Predictability of explosive cyclogenesis over the northwestern Pacific region using ensemble reanalysis Akira Kuwano-Yoshida (Application Laboratory, JAMSTEC) Takeshi Enomoto (University of Kyoto) 2014. 8. 17 WWOSC 2014 Kuwano-Yoshida, A. and T. Enomoto 2013, Predictability of explosive cyclogenesis over the northwestern Pacific region using ensemble reanalysis, Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3769 – 3785.
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Predictability of explosive cyclogenesis over the northwestern Pacific region
using ensemble reanalysisAkira Kuwano-Yoshida (Application Laboratory, JAMSTEC)
Takeshi Enomoto (University of Kyoto)2014. 8. 17
WWOSC 2014
Kuwano-Yoshida, A. and T. Enomoto 2013, Predictability of explosive cyclogenesis over the northwestern Pacific region using ensemble reanalysis, Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3769 – 3785.
Introduction• Explosive cyclones, “Bomb
cyclones”, can cause several disasters in winter.
• Bomb cyclones are sometimes difficult to forecast.
• The predictability of Bomb cyclones is unclear.
2013. 1. 14Photo by A. Yamazaki
Bomb cyclones in the northwestern Pacific region
OJ: Dry PO: Moist
Yoshida and Asuma (2004, MWR)
ALERA (AFES-LETKF Experimental Ensemble Reanalysis, Miyoshi et al. 2007, SOLA)