STEPS Centre ‘Pathways Methods’ helping appreciate alternative pathways Andy Stirling SPRU & STEPS Centre University of Sussex presentation to conference session on Nexus Methods ESRC Methods Festival University of Bath 5 th July 2016 www.steps-centre.org/ www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/ www.multicriteriamapping.com www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/people/peoplelists/person/7513
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STEPS Centre ‘Pathways Methods’
helping appreciate alternative pathways
Andy StirlingSPRU & STEPS Centre
University of Sussex
presentation to conference session on Nexus Methods ESRC Methods Festival
B: EXPLORE NARRATIVES1: review relevant histories2: elicit notions of systems3: explore related framings4: address Sustainability values5: scope possible pathways6: review aspects of incertitude7: differentiate perspectives8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCEExplore framings: particularly ideas about ‘resilience’, ‘innovation’ and ‘pathways‘ Test concepts in relation to environmental change and maize in Kenya
B: EXPLORE NARRATIVES1: review relevant histories2: elicit notions of systems3: explore related framings4: address Sustainability values5: scope possible pathways6: review aspects of incertitude7: differentiate perspectives8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
Low Maize High Maize
Low-ExternalInput
High-ExternalInput
B: EXPLORE NARRATIVES1: review relevant histories2: elicit notions of systems3: explore related framings4: address Sustainability values5: scope possible pathways6: review aspects of incertitude7: differentiate perspectives8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
Low Maize High Maize
Low-ExternalInput
High-ExternalInput
C CHARACTERISE DYNAMICS:1: review relevant histories2: explore challenges/opportunities3: scrutinise likely shocks/stresses4: look at actors’ strength/weakness5: examine decision/branch points6: identify winners/losers7: attend to issues of power/politics 8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
Alternative dryland staples for subsistence
Alternative dryland staples for market
Local improvement of local maizeAssisted seed multiplication of maize
Assisted seed multiplication of alternative dryland staples
Individual high-value crop commercialization
Group-based high-value crop commercialization
Commercial delivery of new DT maize varieties
Public delivery of new DT maize varieties
C CHARACTERISE DYNAMICS:1: review relevant histories2: explore challenges/opportunities3: scrutinise likely shocks/stresses4: look at actors’ strength/weakness5: examine decision/branch points6: identify winners/losers7: attend to issues of power/politics 8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
pathways served as starting point for opening up the discussion with farmers, scientists and policy makers on:
Diversity of pathways in and out of maizeRelevant criteria for choosing one pathway over another
Alternative visions of the future and institutional support arrangements
REVEAL STRATEGIES
D: REVEAL POLITICAL ACTIONS1: review relevant histories2: confirm key protagonists3: explore forms of agency4: define possible interventions 5: identify coping strategies6: examine possible responses7: establish accountabilities8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
Quantitative and qualitative data from multicriteria mapping
Interviews and group discussions prompted by this process
REVEAL STRATEGIES
D: REVEAL POLITICAL ACTIONS1: review relevant histories2: confirm key protagonists3: explore forms of agency4: define possible interventions 5: identify coping strategies6: examine possible responses7: establish accountabilities8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
REVEAL STRATEGIES
D: REVEAL POLITICAL ACTIONS1: review relevant histories2: confirm key protagonists3: explore forms of agency4: define possible interventions 5: identify coping strategies6: examine possible responses7: establish accountabilities8: seek critical feedback
KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
Pathways Out of Maize: Orphans or Siblings?Performance rankings for different groups of stakeholders shows a
surprising amount of optimism about alternative dryland staple crops, especially under a set of stress tolerance criteria
Pathways in Maize: Sakai farmer performance rankings show a preference for local
maize, not new maize
broadening out
opening up
STEPS Methodology A framework for balancing power and making space for political action