AMENDMENT NO. 25 TO EAST WANNEROO CELL 1 (TAPPING AND ASHBY) AGREED STRUCTURE PLAN NO.3 This Amendment to the Agreed Structure Plan is prepared under the provisions of Part 9 of the City of Wanneroo District Planning Scheme No. 2
AMENDMENT NO. 25
TO
EAST WANNEROO CELL 1 (TAPPING AND ASHBY)
AGREED STRUCTURE PLAN NO.3
This Amendment to the Agreed Structure Plan is prepared under the provisions of Part 9 of the City of Wanneroo District Planning Scheme No. 2
RECORD OF AMENDMENTS MADE TO THE EAST WANNEROO CELL 1
AGREED STRUCTURE PLAN NO. 3
Original plan finally adopted by Council & WAPC is dated 6 May 2004 (this includes Amendment No. 1)
Amendment
No. Description of Amendment Finally
Endorsed Council
Finally Endorsed
WAPC 1 To recode certain lots located at the southern
part of the Agreed Structure Plan area from R20 to R40
27 April 2004 1 April 2005
2
Modifies the road layout and the distribution of the Public Open Space areas over Lot 2706 Pinjar Road, Tapping.
11 Aug 2004 1 April 2005
3 Modifies the road layout, density codes and the distribution of Public Open Space cover Crown Reserve 27294, Lots 1, 20, 21 and 22 Wanneroo Road and Lots 14, 15, 17, 18 and Pt Lot 101 Clarkson Avenue, Tapping.
9 Sept 2004 1 April 2005
4 Recodes minor portions of Lot 13 Wanneroo Road, Ashby from R20 to R40
5 Oct 2004 1 April 2005
5 Recodes Lots 235-259 Taplow Parade, portion of Lot 25 Pinjar Road and portion of Lot 9006 Pinjar Road, Ashby from R20 to R40
15 March 2005 1 April 2005
6 Recodes minor portions of Lots 25 and 26 Pinjar Road, Ashby from R20 to R40
6 May 2005 15 June 2005
7 Recodes the residential portion of Lots 23 & 24 Ashley Road, tapping from R20 to R30 & R40
9 Sept 2005 27 June 2005
8 Recodes Lot 135 Paxton Way, Ashby from R20 to R40
28 Feb 2006 22 June 2006
9 Modifies the road layout of Lot 501 Conti Road & Lot 502 & Lot 9601 Pinjar Road, Ashby and recodes a portion of that land from R20 to R40
6 June 2006 29 Aug 2006
10 Recodes Lots 1118 and 120 Gosford Meander and Lots 121 and 134 Praxton Way, Ashby from R20 to R40
15 July 2006 5 Dec 2006
13 Recodes the following lots in Ashby from R20 to R40: Lots 101, 104, 106-116, 123-126, 273-274, 277-278, 283, 285-287, 289, 291-293 Gosford Meander Lots 129-132, 136-137, 246-250, 280-282 Sistina Road Lots 138-144 Hennessy Drive Lots 251-263 Shipton Loop Lots 264-267 Cranley Link Lot 9013 Pinjar Road, Sinagra
12 Feb 2008 30 June 2008
11 Rezones Lot 9602 Pinjar Road, Ashby from residential to Centre Zone, with a maximum net lettable area of 4600m², & Community Purpose Site; and Rezones Lot 25 Ashley Road, Tapping from Centre Zone to Residential Zone with a density coding of R20
SAT Matter
No. DR 171/2008
10 Sep 2008
SAT Matter
No. DR 171/2008
10 Sep 2008
14 Recodes Lot 208 Grallina Way, Tapping from R20 to R30
16 Dec 2008 10 March 2009
16 Deletes the Community Purpose site from Lot 9603 Pinjar Road, Ashby and relocates it on a portion of Lot 9031 Waldburg Drive, Tapping
Recodes a portion of Lot 9031 Ashley Road, Tapping from Residential R20 to R40.
9 Feb 2010 23 March 2010
12 Rezones Lot 19 Clarkson Avenue, tapping from Residential Precinct to Commercial Zone and residential Precinct (R40);
Modifies Schedule 1 to include the NLA as 1100m²; and
Includes an additional provision relating to the Commercial Zone
18 Nov 2008
9 May 2011
18 Recodes Lot 9603 Pinjar Road, Ashby
from Residential R20 to Residential
R30, R40 and R60 excepting for the
future R20 lots abutting Conti Road;
and
Recodes a portion of Lot 501 Conti
Road, Ashby to the east of Fomiatti
Street from Residential R40 to
Residential R60 and from Residential
R20 to Residential R30, R40 andR60
excepting for the future R20 lots
abutting Conti Road.
18 Nov 2011
23 Jan 2012
20
Amends 'Schedule 1 – Retail Floorspace
Provision' to permit a maximum retail
floorspace limit of 7,000m2 NLA (rounded to
the nearest 50m2).
24 July 2012
1 March 2013
21
Modifying Schedule 1 to include the NLA for
Lot 19 Clarkson Avenue, Tapping as
1900m2.
28 June 2013 22 July 2013
17 Modifies the road layout on Lots 21 and 24 Carosa Road, Ashby and recodes portion of Lots 21 and 24 Carosa Road, Ashby in the Residential zone from R20 to R25, R40 and R60.
24 Feb 2012 20 Nov 2012
19 Recodes Lot 9017 Lautrec Loop, Ashby from R20 to R30
28 June 2013 22 July 2013
22
Recodes portions of Lots 9623 and 9624 Pinjar Road, Ashby from Residential R60 to Residential R80
Identifies areas to be designated as ‘Height Limit A’ and ‘Height Limit B’
Inserts Provision 7 – Residential Design Code Variations
22 Jan 2015
16 Feb 2015
24
Recodes portion of Lot 1 (96) Clarkson Avenue, Tapping from Residential R20 to Residential R40
2 Feb 2015 30 Mar 2015
23 Recodes the eastern portion of Lot 19 (20) Clarkson Avenue, Tapping from Residential R40 to Residential R60
AMENDMENT NO. 25
TO
EAST WANNEROO CELL 1 (TAPPING AND ASHBY)
AGREED STRUCTURE PLAN No.3
The City of Wanneroo, pursuant to Part 9 of District Planning Scheme No. 2, hereby amends the above Agreed Structure Plan by:
1. Modifying Schedule 1 to include the NLA for Lot 19 Clarkson Avenue, Tapping as
4300m2.
SCHEDULE 1: RETAIL FLOORSPACE PROVISION
NEIGHBORHOOD CENTRE MAXIMUM NET LETTABLE AREA
(ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 50M²)
Lot 9602 Pinjar Road, Ashby
Lot 19 Clarkson Avenue, Tapping
7100m²
4300m²
CERTIFIED THAT AMENDMENT NO.25 TO THE EAST WANNEROO CELL 1
(TAPPING AND ASHBY) AGREED STRUCTURE PLAN NO.3
WAS ADOPTED BY
RESOLUTION OF THE WESTERN AUSTRALIAN PLANNING
COMMISSION ON ………………………………
Signed for and on behalf of the Western Australian Planning Commission
……………………………………………….
an officer of the Commission duly authorised by the Commission pursuant to section 24 of the Planning and Development Act 2005 for that purpose, in the presence of:
…………………………………………. Witness
…………………………….. Date
AND BY
RESOLUTION OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF WANNEROO (or as otherwise delegated under section 8.1 of its Delegated Authority Register)
ON …………………………….
Signed for and on behalf of the City of Wanneroo in accordance with the Local Government Act 1995, Clause 9.49 A. (1) (b)
……………………………………………………….. Director, Planning and Sustainability, City of Wanneroo
………………. Date
EXPLANATORY REPORT
EAST WANNEROO CELL 1 (TAPPING AND ASHBY)
AGREED STRUCTURE PLAN No.3
AMENDMENT NO. 25
The proposed amendment seeks to increase the amount of retail floorspace permitted within the neighbourhood activity centre located on the corner of Clarkson Avenue and Wanneroo Road from 1,900sqm NLA to 4,300sqm NLA.
A development application seeking consent for the establishment of a service station, drive through food outlets, restaurant, medical centre, car wash, liquor store, showroom, office and shop (retail) uses was approved by the City of Wanneroo on 15 May, 2014. Whilst the approval is consistent with the current retail floorspace limitation, any future change to the tenancy mix would be limited by the retail floorspace cap. The proposed amendment will facilitate a greater level of flexibility over time and will allow the centre to develop with a retail anchor in the form of a small supermarket use. It will also allow the development of the site to respond to the evolving needs of the growing community in the locality.
In November 2008 the City of Wanneroo considered an amendment to the Agreed Structure Plan which ultimately created the Commercial zone on the site that is the subject of this amendment. At that time a retail floorspace limit of 1,100sqm NLA was applicable to the land. The City of Wanneroo subsequently adopted the definition of Shop (retail) as per State Planning Policy No. 4.2 “Activity Centres for Perth and Peel” (SPP 4.2) which defines Shop (retail) uses as those uses which are included within the Planning Land Use Category 5 (PLUC5) codes. These codes include restaurants, cafes, and take away food outlets as being retail floor space. In order to address the effective erosion of retail floorspace allocation for the site, the City adopted Amendment No.21 which increased the retail floorspace allocation to 1,900sqm NLA but essentially kept the same development footprint.
More recently the inclusion of a number of land uses in the Local Structure Plan of the nearby Drovers Place Precinct that are also included in the PLUC5 codes as retail floor space, has been supported. The Drover’s Place Precinct is intended to act as an “Out of Centre” development catering for lower order commercial retail uses – predominantly including the bulky goods type of retail activity amongst other non-retail uses. Additionally uses such as Medical Centre and Pharmacy uses that are clearly better suited to the identified neighbourhood activity centre on the subject site, have been permitted in Drover’s Place. The allowance of such uses at Drover’s place has contributed to
delaying the development of the subject site and has required constant adjustment of the retail offer at the subject site.
Our Client has obtained subdivision approval and approval for working drawings relating to the construction of Corvus Road with the intent of commencing implementation of development. Whilst the timing for the development of the subject site is constrained by obligations to the tenant currently occupying the site, the transfer of key land uses such as the liquor store, medical centre, pharmacy and hairdresser to the Drover’s Place site has had a significant impact on the subject site and has contributed to the delay in development. Not only have key tenants declined to establish at the subject site, but the uncertainty created as a result of the Drover’s Place proposals has made it difficult for tenant commitments to be obtained.
In order to maintain commercial viability, the development on the neighbourhood activity centre will need to provide local, convenient retail services that will attract customers to the centre. Local centres are typically anchored by uses such as a liquor store, food outlets, medical/pharmacy, and convenience retail activities. The transfer of many of these uses to the “Out of Centre’ location at Drover’s Place results in the need to adjust the retail anchor for the subject site. It is therefore intended that the development on the subject site will now include a small scale supermarket use to act as an attractor for other tenants.
This adjustment in the nature of the retail offer at the neighbourhood activity centre also provides an opportunity to adjust the configuration of the development on the subject site so that it will more suitably respond to the future development of the adjoining, currently vacant landholding. The vacant land to the east of the future Corvus Road extension is currently zoned Residential R40, however Amendment 23 seeks to increase the residential density to Residential R60. This will facilitate the opportunity for the development of that land in a number of different possible configurations. If developed for multiple dwellings this could result in approximately 169 new dwellings being established adjoining the subject site. These dwellings are appropriately located near the commercial centre, public transport routes and public open space. There is an opportunity to provide a better interfacing treatment between the future commercial development on the subject site and the future residential development on the adjoining site. As such it is intended that development will incorporate a covered walkway from Corvus Road into the neighbourhood activity centre with a number of interactive (predominantly food based) uses interfacing with the future Corvus Road extension. A notional development plan depicting the revised site configuration has been prepared and is attached to this documentation.
