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http://msj.sagepub.com/ Multiple Sclerosis Journal http://msj.sagepub.com/content/17/2/204 The online version of this article can be found at: DOI: 10.1177/1352458510383609 2011 17: 204 originally published online 4 October 2010 Mult Scler James T Reston, Stacey Uhl, Jonathan R Treadwell, Richard A Nash and Karen Schoelles Autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation for multiple sclerosis: a systematic review Published by: http://www.sagepublications.com can be found at: Multiple Sclerosis Journal Additional services and information for http://msj.sagepub.com/cgi/alerts Email Alerts: http://msj.sagepub.com/subscriptions Subscriptions: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.nav Reprints: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav Permissions: by guest on May 22, 2011 msj.sagepub.com Downloaded from
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Page 1: Autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation for chronic myelogenous leukemia

http://msj.sagepub.com/Multiple Sclerosis Journal

http://msj.sagepub.com/content/17/2/204The online version of this article can be found at:

 DOI: 10.1177/1352458510383609

2011 17: 204 originally published online 4 October 2010Mult SclerJames T Reston, Stacey Uhl, Jonathan R Treadwell, Richard A Nash and Karen Schoelles

Autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation for multiple sclerosis: a systematic review  

Published by:

http://www.sagepublications.com

can be found at:Multiple Sclerosis JournalAdditional services and information for     

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Page 2: Autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation for chronic myelogenous leukemia

Research Paper

Multiple Sclerosis Journal

17(2) 204–213

! The Author(s) 2011

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DOI: 10.1177/1352458510383609

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Autologous hematopoietic celltransplantation for multiple sclerosis:a systematic review

James T Reston1, Stacey Uhl1, Jonathan R Treadwell1,Richard A Nash2 and Karen Schoelles1

Abstract

Background and objectives: The purpose of this systematic review was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of autol-

ogous hematopoietic cell transplantation in patients with progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) refractory to conventional

medical treatment.

Methods: Eight case series met our a priori inclusion criteria for the primary outcome of progression-free survival.

Individual study quality was rated using an 11-item scale for case series. The strength of the overall body of evidence for

each outcome was rated using a system developed by the ECRI Institute. Data from different studies were statistically

combined using meta-analysis. An additional six studies were included for a summary of mortality and morbidity.

Results: For secondary progressive MS, immunoablative therapy with autologous bone marrow/peripheral blood stem

cell transplantation was associated with higher progression-free survival (up to 3 years following treatment) when using

intermediate-intensity conditioning regimens compared with high-intensity conditioning regimens. The evidence was

insufficient to determine whether the treatment was effective in patients with other types of MS. Treatment-related

mortality was about 2.7%.

Conclusions: Patients with secondary progressive MS refractory to conventional medical treatment have longer

progression-free survival following autologous stem cell transplantation with intermediate-intensity conditioning

regimens than with high-intensity conditioning regimens.

Keywords

meta-analysis, multiple sclerosis, progressive, stem cell transplantation

Date received: 13th April 2010; revised: 1st July 2010; 05 August 2010; accepted: 11th August 2010

Introduction

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neurologicaldisease affecting an estimated 400,000 people inthe United States and more than 2 million peopleworldwide.1 Disease-modifying medications have beenshown to reduce the frequency and severity of relapsesor exacerbations in patients with relapsing–remittingMS (RRMS), reduce the accumulation of lesions, andslow down the accumulation of disability.2 However,there are currently no medications that can effectivelytreat secondary progressive MS (SPMS) or primaryprogressive (PPMS), and some individuals withRRMS do not respond to conventional medicaltherapy.

The most widely accepted hypothesis is that MS isan autoimmune disease triggered in susceptible individ-uals by an unknown environmental agent(s).1,3 Animalstudies have shown that immunosuppressive therapyfollowed by hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT)can cure autoimmune diseases in mice and rats.4

1Evidence-Based Practice Center, Health Technology Assessment Group,

ECRI Institute, Plymouth Meeting, PA, USA.2Clinical Research Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center,

Seattle, WA, USA.

