Belgian Road Research Centre SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY ? YOU CAN GET WHAT YOU WANT IF… Optimism Final Conference – 16 th September 2013 Wanda DEBAUCHE Head.

Belgian Road Research Centre

SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY ?

YOU CAN GET WHAT YOU WANT

IF…Optimism Final Conference – 16th September 2013

Wanda DEBAUCHEHead of the Mobility – Safety - Road Management

Division

2Belgian Road Research Centre

Shortage of resources

Pressure on the

environment

Technology changes

Social and demographic

changes

The main challenges we are facing

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=oxJSmjWUXi6bMM&tbnid=NUNaXJn3-fEOGM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.askaboutvalidation.com/common-validation-errors/&ei=8p7vUf_OD-bO0QWOwYHgCw&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNEF1lqsI9nVhof41TwA686nIcXtog&ust=1374744644237895


Urban population will still increase


GENERATION EFFECTS


Silent Baby boomer

X (baby bust)NIX

Generation

YPeter Pan

ZC generation

Looks for long-term, stable employement

Low birth rate Digital natives (wide access to the internet and to computers

C=communication, creativity, connection and collaboration

Longer education Web 2,0, (social media)

Expansion of physical workspace : development of satellite offices and teleworking

Working hours concept disappears

Zapping generation Not the location, but the activity on the worldwide web is important

Shift in old age limit (60 to 80 years=period of full independence

Mobility demand

High professional mobility

Nomads, constantly on line

Higher purchasing power and car ownership

Less attached to the car as a status symbol

1920 1940 1960 1980 2000



Vehicle technologies and energyImprovement in fuel consumptionDiversity of vehicles running on unconventional fuels

But…

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=8qQp0I0Kox30YM&tbnid=ekAAPNvy0CtwpM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.h2euro.org/latest-news/public-consultation-on-clean-transport-systems-initiative-launched&ei=CvXsUZncDu-S0QWz74GYDg&bvm=bv.49478099,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNHDpttnIgvHXpY8OOc2JSiko5VmXA&ust=1374570038735978


There are still profound uncertainties in energy issues


Connectivity

Huge changes in consumer attitude and behaviour, as well as in transport and mobility

Wide range of online services

“The world in my pocket”

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=yM_lgnOQRLcbaM&tbnid=VlPazN7mc6og0M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://sourcepool.net/solutions/connectivity/custom-connectivity&ei=0-rsUZaDDMXz0gX5g4GADg&bvm=bv.49478099,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNGJEnAbVVnpesqu05astoF9czw1sQ&ust=1374567501674191


The shape of future passenger transport


Will transport demand still continue to grow ?

OECDPASSENGERSPassengers-kilometres

GOODSTonnes-kilometres

-

-


The car will remain the major transport mode but…

EU: car =70 % of passenger-

kms in 203065 % in 2050


What could bring ICT in this context ?

ICT technologies should contribute to a :• Smarter• Cleaner• Saferpassenger transport system


ICT … in travel demand information

Static

Dynamic

Separate transport mode

Multimodal approach

Displayed for all travellers

Customized


Single mode

Multimodal

ICT … in mobility services

Ownership

Use

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=YT6UclX19RNUqM&tbnid=c9ww2wdOi23OJM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.citycle.com/tag/transport-multimodal&ei=vZDvUa2LKqSi0QWsk4CACg&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNH8PoUU7LURDPKDLVnOh-quqist1A&ust=1374741021381393

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=FI5n6f3aGeGWXM&tbnid=YaRdgGzJe9QqOM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.ddmagazine.com/201205112431/Actualites-du-developpement-durable/Velo-partage-a-New-York-pas-un-sou-pour-la-ville.html&ei=u5HvUbr_LKGP0AXIx4HoDg&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNFh_IfuJJio-8sxlvgwiM_12doVsg&ust=1374741272997020

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=vKiNW5LtFl20QM&tbnid=J8d9rp7pW9yeXM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2007/oct/11/guardianweeklytechnologysection.news1&ei=mZTvUYXtPIOL0AWrpIHoDQ&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNHh-m1OtROXDcYXAjLB6DY5ffcJug&ust=1374741897508407


Ownership Transport modes use

Private Rent Fleet Car pool Share

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=iM8OP9a1geTQoM&tbnid=pqDB3mEd5i_hTM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.treehugger.com/cars/beyond-the-car-new-mobility-vehicle.html&ei=MhvtUaOkJ8P80QWGoYGgDw&bvm=bv.49478099,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNG-BjvkgtWXpBvcjWzr71am7xemAg&ust=1374579883553595

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=xJ3MY_CiRj-_YM&tbnid=vgWGEud7bEiyJM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.greenstudentu.com/eco_lifestyle/advantages_of_sharing_green_vehicles.aspx&ei=vBvtUbHmKNLa0QW4nIGADg&bvm=bv.49478099,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNG-BjvkgtWXpBvcjWzr71am7xemAg&ust=1374579883553595

