a potential softening in the market. Distributions have remained healthy, even in newer vintages, with figures from 2012 including an average DPI of 0.18x, among a TVPI figure that jumped higher to 1.17x from the 1.12x recorded in the prior edition of this report. Looking at slightly older vehicles, the average DPI of 2005 vintages jumped significantly to 1.10x, compared to just 0.72x recorded in 4Q 2014. As firms continuously look to exit assets ready to get to market, distributions may remain strong. That being said, GPs continue to hold high levels of dry powder, and thus, newer vintages could see multiples stagnate over the next 12 to 24 months, as fund managers begin calling down capital to deploy into distressed energy plays or distressed debt and lending opportunities, among other areas.
Distributions look set to remain healthy, although multiples could plateau in the next 12 to 24 months.
1.51
x
1.54
x
1.46
x
1.10
x
0.85
x
0.78
x
0.70
x
0.69
x
0.38
x
0.22
x
0.18
x
0.18
x
0.21
x
0.26
x
0.40
x
0.49
x
0.64
x
0.69
x
0.78
x
0.88
x
1.03
x
1.00
x
1.70x 1.76x 1.72x
1.50x1.34x 1.42x 1.39x
1.48x
1.26x 1.25x 1.17x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
2.0x
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average of DPI Average of RVPI Average of TVPI
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Years since inception
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
10 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Global PE Fund Cash FlowsGLOBAL PE FUNDS ANNUALIZED CASH FLOW BY YEAR
YearDistributions
($B)Contributions
($B)Net Cash Flow
($B)
2001 $26.0 ($53.7) ($27.7)
2002 $32.8 ($77.9) ($45.0)
2003 $57.0 ($79.5) ($22.4)
2004 $142.7 ($106.7) $36.1
2005 $152.5 ($134.9) $17.6
2006 $177.2 ($228.2) ($50.9)
2007 $208.6 ($304.4) ($95.7)
2008 $122.1 ($317.9) ($195.9)
2009 $62.0 ($168.5) ($106.5)
2010 $169.6 ($254.1) ($84.5)
2011 $261.5 ($258.7) $2.8
2012 $326.8 ($269.9) $56.9
2013 $394.8 ($227.6) $167.2
2014 $467.8 ($300.8) $167.0
2015* $168.2 ($114.3) $53.9
LPs continued to experience positive net cash flows out of
global PE funds through the first quarter of 2015. Total distributions during the period have amounted to approximately $168.2 billion, offset by $114.3 billion in total contributions. The quality of assets currently coming to market isn’t up to par with what we saw in 2014, and thus, what attractive deals remaining are being bid up to levels many PE shops are simply unwilling to pay. Although fundraising has remained strong and there is plentiful capital to close deals, funds are weary of overpaying at a period where we may be nearing the end of a fairly robust buyout cycle, leaving them with expensive portfolio companies and the risk of not being able to generate a substantial return. As additional data comes in, we expect similar results. Pockets of quality exist, yet with so much competition for those assets, some GPs may have to simply return capital to LPs, if they cannot adequately put it to work at reasonable values.
Source: PitchBook
-$400
-$300
-$200
-$100
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Total Contributions ($B) Total Distributions ($B) Net Cash Flow ($B)
*As of 3/31/2015
Source: PitchBook*As of 3/31/2015
11 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Venture Capital IRRsThe dip in overall performance—as measured
by median IRR—among venture funds on the larger side at the 10-year horizon is likely partially due to funds of that size experiencing a greater statistical disparity given the number of investments they make. That said, the fact the median trends that low in the long term underlines the risk inherent in the venture industry, which, in light of recent fears surrounding overpriced valuations, is likely to be overemphasized if anything. Investor sentiment in both public and private markets tends to overcorrect somewhat—accordingly, even the decent numbers seen in short-term IRRs may become overshadowed by a few high-profile disappointments. What’s a bit more interesting is the surge in long-term median IRRs in funds sized between $100 million and $250 million. Perhaps funds in that range achieve better returns on an overall basis given the typical size and subsequent number of the checks they cut. As must be said of all IRRs, however, their heavily time-dependent nature means that as an overall metric they must be taken with a grain of salt. That much is clear when assessing venture horizon IRRs by region, which decline in both the U.S. and the rest of the world as time goes on. That bump in the mid-term horizon IRRs for the rest of the world may be attributable to relatively shorter holding periods for startups based abroad that achieve sufficient growth to attract acquirers’ interest and, consequently, liquidity.
