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Funding the Natural Grid A Capital Partnership Approach Chris Cook All Energy Show 21 st May 2014
24

All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Dec 22, 2014

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Page 1: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Funding the Natural Grid

A Capital Partnership Approach

Chris Cook

All Energy Show 21st May 2014

Page 2: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

“21st Century problems cannot be solved with 20th Century solutions”

Page 3: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Introduction - Resilience

Resilience - the enduring power of a body or bodies for transformation, renewal and recovery through the flux of interactions and flow of events

Resource Resilience – Natural Grid

Financial Resilience – Open Capital

Page 4: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Resource Resilience – Natural Grid

Since 1980 Denmark's GDP rose 78%

Energy use has been stable

Carbon fuel use has declined

How did Denmark achieve this?

Page 5: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Resource Resilience - Natural Grid

Least Carbon Fuel Cost principle

- not 'least Danish Krone cost' (or least $, € or £ cost)

- minimum carbon fuel input for a given output of electricity, heat or power

- investment in renewables, heat, transport, energy efficiency

Page 6: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Emerging Outcomes of Natural Grid policy

- decentralisation

- knowledge & knowhow base: Vestas the biggest global wind turbine company in country of 6m people

- trend to energy security and energy independence

- not forgetting........reduction in carbon use

Page 7: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Linlithgow Natural Grid (LNG)

Aim: enable Linlithgow to be independent in energy

Means: application of least carbon fuel cost principle

Enlisted Mainstreaming Innovation for academic input

CARES funded study carried out by Dr Mohammed Imbabi of Aberdeen University

Objective 1 – map energy use in Linlithgow Cross

Objective 2 – identify & prioritise viable least carbon fuel cost interventions leading to energy descent

Q. How can we fund Linlithgow Natural Grid?

Page 8: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid
Page 9: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid
Page 10: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Systemic Funding Problem

Denmark's fiscally robust local government guaranteed Co-op renewable finance & fund heat infrastructure

UK renewables – kill Big 6 profitable production

UK energy savings – kill Big 6 customer consumption

If Big 6 won't & local government can't, how can renewables &energy savings be funded?

Page 11: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Financial Resilience – Open Capital

Prepay – credit returnable in payment for value

Capital Partnership – production sharing agreement

Page 12: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Prepay

Tax

Page 13: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Tax Prepay

Tax Prepay – credit returnable in payment of taxes

Tax Return – 'stock' part of tally stick returned to Treasury

Rate of Return - rate over time at which stock is returnable for cancellation

eg Prepay £8 for £10 tax - £2 profit 25% pa rate of return

- not fixed - depends on existence & quantity of flow

Page 14: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Energy Partnership

Custodian(Community)Custodian(Community)

InvestorInvestor

ConsumerConsumer

Prepay %

%

ManagerManager

Payment

Page 15: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Energy Partnership - Outcomes

Social Contract - relationship-based not transaction-based; costs transformed to revenue shares

Neutrality – removes ego and politics

Collaborative - stakeholder interests aligned

Sustainable - all have interest in minimising cost over time

Page 16: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Energy Prepay – the Value Proposition

Community

- sells value of future energy production or savings

- interest-free energy loan until credit cancelled by return vs supply or repurchase from energy savings

Consumer

- prepays for energy and locks in price

Page 17: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Energy Prepay – the Value Proposition

Investor

- energy loan investment directly “Peer to Asset”

- Consumers buy credits from Investors at best price below physical energy price & return against supply

Manager

- shares in gross revenues or production

- interests aligned with Investor

- no 'Principal/Agency' problem

Page 18: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Comparison of Western Isle community income 3 x 3 Mw Wind Turbines

Community Owned Farm

£110k pa/Mw community profit

£ £330k pa per turbine

£1m pa to Community

Adjacent Private Wind Farm

– £6k pa /Mw community benefit

= £18k pa per turbine

= £54k pa to Community

Page 19: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Mega Watts

Whoever owns renewable energy sells at wholesale bid price (4p/Kwh) & buys back at retail price (13p/Kwh)

Private wire or local use wherever possible

Page 20: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Negawatts

Energy savings made by consumers at retail price

Well to Wheel savings: litre of diesel fuel saved might save 3 litres of crude oil

Conventional funding (Green Deal) has two problems

- compound interest on bank £ loans

- even if £ is saved, no guarantee energy will be saved

Page 21: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Linlithgow Energy Pool

Investor pay £1k for credits in Linlithgow Energy Pool

- 20 x 1Mwh prepay Units @ £50 each

- 2000 x 10 Kwh prepay Units @ 50p each

Fund invests at community level through energy loans eg community CHP/co-generation

Loan repaid via energy bills through buying prepay energy units at market price

Interest-free loan – return to investor in energy

Unless consumers save energy they will not save £

Page 22: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

Linlithgow Energy Pool

CustodianEnergy Pool

CustodianEnergy PoolInvestors

Consumers

Manager

£ EnergyLoan Buy units

at market price

£

Prepay

Prepay

Units

£

£

Page 23: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

21st Century problems cannot be solved with 20th century solutions.........

Page 24: All energy show 2014 introducing the natural grid

…....21st century solutions pre-date modern finance