Brexit Express – April 2019 ComRes interviewed 1,061 GB adults online on 16 April 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by age, gender and region. Voting intention questions were also weighted by past vote recall and likelihood to vote. Additional questions relating to the EU were weighted by 2016 EU Referendum results. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at www.comresglobal.com All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed. For information about commissioning research please contact [email protected]or call +44 (0)20 7871 8660. To register for Pollwatch, featuring commentary and insight from the ComRes team, please email: pollwatch@comresglobal.com REPUTATION | COMMUNICATIONS | PUBLIC POLICY Four Millbank | London | SW1P 3JA | T. +44 (0)20 7871 8660 Rond-Point Schuman / Schumanplein 6 | Box 5 | 1040 Bruxelles | T. +32 (0)2 234 63 82 51/F Raffles City | No.268 Xi Zang Middle Road | HuangPu District Shanghai | 200001 China | T. +86 (0)21 2312 7674
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Brexit Express – April 2019
ComRes interviewed 1,061 GB adults online on 16 April 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically
representative of all GB adults by age, gender and region. Voting intention questions were also weighted by past
vote recall and likelihood to vote. Additional questions relating to the EU were weighted by 2016 EU Referendum
results. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. Full tables at
www.comresglobal.com
All press releases or other publications must be checked with ComRes before use. ComRes requires 48 hours to
check a press release unless otherwise agreed.
For information about commissioning research please contact [email protected] or call +44 (0)20 7871 8660.
To register for Pollwatch, featuring commentary and insight from the ComRes team, please email: [email protected]
REPUTATION | COMMUNICATIONS | PUBLIC POLICY
Four Millbank | London | SW1P 3JA | T. +44 (0)20 7871 8660
9713514811355788786118431011801651961891961355365251061Unweighted base
94*14914310253*77*94*89*12245*92*2451571881701841185435181061Weighted base
5589916227396060852960185991151009959323334658Absolutely certain (10)58%60%64%n61%51%50%64%n67%No69%NO66%65%No76%CDEFG63%Cd61%c59%54%50%60%65%b62%to vote
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certainNOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
-13----1--1--21-3335Prefer not to say-1%2%----1%--1%--1%1%-3%DGH1%1%1%
Page 9
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 7
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
3*-------4--32-*1427Prefer not to say3%*-------9%--2%h1%-*1%1%*1%
Page 18
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 15
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
319239330--1241410436292Did not vote13%28%37%34%HL16%--26%14%21%A28%A9%27%
1--1------1-7Can't remember*--*------*-1%
---2------2-7Prefer not to say---1%------*-1%
Page 19
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 16
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016?Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
4-245--2241*3764314923Prefer not to say4%r-2%4%r9%IKlMNQR--2%1%9%1%*2%h3%H3%H2%3%h3%2%2%
Page 22
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 19
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
3151025161112121074Would not vote1%2%8%4%1%1%4%G1%2%18%AB3%3%7%
----11----115Can't remember----**----***
---212*--1-123Prefer not to say---1%***--1%-*2%
Page 23
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 20
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely wouldyou be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to voteBase: All respondents
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
-21--1-------1111224Prefer not to say-2%1%--3%-------1%1%1%1%*1%1%
Page 30
Opinion PollONLINE Fieldwork : 16th April 2019
Absolutes/col percents
Table 25
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b - c/d/e/f/g/h - i/j/k/l/m/n/o/p/q/r/s* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Prepared by ComRes
Westminster Voting Intention2016 Referendum Vote2017 General Election VoteLiberalLiberal
Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party,Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing
Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5%, 10% risk level) - a/b/c/d/e - f/g - h/i/j/k/l* small base
Prepared by ComRes
Page 1
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 1 1 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 2 2 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 3 3 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents who say who they voted for
898
� 4 4 Q1. Thinking back to the (UK) General Election of June 2017, which party, if any, did you vote for?
Base: All respondents who say who they voted for
898
� 5 5 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 6 5 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 7 6 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 8 6 Q2. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 9 7 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
923
Page 2
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 10 7 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
927
� 11 8 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
923
� 12 9 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
781
� 13 10 Q3. If there were a (UK) General Election tomorrow to elect MPs toWestminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP, Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
781
� 14 11 Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,
Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
142
� 15 12 Q4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, SNP,
Change UK - The Independent Group, Brexit Party, UKIP, Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) but who say don't know or prefer not to say
142
� 16 13 Q3/Q4. Voting Intention Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party at Q3 or Q4
840
� 17 14 Q3/Q4. Voting Intention Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party at Q3 or Q4
840
Page 3
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 18 15 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents 1061
� 19 16 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents 1061
� 20 17 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
921
� 21 18 Q5. How did you vote in the EU Referendum in 2016? Base: All respondents who say which way they voted
921
� 22 19 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 23 20 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents 1061
� 24 21 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
980
� 25 22 Q6. How would you vote if a Referendum to stay in the EU or to leave were held tomorrow?
Base: All respondents who say which way they would vote
980
� 26 23 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
� 27 23 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
Page 4
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 28 24 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
� 29 24 Q7. If the UK takes part in the European Parliament elections at the end of May, to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote
Base: All respondents 1061
� 30 25 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
797
� 31 25 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
790
� 32 26 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10)
797
� 33 27 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party
692
Page 5
Page Table Title Base Description Base
� 34 28 Q8. If the UK takes part in the elections due at the end of May to elect MEPs to the European Parliament, would you vote Brexit Party, Change UK - The Independent Group, Conservative, the Green Party, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, IN SCOTLAND ONLY], Plaid Cymru or for another party?
Base: All respondents saying they are likely to vote (5-10) and giving a party