Agent-Based Model of Vertical Tsunami Evacuation Location, Seaside, Oregon Presenter: Jacky Xiaomin Chen Mentors: Dr. Haizhong Wang and Dr. Dan Cox Graduate Students: Alireza Mostafizi, Shangjia Dong August 12, 2016 0 Source from TownMapsUSA
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Agent-Based Model of Vertical Tsunami
Evacuation Location, Seaside, Oregon
Presenter: Jacky Xiaomin Chen
Mentors: Dr. Haizhong Wang and Dr. Dan Cox
Graduate Students: Alireza Mostafizi, Shangjia Dong
August 12, 20160
Source from TownMapsUSA
Introduction: Vertical-Evacuation-Structure (VES)
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• Vertically vs. Horizontally
• Shelters Within the Inundation Area
• Typical VES: Parking garages, commercial buildings,
school facilities etc.
Introduction: VES Capacity
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Under-100 Level
Source form FEMA, 2009
800 LevelOver-1000 Level
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Introduction: Study Area
Images From GoogleMap,
• The city of Seaside, OR, has been identified as having
a high exposure to the CSZ Tsunami (Wood, 2007)
• The city with 83% of its population, 89% of its
employees and almost 100% of its critical facilities in
the tsunami inundation zone (OSSPAC, 2013)
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Introduction: Study Area
Image from DOGAMI, 2013
Methodology: Agent-based Model Interface
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Methodology: Agent-based Model Interface
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Methodology: Agent-based Model Interface
Result: Total Mortality Rate
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Result: Mortality rate vs. Walking speed
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VES_100% 3ft/s 4ft/s 5ft/s
Mortality Rate Range: 63.8% - 10.5% 30.8% - 1.6% 6.2% - 0.2%
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Result: Mortality rate vs. Multiple-Evacuation Strategies
Result: Capacity of VES
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3ft/s4ft/s
5ft/s
• Mortality Rate Decrease:1. Walking Speed Increase 2. More Population Evacuate Horizontally AND Vertically
• VES Capacity: 60% of Population
• Optimal Area
Conclusion
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Acknowledgements
• Prof. Haizhong Wang, Ph.D
• Prof. Daniel Cox, Ph.D
• Alireza Mostafizi,
• Shangjia Dong,
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Thank You All !
Q & A
Acknowledgement
The authors would like to acknowledge the funding support from Oregon Sea Grant and National Science Foundation (NSF).
Acknowledgement
The authors would like to acknowledge the funding support from Oregon Sea Grant, and National Science Foundation (NSF) through project #1563618.
Bibliography
• Department of Geology and Mineral Industries. Oregon Tsunami Evacuation Route Maps. N.p., 13 June 2013.
• FEMA P646A. "Vertical Evacuation from Tsunamis: A Guide for Community Officials." FEMA.gov. N.p., June 2009. Web.
• Wood, N., 2007. Variations in City Exposure and Sensitivity to Tsunami Hazards in Oregon. Tech. Rep. 5283, U.S.
Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report.
• OSSPAC. The Oregon Resilience Plan Reducing Risk and Improving Recovery for the next Cascadia Earthquake and
Tsunami. Salem, Or.: Oregon Seismic Safety Policy Advisory Commission, 2013. Print.
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