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Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela
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Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

May 21, 2020

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Page 1: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Artificial Intelligence:What is it and what can we expect from it

Jarno Kartela@JKartela

Page 2: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

What’s inside?1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial Intelligence, what?

2. Part 2: The Beef - AI’s implications are more versatile than you might

think

3. Part 3: The Burden - Things can always go wrong

4. Part 4: The Business Perspective - What to do now and tomorrow?

5. Summary

Page 3: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

20+AI projects as...

Team leadChief Data Scientist

Product ownerMachine learning engineer

Advisor

Prominent industries: media, telco, banking, process industry, aviation, retail,

(+ United Nations)

Page 4: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Part 1:Artificial Intelligence, what?

Page 5: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 6: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 7: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://papers.nips.cc/paper/5656-hidden-technical-debt-in-machine-learning-systems.pdf

Page 8: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 9: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 10: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Tape measure + baking brush?

Page 11: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Summing up so far:

Machine Learning = 5% Math + 95% software engineering

It’s not about automating jobs

There is a lot to do

Page 12: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Part 2:AI’s implications are more versatile than

you might think

Page 13: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

“I know what our customers want”

Page 14: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Personalizing content:

1. Machine learning2. Random (!!)3. Team of experts

Page 15: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Adding some 5% to revenue with reinforcement learning in three weeks against the “world’s best” system

Revenue +4.8%Average price +2.3%

Page 16: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Target: minutes

Individual program level: +4.35 %Areena level: +2.05%

Page 17: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 18: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

“We still need to be in control”

Page 19: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

When pollsters got 1,000 British

people to take Rosling's

"ignorance survey" in May this

year, the results suggested they

knew "less about the world than chimpanzees", he says.

https://www.bbc .com/news/magazine-24836917

Page 20: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 21: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 22: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 23: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 24: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://medium.com/machine-learning-w orld/neural-networks-for-algorithmic-trading-enhancing-classic-strategies-

a517f43109bf

Page 25: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://towardsdatascience.com/applicati ons-of-rei nforcement-learning-in-real-world-1a94955bcd12

Page 26: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 27: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 28: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

“At least creativity is safe”

Page 29: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://www.theverge.com/2017/6/2/15731648/nutella-packaging-algorithm-software

Page 30: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 31: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 32: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://www.christies.com/features /A-collaboration- between-two-artists-one-human-one-a-machine-9332- 1.aspx

Page 33: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

100’000 € hardwareOr few lines of code?

Page 34: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

“There are no real bottom line effects from AI yet”

Page 35: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

+4.8%

+4.35%

Another dynamic pricing system for hospitality: +13&

Page 36: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 37: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

~ NB! That’s the energy consumption of Finland.

https://www.ft.com/content/27c8aea

0-06a9-11e7-97d1-5e720a26771b

Page 38: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

The goal is to predict possible sepsis 24 hours earlier than before, saving lives.

https://www.laakarilehti.fi/ajassa/aj ankohtaista/tekoal y-on-matkalla-laakarin-tyokal uksi/

https://www.ter veysportti.fi/xmedia/duo/duo11584.pdf

Page 39: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

”There are already countries where the first point of contact to healthcare is AI”

Page 40: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Part 3:Things can always go wrong

Page 41: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 42: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

“How can I be sure this is ethical?”

Page 43: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://www.pnas.org/content/110/15/5802.figures-onl y

https://ai-and-society.wi ki.otago.ac.nz/i mages/0/0f/Ai-and- elections.pdf

Page 44: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://www.indi ewire.com/2018/10/netflix-accused-targeting- viewers-race-posters-thumbnails-1202014458/

Page 45: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial
Page 46: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://www.wired.co.uk/article/de

epfake-fake-videos-artificial-

intelligence

Page 47: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-

human-os/robotics/artif icial-

intelligence/layoffs-at-watson-

health-reveal-ibms-problem-with-ai

Page 48: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

https://www.economist.com/the-

economist-explains/2018/05/29/why-

ubers-self-driving-car-killed-a-

pedestrian

Page 49: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Part 4:What to do now and tomorrow?

Page 50: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Horizon 1: Automation

Now: Recommendations, Personalization, Chatbots, RPA-like AI, Subsystem optimization

Tomorrow: Reinforcement learning of “everything digital”, dynamic pricing, advanced optimization

Page 51: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Horizon 2: Augmentation

Now: Clustering, NLP, NLU, Segmentation, Voice interfaces

Tomorrow: Creative AI, Smart robotics, “Awareness 2.0”, New hybrid user interfaces

Page 52: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Horizon 3: Data & AI ecosystems

Now: Own data platforms, Open data, My data, “Can I sell this in Adform”

Tomorrow: Platform industry 4.0 (think machines optimizing for less carbon emissions throughout the value chain), Ethics-assets as services, AI as globally scaled free healthcare, Solving climate crisis

Page 53: Artificial Intelligence · 2019-02-15 · Artificial Intelligence: What is it and what can we expect from it Jarno Kartela @JKartela. What’s inside? 1. Part 1: The Brief - Artificial

Summary

We are worse than machines in most tasks

Machines are not unethical, but we can be

Best way forward is hybrid: man + machine (augmentation)

We are just getting started