Corresponding author:

Dr James Reston, ECRI Institute, 5200 Butler Pike, Plymouth Meeting, PA

19462-1298, USA

Email: [email protected]

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Some human studies also noted that cases of pre-exist-ing autoimmune disease coincidental with malignancieshave sometimes gone into prolonged remission whenthe malignancy was treated with immunoablation fol-lowed by HCT.5,6 These studies led to the hypothesisthat high-dose immunosuppressive therapy eliminatesthe components of the immune system that cause theautoimmune disease. Then, the patient’s full health maybe restored by reconstituting the immune system with atransplant of hematopoietic stem cells, either from acompatible donor (allogeneic) or from previouslystored bone marrow or blood cells from the patient(autologous), that either do not contain the autoim-mune generating components or that have beenpurged of them.5,6

Immunosuppressive regimens used for treatment ofMS can be divided into two categories: high intensityand intermediate intensity. The most commonly usedhigh-intensity regimen is a combination of total bodyirradiation (TBI) plus cyclophosphamide (CY); otherhigh-intensity regimens include busulfan plus CY orbusulfan alone. The most commonly used intermedi-ate-intensity regimen is the BEAM regimen, which isa combination of etoposide, melphalan, carmustine,and cytosine arabinoside. An alternative intermediate-intensity regimen is carmustine plus CY.4 Treatment ofMS with high-intensity regimens seemed to be morecommon in the earlier North American studies,whereas most European studies used the BEAMregimen.

Stem cells (usually collected from the patient’speripheral blood prior to conditioning) are reinfusedafter the conditioning regimen has been completed.Anti-thymocyte globulin (ATG) is often administeredas part of the conditioning stem-cell re-infusion todeplete any autoreactive T cells that survived the con-ditioning regimen or remained in the stem cells used forreinfusion.4

We conducted this systematic review to evaluate theevidence concerning the safety and efficacy of autolo-gous HCT in patients with progressive MS refractory toconventional medical treatment.

Material and methods

Study selection

We applied the following a priori inclusion criteria.Studies must have been full articles published inEnglish language journals that enrolled at least fivepatients for autologous HCT. Patients must have hadprogressive MS (defined as disability progression �1point on the Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS]sustained for at least 6 months the previous year)

refractory to alternative treatments (e.g. interferonbeta-1a). To evaluate progression-free survival, werequired at least 2 years median followup.

Immunoablative therapy followed by autologousHCT is considered a treatment of last resort in patientswith progressive MS whose condition has continued toworsen despite conventional non-invasive medical ther-apy (e.g. immunosuppressant drugs). Such patients areless likely to stabilize or improve than patients whohave not undergone conventional medical therapy.However, some patients with progressive MS mayhave temporary stabilization of their symptoms dueto regression to the mean. Studies only enroll patientswith disease progression in the previous year, andpatients might be more likely to show less progressionin the year following treatment simply because theywere enrolled at peak symptomatology. Studies with acomparison arm of patients receiving conventional orno therapy would address this problem, but no con-trolled studies of immunoablative therapy for MShave yet been published.

Study identification

We searched PubMED and EMBASE (throughFebruary 2009) for identification of relevant studies,and 15 other databases were searched for additionalinformation. (A complete list of the databases wesearched can be obtained from the correspondingauthor.) Figure 1 illustrates the screening, retrieval,and inclusion process for the case series. Of 290 identi-fied studies, 33 were retrieved and 14 met our inclusioncriteria.

Key outcomes

Key outcomes of interest included rates of progression-free survival (the primary outcome) and major compli-cations. Progression-free survival is defined as theprobability of being alive without confirmed disabilityprogression (increase in EDSS �1 if initial EDSS �5.0or �0.5 if initial score �5.5 for at least 6 months) aftertransplantation.

Evaluation of study quality and strength of evidence

Individual study quality was rated separately for eachoutcome using an 11-item scale developed by the ECRIInstitute specifically for case series. The items werechosen by a consensus of methodologists using a nom-inal group technique (unpublished work). Scores wereconverted to a 0–10 scale, with a score �7.0 indicatingmoderate quality, and scores <7.0 indicating low qual-ity (the lack of a within-study control group precludedthe possibility of a high-quality score).

