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Chapter 2Analysis of Solvency, Liquidity, and
Financial Flexibility
Order Order Sale Payment Sent Cash
Placed Received ReceivedAccounts Collection
< Inventory > < Receivable > < Float >
Time ==>
Accounts Disbursement
< Payable > < Float >
Invoice Received Payment Sent Cash Disbursed
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Learning Objectives
Differentiate between solvency and liquidity ratios
Conduct a liquidity analysis
Assess a firms financial flexibility position
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Financial Statements - Basic Sourceof Information
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Statement of Cash Flows
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Solvency Measures
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Net Working Capital
Net Liquid Balance
Working Capital Requirements
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Current Ratio
Current assets
Current ratio = -------------------------Current liabilities
$8,924
Current ratio = ------------ = 1.00
$8,933
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Current ratio 1.72 1.48 1.45 1.05 1.00
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Quick Ratio
Current assets - Inventories
Quick ratio = -------------------------------------Current liabilities
$8,924 - $306
Quick ratio = ------------------- = .96
$8,933
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Quick ratio 1.64 1.40 1.39 1.01 0.96
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Net Working Capital
Net working capital = CA - CL
Net working capital = $8,924 - $8,933
= ($9)
($000,000) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Net working capital $2,644 $2,489 $2,948 $358 ($9)
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NWC and its Component Parts
Cash
Mkt Sec
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid
A/P
N/P
CMLTD
Cash
Mkt Sec
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid
A/P
N/P
CMLTD
Cash
Mkt Sec
A/R
Inventory
Prepaid
A/P
N/P
CMLTD
CA CL CA CL CA CL
NWC = CA - CL WCR = A/R + INV +Pre NLB = Cash + M/S
- A/P - N/P - CMLTD
Net Working Capital Working Capital Requirements Net Liquid Balance
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Working Capital Requirements
($2,586+$306+$1,394) - ($5,989+$54+$1,458+$1,432)
WCR/S = -------------------------------------------------------------------$35,404
($4,647)
= ---------- = -.1313
$35,404
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
WCR/S - 0.029 -0.065 -0.078 -0.114 -0.131
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Net Liquid Balance
Net liquid balance = Cash + Equiv. - (N/P + CMLTD)
Net liquid balance = $4,638 - ($0)
= $4,638
($000,000) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Net liquid balance $3,181 $4,132 $5,438 $3,914 $4,638
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What is Liquidity?
Ingredients Time
Amount
Cost
Definition Having enough financial resources to cover financial obligations
in a timely manner with minimal costs
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What is Liquidity - Examples
Amount and trend of internal cash flow
Aggregate available credit lines
Attractiveness of firms commercial paper andother financial instruments
Overall expertise of management
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Liquidity Measures
Cash Flow From Operations
Cash Conversion Efficiency
Cash Conversion Period
Current Liquidity Index
Lambda
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Cash Flow From Operations
($ 000,000) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
CFFO $2,436 $3,926 $4,195 $3,797 $3,538
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Cash Conversion Efficiency
($ 000,000) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
CFFO $2,436 $3,926 $4,195 $3,797 $3,538
Revenues 18,243 25,265 31,888 31,168 35,404Operating profit 2,046 2,457 2,768 2,271 2,844
Net profit 1,460 1,666 2,177 1,246 2,122
(Percentage of sales)
Operating profit margin 11.21 9.72 8.68 7.28 8.03
Net profit margin 8.00 6.59 6.82 3.99 5.99
Cash conversion efficiency 13.35 15.54 13.15 12.18 9.99
Cash conversion efficient = CFFO / Sales
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Cash Conversion Chart
Inventory Inventory Cash
stocked sold received
Days inventory held Days sales outstanding
Days payables outstanding Cash conversionperiod
Cash
disbursed
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Cash Conversion PeriodCalculations
Cash conversion period = DIH + DSO - DPO
(Days) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003DIH 7.10 7.17 5.79 3.99 3.87
DSO 49.64 38.69 33.14 26.57 26.66
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Operating cycle 56.74 45.86 38.93 30.56 30.53DPO 62.34 64.92 62.07 72.87 75.79
------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Cash conversion period -5.60 -19.06 -23.14 -42.31 -45.26
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How Much Liquidity is Enough?
Solvency - a stock or balance perspective
Liquidity - a flow perspective
Liquidity management involves finding the rightbalance of stocks and flows
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Current Liquidity Index
Cash assets t-1 + CFFO t
CLI = ---------------------------------N/P t-1 + CMLTD t-1
$4,638 + $3,538
CLI = --------------------- = infinite
$0 + $0
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Lambda
Initial liquid Total anticipated net cash flow
reserve + during the analysis horizon
Lambda = -------------------------------------------------------------------
Uncertainty about the net cash flow during theanalysis horizon
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Financial Flexibility
Sustainable Growth Rate Concept:
Uses = Sources
New Assets = New Equity + New Debt
gS(A/S) = m(S+gS)(1-d) + m(S+gS)(1-d)(D/E)
m(1-d)[1 + (D/E)]
g = ----------------------------------
(A/S) - {m(1-d)[1 + (D/E)]}
.039977 x (1 - 0.00) x (1 + 1.8834)
g = ----------------------------------------------------- = 36.14%
.43426 - [0.039977 x (1 - 0.00)(1 + 1.8834)]
calculation uses 2002 data to calculate the sustainable 2003 g.
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Summary
Chapter introduced basic concepts of: solvency
liquidity
financial flexibility
Solvency: an accounting concept comparing assetsto liabilities.
Liquidity: related to a firms ability to pay for itscurrent obligations in a timely fashion with
minimal costs. Financial flexibility: related to a firms overall
financial structure and if financial policies allowsfirm enough flexibility to take advantage of
unforeseen opportunities.