A review of the retail floor space demand relative to the subject site has been undertaken by Shrapnel Urban Planning (a copy of the review is attached). The review has demonstrated that 4,300sqm of retail floor space can be justified on the site. The study considers growth patterns and assesses retail demand relative
to the catchment population over time. It has been demonstrated that the retail impact on other centres will effectively be imperceptible.
In light of the above and the attached it is considered that the amendment to the Cell 1 ASP to modify the retail floor space allocation is appropriate as it will allow maximum long term flexibility in relation to the tenancy mix for the site and by allowing the designated retail centre at the neighbourhood activity centre to have a retail anchor, will partly address the current situation that has occurred as a result of the approval of retail uses at Drover’s Place that are inappropriate in that location.
ATTACHMENT 1 – NOTIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN
ATTACHMENT 2 – RETAIL SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT
Telephone: +61 8 9388-2893 Fax: +61 8 9381-4208 E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.shrapnel.com.au
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNINGLand Use Design Strategy Economics Research
RETAIL SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT
Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre
Prepared for Freshlink Export Pty Ltd
June 2015
proposed increase in statutory retail floorspace upper limit
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
Contents
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS .............................................................................................................. 1
INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 2
Subject Land ........................................................................................................................................ 2
Terminology ........................................................................................................................................ 3
PROPOSED ACTIVITY CENTRE .................................................................................................................. 4
Location and Context .......................................................................................................................... 4
Proposed Development ...................................................................................................................... 7
ACTIVITY CENTRE MODELLING................................................................................................................ 9
Population Projections ........................................................................................................................ 9
Population zone projections ........................................................................................................... 9
Activity Centres ................................................................................................................................. 11
Modelling Results .............................................................................................................................. 13
Looking further ahead ................................................................................................................... 15
APPENDIX: Description of Model and detailed output summary sheets
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 1 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
SUMMARYANDCONCLUSIONS
1. This Retail Sustainability Assessment (RSA) is in support of a proposal to increase the
potential size of the planned Tapping neighbourhood activity centre. The planned centre has
a current development approval from the City of Wanneroo consistent with its statutory
Shop/ Retail floorspace upper limit of 1,900 sqm. It is now proposed that this statutory
upper limit be increased to 4,300 sqm.
2. The proposed floorspace limit increase is partly in response to commercial interest in the
potential of the Tapping centre to sustain a small supermarket, which is not envisaged in the
current approval. It is also motivated by recent analysis of the future population of the
centre’s primary catchment area, which has identified an existing and future potential
shortage of planned activity centre floorspace in the area.
3. This RSA clearly demonstrates:
That the additional retail floorspace proposed in the Tapping neighbourhood centre is
viable and supportable by its service area population;
That the economic impact of the proposed development on competing centres will be
insignificant – imperceptible in fact – and will certainly not result in an overall loss of
services to the local population.
On the contrary, that the proposed new activity centre is clearly in the public interest,
and will make a small but important contribution towards maintenance of a satisfactory
level of well‐located retail services available to the local community.
4. The main reasons for these results are:
The Tapping centre will be a relatively small centre, and the proposed retail floorspace
increase is relatively small (2,400 sqm) when compared to the total amount of retail
floorspace required to adequately service the primary study area.
The currently planned distribution of activity centres is highly compatible with the
proposed expansion of the Tapping centre. At present there is no other centre planned
within the large suburb of Tapping.
At each future planning horizon the projected study area population will have increased
significantly over the preceding planning horizon, and the overall supply of retail
floorspace is (rightly) assumed to also increase to keep pace with population growth and
thus retail floorspace demand.
Over time, this process continually reduces the proportion that the proposed Tapping
centre expansion represents to the overall retail floorspace supply within the study area.
In 2016 a Tapping centre of 4,300 sqm would represent a relatively minor 7.3% of the
total retail floorspace in the primary study area. Over time this proportion will steadily
reduce until, by 2036, it will represent a mere 3.3% of the total retail floorspace in the
area.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 2 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
INTRODUCTIONSHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING has been requested by Freshlink Export Pty Ltd to prepare this
Retail Sustainability Assessment (RSA) in support of a proposal to increase the potential size of the
planned Tapping neighbourhood activity centre. The planned centre has a current development
approval from the City of Wanneroo consistent with its statutory Shop/ Retail floorspace upper limit
of 1,900 sqm. It is now proposed that this upper limit be increased to 4,300 sqm. This proposed
increase requires a structure plan amendment, full documentation for which is being prepared by
lead planning consultants, the Rowe Group.
The proposed floorspace limit increase is partly in response to keen commercial interest in the
potential of the Tapping centre to sustain a small supermarket, which is not envisaged in the current
approval. It is also motivated by recent analysis of the future population of the centre’s primary
catchment area, and the existing and planned supply of retail floorspace in its activity centres. This
analysis has identified an existing and future potential shortage of planned activity centre floorspace
in the area which, if not appropriately rectified, could result in increased pressure to satisfy the
floorspace demand in hitherto unplanned, inappropriate locations, which could potentially result in
very poor activity centre planning outcomes (e.g. a supermarket in Drovers Place).
SubjectLandThe subject land is Portion of Lot 19 on Plan 007681 located at the corner of Wanneroo Road and
Clarkson Avenue within the suburb of Tapping in the City of Wanneroo (Figure 1). The remaining
portion of Lot 19 to the immediate east of the subject land is planned to accommodate medium
density residential development, very suitably juxtaposed with the neighbourhood activity centre.
Figure 1 Subject Land
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 3 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
TerminologyThe following terms are used in this report:
Retail in its non‐technical, common sense meaning is used frequently in the interests of general
readability.
Shop/ Retail – Planning Land Use Category (PLUC) 5 – specifically refers to one of two Retail
categories defined by the WAPC (see SPP 4.2 for details) and includes virtually all retail activities
normally found within shopping centres. It excludes most of the activities normally referred to as
“bulky goods” retail.
Other Retail – Planning Land Use Category (PLUC) 6 – is the other specific Retail category defined in
detail by the WAPC. It mostly includes those retail activities normally referred to as “bulky goods”
(e.g. furniture, floor coverings, etc), but also includes hardware.
Total Retail specifically refers to Shop/ Retail plus Other Retail.
Net Lettable Area (NLA) in square metres is the unit of measurement for all retail and other
commercial floorspace. It includes all internal floorspace except stairs, toilets, lift shafts and motor
rooms, escalators, tea rooms and other service areas, lobbies, and areas used for public spaces or
thoroughfares. Note that non‐public storerooms within large shops (such as supermarkets) are
generally not classified as “Shop/ Retail” NLA, but as “Storage” NLA.
Retail Needs Assessment (RNA): The study required under Clause 6.2.2 of SPP 4.2 to estimate the
retail needs and indicative distribution of floorspace across the activity centres in a local government
area; and to guide the preparation of district and activity centre structure plans.
Retail Sustainability Assessment (RSA): The study required under Clause 6.5 of SPP 4.2 to assess the
potential economic and related effects of a significant retail expansion on the network of activity
centres in a locality. RSA's are not required where the proposed development is in accordance with
an endorsed planning strategy or structure plan that has been based on an RNA.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 4 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
PROPOSEDACTIVITYCENTREThe potential sustainability of any activity centre is highly dependent upon the characteristics of its
location, context, and site quality. Its design and tenancy composition are also of fundamental
importance to its prospects of ongoing success.
LocationandContextThe Tapping activity centre’s location and context within its wider district is illustrated in Figure 2,
which also shows the study area that has been defined for modelling the potential economic impacts
of the proposed floorspace increase on competing centres. The primary study area is depicted by the
heavy dashed line Figure 2, while the secondary study area is depicted by the lighter dashed line.
Figure 2 Proposed centre location and context within primary and secondary study area
Tapping
centre
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 5 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
The primary study area is the area within which the results of the modelling provide a sound basis
for the planning of activity centres within the area. The secondary or “frame” area is included to
ensure that the model’s results for the primary area are sufficiently accurate for this purpose. In the
current project the defined frame area is reasonably extensive in order for the modelling results to
adequately reflect the potential influence and performance of the Wanneroo Town Centre.
Figure 3 shows the location of the Tapping centre site within its more local context, together with its
main neighbourhood centre competition – the Carramar and (future) Ashby centres. Of these three,
only the Carramar Centre has as yet been fully developed. The 400 metre indicative walkable
catchments for each of these centres are also shown, and it can be seen that they are well separated
and do not overlap.
Figure 3 Neighbourhood centres in Tapping, Carramar & Ashby with walkable catchments
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 6 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
Drovers Place, which is located on the south‐west corner of the Wanneroo Road/ Joondalup Drive
intersection, is also indicated on Figure 3 due to its close proximity to the Tapping centre site.
Drovers Place is recognised by the City of Wanneroo as an “out‐of‐centre” development. A walkable
catchment has therefore not been indicated for Drovers Place as it is overwhelmingly car‐oriented,
has relatively few people living within 400 metres of it, and walking to it from the surrounding
established residential areas is neither convenient nor particularly safe for pedestrians.
CarramarVillageCarramar Village is a very busy neighbourhood centre with a statutory retail floorspace limit of 4,500
sqm, and is anchored by a Woolworth’s supermarket (Figure 4).
Figure 4 Carramar Village
TheAshbyCentreOnce planned to be centrally located within Tapping, this centre has now been relocated south and
east to the corner of Pinjar Road and Hollosy Way in Ashby. It has a statutory retail floorspace upper
limit of 7,100 sqm, but at present now just accommodates a service station/ convenience store
(Figure 5) and a large tavern.
Figure 5 Ashby Centre
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 7 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
TheTappingCentreSiteThe subject land is elevated above and slopes towards Wanneroo Road, and easily accessible from
Clarkson Avenue, which is one of Tapping’s distributor roads. At present the site is partly vacant and
partly occupied by an operating farm produce warehouse and distribution depot.
Figure 6 Subject land taken from Clarkson Avenue
ProposedDevelopmentThe Tapping activity centre is now envisaged as a medium‐sized neighbourhood centre comprising
mostly retail floorspace. The indicative composition now envisaged for the centre is presented in
Table 1. It will no doubt be appreciated that, in the context of a structure plan amendment, the
composition and design of the activity centre is still fairly indicative and potentially subject to later
refinement.
Table 1 Indicative centre size and composition
Category Floorspace
(sqm NLA)
Shop/ Retail
Shops (incl. supermarket) 2,966
Takeaway 672
Total Shop/ Retail 3,638
Smkt Storage 634
Total Retail Floorspace 4,272
Medical 240
Office 95
Store & bikes 100
Total Other 435
Total Floorspace 4,707
Although the current plan for the centre does not envisage the entire centre floorspace necessarily
being retail, the ability to tenant all of the floorspace with Shop/ Retail activities is nevertheless
being sought in order to reflect the current level of commercial interest in the retail floorspace, as
well as provide for a flexible and complication‐free tenanting context.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 8 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
While tenanting of the Tapping centre is still under consideration, our client has indicated that, if the
proposed structure plan amendment is successful, it would be aiming to tenant the supermarket
with an Aldi, now that that international chain is vigorously expanding into Western Australia. As a
medium‐sized neighbourhood centre Tapping could not support a large Coles or Woolworths, but it
is considered to be well located to accommodate an Aldi store.
CentreDesignThe current thinking in relation to the design of the proposed centre is presented in Figure 7. As
mentioned above, the design should be considered indicative at the present time.
