BBC News – Brexit Expectations Poll METHODOLOGY NOTE ComRes interviewed 1,004 British adults aged 18+ by telephone from 7th-10th July 2016. Data were weighted to be representative of all GB adults aged 18+. ComRes sets quotas during fieldwork and weights the raw data on the following demographic information: age, gender, government office region and social grade. The sample includes both landline and mobile telephone numbers. Additionally the data is weighted by past vote recall to the EU referendum. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed. To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Tom Mludzinski: [email protected]To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]
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BBC News – Brexit Expectations Poll
METHODOLOGY NOTE
ComRes interviewed 1,004 British adults aged 18+ by telephone from 7th-10th July 2016. Data were weighted to be representative of all GB
adults aged 18+. ComRes sets quotas during fieldwork and weights the raw data on the following demographic information: age, gender,
government office region and social grade. The sample includes both landline and mobile telephone numbers. Additionally the data is
weighted by past vote recall to the EU referendum. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed.
To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Tom Mludzinski: [email protected]
To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All respondents
1281161583343362371632041321361019964339397736Unweighted base
15615819420329423518217511912810810973364347711Weighted base
4862105126123104115764752516649164177341To Remain in the EU31%39%54%62%42%44%63%44%39%41%48%61%67%45%51%48%
10896897717113267997276564324200170370To Leave the EU69%61%46%38%58%56%37%56%61%59%52%39%33%55%49%52%
Page 3
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All giving a vote
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
3663046019053330043667108957337517076712860736Unweighted base
376271592264733703416595897536526968752858711Weighted base
1341673718318-3413544494014182826411037341To Remain in the EU36%62%63%8%67%-100%54%47%55%53%39%34%40%37%55%36%63%48%
24310322207154370-3051403522354243341822370To Leave the EU64%38%37%92%33%100%-46%53%45%47%61%66%60%63%45%64%37%52%
Page 4
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q1. How did you vote in the referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union? Or did you not vote?Base: All giving a vote
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 5Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 6Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
withdrawal from the European Union ...- Leading politicians
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 7Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
withdrawal from the European Union ...- Leading politicians
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
withdrawal from the European Union ...- Civil servants
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 9Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
withdrawal from the European Union ...- Civil servants
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 10Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
withdrawal from the European Union ...- Trade negotiators
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 11Q2. How much, if at all, do you trust each of the following to do a good job of carrying out the will of the British people during the process of the UK's
withdrawal from the European Union ...- Trade negotiators
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q3. Which of the following do you think should be the priority for the British Government when negotiating the UK's withdrawal from the EU?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 13Q3. Which of the following do you think should be the priority for the British Government when negotiating the UK's withdrawal from the EU?Base: All respondents
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 14Q4. Thinking about the government's negotiation to leave the EU, how satisfied or dissatisfied would you be if it continues to allow immigration from the EU
in exchange for access to the single market?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 15Q4. Thinking about the government's negotiation to leave the EU, how satisfied or dissatisfied would you be if it continues to allow immigration from the EU
in exchange for access to the single market?Base: All respondents
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q5. Following the result of the EU referendum, the UK will now have to negotiate a new deal on the EU single market. The EU Single Market allows countries in the EU
to trade with each other without additional charges or regulation standards. As part of this access, they must agree to rules allowing free movement of peopleincluding the right of EU citizens to be able to live and work anywhere in the EU.
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 17Q5. Following the result of the EU referendum, the UK will now have to negotiate a new deal on the EU single market. The EU Single Market allows countries in the EU
to trade with each other without additional charges or regulation standards. As part of this access, they must agree to rules allowing free movement of peopleincluding the right of EU citizens to be able to live and work anywhere in the EU.
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 18Q6. As a result of the UK's vote to leave the EU, which of the following do you expect to happen ...Base: All respondents
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 18Q6. As a result of the UK's vote to leave the EU, which of the following do you expect to happen ...Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 19Q6. As a result of the UK's vote to leave the EU, which of the following do you expect to happen ...Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 19Q6. As a result of the UK's vote to leave the EU, which of the following do you expect to happen ...Base: All respondents
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 20Q7. To what extent, if at all, do you expect the level of immigration into the UK will increase or fall when the UK leaves the EU?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 21Q7. To what extent, if at all, do you expect the level of immigration into the UK will increase or fall when the UK leaves the EU?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q8. SummaryThe
affordabilityLevel ofof housingThe NHSunemploymentThe UK economy
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 22Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- Summary
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 23Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The UK economy
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 24Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The UK economy
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 25Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- Level of unemployment
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 26Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- Level of unemployment
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 27Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The NHS
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 28Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The NHS
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 29Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The affordability of housing
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 30Q8. To what extent, if at all, do you think that each of the following will be better or worse in two years' time ...- The affordability of housing
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q9. SummaryThe
affordabilityLevel ofof housingThe NHSunemploymentThe UK economy
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 31Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- Summary
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 32Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The UK economy
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 33Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The UK economy
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 34Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- Level of unemployment
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 35Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- Level of unemployment
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 36Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The NHS
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 37Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The NHS
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 38Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The affordability of housing
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 39Q9. And compared to how they are now, to what extent, if at all, do you think that each of following will be better or worse in five years' time ...- The affordability of housing
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 41Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The UK will be a member of the EU
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 42Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The UK will be a member of the EU
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 43Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The United Kingdom will no longer exist as either Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland will have become independent
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 44Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The United Kingdom will no longer exist as either Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland will have become independent
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 45Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- London will have become independent of the rest of the UK
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 46Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- London will have become independent of the rest of the UK
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 47Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The England football team will have won a major tournament
Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q3. Priority forthe British
Government whenQ7. Level of immigration intonegotiating the
the UK when the UK leaves theUK's withdrawalEUfrom the EUQ1. Referendum VoteRegion
EU Split - The Next StepCATI Fieldwork : 7th - 10th July 2016
Absolutes/col percentsTable 48Q10. In 10 years' time, how likely or unlikely do you think each of the following are ...- The England football team will have won a major tournament