Reston et al. 205

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We rated the strength of the evidence for each out-come using a system developed by the ECRI Institute.7

This system assesses five major components of an evi-dence base: quality, quantity, consistency, robustness,and magnitude of effect. The system assigns a separaterating of the evidence for qualitative questions (Does itwork?) and quantitative questions (How well does itwork?). Qualitative conclusions receive a strengthrating (strong, moderate, weak, or insufficient), whilequantitative conclusions receive a stability rating (high,moderate, low, or unstable).7

Statistical analysis

When the evidence base included three or more studiesand when 75% or more of the available study datafor an outcome could be used in the analysis,we attempted to reach quantitative conclusionsusing DerSimonian and Laird’s random-effects

meta-analysis8 via Comprehensive Meta-analysis(Biostat, Englewood Cliffs, NJ).9 This method weightsindividual studies by the inverse of their variance(1/V), such that studies with the smallest variancehave the largest weight.10 Significance was set atp< 0.05 and heterogeneity was determined usingI2 (with I2� 50% defining substantial heterogene-ity).11,12 We performed meta-regression in an attemptto explain the heterogeneity using the permutation testp-value (variables evaluated included type of MS,length of followup, prospective design, and type ofconditioning regimen).13 With unexplained heterogene-ity, we did not attempt quantitative estimates.We tested homogeneous meta-analyses for robustnessby removal and replacement of each separate study,and by performing cumulative meta-analysis by publi-cation date. Because so few studies reported survivalcurve data, conventional survival curve analysis wasinappropriate.

Figure 1. Flow chart showing number of potentially relevant abstracts identified by searches, number of publications retrieved,

number of publications excluded, and number of publications included in the systematic review.

206 Multiple Sclerosis Journal 17(2)

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Results

Progression-free survival

Eight case series (in 10 publications) with 161 enrolledpatients and median 24-month followup evaluatedpatients with MS refractory to conventional medicaltherapy (Table 1).14-23 The majority (77%) of patientshad SPMS. The studies differed in the types and inten-sity of conditioning regimens used prior to autologousHCT. Five studies used an intermediate-intensity regi-men (BEAM or carmustine plus CY plus ATG),14-20

while the other three used high-intensity regimens(CY plus TBI with or without ATG).21-23 All studieswere rated as moderate quality (Table 2).

An exploratory analysis combining the data from alleight studies found substantial heterogeneity(I2¼ 71%). Given that average disease severity at

baseline was similar among these studies, we investi-gated four a priori explanations for this heterogeneity(see the ‘Methods’ section), and only one found clearsupport: the intensity of the conditioning regimen.

This meta-regression found that conditioning regi-men had a significant association with progression-free survival (p¼ 0.0145), with intermediate-intensityregimens associated with a significantly higher progres-sion-free survival compared with TBI regimens. A sen-sitivity analysis removing each separate study duringmeta-regression found this association to be robust.Therefore, we analyzed these two groups of studies sep-arately for this outcome.

To ensure that other factors were unlikely to explainthe difference in findings between the two groups, wecompared the baseline characteristics of the patients inthese groups (Table 1). There were slight differences

Table 1. Characteristics of patients in included studies of progression-free survival

Study

Number of

patients

Median age

(range)

Percentage

female Type of MS

Time from

diagnosis to

HCT – median

(range)

EDSS baseline

disability

score – median

(range)

Length of

followup –

median

(range)

Studies with Intermediate-intensity Conditioning Regimen (BEAM or Carmustine)

Ni et al.14 21 37 years

(15–58)

63 (n¼ 14) SPMS (n¼ 16),

PPMS (n¼ 2),

PRMS (n¼ 2),

malignant (n¼ 1)

46 months

(6–144)

7.5 (5.0–9.5) 42 months

(6–65)

Xu et al.15 22 35.5 years

(20–51)

77 (n¼ 17) SPMS (patients

in remission

prior to HCT)

36 months

(15–156)

6.0 (4.5–7.5) 31 months

(6–59)

Saccardi et al.16,17 21

(19 with

reported

baseline info)

36 years

(26–52)

63.2 (n¼ 12) SPMS (n¼ 15),

RRMS (n¼ 4)

60 months

(12–132)

6.5 (5.5–8) 36 months

(12–72)

Saiz et al.18,19 14 30.5 years

(22–45)

85.7 (n¼ 12) SPMS (n¼ 9),

RRMS (n¼ 5)

96 months

(12–228)

6.25 (4.5–6.5) 36.5 months

(19–55)

Fassas et al.20 24 40 years

(22–54)

50 (n¼ 12) SPMS (n¼ 13),

PPMS (n¼ 8),

PRMS (n¼ 3)

126 months

(24–336)

6.0 (4.5–8) 40 months

(21–51)

Studies with High-intensity Conditioning Regimen (TBI)

Samijn et al.21 14 36 years

(23–50)

57 (n¼ 8) SPMS (n¼ 14) 60 months

(24–144)