Figure 7 Indicative centre design
Source: The Rowe Group
This plan, which has been derived from (and in many ways is similar to) the existing current
development approval plan features the following:
Legible and convenient access and egress from Clarkson Avenue;
Ample, legible and visible car parks;
A car‐focussed precinct on the western portion of the site where drive‐throughs and take‐
away outlets are emphasised due to the proximity to and visibility from Wanneroo Road;
A more pedestrian‐friendly shopping precinct on the eastern side where the normal,
neighbourhood‐serving retail floorspace will predominate. Unlike the currently approved
plan, the opportunity is now being created to enable at least half the centre’s frontage along
Corvus Road to take on a “main street” format and present a much‐improved centre façade
to the medium density housing that is planned opposite.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 9 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
ACTIVITYCENTREMODELLINGThis RSA utilises a gravity model to quantify the retail floorspace potential of the activity centres in
the primary study area and to estimate the economic impact on other centres of increasing the
Tapping centre’s development potential up to a revised maximum of 4,300 sqm. A full description of
the model, together with a series of detailed output summary sheets for various development
scenarios is presented in the Appendix to this report.
PopulationProjectionsPopulation projections for the primary study area are presented in Figure 8.
Figure 8 Primary study area population projections 2011‐2036
Sources: City of Wanneroo website (id Forecasts)
As indicated in Figure 8, between 2011 and 2036 it is projected that the population of the study area
will increase by a very significant 124%.
PopulationzoneprojectionsFor the purposes of the centres modelling, these projections have been disaggregated into smaller
population zones, the boundaries of which have been derived from Main Roads Zones (MRZ), albeit
in some instances modified to reflect current road infrastructure (e.g. in the vicinity of Banksia
Grove) and/ or further disaggregated to reflect longer term planning directions (e.g. in East
Wanneroo) .
These population zones are illustrated in Figure 9 and projections for each of the areas are
presented in Table 2.
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Dwellings 17,468 20,794 24,044 28,590 33,786 38,897
Population 49,069 58,474 67,398 80,413 95,008 109,905
Occ.Ratio 2.81 2.81 2.80 2.81 2.81 2.83
2.00
2.10
2.20
2.30
2.40
2.50
2.60
2.70
2.80
2.90
3.00
‐
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Persons per Dwelling
Dwelling Units/ Persons
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 10 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
Figure 9 Population zones (based on MRZ) used for activity centre modelling
Table 2 Dwelling and population projections by population zone 2011‐2036
Zone DW2011 DW2016 DW2021 DW2026 DW2031 DW2036 POP2011 POP2016 POP2021 POP2026 POP2031 POP2036
95 763 2,158 3,293 3,768 3,828 3,828 2,012 6,091 9,452 10,713 10,820 10,773
96 187 406 674 760 760 760 582 1,168 1,851 2,139 2,177 2,198
97 1,998 1,998 1,998 1,998 1,998 1,998 6,233 6,233 6,233 6,233 6,233 6,233
98 3,070 3,289 3,376 3,357 3,381 3,381 9,369 9,960 10,058 9,943 9,814 9,718
99 1,012 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 2,394 3,156 3,189 3,192 3,198 3,210
100 60 60 60 60 60 60 152 151 153 156 158 158
101 1,310 1,310 1,311 1,311 1,334 1,334 3,319 3,299 3,341 3,414 3,504 3,506
102 1,385 1,385 1,385 1,385 1,385 1,385 3,509 3,487 3,530 3,606 3,638 3,640
103 704 1,089 1,613 2,163 2,635 2,975 1,996 2,864 4,286 5,753 7,021 7,958
104 1,113 1,113 1,113 1,129 1,149 1,149 2,820 2,803 2,837 2,940 3,018 3,020
105 100 232 399 1,500 2,193 2,200 253 584 1,017 3,906 5,760 5,782
106 750 750 1,100 1,921 2,800 2,900 1,900 1,888 2,803 5,002 7,354 7,621
107 1,974 2,456 2,715 2,720 2,720 2,720 5,509 7,068 7,777 7,747 7,640 7,596
108 1,000 1,244 1,467 1,473 1,473 1,473 3,005 3,580 4,202 4,196 4,138 4,113
13201 983 1,020 1,020 1,020 1,020 1,020 2,941 3,050 3,050 3,050 3,050 3,050
13202 239 239 250 500 1,200 3,064 606 602 637 1,302 3,152 8,053
13203 216 223 282 612 1,225 1,962 650 656 785 1,876 3,775 6,130
13204 257 265 335 728 1,456 2,333 773 780 934 2,230 4,489 7,289
13205 347 358 453 985 1,969 3,155 1,045 1,054 1,263 3,015 6,069 9,856
Total 17,468 20,794 24,044 28,590 33,786 38,897 49,069 58,474 67,398 80,413 95,008 109,905
Source: City of Wanneroo (id Forecasts); SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 11 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
ActivityCentresAll existing and planned activity centres included in the modelling are illustrated in Figure 10. The
centre depictions in Figure 10 are diagrammatic only, and not to scale. It should also be noted that,
while the majority of the activity centres are either existing or firmly planned, several “hypothetical”
centres have also been included which reflect the need for additional future centres in certain future
growth areas where major population growth is projected in the longer term. Such hypothetical
centres have a dashed boundary in Figure 10, rather than a solid boundary. These centres, or their
equivalents, will definitely be required in the future if the supply of retail floorspace in the primary
study area is to be maintained in a more‐or‐less serviceable relationship with the population.
Figure 10 Existing, planned and hypothetical future activity centres included in the model
The retail floorspace data used for each of the modelled planning scenarios is presented in Table 3.
These figures are assumptions that have been based on existing known plans, and other factors
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Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 12 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
intended to reflect the likely and desirable supply of retail floorspace in the study area at the various
planning horizons. As mentioned above, this has necessitated the inclusion of several hypothetical
centres to reflect existing longer term population projections, particularly in East Wanneroo. The
following should also be noted in Table 3:
The Tapping centre is shown at its proposed new upper floorspace limit, rather than its
current limit. However, the modelling includes a separate scenario for both the current limit
as well as the proposed upper limit.
It is assumed that the Wanneroo Secondary Centre will be substantially further expanded
after 2026, as a significant increase in secondary centre floorspace in the study area will be
essential at that time for the population to be properly served by a suitably balanced activity
centres hierarchy.
Notwithstanding its current statutory upper limit of 15,000 sqm, it is assumed that the
Banksia Grove district centre will also expand further from 2026 in accordance with the
above‐mentioned hierarchy requirements, as well as consistency with the modelling and
activity centres strategy that underpinned the structure plan for that centre.
It is assumed that the amount of Shop/ Retail floorspace at Drovers Place will remain
constant at its current estimated figure of approximately 3,000 sqm.
While it is recognised that the assumptions presented in Table 3 may vary between the centres to
some extent, it is important to note that unless the total amount of retail floorspace in the study
area is supplied at about the rate indicated, then there will continue to be a shortfall in the optimum
supply of retail floorspace.
Table 3 Centres and Shop/ Retail floorspace figures used in centres modelling
Centre
ID Name Hierarchy SHP16 SHP21 SHP26 SHP31 SHP36
TA-01 TAPPING-01 6 NHD 4,300 4,300 4,300 4,300 4,300
604 WANNEROO SC 4 SEC 30,000 30,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
BG-01 BANKSIA GROVE-01 5 DIS 6,000 16,000 25,000 25,000 25,000
AS-01 ASHBY-01 6 NHD 2,000 7,100 7,100 7,100 7,100
CA-01 CARRAMAR-01 6 NHD 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500
HO-01 HOCKING-01 6 NHD 4,250 4,250 4,250 4,250 4,250
GN-01 GNANGARA-01 6 NHD - - 1,000 3,000 5,500
JA-01 JANDABUP-01 6 NHD - - 1,200 3,500 5,500
MA-01 MARIGINIUP-01 6 NHD - - 1,650 4,500 6,500
SW-01 STH WANNEROO-01 6 NHD - - - 2,000 4,500
645 CALABRESE AVENUE 7 LOC 1,310 1,310 1,310 1,310 1,310
666 CRISAFULLI AVE 7 LOC 876 876 876 876 876
BG-02 BANKSIA GRV-02 7 LOC 500 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200
BG-03 BANKSIA GRV-03 7 LOC - 500 500 500 500
BG-04 BANKSIA GRV-04 7 LOC 200 200 200 200 200
CA-02 CARRAMAR-02 7 LOC 100 100 100 100 100
PE-01 PEARSALL-01 7 LOC 2,100 2,100 2,100 2,100 2,100
WE-01 WANNEROO EST-01 7 LOC - - 2,000 500 2,000
WN-01 WANNEROO NTH-01 7 LOC - - 1,500 1,500 1,500
652 TOPEKA PLACE 8 OTH C - - - - -
658 DROVERS PLACE 8 OTH C 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 3,000
Total Primary Study Area 59,136 75,436 91,786 109,436 129,936
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Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 13 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
ModellingResultsA full description of the model, plus the detailed output summary sheets showing the results of the
various modelled scenarios are presented in the Appendix to this report. Summaries of these results
are presented in the following tables. The estimated trading performance of the primary area
activity centres in 2016, both without and with the proposed expansion of the Tapping centre, is
presented in Table 4. At this stage it seems highly unlikely that the Tapping centre will be trading by
2016, but the 2016 scenario provides a useful benchmark against which the subsequent scenarios
can be compared. All dollar values remain constant at 2012 levels. Each of the following tables
presents two scenarios for its particular planning year:
1. The left‐hand part of the table comprises the scenario where the Tapping centre is assumed
to be developed at its currently permitted upper limit of 1,900 sqm.
2. The right‐hand part of the table comprises the scenario where the Tapping centre is
assumed to be developed at its proposed new potential upper limit of 4,300 sqm. All other
inputs remain unchanged.
3. The relevant impacts, listed in the right‐most column are represented as the percentage
change in the calculated total turnover (SHP‐$mil) between the currently approved Shop/
Retail floorspace scenario, and the increased Shop/ Retail floorspace scenario.
Table 4 Estimated retail floorspace and performance 2016
2016 Primary Study Area Population: 58,474 Tapping expanded to (sqm): 4,300
ID Name Hierarchy SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm % Impact
TA-01 TAPPING-01 6 NHD 1,900 $13.8 $7,276 4,300 $30.7 $7,139 -na-
604 WANNEROO SC 4 SEC 30,000 $242.9 $8,096 30,000 $240.8 $8,027 -0.85%
BG-01 BANKSIA GROVE-01 5 DIS 6,000 $56.8 $9,471 6,000 $55.8 $9,300 -1.80%
AS-01 ASHBY-01 6 NHD 2,000 $13.6 $6,802 2,000 $13.4 $6,701 -1.49%
CA-01 CARRAMAR-01 6 NHD 4,500 $35.3 $7,838 4,500 $34.6 $7,678 -2.04%
HO-01 HOCKING-01 6 NHD 4,250 $32.2 $7,578 4,250 $32.1 $7,542 -0.48%
GN-01 GNANGARA-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
JA-01 JANDABUP-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
MA-01 MARIGINIUP-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
SW-01 STH WANNEROO-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
645 CALABRESE AVENUE 7 LOC 1,310 $9.8 $7,474 1,310 $9.8 $7,445 -0.39%
666 CRISAFULLI AVE 7 LOC 876 $5.9 $6,749 876 $5.9 $6,702 -0.69%
BG-02 BANKSIA GRV-02 7 LOC 500 $3.4 $6,813 500 $3.3 $6,699 -1.67%
BG-03 BANKSIA GRV-03 7 LOC - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
BG-04 BANKSIA GRV-04 7 LOC 200 $1.5 $7,254 200 $1.4 $7,130 -1.71%
CA-02 CARRAMAR-02 7 LOC 100 $0.6 $6,055 100 $0.6 $5,958 -1.61%
PE-01 PEARSALL-01 7 LOC 2,100 $15.7 $7,476 2,100 $15.6 $7,448 -0.38%
WE-01 WANNEROO EST-01 7 LOC - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
WN-01 WANNEROO NTH-01 7 LOC - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
652 TOPEKA PLACE 8 OTH C - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
658 DROVERS PLACE 8 OTH C 3,000 $21.6 $7,183 3,000 $21.2 $7,061 -1.70%
Total Set 56,736 $453.0 $7,985 59,136 $465.1 $7,865 2.7%
NOTE: Turnov er figures are indicativ e estimates for urban planning purposes only
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 14 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
It can be seen from Table 4 that the estimated negative impacts associated with the proposed
floorspace limit increase are consistently small, the most significant being just ‐2.04% experienced
by the Carramar Village centre. Impacts of this magnitude would not be noticed by any of the
centres in the study area. If the structure plan amendment is successful, however, the Tapping
centre would in all likelihood be developed in one stage as a larger centre. The estimated impact
associated with the increased floorspace limit would therefore simply be absorbed into whatever
impact is to be experienced by development of the new centre. In other words the impact of the
proposed increase in floorspace on other centres will be inconsequential in and of itself.