GLOBAL VC HORIZON IRR BY SIZE BUCKET
VC HORIZON IRR BY REGION
The long-term outperformance of midsized venture funds may be more due to their size economics than anything else.
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
Under $100M $100M-$250M $250M-$500M $500M+
0%
5%
10%
15%
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year
U.S. VC Funds Rest of World VC Funds
12 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
VC Fund Return Multiples GLOBAL AVERAGE VC FUND RETURN MULTIPLES BY VINTAGE
GLOBAL AVERAGE VC DPI MULTIPLES OVER TIME BY VINTAGE
TVPI multiples across recent venture vintages have continued
to climb quarter on quarter. 2010 vintage funds, for instance, saw their average TVPI multiple jump from 1.36x in 4Q 2014 to 1.62x in 1Q 2015. However, nearly 80% of that value has yet to be realized by investors. As venture capitalists invest in late-stage deals with lofty valuations, the risk of a correction threatens to erase some of that unrealized value when a liquidity event rolls around. It is worth noting, for example, that investors in Square’s Series E round invested at a 28% premium to where the shares are currently priced in the public market. Those investors will break even thanks to the protections they negotiated in that financing, but the temporary drop has caused some concern. Fears may not be well founded, however, as short-term performance in public markets does not dictate overall VC fund results, as investors will likely sell off their stock at a more opportune time. When and if that time will occur is unknown, but both points should be noted.
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
TVPI multiples for recent VC funds hint at future potential, but realizing significant value remains an uncertain prospect.
0.83
x
0.83
x
0.43
x
0.63
x
0.48
x
0.48
x
0.40
x
0.33
x
0.34
x
0.09
x
0.04
x
0.27
x
0.29
x
0.61
x 0.62
x
0.85
x
0.85
x
1.03
x
1.11
x
1.28
x
1.20
x
1.21
x
1.10x 1.12x 1.04x
1.25x1.33x 1.33x
1.42x 1.44x1.62x
1.29x 1.26x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average of DPI Average of RVPI Average of TVPI
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Years since inception
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
13 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Global VC Fund Cash FlowsGLOBAL VC FUNDS ANNUALIZED CASH FLOW BY YEAR
YearDistributions
($B)Contributions
($B)Net Cash Flow
($B)
2001 $13.1 ($30.7) ($17.6)
2002 $12.3 ($26.8) ($14.5)
2003 $33.3 ($26.0) $7.3
2004 $8.3 ($29.2) ($20.9)
2005 $13.9 ($31.1) ($17.2)
2006 $26.9 ($41.0) ($14.1)
2007 $32.5 ($44.3) ($11.8)
2008 $13.7 ($43.9) ($30.2)
2009 $14.4 ($32.8) ($18.4)
2010 $27.3 ($38.6) ($11.3)
2011 $33.3 ($46.6) ($13.2)
2012 $38.1 ($43.2) ($5.1)
2013 $41.0 ($42.3) ($1.4)
2014 $57.0 ($33.1) $23.9
2015* $19.7 ($18.7) $1.0
After 2014 saw a whopping $57.0 billion distributed back
to LPs worldwide, leading to a huge positive spike in net cash flow, 2015 has started off in a much less dramatic if still positive fashion, at $1.0 billion globally in net VC cash flow. More noteworthy, however, is the sheer volume of cash that has been called by fund managers already this year. Through the end of March, VC investors have called close to $19 billion from their backers—more than half of the 2014 total. With exits dipping in the second and third quarters of 2015, net cash flows could turn negative as 2015 data continues to roll in. Depending on how long and how much the seller’s market may continue to slide, future realization of the recent, heavy spate in venture financings could be postponed for some time. LPs will likely remain content for a while with such recent strong numbers, but they will need more capital as well as justification to recommit at some point.