6.0 (5–6.5) 36 months

(7–36)

Burt et al.22 21 40 years

(21–52)

47 (n¼ 10) SPMS (n¼ 14),

PRMS (n¼ 6),

RRMS (n¼ 1)

84 months

(9–216)

7.0 (3.0–8.5) 24 months

(6–60)

Nash et al.23 26 44 years

(27–60)

46 (n¼ 12) SPMS (n¼ 17),

PPMS (n¼ 8),

RRMS (n¼ 1)

89 months

(10–277)

7.0 (5.0–8.0) 24 months

(3–36)

BEAM, etoposide, melphalan, carmustine, and cytosine arabinoside; EDSS.Expanded Disability Status Scale; HCT, hematopoietic cell transplantation;

MS, multiple sclerosis; NR, not reported; PPMS, primary progressive multiple sclerosis; PRMS, progressive–relapsing multiple sclerosis; RRMS, relapse–

remitting multiple sclerosis; SPMS, secondary progressive multiple sclerosis; TBI, total body irradiation.

Reston et al. 207

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between the two groups in median patient age (whichon average was between 3 and 4 years older in the high-intensity regimen studies) and median baseline EDSSscore (which tended to be slightly higher in the high-intensity regimen studies), which might partiallyexplain the differences in outcomes.4 However, thestudy with the highest median disability score (Niet al.14) was in the intermediate-intensity regimengroup, and this study did not show different resultscompared with the other studies that used intermedi-ate-intensity regimens. Similarly, one of the high-intensity regimen studies had a lower median EDSSscore and lower median age, but the findings werestill similar to the findings of the other two high-inten-sity regimen studies. Although there appeared to be ahigher percentage of females in studies using intermedi-ate-intensity regimens (67% versus 49%), it is unlikelythat gender differences would substantially affect treat-ment outcomes.

In the first analysis, we compared the summary esti-mate derived from five intermediate-intensity studieswith the summary estimate derived from three high-intensity studies. The results of these meta-analysesare shown in Table 3. The estimated rate of long-termprogression-free survival of patients receiving inter-mediate-intensity conditioning regimens was 79.4%(95% CI: 69.9–86.5%) with a median followup of 39months, while the estimate for the patients receivinghigh-intensity regimens was 44.6% (95% CI: 26.5–64.5%) at a median followup of 24 months. Since the95% CIs for these estimates do not overlap, this sug-gests a substantially higher rate of progression-free sur-vival for patients receiving intermediate-intensityregimens. This advantage occurred despite thesepatients having a longer median follow up than thepatients receiving high-intensity regimens, whichwould make it less likely to find an advantage for inter-mediate-intensity regimens. This advantage was found

Table 2. Quality scale and scores of included studies evaluating progression-free survival

ECRI study quality scale: questions

Study

Xu

et al.15Ni

et al.14Saccardi

et al.16Samijn

et al.21Saiz

et al.18Burt

et al.22Nash

et al.23Fassas

et al.20

Was performance among patients at

baseline similar among patients who

entered the study as compared to study

completers?

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

For all other important factors, were the

characteristics of patients at baseline

similar among those who entered the

study as compared to study completers?

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Did the study enroll all suitable patients /

consecutive patients?

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Was the study prospectively planned? Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Did �5% receive ancillary treatment? Y Y Y Y N Y Y Y

Was compliance with treatment �85%? Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Were outcomes measured by independent

assessors?

NR NR NR NR Y NR NR NR

Was the outcome measure of interest

objective and was it objectively

measured?

N N N N N N N N

Was a standard instrument used to mea-

sure the outcome?

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Did �85% of patients complete the study? NR NR NR NR Y N Y Y

Was the funding for this study derived

from a source that would not benefit

financially from results in a particular

direction?

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Quality score 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 7.7 8.6 8.6

Quality rating Moderate

N, no; Y, yes; NR, not reported.

208 Multiple Sclerosis Journal 17(2)

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to be robust by sensitivity analyses, so the strength ofevidence for this comparison is moderate.