As indicated, with the proposed expansion, there will be a small positive overall impact to the study
area as a whole of 2.7% as more trading dollars are retained within the primary study area ($465.1
million vs $453.0 million in 2016). As will be seen, the pattern of very low potential impacts on
individual centres is evident in all of the modelled planning scenarios presented below. The results
of the modelling at 2021 are presented in Table 5.
Table 5 Estimated retail floorspace and performance 2021
2021 Primary Study Area Population: 67,398 Tapping expanded to (sqm): 4,300
ID Name Hierarchy SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm % Impact
TA-01 TAPPING-01 6 NHD 1,900 $12.9 $6,765 4,300 $28.7 $6,669 -na-
604 WANNEROO SC 4 SEC 30,000 $237.9 $7,931 30,000 $236.3 $7,878 -0.68%
BG-01 BANKSIA GROVE-01 5 DIS 16,000 $144.2 $9,013 16,000 $142.3 $8,893 -1.34%
AS-01 ASHBY-01 6 NHD 7,100 $46.1 $6,486 7,100 $45.5 $6,413 -1.13%
CA-01 CARRAMAR-01 6 NHD 4,500 $32.4 $7,195 4,500 $31.9 $7,085 -1.53%
HO-01 HOCKING-01 6 NHD 4,250 $31.4 $7,399 4,250 $31.3 $7,370 -0.40%
GN-01 GNANGARA-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
JA-01 JANDABUP-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
MA-01 MARIGINIUP-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
SW-01 STH WANNEROO-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
645 CALABRESE AVENUE 7 LOC 1,310 $9.4 $7,146 1,310 $9.3 $7,122 -0.33%
666 CRISAFULLI AVE 7 LOC 876 $5.8 $6,579 876 $5.7 $6,542 -0.56%
BG-02 BANKSIA GRV-02 7 LOC 1,200 $8.0 $6,659 1,200 $7.9 $6,577 -1.23%
BG-03 BANKSIA GRV-03 7 LOC 500 $2.6 $5,147 500 $2.5 $5,087 -1.16%
BG-04 BANKSIA GRV-04 7 LOC 200 $1.4 $6,858 200 $1.4 $6,772 -1.26%
CA-02 CARRAMAR-02 7 LOC 100 $0.6 $5,777 100 $0.6 $5,708 -1.20%
PE-01 PEARSALL-01 7 LOC 2,100 $15.1 $7,193 2,100 $15.1 $7,170 -0.32%
WE-01 WANNEROO EST-01 7 LOC - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
WN-01 WANNEROO NTH-01 7 LOC - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
652 TOPEKA PLACE 8 OTH C - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
658 DROVERS PLACE 8 OTH C 3,000 $20.3 $6,755 3,000 $20.0 $6,669 -1.28%
Total Set 73,036 $567.9 $7,776 75,436 $578.5 $7,669 1.9%
NOTE: Turnov er figures are indicativ e estimates for urban planning purposes only
Points to note in these scenarios include:
The overall supply of retail floorspace in the study area is assumed to have increased
significantly from 56,736 sqm in 2016 to 73,036 sqm in 2021. The major contributor to this
increase is the addition to the major second stage of the Banksia Grove district centre.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 15 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
The theoretical trading impacts of a 4,300 sqm Tapping centre compared to a 1,900 sqm
centre remain miniscule – even lower in percentage terms than in the 2016 scenarios.
The results of the modelling at 2026 are presented in Table 6.
Table 6 Estimated retail floorspace and performance 2026
2026 Primary Study Area Population: 80,413 Tapping expanded to (sqm): 4,300
ID Name Hierarchy SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm % Impact
TA-01 TAPPING-01 6 NHD 1,900 $12.5 $6,572 4,300 $27.9 $6,496 -na-
604 WANNEROO SC 4 SEC 30,000 $253.2 $8,439 30,000 $251.7 $8,390 -0.58%
BG-01 BANKSIA GROVE-01 5 DIS 25,000 $218.7 $8,748 25,000 $216.3 $8,654 -1.08%
AS-01 ASHBY-01 6 NHD 7,100 $47.7 $6,713 7,100 $47.2 $6,650 -0.92%
CA-01 CARRAMAR-01 6 NHD 4,500 $31.0 $6,879 4,500 $30.6 $6,793 -1.24%
HO-01 HOCKING-01 6 NHD 4,250 $32.3 $7,595 4,250 $32.2 $7,568 -0.36%
GN-01 GNANGARA-01 6 NHD 1,000 $4.5 $4,451 1,000 $4.4 $4,436 -0.33%
JA-01 JANDABUP-01 6 NHD 1,200 $4.9 $4,121 1,200 $4.9 $4,099 -0.53%
MA-01 MARIGINIUP-01 6 NHD 1,650 $6.5 $3,925 1,650 $6.4 $3,895 -0.75%
SW-01 STH WANNEROO-01 6 NHD - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
645 CALABRESE AVENUE 7 LOC 1,310 $9.4 $7,192 1,310 $9.4 $7,171 -0.30%
666 CRISAFULLI AVE 7 LOC 876 $6.0 $6,840 876 $6.0 $6,806 -0.49%
BG-02 BANKSIA GRV-02 7 LOC 1,200 $7.7 $6,381 1,200 $7.6 $6,317 -0.99%
BG-03 BANKSIA GRV-03 7 LOC 500 $2.5 $5,005 500 $2.5 $4,958 -0.93%
BG-04 BANKSIA GRV-04 7 LOC 200 $1.3 $6,601 200 $1.3 $6,533 -1.02%
CA-02 CARRAMAR-02 7 LOC 100 $0.6 $5,630 100 $0.6 $5,575 -0.98%
PE-01 PEARSALL-01 7 LOC 2,100 $15.3 $7,304 2,100 $15.3 $7,283 -0.29%
WE-01 WANNEROO EST-01 7 LOC 2,000 $13.9 $6,935 2,000 $13.8 $6,901 -0.49%
WN-01 WANNEROO NTH-01 7 LOC 1,500 $10.0 $6,682 1,500 $10.0 $6,638 -0.66%
652 TOPEKA PLACE 8 OTH C - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
658 DROVERS PLACE 8 OTH C 3,000 $19.8 $6,597 3,000 $19.6 $6,529 -1.04%
Total Set 89,386 $697.6 $7,804 91,786 $707.6 $7,709 1.4%
NOTE: Turnov er figures are indicativ e estimates for urban planning purposes only
Points to note in these scenarios are:
The supply of retail floorspace is assumed to have increased even further, from 73,036 sqm
in 2021 to 89.386 sqm in 2026. The major contributor to this increase is further expansion of
the Banksia Grove district centre as well as the establishment of various neighbourhood
centres in East Wanneroo.
The theoretical trading impacts of a 4,300 sqm Tapping centre compared to a 1,900 sqm
centre remain insignificant.
LookingfurtheraheadFor the sake of completeness, modelled scenarios for 2031 and 2036 have also been produced (see
Table 7 and Table 8), but they only serve to continue the same story clearly illustrated by the earlier
scenarios: i.e. there will be no discernible impacts associated with the proposed increase of the
potential maximum retail floorspace limit of the Tapping neighbourhood centre.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 16 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
Table 7 Estimated retail floorspace and performance 2031
2031 Primary Study Area Population: 95,008 Tapping expanded to (sqm): 4,300
ID Name Hierarchy SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm % Impact
TA-01 TAPPING-01 6 NHD 1,900 $12.5 $6,575 4,300 $28.0 $6,506 -na-
604 WANNEROO SC 4 SEC 40,000 $352.8 $8,820 40,000 $350.9 $8,774 -0.53%
BG-01 BANKSIA GROVE-01 5 DIS 25,000 $220.6 $8,824 25,000 $218.4 $8,737 -0.98%
AS-01 ASHBY-01 6 NHD 7,100 $49.1 $6,917 7,100 $48.7 $6,860 -0.82%
CA-01 CARRAMAR-01 6 NHD 4,500 $30.9 $6,862 4,500 $30.5 $6,785 -1.13%
HO-01 HOCKING-01 6 NHD 4,250 $33.1 $7,799 4,250 $33.0 $7,773 -0.34%
GN-01 GNANGARA-01 6 NHD 3,000 $15.7 $5,237 3,000 $15.7 $5,221 -0.30%
JA-01 JANDABUP-01 6 NHD 3,500 $17.6 $5,029 3,500 $17.5 $5,005 -0.47%
MA-01 MARIGINIUP-01 6 NHD 4,500 $20.6 $4,587 4,500 $20.5 $4,557 -0.66%
SW-01 STH WANNEROO-01 6 NHD 2,000 $12.9 $6,463 2,000 $12.9 $6,443 -0.32%
645 CALABRESE AVENUE 7 LOC 1,310 $9.5 $7,288 1,310 $9.5 $7,267 -0.28%
666 CRISAFULLI AVE 7 LOC 876 $6.2 $7,025 876 $6.1 $6,993 -0.45%
BG-02 BANKSIA GRV-02 7 LOC 1,200 $7.7 $6,392 1,200 $7.6 $6,334 -0.92%
BG-03 BANKSIA GRV-03 7 LOC 500 $2.5 $5,099 500 $2.5 $5,056 -0.85%
BG-04 BANKSIA GRV-04 7 LOC 200 $1.3 $6,671 200 $1.3 $6,609 -0.93%
CA-02 CARRAMAR-02 7 LOC 100 $0.6 $5,627 100 $0.6 $5,576 -0.89%
PE-01 PEARSALL-01 7 LOC 2,100 $15.7 $7,487 2,100 $15.7 $7,466 -0.27%
WE-01 WANNEROO EST-01 7 LOC 500 $3.8 $7,575 500 $3.8 $7,541 -0.44%
WN-01 WANNEROO NTH-01 7 LOC 1,500 $11.2 $7,493 1,500 $11.2 $7,449 -0.58%
652 TOPEKA PLACE 8 OTH C - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
658 DROVERS PLACE 8 OTH C 3,000 $19.8 $6,605 3,000 $19.6 $6,543 -0.95%
Total Set 107,036 $844.3 $7,888 109,436 $854.1 $7,805 1.2%
NOTE: Turnov er figures are indicativ e estimates for urban planning purposes only
The main reasons for these results are easily explained:
The Tapping centre will be a relatively small centre, and the proposed retail floorspace
increase is relatively small (2,400 sqm) when compared to the total amount of retail
floorspace required to adequately service the primary study area.