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=18jflMV2iwhHIM&tbnid=TUAvBcOXGcm5GM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.gtaforums.com/index.php?showtopic=508514&ei=8hvtUbz1Dumb0wX_7YDQDg&bvm=bv.49478099,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNG-BjvkgtWXpBvcjWzr71am7xemAg&ust=1374579883553595


Stand-alone system

Cooperative systems

ICT … in traffic management

Communication• Infra-to-infra

• Vehicle-to-infra

• Vehicle-to-vehicle

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=-7kpkTPEkRxx8M&tbnid=b9JkpkVT5_mo3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://telematicsnews.info/2009/11/22/europe-and-the-us-to-cooperate-on-v2x-research/&ei=mZbvUcafGpOc0wWKqoCwCw&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNGrY9PUVyY6glVhjzIdl5qW46L9hQ&ust=1374742330754119

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=3mRqp7N-ByIBnM&tbnid=BFojBF2w6B-T8M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://theconstructor.org/transportation/intelligent-transportation-system/1120/&ei=N5fvUdi1IYa20QWypYGQBA&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNGrY9PUVyY6glVhjzIdl5qW46L9hQ&ust=1374742330754119


Autonomous vehicle: the technology is available, but …

ICT … and vehicles

ROBOTCROSSING

AHEAD

ROBOTCROSSING

AHEAD

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=ysgupaKIthTx8M&tbnid=gRLOXcsyRl_DIM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.smashingrobotics.com/&ei=sJnvUZz9OpOc0wWKqoCwCw&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNFSOwA_hF9kEsSCZIfVEzkJ1U21Rw&ust=1374743174450226


Transport SYSTEM

Human factors

Physical factors

Environment

How to make that all efficient?

Technologies

20Belgian Road Research CentreAnticipate

21Belgian Road Research CentreInnovate …in infrastructure


Urban public space should beredesigned and

optimized

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=T5wKN8wSivwCRM&tbnid=hCxtOmFLXjbXaM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.roadtrafficsigns.com/signs/motor-vehicle-bike-share-the-road-sign/sku-k-9081.aspx&ei=5hPtUbDaKsLy0gWS3oGIDg&bvm=bv.49478099,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNEDEW3OpQGoWv8vXgj8dryGNQsJDw&ust=1374577953073895


…in new vehicles

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=l7AM0fqNn6f_SM&tbnid=_VHLtCivx_LYuM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.designbuzz.com/community-transit-offers-private-commuting-in-public-transport/&ei=ZZTvUduQOObE0QXQ6IHoAg&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNHh-m1OtROXDcYXAjLB6DY5ffcJug&ust=1374741897508407

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=bBx5suRb7E0cuM&tbnid=dlNUFDOy5ej1HM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://indulgy.com/post/0LU2CCABg1/transmitter-future-vehicle-vincent-chan-modula&ei=d8DvUbrKMYmKOIWCgYgO&bvm=bv.49641647,d.ZWU&psig=AFQjCNGvc0JrcTHOSgsEdifIaCXPVDm2IA&ust=1374753134412844

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=YHGbe6XsJyZ4wM&tbnid=iWGwqPmrEjnTWM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.designbuzz.com/maglev-public-transport-system-embarks-a-brand-new-way-of-traveling/&ei=J5TvUZqACMi_0QXcv4HgDA&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNHh-m1OtROXDcYXAjLB6DY5ffcJug&ust=1374741897508407

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=M7SEXeTmJqV0qM&tbnid=AlfpAmPyZyvujM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://psipunk.com/koh-public-transport-system-for-short-distances/&ei=QpTvUYWvCeyX0AWr4IGQAg&bvm=bv.49641647,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNHh-m1OtROXDcYXAjLB6DY5ffcJug&ust=1374741897508407


…in management and funding

Greater coordination of all authorities

Evaluation culture (prioritization)

New ways of funding

25Belgian Road Research CentreEncourage

http://www.google.be/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=N0cKupqm0cx3lM&tbnid=CeFQVfpQkx4x-M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.capita-softwareandmanagedservices.co.uk/software/pages/mobile_and_flexible_working_solutions-homeworking.aspx&ei=3mN-Uby9J-qm0AX_xYHwDQ&bvm=bv.45645796,d.d2k&psig=AFQjCNFylpfZAo1dwBsP6K1z-5d6Fxxjrg&ust=1367323984382232

26Belgian Road Research CentreControl


BRRC: Belgian Road Research CentreMobility, Safety, Road Management [email protected]@brrc.be

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

Belgian Road Research Centre SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY ? YOU CAN GET WHAT YOU WANT IF… Optimism Final Conference – 16 th September 2013 Wanda DEBAUCHE Head.

Documents

vehicle slide

technologies slide

pocket slide

travellers customized

transport demand

ict technologies

major transport mode

car ownership