Although the majority of patients in the immunoa-blative therapy studies had SPMS, we performed amore specific analysis by excluding data from patientswith other types of MS (data not shown). We did thisfor the four intermediate-intensity studies that reportedresults separately by type of MS. At a median followupof 38 months, the summary progression-free survivalrate was almost identical to that observed in the origi-nal analysis using all patients (81.9%; 95% CI: 69.4–90.0%). A similar analysis using only SPMS patientsfrom the three studies that used TBI as part of theconditioning regimen also yielded findings similar tothe all-patient analysis; progression-free survival wasonly 37.4% (21.3–57%) at a median followup of24 months. As before, the 95% CIs for the twogroups of studies do not overlap, suggesting that inter-mediate-intensity regimens lead to better progression-free survival than high-intensity regimens in patientswith SPMS. This finding was robust, which means thestrength of evidence for the difference between regimensis moderate. There were too few patients with othertypes of MS to allow conclusions from separate sub-group analyses of PPMS, RRMS, and PRMS.

Morbidities and mortality

Twelve prospective case series (n¼ 250) stud-ies,14-23,25,27-29 one retrospective case series (n¼ 9),24

and one retrospective database study (n¼ 169 evaluablepatients)26,30 that met our inclusion criteria reported onadverse events (no minimum followup period wasrequired). However, the variability in methods forreporting adverse events, failure to report the absenceof unobserved but potential adverse events in somestudies, inconsistent reporting or definitions of events,and absence of control groups precluded our pooling ofadverse event data for meta-analysis. Thus, to addressthis question we catalogued all of the reported adverseevents. Fever was the most frequently reported eventoccurring during the mobilization and conditioningphase of autologous HCT. Fever, engraftment syn-drome, enteritis, and transient neurological worseningwere the most frequently reported complications occur-ring within 6 months of autologous HCT.

A total of seven treatment-related deaths wererecorded in the 13 case series with post-treatmentfollow up, with the leading cause being pneumonia(three cases; Table 4). Six non-treatment-relateddeaths also occurred; five of these were associatedwith disease progression. Two of the three studiesthat reported mortality related to disease progressionused high-intensity conditioning regimens. In the retro-spective database study, a total of 15 deaths occurred:9 treatment-related (5.3%) and 6 non-treatment-relateddeaths (3.5%). The leading cause of treatment-relateddeath was infection (four cases), and the only reportedcause of non-treatment-related death was disease pro-gression (six cases).

Table 3. Progression-free survival in studies with different conditioning regimens compared with placebo reference controls

Study

Number of patients

for which data was reported

Progression-free survival

at median followup Median followup

Studies with Intermediate-intensity Conditioning Regimen (BEAM or Carmustine)

Ni et al.14,a 21 75% (n¼ 16/21) 42 months (Range: 6–65)

Xu et al.15 22 77% (n¼ 17/22) 39 months (Range: 6–59)

Saccardi et al.16,17 21 95% (n¼ 20/21) 36 months (Range: 12–72)

Saiz et al.18,19 14 85.7% (n¼ 12/14) 36 months (Range: 19–55)

Fassas et al.20 24 75%* (n¼ 18/24) 40 months (Range: 21–51)

Summary 102 79.4% (95% CI: 69.9–86.5%) 39 months (Range: 6–72 months)

Studies with High-intensity Conditioning Regimen (TBI)

Samijn et al.21 14 36% (n¼ 5/14) 36 months (Range: 7–36)

Burt et al.22 21 33.3%* (n¼ 7/21) 24 months (Range: 6–60)

Nash et al.23 26 62.5%* (n¼ 15/24) 24 months (Range: 6–36)

Summary 61 44.6% (95% CI: 26.5–64.3%) 24 months (Range: 6–60 months)

aNi et al.14 used the BEAM regimen on 20/21 patients; the remaining patient received CYþTBI. We considered this an intermediate-intensity regimen

study because all but one patient received BEAM.

*Calculated by ECRI Institute based on our definition of progression (increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score of �1 if baseline EDSS

score is �5, increase in EDSS score of �0.5 if baseline EDSS score >5). Death from any cause was included in these calculations.

BEAM, etoposide, melphalan, carmustine, and cytosine arabinosode; CY, cyclophosphamide; TBI, total body irradiation.