The currently planned distribution of activity centres is highly compatible with the
proposed expansion of the Tapping centre. At present there is no other centre planned
within the large suburb of Tapping.
At each future planning horizon the projected study area population will have increased
significantly over the preceding planning horizon, and the overall supply of retail
floorspace is (rightly) assumed to also increase to keep pace with population growth and
thus retail floorspace demand.
Over time, this process continually reduces the proportion that the proposed Tapping
centre expansion represents to the overall retail floorspace supply within the study area.
In 2016 a Tapping centre of 4,300 sqm would represent a relatively minor 7.3% of the
total retail floorspace in the primary study area. Over time this proportion will steadily
reduce until, by 2036, it will represent a mere 3.3% of the total retail floorspace in the
area.
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 17 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
Table 8 Estimated retail floorspace and performance 2036
2036 Primary Study Area Population: 109,905 Tapping expanded to (sqm): 4,300
ID Name Hierarchy SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm SHP nla SHP-$Mil PerSqm % Impact
TA-01 TAPPING-01 6 NHD 1,900 $12.4 $6,529 4,300 $27.8 $6,465 -na-
604 WANNEROO SC 4 SEC 50,000 $442.3 $8,846 50,000 $440.2 $8,804 -0.48%
BG-01 BANKSIA GROVE-01 5 DIS 25,000 $220.9 $8,836 25,000 $218.9 $8,755 -0.92%
AS-01 ASHBY-01 6 NHD 7,100 $49.0 $6,898 7,100 $48.6 $6,846 -0.76%
CA-01 CARRAMAR-01 6 NHD 4,500 $30.7 $6,815 4,500 $30.3 $6,742 -1.06%
HO-01 HOCKING-01 6 NHD 4,250 $33.8 $7,962 4,250 $33.7 $7,937 -0.31%
GN-01 GNANGARA-01 6 NHD 5,500 $33.2 $6,038 5,500 $33.1 $6,021 -0.27%
JA-01 JANDABUP-01 6 NHD 5,500 $31.7 $5,766 5,500 $31.6 $5,741 -0.43%
MA-01 MARIGINIUP-01 6 NHD 6,500 $33.4 $5,146 6,500 $33.2 $5,115 -0.60%
SW-01 STH WANNEROO-01 6 NHD 4,500 $32.8 $7,286 4,500 $32.7 $7,265 -0.29%
645 CALABRESE AVENUE 7 LOC 1,310 $9.7 $7,400 1,310 $9.7 $7,380 -0.26%
666 CRISAFULLI AVE 7 LOC 876 $6.1 $7,018 876 $6.1 $6,989 -0.41%
BG-02 BANKSIA GRV-02 7 LOC 1,200 $7.7 $6,380 1,200 $7.6 $6,325 -0.86%
BG-03 BANKSIA GRV-03 7 LOC 500 $2.6 $5,165 500 $2.6 $5,124 -0.80%
BG-04 BANKSIA GRV-04 7 LOC 200 $1.3 $6,697 200 $1.3 $6,638 -0.87%
CA-02 CARRAMAR-02 7 LOC 100 $0.6 $5,604 100 $0.6 $5,556 -0.84%
PE-01 PEARSALL-01 7 LOC 2,100 $16.3 $7,773 2,100 $16.3 $7,753 -0.25%
WE-01 WANNEROO EST-01 7 LOC 2,000 $15.3 $7,635 2,000 $15.2 $7,604 -0.40%
WN-01 WANNEROO NTH-01 7 LOC 1,500 $11.2 $7,490 1,500 $11.2 $7,450 -0.53%
652 TOPEKA PLACE 8 OTH C - $0.0 $0 - $0.0 $0 0.00%
658 DROVERS PLACE 8 OTH C 3,000 $19.7 $6,571 3,000 $19.5 $6,513 -0.89%
Total Set 127,536 $1,010.8 $7,925 129,936 $1,020.2 $7,852 0.9%
NOTE: Turnov er figures are indicativ e estimates for urban planning purposes only
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
Proposed Tapping Neighbourhood Activity Centre 18 Retail Sustainability Assessment; June 2015
APPENDIX
Description of the model and detailed Output Summary Sheets
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
THE RETAIL MODEL The retail model used in this study is a form of gravity model which has been used in retail analysis for many years. The term "gravity" model is derived from an early analogy, formed in the late 1950's and early 1960's, between physics and social behavior. In the same manner that the attraction between physical bodies is related to their mass and distance between them, so too (it was hypothesized) is the attraction between certain social phenomena such as commercial centres and populations. Though there is no true parallel between the physical and social sciences, this phenomenon of "social gravity" has been clearly demonstrated by numerous overseas and local researchers. The name "gravity model" has therefore persisted, and many useful models derived from this concept have been produced and used in various parts of the world, particularly in the United States of America and England. SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING has used gravity models for retail analysis since 1982, and has produced a significant body of work for various public and private sector clients. The form of the gravity model which SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING has adapted for local use was originally developed by Lakshmanan and Hansen1 to aid in the location of large new shopping centres in the Baltimore region. The model is expressed mathematically as follows:
P TA d
A dij i
aj ij
b
aj ij
b
j
n=
=∑
1
Where: Pij = The number of people living in zone i who are attracted to centre j Ti = The total number of people living in zone i Aj = A measure of the relative attractiveness of centre j dij = A measure of the distance between zone i and centre j a = An exponent applied to the attraction variable. b = An exponent applied to the distance variable. The basic premise of this model is that people are more likely, on the whole, to use shopping centres which are located close to where they live than they are to use centres which are located further away. This is not always the case, however, and some people will travel further to shop than they really need, sometimes passing one centre to visit a preferred one further away. Often this by-passing will be the by-passing of a smaller centre to visit a larger one. This "real world" situation is reflected in the results of the model. The older method
1 Lakshmanan T.R. and Hansen W.G. (1965). A Retail Market Potential Model, AIP Journal, May 1965.
Retail Gravity Model Explained Page 1
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
of describing a centre's "catchment area" by a single line around the centre, and assuming that all persons or dwellings on the inside of the line are "in" the catchment and all those outside the line are "out" of the catchment is clearly artificial. The basic data unit (P) is usually population grouped into identifiable zones, such as suburbs. Population counts and forecasts are reasonably easily obtained. Other data units can, however, be used. It may be decided to use households rather than population, or household income or estimates of household retail expenditure. Whichever data unit is used, the way it is processed is the same. When estimates of household expenditure are used, however, the total amount of retail dollars attracted to the centre can then be divided by the floor area of the centre to provide a calculation of the annual turnover per square metre of the centre. The measure of attractiveness of each centre (A) which is used is normally the size of the centre in square metres of net lettable floor area. This most significant of inputs can be easily measured and kept up-to-date. Other measures of attractiveness can be included in the model as well (such as values representing relative "image", ease of car parking, etc); but these factors are much more difficult to reliably quantify. Unless the results of detailed empirical research are available to clearly demonstrate the reliability of measuring these types of additional variables, the model provides more useful results without them. Where such research can be done, then these additional factors will increase the sophistication of the model. The measure of the distance between each residential zone and each shopping centre (d) is usually an estimate of the driving time in minutes. This estimate may be derived from measures of the straight line distances involved, or by distances along traffic routes. There is little difference in the model's results between straight line measures and road network measures where major physical impediments to direct travel are absent. A measure which takes account of the structure of the road network is superior to the straight line distance measure, however, where major geographic features (such as lakes or rivers for example) make straight line distance measures less accurate. Thus the model relates all the shopping centres in a study area with all the people (grouped into zones) within the area. The relationship between these two sets of data is determined by the set of driving times - a separate measurement between each shopping centre and each residential zone. The model's main use is to estimate the future relative performance of a shopping centre given the future size and distribution of the population and all other shopping centres. The impact of creating or expanding any shopping centre, or even the effects of changing the road network, can also be estimated using the model. It must always be remembered that the model results are a calculation, based on a mathematical formula and certain selected data inputs. When the results are presented in a way which has real meaning to a shopping centre
Retail Gravity Model Explained Page 2
SHRAPNEL URBAN PLANNING
developer, such as dollar turnover per square metre, it is tempting to assume that the model is actually predicting the future financial performance of the centre. This is not the case, and is why other considerations must always also be taken into account by decision makers. The model is therefore an aid to decision making - not a "black box" which spits out the "right" answer. For example, in a hypothetical urban area of 20,000 people, there might be two centres of exactly equal size - Centre A and Centre B, spaced evenly in relation to the population. The situation might be as illustrated in the following diagram:
In this simple hypothetical situation, as common sense itself dictates, the model would distribute half the total population to Centre A and half to Centre B (though a higher proportion of the population living near Centre A would be distributed to Centre A and vice versa). This is because the two centres are equal in size, and are located equally in relation to an evenly distributed population. But if "in reality" Centre A was a clean, well managed centre containing many excellent shops; while Centre B was run down, had poor car parking and an uninteresting array of shops, Centre A would out-perform Centre B easily. The model would not indicate this difference unless the research was available to quantify the additional relative attraction factors. Thus the results of the model are a function of the inputs. They only represent the real world partially. This does not detract from the model's usefulness as an analytical tool, but it illustrates its limitations and the need for the use of sound judgment as well.