-$60
-$40
-$20
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
Total Contributions ($B) Total Distributions ($B) Net Cash Flow ($B)
Source: PitchBook*As of 3/31/2015
Source: PitchBook*As of 3/31/2015
14 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
Select Top Funds by IRR
Fund Name Vintage IRR % DPI
Odyssey Investment Partners Fund IV
2009 30.9% 1.69x
Vista Equity Partners Fund III 2007 29.0% 2.04x
Charlesbank Equity Fund VII 2009 27.7% 0.54x
Apollo Investment Fund VII 2008 25.9% 1.68x
Clayton Dubilier & Rice Fund VIII
2009 25.6% 1.10x
Great Hill Equity Partners IV 2009 25.0% 0.71x
Fund Name Vintage IRR % DPI
Carlyle Strategic Partners 2004 35.7% 2.54x
PIMCO Distressed Mortgage Fund II
2008 34.4% 2.94x
Carlyle High Yield Partners 2008-1 Partners
2008 32.0% 2.05x
American Securities Opportunities Fund I
2008 31.7% 1.36x
Fortress Credit Opportunities Fund
2008 24.6% 1.14x
Fund Name Vintage IRR % DPI
Sponsor Fund II 2003 59.9% 3.00x
Inflexion 2003 Buyout Fund 2003 42.6% 2.68x
Clessidra Capital Partners Fund
2004 36.3% 0.94x
Bowmark Capital Partners III 2004 29.4% 2.33x
3i Eurofund IV 2003 27.0% 1.92x
Permira Europe III 2003 25.9% 1.49x
Fund Name Vintage IRR % DPI
Maveron Equity Partners IV 2008 67.5% 0.85x
Union Square Ventures 2004 2005 67.1% 12.7x
True Ventures II 2008 58.0% 0.66x
Avalon Ventures VIII 2007 56.5% 2.05x
Spark Capital II 2008 53.2% 3.61x
Emergence Capital Partners Fund II
2007 52.2% 1.97x
Fund Name Vintage IRR % DPI
Vista Foundation Fund I 2009 38.9% 1.67x
Marlin Equity Partners II 2007 38.3% 0.83x
CIVC Partners Fund IV 2010 36.5% 1.11x
Excellere Capital Fund 2007 33.3% 1.86x
Industrial Growth Partners III 2007 29.5% 2.21x
MSouth Equity Partners 2009 28.4% 1.89x
Fund Name Vintage IRR % DPI
OCM/GFI Power Opportunities Fund II
2004 58.3% 3.05x
KPS Special Situations Fund II 2004 54.7% 3.99x
Carlyle/Riverstone Global Energy & Power Fund II
2003 52.0% 1.72x
EnCap Energy Capital Fund V 2004 43.4% 1.74x
Energy Trust Partners 2002 38.0% 2.11x
’03-’07 VINTAGE EUROPE BUYOUT
‘04-’08 VINTAGE U.S. VC
’02-’06 VINTAGE ENERGY
’06-’10 VINTAGE U.S. BUYOUT $250M-$500M
’04-’08 VINTAGE DEBT’06-’10 VINTAGE BUYOUT $1B+
All returns data is net of fees through March 31, 2015. IRR medians are calculated based on the median value of all IRR values for each fund as reported to PitchBook
by LPs.
Source: PitchBook Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
15 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
MethodologyPitchBook currently tracks more than 31,500
funds around the world and has returns data
on over 10,500 vehicles. In the quarterly
Benchmarking Reports, PitchBook examines
data from close to 6,600 funds and 24,000
distinct LP commitments. We are constantly
adding historical performance data as it
becomes available; this explains many apparent
discrepancies that may appear between reports.
All returns data in this report is net of fees through 1Q 2015, as reported by LPs.
DEFINITIONSPE Fund: Unless otherwise noted, PE fund
data includes buyout, growth, co-investment,
mezzanine, restructuring and energy funds.
Debt Fund: For this report, the debt fund
classification includes general debt, mezzanine
and distressed debt.
Vintage Year: The vintage year as reported by
the fund GP and LPs, or the year in which a fund
holds its final close.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR): IRR represents the
rate at which a series of positive and negative
cash flows are discounted so that the net present
value of cash flows equals zero.
Horizon IRR: Horizon IRR shows the IRR from a
certain point in time. For example, the one-year
horizon IRR figures in this report show the IRR
performance for the one-year period from 1Q
2014 to 1Q 2015, while the three-year horizon IRR
is for the period from 1Q 2012 to 1Q 2015.
DPI (Distributions to Paid-In): A measurement
of the capital that has been distributed back
to LPs as a proportion of the total paid-in, or
contributed, capital. DPI is also known as the
cash-on-cash multiple or the realization multiple.
RVPI (Remaining Value to Paid-In): A
measurement of the unrealized return of a
fund as a proportion of the total paid-in, or
contributed, capital.
TVPI (Total Value to Paid-In): A measurement
of both the realized and unrealized value of
a fund as a proportion of the total paid-in,
or contributed, capital. Also known as the
investment multiple, TVPI can be found by
adding together the DPI and RVPI of a fund.
16 PITCHBOOK 4Q 2015 GLOBAL PE & VC
BENCHMARKING & FUND PERFORMANCE REPORT
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