Reston et al. 209

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Table 4. Mortality

Study

Total

number

of

patients

Conditioning

regimen

Number of

treatment-

related

deaths (%) Cause of death

Number of

non-

treatment

deaths (%)

Cause of

death

Total

number

of deaths

(%)

Prospective or Retrospective Case Series Studies

Fagius

et al.249 BEAM (N¼ 8)

High-dose

cyclophosphamide

(N¼ 1)

0 – 0 – 0

Shevchecko

et al.2550 BEAM or

modified BEAM

0 – 1 (2.0) Cerebral

hemorrhage

following

leukemia

1 (2.0)

Ni et al.14 21 BEAM in all

but one patient

2 (9.5) Severe pneumonia

(n¼ 1)

Varicella-zoster

virus (VRS)

hepatitis (n¼ 1)

0 – 2 (9.5)

Xu et al.15 22 BEAM 0 – 0 – 0

Saccardi

et al.16,1721 BEAM 0 – 0 – 0

Samijn

et al.2114 CY/TBI 0 – 1 (7.1) Disease

progression

(n¼ 1)

1 (7.1)

Saiz et al.18,19 14 BCNU 0 – 0 – 0

Burt et al.22 21 CY/TBI 0 – 2 (9.5) Disease

progression

(n¼ 2)

2 (9.5)

Espigado

et al.2722

(with MS)

CY/G-CSF 1 (4.5) Multi-organ

failure (n¼ 1)

1 (4.5) Disease

progression

(n¼ 1)

2 (9.1)

Nash et al.23 26 CY/TBI 1 (3.8) EBV-related

posttransplant

lymphoproliferative

disorder (n¼ 1)

1 (3.8) Disease

progression

(n¼ 1)

2 (7.7)

Kozak et al.28 10 BEAM 0 – 0 – 0

Fassas et al.20 24 BEAM 1 (4.1) Invasive aspergillosis

(lung and brain) (n¼ 1)

0 – 1 (4.1)

Openshaw

et al.295 Busulfan/CY 2 (40) Influenza A

pneumonia and

ARDS (n¼ 1)

Pneumococcal

pneumonia

and sepsis (n¼ 1)

0 – 2 (40)

Total 259 – 7 (2.7) – 6 (2.3) – 13 (5.0)

Retrospective Database Studies

Fassas

et al.26,30169** BeamþATG

(n¼ 74) Beam

(n¼ 30) BCNUþ

CYþATG

(n¼ 20) TBI/CYþ

ATG (n¼ 16)

9 (5.3) Cardiac

toxicity (n¼ 1)

Bacterial

infection (n¼ 1)

Pneumococcal

septicemia (n¼ 1)

6 (3.5) Disease

progression

(n¼ 6)

15 (8.9)

(continued)

210 Multiple Sclerosis Journal 17(2)

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Discussion

Immunoablative therapy has an associated risk of treat-ment-related mortality (about 2.7% in our analysis),mostly due to increased vulnerability to infections.A recent review of the European Bone MarrowTransplant (EBMT) database reported that the treat-ment-related mortality rate has decreased to 1.3% forpatients treated during 2001–2007. The reviewers sug-gest that the decreased mortality is most likely due tothe avoidance of high-intensity conditioning regimensand better patient selection.4 It is unclear whether thisrisk of treatment-related mortality is offset by longer-term decreases in mortality related to disease progres-sion, a question that may require controlled studies fora definitive answer. However, patients at risk of pro-gression to severe disability who have not responded toconventional medical therapy may be willing to accepta low risk of treatment-related mortality to improve orstabilize their symptoms.

The finding that high-intensity regimens using TBIare associated with lower progression-free survival ratescompared with intermediate-intensity conditioningregimens suggests that regimens using BEAM orcarmustine are more appropriate for patients with pro-gressive MS. This difference occurred despite the longerfollowup in intermediate-intensity studies (mean 37.4months versus mean 24.8 months in high-intensitystudies), which decreased the chances of survival with-out progression in the intermediate-intensity studiescompared with the high-intensity studies. Althoughthis finding has not been confirmed in an analysis ofpatients in the EBMT registry,26 a much lower percent-age of patients in the registry (9%) had received TBIcompared with the patients in the case series used in ouranalysis (34.8%). Therefore, the EBMT analysis

probably lacked the statistical power to detect a differ-ence in outcome for TBI versus other conditioning reg-imens. Regardless, the authors of a recent review4

discussed the EBMT database and stated that high-intensity regimens ‘do not result in a better neurologicaloutcome than do intermediate-intensity regimens’.