Retail Gravity Model Explained Page 3
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
1,900
‐
1,900
$13.8
$7,276
$0.0
$0
$13.8
$7,276
1,150
1.65
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
30,000
2,000
32,000
$242.9
$8,096
$13.2
$6,607
$256.1
$8,003
19,931
1.51
2,753
0.73
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
6,000
600
6,600
$56.8
$9,471
$4.5
$7,426
$61.3
$9,285
4,840
1.24
970
0.62
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
2,000
‐
2,000
$13.6
$6,802
$0.0
$0
$13.6
$6,802
1,133
1.77
‐
‐
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$35.3
$7,838
$0.0
$0
$35.3
$7,838
2,969
1.52
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$32.2
$7,578
$0.0
$0
$32.2
$7,578
2,600
1.63
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
DW2016
SHP16
RET16
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.8
$7,474
$11.0
$8,026
$20.8
$7,756
764
1.71
2,153
0.64
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$5.9
$6,749
$5.5
$7,619
$11.4
$7,142
477
1.84
1,117
0.65
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$3.4
$6,813
$0.0
$0
$3.4
$6,813
295
1.69
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Regional
30,000
$242.9
$8,096
19,931
1.51
0.51
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.5
$7,254
$0.0
$0
$1.5
$7,254
125
1.60
‐
‐
District
6,000
$56.8
$9,471
4,840
1.24
0.10
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$6,055
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$6,055
50
2.00
‐
‐
N'hood
12,650
$94.9
$7,503
7,851
1.61
0.22
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.7
$7,476
$0.0
$0
$15.7
$7,476
1,243
1.69
‐
‐
Local
5,086
$36.9
$7,248
2,955
1.72
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$21.6
$7,183
1,779
1.69
0.05
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
56,736
$453.0
$7,985
37,356
1.52
0.97
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$21.6
$7,183
$109.2
$7,530
$130.7
$7,470
1,779
1.69
22,636
0.64
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
2,000
$13.2
$6,607
2,753
0.73
0.03
District
600
$4.5
$7,426
970
0.62
0.01
N'hood
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Local
2,091
$16.5
$7,886
3,270
0.64
0.04
Other Com
14,500
$109.2
$7,530
22,636
0.64
0.25
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T19,191
$143.3
$7,469
29,630
0.65
0.33
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
32,000
$256.1
$8,003
0.55
District
6,600
$61.3
$9,285
0.11
N'hood
12,650
$94.9
$7,503
0.22
Local
7,177
$53.4
$7,434
0.12
Other Com
17,500
$130.7
$7,470
0.30
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T75,927
$596.4
$7,854
1.30
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
36,000
2,600
38,600
$299.7
$8,325
$17.7
$6,796
$317.4
$8,222
24,770
1.45
3,723
0.70
TOTA
L (This Page)
56,736
19,191
75,927
$453. 0
$7,985
$143.3
$7,469
$596.4
$7,854
37,356
1.52
29,630
0.65
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 15:42
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
4,300
‐
4,300
$30.7
$7,139
$0.0
$0
$30.7
$7,139
2,552
1.69
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
30,000
2,000
32,000
$240.8
$8,027
$13.2
$6,607
$254.0
$7,938
19,752
1.52
2,753
0.73
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
6,000
600
6,600
$55.8
$9,300
$4.5
$7,426
$60.3
$9,130
4,750
1.26
970
0.62
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
2,000
‐
2,000
$13. 4
$6,701
$0.0
$0
$13.4
$6,701
1,115
1.79
‐
‐
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$34.6
$7,678
$0.0
$0
$34.6
$7,678
2,906
1.55
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$32.1
$7,542
$0.0
$0
$32.1
$7,542
2,587
1.64
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
DW2016
SHP16
RET16
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.8
$7,445
$11.0
$8,026
$20.7
$7,742
761
1.72
2,153
0.64
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$5.9
$6,702
$5.5
$7,619
$11.4
$7,116
473
1.85
1,117
0.65
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$3.3
$6,699
$0.0
$0
$3.3
$6,699
290
1.72
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Regional
30,000
$240.8
$8,027
19,752
1.52
0.51
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.4
$7,130
$0.0
$0
$1.4
$7,130
123
1.63
‐
‐
District
6,000
$55.8
$9,300
4,750
1.26
0.10
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,958
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,958
49
2.03
‐
‐
N'hood
15,050
$110.7
$7,356
9,160
1.64
0.26
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.6
$7,448
$0.0
$0
$15.6
$7,448
1,238
1.70
‐
‐
Local
5,086
$36.6
$7,203
2,935
1.73
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$21.2
$7,061
1,748
1.72
0.05
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
59,136
$465.1
$7,865
38,345
1.54
1.01
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$21.2
$7,061
$109.2
$7,530
$130.4
$7,449
1,748
1.72
22,636
0.64
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
2,000
$13.2
$6,607
2,753
0.73
0.03
District
600
$4.5
$7,426
970
0.62
0.01
N'hood
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Local
2,091
$16.5
$7,886
3,270
0.64
0.04
Other Com
14,500
$109.2
$7,530
22,636
0.64
0.25
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T19,191
$143.3
$7,469
29,630
0.65
0.33
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
32,000
$254.0
$7,938
0.55
District
6,600
$60.3
$9,130
0.11
N'hood
15,050
$110.7
$7,356
0.26
Local
7,177
$53.1
$7,402
0.12
Other Com
17,500
$130.4
$7,449
0.30
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T78,327
$608.5
$7,768
1.34
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
36,000
2,600
38,600
$296.6
$8,239
$17.7
$6,796
$314.3
$8,142
24,503
1.47
3,723
0.70
TOTA
L (This Page)
59,136
19,191
78,327
$465.1
$7,865
$143.3
$7,469
$608.5
$7,768
38,345
1.54
29,630
0.65
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 15:50
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
1,900
‐
1,900
$12.9
$6,765
$0.0
$0
$12.9
$6,765
1,048
1.81
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
30,000
2,000
32,000
$237.9
$7,931
$14.3
$7,159
$252.3
$7,883
19,280
1.56
2,953
0.68
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
16,000
1,600
17,600
$144.2
$9,013
$13.2
$8,248
$157.4
$8,944
12,169
1.31
2,875
0.56
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$46.1
$6,486
$4.0
$8,038
$50.1
$6,588
3,772
1.88
833
0.60
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$32.4
$7,195
$0.0
$0
$32.4
$7,195
2,683
1.68
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$31. 4
$7,399
$0.0
$0
$31.4
$7,399
2,500
1.70
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
DW2021
SHP21
RET21
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.4
$7,146
$11.5
$8,430
$20.9
$7,802
714
1.84
2,208
0.62
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$5.8
$6,579
$5.9
$8,147
$11.6
$7,287
457
1.92
1,176
0.61
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$8.0
$6,659
$0.0
$0
$8.0
$6,659
691
1.74
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.6
$5,147
$0.0
$0
$2.6
$5,147
221
2.26
‐
‐
Regional
30,000
$237.9
$7,931
19,280
1.56
0.45
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.4
$6,858
$0.0
$0
$1.4
$6,858
118
1.70
‐
‐
District
16,000
$144.2
$9,013
12,169
1.31
0.24
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,777
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,777
47
2.13
‐
‐
N'hood
17,750
$122.7
$6,914
10,003
1.77
0.26
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.1
$7,193
$0.0
$0
$15.1
$7,193
1,171
1.79
‐
‐
Local
6,286
$42.7
$6,800
3,419
1.84
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$20.3
$6,755
1,638
1.83
0.04
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
73,036
$567.9
$7,776
46,509
1.57
1.08
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$20.3
$6,755
$117.2
$8,084
$137.5
$7,857
1,638
1.83
23,922
0.61
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
2,000
$14.3
$7,159
2,953
0.68
0.03
District
1,600
$13.2
$8,248
2,875
0.56
0.02
N'hood
500
$4.0
$8,038
833
0.60
0.01
Local
2,091
$17.4
$8,333
3,384
0.62
0.03
Other Com
14,500
$117.2
$8,084
23,922
0.61
0.22
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T20,691
$166.2
$8,032
33,967
0.61
0.31
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
32,000
$252.3
$7,883
0.47
District
17,600
$157.4
$8,944
0.26
N'hood
18,250
$126.7
$6,945
0.27
Local
8,377
$60.2
$7,182
0.12
Other Com
17,500
$137.5
$7,857
0.26
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T93,727
$734.1
$7,832
1.39
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
46,000
3,600
49,600
$382.2
$8,308
$27.5
$7,643
$409.7
$8,259
31,449
1.46
5,828
0.62
TOTA
L (This Page)
73,036
20,691
93,727
$567.9
$7,776
$166.2
$8,032
$734.1
$7,832
46,509
1.57
33,967
0.61
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 15:53
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
4,300
‐
4,300
$28.7
$6,669
$0.0
$0
$28.7
$6,669
2,336
1.84
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
30,000
2,000
32,000
$236.3
$7,878
$14.3
$7,159
$250.7
$7,833
19,143
1.57
2,953
0.68
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
16,000
1,600
17,600
$142.3
$8,893
$13.2
$8,248
$155.5
$8,834
12,001
1.33
2,875
0.56
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$45.5
$6,413
$4.0
$8,038
$49.5
$6,520
3,727
1.90
833
0.60
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$31.9
$7,085
$0.0
$0
$31.9
$7,085
2,641
1.70
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$31.3
$7,370
$0.0
$0
$31.3
$7,370
2,489
1.71
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
DW2021
SHP21
RET21
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.3
$7,122
$11.5
$8,430
$20.9
$7,791
711
1.84
2,208
0.62
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$5.7
$6,542
$5.9
$8,147
$11.6
$7,267
455
1.93
1,176
0.61
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.9
$6,577
$0.0
$0
$7.9
$6,577
682
1.76
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.5
$5,087
$0.0
$0
$2.5
$5,087
219
2.29
‐
‐
Regional
30,000
$236.3
$7,878
19,143
1.57
0.45
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.4
$6,772
$0.0
$0
$1.4
$6,772
116
1.72
‐
‐
District
16,000
$142.3
$8,893
12,001
1.33
0.24
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,708
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,708
46
2.16
‐
‐
N'hood
20,150
$137. 4
$6,819
11,194
1.80
0.30
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.1
$7,170
$0.0
$0
$15.1
$7,170
1,167
1.80
‐
‐
Local
6,286
$42.5
$6,758
3,396
1.85
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$20.0
$6,669
1,616
1.86
0.04
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
75,436
$578.5
$7,669
47,349
1.59
1.12
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$20.0
$6,669
$117.2
$8,084
$137.2
$7,842
1,616
1.86
23,922
0.61
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
2,000
$14.3
$7,159
2,953
0.68
0.03
District
1,600
$13.2
$8,248
2,875
0.56
0.02
N'hood
500
$4.0
$8,038
833
0.60
0.01
Local
2,091
$17.4
$8,333
3,384
0.62
0.03
Other Com
14,500
$117.2
$8,084
23,922
0.61
0.22
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T20,691
$166.2
$8,032
33,967
0.61
0.31
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
32,000
$250.7
$7,833
0.47
District
17,600
$155.5
$8,834
0.26
N'hood
20,650
$141.4
$6,849
0.31
Local
8,377
$59.9
$7,151
0.12
Other Com
17,500
$137.2
$7,842
0.26
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T96,127
$744.7
$7,747
1.43
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
46,000
3,600
49,600
$378.6
$8,231
$27.5
