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Bbbbbbbb Ssssssssssss Model

Apr 07, 2018

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    Black- Scholes Model

    1

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    2

    Introduction

    The Black-Scholes option pricing model

    (BSOPM) has been one of the mostimportant developments in finance in the

    last 50 years Has provided a good understanding of what

    options should sell for Has made options more attractive to individual

    and institutional investors

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    3

    The Model

    Tdd

    T

    TRK

    S

    d

    dNKedSNCRT

    =

    ++

    =

    =

    12

    2

    1

    21

    and

    2ln

    where

    )()(

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    4

    The Model (contd)

    Variable definitions:S = current stock price

    K = option strike price

    e = base of natural logarithms

    R = riskless interest rate

    T = time until option expiration

    = standard deviation (sigma) of returns onthe underlying security

    ln = natural logarithm

    N(d1) and

    N(d2) = cumulative standard normal distributionunctions

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    Development and Assumptions

    of the Model

    Derivation from:

    Physics Mathematical short cuts

    Arbitrage arguments

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    6

    Determinants of the Option

    Premium

    Striking price

    Time until expiration Stock price

    Volatility

    DividendsRisk-free interest rate

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    Time Until Expiration

    The longer the time until expiration, the

    more the option is worth The option premium increases for more distant

    expirations for puts and calls

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    Striking Price

    The lower the striking price for a given

    stock, the more the option should be worth Because a call option lets you buy at a

    predetermined striking price

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    Stock Price

    The higher the stock price, the more a given

    call option is worth A call option holder benefits from a rise in the

    stock price

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    Volatility

    The greater the price volatility, the more the

    option is worth.

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    Dividends

    A company that pays a large dividend will

    have a smaller option premium than acompany with a lower dividend, everything

    else being equal

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    Risk-Free Interest Rate

    The higher the risk-free interest rate, the

    higher the option premium, everything elsebeing equal.

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    Assumptions of the Black-

    Scholes Model

    The stock pays no dividends during the

    options life European exercise style

    Markets are efficient

    No transaction costs

    Interest rates remain constant

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    European Exercise Style

    A European option can only be exercised

    on the expiration date American options are more valuable than

    European options

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    Markets Are Efficient

    The BSOPM assumes informational

    efficiency People cannot predict the direction of the market

    or of an individual stock

    Put/call parity implies that you and everyone else

    will agree on the option premium, regardless ofwhether you are bullish or bearish

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    No Transaction Costs

    There are no commissions and bid-ask

    spreads.

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    Interest Rates Remain Constant

    There is no real riskfree interest rate

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    Problems Using the Black-

    Scholes Model

    Does not work well with options that are

    deep-in-the-money or substantially out-of-the-money

    Produces biased values for very low or

    very high volatility stocks

    Increases as the time until expiration increases

    May yield unreasonable values when an

    option has only a few days of life remaining