A possible explanation for why high-intensity regi-mens using TBI may lead to lower progression-freesurvival than intermediate-intensity regimens is thatthe neurotoxicity of the high-intensity TBI plus CYregimen could lead to increased axonal damage anddegeneration in patients with progressive MS, therebycontributing to disease progression.21,22 We note thatthe study that used the lowest total radiation dose hadthe highest progression-free survival rate of the threestudies that used high-intensity regimens;23 conversely,the study with the highest total radiation dose had thelowest progression-free survival rate.22

Since the three studies that represented high-inten-sity conditioning regimens in our primary analysis allused TBI, we cannot rule out the possibility that thefindings might have differed if alternative high-intensityregimens (e.g. busulfan) had been used in these studies.However, a multivariate analysis of the EBMT registryfound that full-dose busulfan regimens were signifi-cantly associated with higher rates of transplant-relatedmortality (p¼ 0.001) in patients with progressive MS.26

This suggests that the negative effects of high-intensityconditioning regimens are not confined solely to regi-mens using TBI.

Authors of another recent systematic review per-formed a qualitative assessment of the evidence andconcluded that high-dose immunosuppressive therapyfollowed by autologous HCT for MS should be doneearly while the disease is inflammatory and with anintermediate-intensity conditioning regimen, such as

Table 4. Continued

Study

Total

number

of

patients

Conditioning

regimen

Number of

treatment-

related

deaths (%) Cause of death

Number of

non-

treatment

deaths (%)

Cause of

death

Total

number

of deaths

(%)

BusulfanþATG

(n¼ 10) Others

(n¼ 19) Unknown

(n¼ 9) N’s based

on total study

population,

not on evaluable

patients.

Influenza (n¼ 1)

Cerebral asperigillosis

(n¼ 1) Infection,

neurologic deterioration

(n¼ 3) Acquired factor

VIII inhibitor (n¼ 1)

**Evaluable number of patients.

ATG, antilymphocyte globulins; BCNU, carmustine; BEAM, etoposide, melphalan, carmustine, and cytosine arabinosode; CY, cyclophosphamide; EBV,

Epstein–Barr virus; G-CSF, granulocyte colony stimulating factor; TBI, total body irradiation.

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BEAM, which has been associated with a lower risk oftreatment-related toxicity.31

The major limitation of this analysis is the lack ofcontrolled studies (randomized or non-randomized); todate, the only published evidence concerning immunoa-blative therapy for MS consists of case series andretrospective database studies. However, the patientsin these studies had not responded to conventionalmedical therapy, which decreases the likelihood thatpatients would remain progression-free 2–3 years afterimmunoablative therapy. Furthermore, a substantialproportion (45%) of patients who received intermedi-ate-intensity regimens not only stabilized but showedimprovement (as measured by decreased EDSS score)at last followup compared with baseline (data notshown). In contrast, only 9.2% of patients who receivedhigh-intensity regimens showed improvement at lastfollowup (data not shown).

Nevertheless, the lack of randomized trials directlycomparing the two conditioning regimens increases thechance that the included study groups receiving high-intensity regimens might differ from study groupsreceiving intermediate-intensity regimens with respectto unknown prognostic factors. Another limitation isthe lack of controlled studies comparing patients whoreceived immunoablative therapy plus autologous HCTto similar patients who did not undergo this treatment.This type of study would be necessary to assess therelative benefit of autologous HCT compared to alter-native treatment or no treatment.

Finally, the EDSS has a number of shortcomings asa measurement of disability. It has been criticized asbeing unresponsive to changes in disease activity dueto its bimodal distribution, with patients tending toscore at the low or higher ranges of the scale withrelatively few in the mid-ranges.32 The median EDSSscore in some of the included studies was in the less-responsive mid-range of the scale. Other limitations ofthe EDSS include poor reproducibility between differ-ent evaluators and inability to measure disability of theupper limbs or cognitive decline.32

Because relatively few patients with PPMS, PRMS,and RRMS have thus far received immunoablativetherapy with stem cell transplants, it is not yet possibleto determine whether patients with these subtypes ofMS have better outcomes with intermediate-intensityconditioning regimens compared to high-intensity con-ditioning regimens. Future studies should evaluatemore patients with these other types of MS.

Acknowledgements

We wish to thank the following individuals: Dr James Bowen(Clinical Associate Professor of Neurology, University of

Washington) for a helpful review of the manuscript; Jen deRichmond at ECRI Institute for performing the literature

search; and Lydia Dharia at the ECRI Institute for assistancein preparing this manuscript.

Funding

This study was funded in part by Department of DefenseTRICARE Management Activity under general contract

H94002-05-D-0003 and by ECRI Institute.

Conflict of interest statement

None declared.

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