$7,643
$406.1
$8,188
31,144
1.48
5,828
0.62
TOTA
L (This Page)
75,436
20,691
96,127
$578.5
$7,669
$166.2
$8,032
$744.7
$7,747
47,349
1.59
33,967
0.61
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:12
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
1,900
‐
1,900
$12.5
$6,572
$0.0
$0
$12.5
$6,572
1,006
1.89
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
30,000
3,000
33,000
$253.2
$8,439
$23.9
$7,959
$277.0
$8,395
20,456
1.47
4,910
0.61
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
25,000
2,500
27,500
$218.7
$8,748
$22.0
$8,785
$240.7
$8,752
18,271
1.37
4,750
0.53
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$47.7
$6,713
$4.4
$8,837
$52.1
$6,852
3,871
1.83
909
0.55
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$31.0
$6,879
$0.0
$0
$31.0
$6,879
2,538
1.77
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$32.3
$7,595
$0.0
$0
$32.3
$7,595
2,548
1.67
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
1,000
‐
1,000
$4.5
$4,451
$0.0
$0
$4.5
$4,451
348
2.87
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
1,200
‐
1,200
$4.9
$4,121
$0.0
$0
$4.9
$4,121
403
2.98
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
1,650
‐
1,650
$6.5
$3,925
$0.0
$0
$6.5
$3,925
535
3.08
‐
‐
DW2026
SHP26
RET26
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.4
$7,192
$12.2
$8,871
$21.6
$8,050
709
1.85
2,293
0.60
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$6.0
$6,840
$6.4
$8,860
$12.4
$7,752
473
1.85
1,271
0.57
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.7
$6,381
$0.0
$0
$7.7
$6,381
655
1.83
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.5
$5,005
$0.0
$0
$2.5
$5,005
213
2.35
‐
‐
Regional
30,000
$253.2
$8,439
20,456
1.47
0.37
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.3
$6,601
$0.0
$0
$1.3
$6,601
112
1.78
‐
‐
District
25,000
$218.7
$8,748
18,271
1.37
0.31
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,630
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,630
45
2.22
‐
‐
N'hood
21,600
$139.3
$6,447
11,250
1.92
0.27
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.3
$7,304
$0.0
$0
$15.3
$7,304
1,175
1.79
‐
‐
Local
9,786
$66.7
$6,815
5,308
1.84
0.12
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
2,000
‐
2,000
$13.9
$6,935
$0.0
$0
$13.9
$6,935
1,123
1.78
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$19.8
$6,597
1,578
1.90
0.04
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
1,500
‐
1,500
$10.0
$6,682
$0.0
$0
$10.0
$6,682
802
1.87
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
89,386
$697.6
$7,804
56,862
1.57
1.11
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$19.8
$6,597
$124.0
$8,551
$143.8
$8,216
1,578
1.90
25,000
0.58
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
3,000
$23.9
$7,959
4,910
0.61
0.04
District
2,500
$22.0
$8,785
4,750
0.53
0.03
N'hood
500
$4.4
$8,837
909
0.55
0.01
Local
2,091
$18.5
$8,867
3,564
0.59
0.03
Other Com
14,500
$124.0
$8,551
25,000
0.58
0.18
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T22,591
$192.8
$8,534
39,133
0.58
0.28
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
33,000
$277.0
$8,395
0.41
District
27,500
$240.7
$8,752
0.34
N'hood
22,100
$143.7
$6,501
0.27
Local
11,877
$85.2
$7,176
0.15
Other Com
17,500
$143.8
$8,216
0.22
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T111,977
$890.4
$7,952
1.39
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
55,000
5,500
60,500
$471.9
$8,579
$45.8
$8,335
$517.7
$8,557
38,726
1.42
9,660
0.57
TOTA
L (This Page)
89,386
22,591
111,977
$697.6
$7,804
$192.8
$8,534
$890.4
$7,952
56,862
1.57
39,133
0.58
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:15
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
4,300
‐
4,300
$27.9
$6,496
$0.0
$0
$27.9
$6,496
2,248
1.91
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
30,000
3,000
33,000
$251.7
$8,390
$23.9
$7,959
$275.6
$8,350
20,330
1.48
4,910
0.61
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
25,000
2,500
27,500
$216.3
$8,654
$22.0
$8,785
$238.3
$8,666
18,067
1.38
4,750
0.53
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$47.2
$6,650
$4.4
$8,837
$51.6
$6,794
3,833
1.85
909
0.55
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$30.6
$6,793
$0.0
$0
$30.6
$6,793
2,505
1.80
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$32.2
$7,568
$0.0
$0
$32.2
$7,568
2,539
1.67
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
1,000
‐
1,000
$4.4
$4,436
$0.0
$0
$4.4
$4,436
347
2.88
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
1,200
‐
1,200
$4.9
$4,099
$0.0
$0
$4.9
$4,099
401
2.99
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
1,650
‐
1,650
$6.4
$3,895
$0.0
$0
$6.4
$3,895
531
3.11
‐
‐
DW2026
SHP26
RET26
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.4
$7,171
$12.2
$8,871
$21.5
$8,040
707
1.85
2,293
0.60
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$6.0
$6,806
$6.4
$8,860
$12.3
$7,733
471
1.86
1,271
0.57
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.6
$6,317
$0.0
$0
$7.6
$6,317
649
1.85
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.5
$4,958
$0.0
$0
$2.5
$4,958
211
2.37
‐
‐
Regional
30,000
$251.7
$8,390
20,330
1.48
0.37
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.3
$6,533
$0.0
$0
$1.3
$6,533
111
1.80
‐
‐
District
25,000
$216.3
$8,654
18,067
1.38
0.31
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,575
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,575
45
2.24
‐
‐
N'hood
24,000
$153.7
$6,403
12,404
1.93
0.30
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.3
$7,283
$0.0
$0
$15.3
$7,283
1,171
1.79
‐
‐
Local
9,786
$66.3
$6,778
5,278
1.85
0.12
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
2,000
‐
2,000
$13.8
$6,901
$0.0
$0
$13.8
$6,901
1,117
1.79
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$19.6
$6,529
1,561
1.92
0.04
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
1,500
‐
1,500
$10.0
$6,638
$0.0
$0
$10.0
$6,638
797
1.88
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
91,786
$707.6
$7,709
57,640
1.59
1.14
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$19.6
$6,529
$124.0
$8,551
$143.6
$8,205
1,561
1.92
25,000
0.58
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
3,000
$23.9
$7,959
4,910
0.61
0.04
District
2,500
$22.0
$8,785
4,750
0.53
0.03
N'hood
500
$4.4
$8,837
909
0.55
0.01
Local
2,091
$18.5
$8,867
3,564
0.59
0.03
Other Com
14,500
$124.0
$8,551
25,000
0.58
0.18
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T22,591
$192.8
$8,534
39,133
0.58
0.28
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
33,000
$275.6
$8,350
0.41
District
27,500
$238.3
$8,666
0.34
N'hood
24,500
$158.1
$6,452
0.30
Local
11,877
$84.9
$7,146
0.15
Other Com
17,500
$143.6
$8,205
0.22
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T114,377
$900.4
$7,872
1.42
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
55,000
5,500
60,500
$468.0
$8,510
$45.8
$8,335
$513.9
$8,494
38,397
1.43
9,660
0.57
TOTA
L (This Page)
91,786
22,591
114,377
$707.6
$7,709
$192.8
$8,534
$900.4
$7,872
57,640
1.59
39,133
0.58
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:17
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
1,900
‐
1,900
$12.5
$6,575
$0.0
$0
$12.5
$6,575
993
1.91
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
40,000
4,000
44,000
$352.8
$8,820
$35.0
$8,738
$387.8
$8,813
28,330
1.41
7,162
0.56
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
25,000
2,500
27,500
$220.6
$8,824
$23.1
$9,260
$243.8
$8,864
18,278
1.37
4,961
0.50
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$49.1
$6,917
$4.8
$9,585
$53.9
$7,092
3,954
1.80
979
0.51
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$30.9
$6,862
$0.0
$0
$30.9
$6,862
2,507
1.80
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$33.1
$7,799
$0.0
$0
$33.1
$7,799
2,588
1.64
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
3,000
‐
3,000
$15.7
$5,237
$0.0
$0
$15.7
$5,237
1,240
2.42
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
3,500
‐
3,500
$17.6
$5,029
$0.0
$0
$17.6
$5,029
1,452
2.41
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$20.6
$4,587
$0.0
$0
$20.6
$4,587
1,719
2.62
‐
‐
DW2031
SHP31
RET31
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
2,000
‐
2,000
$12.9
$6,463
$0.0
$0
$12.9
$6,463
1,006
1.99
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.5
$7,288
$12.8
$9,348
$22.4
$8,341
707
1.85
2,384
0.57
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$6.2
$7,025
$6.9
$9,555
$13.0
$8,167
481
1.82
1,362
0.53
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.7
$6,392
$0.0
$0
$7.7
$6,392
652
1.84
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.5
$5,099
$0.0
$0
$2.5
$5,099
216
2.32
‐
‐
Regional
40,000
$352.8
$8,820
28,330
1.41
0.42
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.3
$6,671
$0.0
$0
$1.3
$6,671
113
1.78
‐
‐
District
25,000
$220.6
$8,824
18,278
1.37
0.26
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,627
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,627
45
2.25
‐
‐
N'hood
30,750
$192.5
$6,261
15,459
1.99
0.32
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.7
$7,487
$0.0
$0
$15.7
$7,487
1,186
1.77
‐
‐
Local
8,286
$58.6
$7,068
4,604
1.80
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$3.8
$7,575
$0.0
$0
$3.8
$7,575
306
1.63
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$19.8
$6,605
1,560
1.92
0.03
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
1,500
‐
1,500
$11.2
$7,493
$0.0
$0
$11.2
$7,493
899
1.67
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
107,036
$844.3
$7,888
68,231
1.57
1.13
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$19.8
$6,605
$130.0
$8,966
$149.8
$8,561
1,560
1.92
25,889
0.56
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
4,000
$35.0
$8,738
7,162
0.56
0.04
District
2,500
$23.1
$9,260
4,961
0.50
0.03
N'hood
500
$4.8
$9,585
979
0.51
0.01
Local
2,091
$19.7
$9,420
3,746
0.56
0.02
Other Com
14,500
$130.0
$8,966
25,889
0.56
0.15
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T23,591
$212.6
$9,012
42,737
0.55
0.25
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
44,000
$387.8
$8,813
0.46
District
27,500
$243.8
$8,864
0.29
N'hood
31,250
$197.3
$6,314
0.33
Local
10,377
$78.3
$7,542
0.11
Other Com
17,500
$149.8
$8,561
0.18
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T130,627
$1,056.9
$8,091
1.37
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
65,000
6,500
71,500
$573.4
$8,822
$58.1
$8,939
$631.5
$8,832
46,608
1.39
12,123
0.54
TOTA
L (This Page)
107,036
23,591
130,627
$844.3
$7,888
$212.6
$9,012
$1,056.9
$8,091
68,231
1.57
42,737
0.55
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:20
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
4,300
‐
4,300
$28.0
$6,506
$0.0
$0
$28.0
$6,506
2,223
1.93
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
40,000
4,000
44,000
$350.9
$8,774
$35.0
$8,738
$385.9
$8,770
28,173
1.42
7,162
0.56
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
25,000
2,500
27,500
$218.4
$8,737
$23.1
$9,260
$241.6
$8,785
18,092
1.38
4,961
0.50
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$48.7
$6,860
$4.8
$9,585
$53.5
$7,039
3,920
1.81
979
0.51
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$30.5
$6,785
$0.0
$0
$30.5
$6,785
2,477
1.82
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$33.0
$7,773
$0.0
$0
$33.0
$7,773
2,579
1.65
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
3,000
‐
3,000
$15.7
$5,221
$0.0
$0
$15.7
$5,221
1,236
2.43
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
3,500
‐
3,500
$17.5
$5,005
$0.0
$0
$17.5
$5,005
1,445
2.42
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$20.5
$4,557
$0.0
$0
$20.5
$4,557
1,707
2.64
‐
‐
DW2031
SHP31
RET31
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
2,000
‐
2,000
$12.9
$6,443
$0.0
$0
$12.9
$6,443
1,002
2.00
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.5
$7,267
$12.8
$9,348
$22.3
$8,331
705
1.86
2,384
0.57
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$6.1
$6,993
$6.9
$9,555
$13.0
$8,150
479
1.83
1,362
0.53
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.6
$6,334
$0.0
$0
$7.6
$6,334
646
1.86
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.5
$5,056
$0.0
$0
$2.5
$5,056
214
2.34
‐
‐
Regional
40,000
$350.9
$8,774
28,173
1.42
0.42
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.3
$6,609
$0.0
$0
$1.3
$6,609
111
1.79
‐
‐
District
25,000
$218.4
$8,737
18,092
1.38
0.26
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,576
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,576
44
2.27
‐
‐
N'hood
33,150
$206.8
$6,239
16,590
2.00
0.35
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$15.7
$7,466
$0.0
$0
$15.7
$7,466
1,182
1.78
‐
‐
Local
8,286
$58.3
$7,033
4,580
1.81
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$3.8
$7,541
$0.0
$0
$3.8
$7,541
305
1.64
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$19.6
$6,543
1,544
1.94
0.03
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
1,500
‐
1,500
$11.2
$7,449
$0.0
$0
$11.2
$7,449
893
1.68
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
109,436
$854.1
$7,805
68,979
1.59
1.15
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$19.6
$6,543
$130.0
$8,966
$149.6
$8,550
1,544
1.94
25,889
0.56
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
4,000
$35.0
$8,738
7,162
0.56
0.04
District
2,500
$23.1
$9,260
4,961
0.50
0.03
N'hood
500
$4.8
$9,585
979
0.51
0.01
Local
2,091
$19.7
$9,420
3,746
0.56
0.02
Other Com
14,500
$130.0
$8,966
25,889
0.56
0.15
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T23,591
$212.6
$9,012
42,737
0.55
0.25
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
44,000
$385.9
$8,770
0.46
District
27,500
$241.6
$8,785
0.29
N'hood
33,650
$211.6
$6,289
0.35
Local
10,377
$78.0
$7,514
0.11
Other Com
17,500
$149.6
$8,550
0.18
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T133,027
$1,066.7
$8,019
1.40
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
65,000
6,500
71,500
$569.4
$8,760
$58.1
$8,939
$627.5
$8,776
46,265
1.40
12,123
0.54
TOTA
L (This Page)
109,436
23,591
133,027
$854.1
$7,805
$212.6
$9,012
$1,066.7
$8,019
68,979
1.59
42,737
0.55
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:22
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
1,900
‐
1,900
$12.4
$6,529
$0.0
$0
$12.4
$6,529
987
1.92
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
50,000
5,000
55,000
$442.3
$8,846
$46.0
$9,205
$488.3
$8,879
35,595
1.40
9,490
0.53
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
25,000
2,500
27,500
$220.9
$8,836
$24.0
$9,602
$244.9
$8,906
18,336
1.36
5,157
0.48
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$49.0
$6,898
$5.0
$10,027
$54.0
$7,104
3,954
1.80
1,030
0.49
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$30.7
$6,815
$0.0
$0
$30.7
$6,815
2,491
1.81
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$33.8
$7,962
$0.0
$0
$33.8
$7,962
2,647
1.61
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
5,500
‐
5,500
$33.2
$6,038
$0.0
$0
$33.2
$6,038
2,682
2.05
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
5,500
‐
5,500
$31.7
$5,766
$0.0
$0
$31.7
$5,766
2,673
2.06
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
6,500
‐
6,500
$33. 4
$5,146
$0.0
$0
$33.4
$5,146
2,837
2.29
‐
‐
DW2036
SHP36
RET36
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$32.8
$7,286
$0.0
$0
$32.8
$7,286
2,571
1.75
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.7
$7,400
$13.4
$9,768
$23.1
$8,610
721
1.82
2,512
0.55
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$6.1
$7,018
$7.2
$9,985
$13.3
$8,358
482
1.82
1,433
0.50
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.7
$6,380
$0.0
$0
$7.7
$6,380
651
1.84
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.6
$5,165
$0.0
$0
$2.6
$5,165
219
2.28
‐
‐
Regional
50,000
$442.3
$8,846
35,595
1.40
0.45
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.3
$6,697
$0.0
$0
$1.3
$6,697
113
1.77
‐
‐
District
25,000
$220.9
$8,836
18,336
1.36
0.23
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,604
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,604
44
2.25
‐
‐
N'hood
39,750
$257.0
$6,466
20,841
1.91
0.36
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$16.3
$7,773
$0.0
$0
$16.3
$7,773
1,236
1.70
‐
‐
Local
9,786
$70.8
$7,236
5,609
1.74
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
2,000
‐
2,000
$15.3
$7,635
$0.0
$0
$15.3
$7,635
1,238
1.62
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$19.7
$6,571
1,554
1.93
0.03
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
1,500
‐
1,500
$11.2
$7,490
$0.0
$0
$11.2
$7,490
904
1.66
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
127,536
$1,010.8
$7,925
81,935
1.56
1.16
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$19.7
$6,571
$133.7
$9,220
$153.4
$8,766
1,554
1.93
26,737
0.54
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
5,000
$46.0
$9,205
9,490
0.53
0.05
District
2,500
$24.0
$9,602
5,157
0.48
0.02
N'hood
500
$5.0
$10,027
1,030
0.49
0.00
Local
2,091
$20.6
$9,843
3,945
0.53
0.02
Other Com
14,500
$133.7
$9,220
26,737
0.54
0.13
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T24,591
$229.3
$9,325
46,360
0.53
0.22
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
55,000
$488.3
$8,879
0.50
District
27,500
$244.9
$8,906
0.25
N'hood
40,250
$262.1
$6,511
0.37
Local
11,877
$91.4
$7,695
0.11
Other Com
17,500
$153.4
$8,766
0.16
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T152,127
$1,240.1
$8,152
1.38
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
75,000
7,500
82,500
$663.2
$8,843
$70.0
$9,337
$733.3
$8,888
53,931
1.39
14,647
0.51
TOTA
L (This Page)
127,536
24,591
152,127
$1,010.8
$7,925
$229.3
$9,325
$1,240.1
$8,152
81,935
1.56
46,360
0.53
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:25
C:\Users\Tony\Documen
ts\2. Perth Cen
tres M
odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
\RPModel2015UPDATE‐ClarksonAve
PER
TH‐PEEL ACTIVITY CEN
TRES POTENTIAL MODEL
SH
RA
PN
EL
UR
BA
N P
LA
NN
ING
TAPPING NEIGHBOURHOOD CEN
TRE
Looku
pID
TypeNam
eHierarchy
SHP nla
RET
nla
TOT nla
SHP‐$Mil
PerSqm
RET
‐$Mil
PerSqm
TOT‐$Mil
PerSqm
SHP‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*RET
‐Pers
Sqm/Cap
*
10
TA‐01
PTA
PPING‐01
6 NHD
4,300
‐
4,300
$27.8
$6,465
$0.0
$0
$27.8
$6,465
2,211
1.94
‐
‐
Dwelling Unit/ Population Projections...
1604
CWANNER
OO SC
4 SEC
50,000
5,000
55,000
$440.2
$8,804
$46.0
$9,205
$486.2
$8,840
35,417
1.41
9,490
0.53
Primary Study Area
2BG‐01
CBANKSIA GROVE‐01
5 DIS
25,000
2,500
27,500
$218.9
$8,755
$24.0
$9,602
$242.9
$8,832
18,162
1.38
5,157
0.48
Year
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2,036
3AS‐01
CASH
BY‐01
6 NHD
7,100
500
7,600
$48.6
$6,846
$5.0
$10,027
$53.6
$7,055
3,922
1.81
1,030
0.49
Dwellings
17,468
20,794
24,044
28,590
33,786
38,897
4CA‐01
CCARRAMAR‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$30.3
$6,742
$0.0
$0
$30.3
$6,742
2,464
1.83
‐
‐
Population
49,069
58,474
67,398
80,413
95,008
109,905
5HO‐01
CHOCKING‐01
6 NHD
4,250
‐
4,250
$33.7
$7,937
$0.0
$0
$33.7
$7,937
2,638
1.61
‐
‐
6GN‐01
PGNANGARA‐01
6 NHD
5,500
‐
5,500
$33.1
$6,021
$0.0
$0
$33.1
$6,021
2,674
2.06
‐
‐
7JA‐01
PJANDABUP‐01
6 NHD
5,500
‐
5,500
$31.6
$5,741
$0.0
$0
$31.6
$5,741
2,661
2.07
‐
‐
Data Sets (this sheet)
8MA‐01P
MARIGINIUP‐01
6 NHD
6,500
‐
6,500
$33.2
$5,115
$0.0
$0
$33.2
$5,115
2,820
2.31
‐
‐
DW2036
SHP36
RET36
9SW
‐01P
STH W
ANNER
OO‐01
6 NHD
4,500
‐
4,500
$32.7
$7,265
$0.0
$0
$32.7
$7,265
2,563
1.76
‐
‐
11
645
CCALABRESE AVEN
UE
7 LOC
1,310
1,370
2,680
$9.7
$7,380
$13.4
$9,768
$23.1
$8,601
719
1.82
2,512
0.55
Model R
un Stats (this sheet)
12
666
CCRISAFU
LLI A
VE
7 LOC
876
721
1,597
$6.1
$6,989
$7.2
$9,985
$13.3
$8,342
480
1.83
1,433
0.50
Shop/Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
13
BG‐02
CBANKSIA GRV‐02
7 LOC
1,200
‐
1,200
$7.6
$6,325
$0.0
$0
$7.6
$6,325
645
1.86
‐
‐
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
14
BG‐03
CBANKSIA GRV‐03
7 LOC
500
‐
500
$2.6
$5,124
$0.0
$0
$2.6
$5,124
217
2.30
‐
‐
Regional
50,000
$440.2
$8,804
35,417
1.41
0.45
15
BG‐04
CBANKSIA GRV‐04
7 LOC
200
‐
200
$1.3
$6,638
$0.0
$0
$1.3
$6,638
112
1.78
‐
‐
District
25,000
$218.9
$8,755
18,162
1.38
0.23
16
CA‐02
CCARRAMAR‐02
7 LOC
100
‐
100
$0.6
$5,556
$0.0
$0
$0.6
$5,556
44
2.27
‐
‐
N'hood
42,150
$271.1
$6,432
21,953
1.92
0.38
17
PE‐01
CPEA
RSA
LL‐01
7 LOC
2,100
‐
2,100
$16.3
$7,753
$0.0
$0
$16.3
$7,753
1,233
1.70
‐
‐
Local
9,786
$70.5
$7,203
5,583
1.75
0.09
18
WE‐01C
WANNER
OO EST‐01
7 LOC
2,000
‐
2,000
$15.2
$7,604
$0.0
$0
$15.2
$7,604
1,233
1.62
‐
‐
Other Com
3,000
$19.5
$6,513
1,539
1.95
0.03
19
WN‐01C
WANNER
OO NTH
‐01
7 LOC
1,500
‐
1,500
$11.2
$7,450
$0.0
$0
$11.2
$7,450
899
1.67
‐
‐
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
20
652
CTO
PEKA PLACE
8 OTH
C‐
‐
‐
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
‐
Total SHP
129,936
$1,020.2
$7,852
82,654
1.57
1.18
21
658
CDROVER
S PLACE
8 OTH
C3,000
14,500
17,500
$19.5
$6,513
$133.7
$9,220
$153.2
$8,756
1,539
1.95
26,737
0.54
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
Other Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Person
Sqm/
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
(Equiv.)
Capita*
Capita~
Regional
5,000
$46.0
$9,205
9,490
0.53
0.05
District
2,500
$24.0
$9,602
5,157
0.48
0.02
N'hood
500
$5.0
$10,027
1,030
0.49
0.00
Local
2,091
$20.6
$9,843
3,945
0.53
0.02
Other Com
14,500
$133.7
$9,220
26,737
0.54
0.13
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
‐
‐
Total R
E T24,591
$229.3
$9,325
46,360
0.53
0.22
crosscheck
OK
OK
OK
TOTA
L Retail
NLA
$million
$/sqm
Sqm/
(sqm)
/annum
/annum
Capita~
Regional
55,000
$486.2
$8,840
0.50
District
27,500
$242.9
$8,832
0.25
N'hood
42,650
$276.1
$6,474
0.39
Local
11,877
$91.1
$7,668
0.11
Other Com
17,500
$153.2
$8,756
0.16
Industrial
‐
$0.0
$0
‐
Total R
E T154,527
$1,249.5
$8,086
1.41
crosscheck
OK
OK
* Derived
from person equivalen
ts attracted
to cen
tre
~ Derived
from m
ain study area population projection alone
District & Higher Only
75,000
7,500
82,500
$659.1
$8,788
$70.0
$9,337
$729.1
$8,838
53,579
1.40
14,647
0.51
TOTA
L (This Page)
129,936
24,591
154,527
$1,020.2
$7,852
$229.3
$9,325
$1,249.5
$8,086
82,654
1.57
46,360
0.53
NOTE:
This page displays the calculations of a mathem
atical
"RetailFloorspace Potential" model , which is used to
estimate retail floorspace needs and im
pacts for urban
planning purposes.
Various qualitative aspects of centres are not fully
accounted for in the model, and the actual economic
perform
ance of a centre will not necessarily accord with
its theo
retical potential as calculated by the model.
NOTE:
Totalling of
Person
Equivalents for
Total Retail is a
double‐count of
population and
therefore not
valid.
NOTE:
Centrenam
es are a
combination of DoP
Complex nam
es, LGA
local nam
es, and SUP
database reference
nam
es. They may or may
not accord with their
commercial trading
nam
es.
24/06/2015; 16:27
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odel 2011\M
odelTestBed
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