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Elinor Ostrom: A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of SocioEcological Systems. Science 325:419422. (2009). Danielle V. Dolan April 17, 2014 ESP 212B
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AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

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Page 1: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Elinor  Ostrom:    A  General  Framework  for  Analyzing  

Sustainability  of  Socio-­‐Ecological  Systems.  Science  325:419-­‐422.  (2009).  

Danielle V. Dolan April 17, 2014

ESP 212B

Page 2: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Ostrom  was  one  of  the  foremost  researchers  on  SES,  common-­‐pool  resources  management,  and  cooperation.  

Background  

(CIPEC), Indiana University, 1996–2006Chair, Department of Political Science, Indiana University, 1980–84; Acting Chair, 1989–90Professor, Department of Political Science, Indiana University, 1974–91Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Indiana University, 1969–74Assistant Professor and Graduate Advisor, Department of Government, Indiana University,

1966–69Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Government, Indiana University, 1965–66Personnel Analyst III, University of California, Los Angeles, 1957–61Employment Interviewer and Assistant Employee Relations Manager, Godfrey L. Cabot, Inc.,

Boston, MA, 1955–57

Awards and Honors

Honorary Doctorate, TERI University, New Delhi, India, 2012Honorary Doctorate, Université Montpellier 1, Montpellier, France, 2011Foreign Member, Académie d’Agriculture de France, Paris, France, 2011Honorary Professor, Beihang University, Beijing, China, 2011Adam Smith Award, Association of Private Enterprise Education, Nassau, Bahamas, 2011UCLA Medal, University of California, Los Angeles, 2011Diamond Jubilee Award for Lifetime Achievement in Political Studies, Political Studies

Association of the UK, 2010Honorary Doctorate, Michigan State University, East Lansing, 2010Distinguished Faculty Award, College of Arts and Sciences, Indiana University, Bloomington,

IN, 2010Herman B. Wells Visionary Award, Indiana University Foundation, Bloomington, IN, 2010Honorary Member, Indiana Academy of Science, Indianapolis, IN, 2010Honorary Member, Phi Beta Kappa, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, 2010Living Legend Award, Office of Women’s Affairs, Indiana University, Bloomington, 2010Distinguished Professor, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, 2010The University Medal, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, 2010Sagamore of the Wabash Award, State of Indiana, 2009The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2009Elazar Distinguished Federalism Scholar Award, APSA, Federalism and Intergovernmental

Relations Section, 2009Reimar Lüst Award for International Scholarly and Cultural Exchange, Fritz Thyssen Foundation

and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, Germany, 2009Jonathan M. Tisch Prize for Civic Engagement Research, Tufts University, Medford, MA, March

5, 2009Honorary Doctorate, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway,

2008Galbraith Award, American Agricultural Economics Association, 2008

Krister Andersson, and Sujai Shivakumar (Oxford University Press, 2005).Seeing the Forest and the Trees: Human-Environment Interactions in Forest Ecosystems, edited

with Emilio Moran (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2005).Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas

Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam, Ujjwal Pradhan, and Robert Yoder (New Delhi, India: Sage,2005).

Foundations of Social Capital, edited with T. K. Ahn (Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2003;paperback edition 2010).

The Commons in the New Millennium: Challenges and Adaptations, edited with Nives Dolšak(Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2003).

Trust and Reciprocity: Interdisciplinary Lessons from Experimental Research, edited with JamesWalker (New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2003).

The Drama of the Commons, edited with Thomas Dietz, Nives Dolšak, Paul C. Stern, SusanStonich, and Elke Weber. Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change(Washington, DC: National Research Council, National Academy Press, 2002).

Improving Irrigation Governance and Management in Nepal, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti(Oakland, CA: ICS Press, 2002).

Protecting the Commons: A Framework for Resource Management in the Americas, edited withJoanna Burger, Richard B. Norgaard, David Policansky, and Bernard D. Goldstein(Washington, DC: Island Press, 2001).

Institutions, Ecosystems, and Sustainability, edited with Robert Costanza, Bobbi Low, and JamesWilson (Boca Raton, FL: Lewis Publishers, 2001).

People and Forests: Communities, Institutions, and Governance, edited with Clark Gibson andMargaret A. McKean (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2000).

Competition & Cooperation: Conversations with Nobelists about Economics and PoliticalScience, edited with James Alt and Margaret Levi. (New York: Russell Sage Foundation,1999).

Local Commons and Global Interdependence: Heterogeneity and Cooperation in Two Domains,edited with Robert Keohane (London: Sage, 1995).

Rules, Games, and Common-Pool Resources, with Roy Gardner and James Walker (Ann Arbor:University of Michigan Press, 1994).

From Farmers’ Fields to Data Fields and Back: A Synthesis of Participatory InformationSystems for Irrigation and Other Resources, edited with Sowerwine, Jennifer, GaneshShivakoti, Ujjwal Pradhan, and Ashutosh Shukla. Proceedings of an International Workshopheld at the Institute of Agriculture and Animal Science (IAAS), Rampur, Nepal, March 21–26, 1993. Colombo, Sri Lanka: International Irrigation Management Institute (IIMI), andRampur, Nepal: IAAS, 1994.

Institutional Incentives and Sustainable Development: Infrastructure Policies in Perspective,with Larry Schroeder and Susan Wynne (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1993).

Crafting Institutions for Self-Governing Irrigation Systems (San Francisco: ICS Press, 1992).Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action (New York:

Page 3: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Introduction  

Ostrom  synthesizes  common-­‐pool  resources,  SESs,  &  collaborative  governance  

Page 4: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Ostrom  challenges  Hardin’s  widely-­‐accepted  “Tragedy  of  the  Commons”  with  evidence  of  sustainability  through  cooperation.  

Introduction  

Page 5: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Large,  highly  valuable,  open  access  systems  with  diverse,  non-­‐communicating  harvesters  lacking  management  rules/norms  will  lead  to  collapse.  

Page 6: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Self-­‐organizing  harvesters/leaders,  effective  management  rules  sustain  their  resource.  

Page 7: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Ostrom  uses  Political  Theory  &  Policy  Analysis  to  address  three  key  questions:      •  When  can  cooperation  be  expected  in  common-­‐pool  natural  resource  situations?  

 •  When  can  it  not  be  expected?    •  What  are  the  best  policy  mechanisms  accordingly?  

Page 8: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Ostrom’s  Sustainability  Analysis  Framework  meets  two  needs  for  studying  SESs:  

common  set  of  

relevant  variables  

Studying  SES  sustainability  

Organizing  studies  of  

similar  SESs  

Page 9: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,
Page 10: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Socio-­‐Ecological  System  

Resource  Systems  

2nd  Level  Variables  

Deeper  level  variables  

Resource  Units  

2nd  Level  Variables  

Deeper  level  variables  

Governance  System  

2nd  Level  Variables  

Deeper  level  variables  

Users  

2nd  Level  Variables  

Deeper  level  variables  

1st  Level  Core    Subsystems  

Page 11: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Ten  2nd-­‐level  variables  predict  sustainability  or  collapse  of  an  SES  with  common-­‐pool  resources.      

Results

Page 12: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

•  Number •  Leadership/ Entrepreneurship •  Norms/ Social Capital •  Knowledge of SES/ Mental Models •  Resource Importance

• Mobility  

• CollecBve  Choice  Rules  

• Size  • ProducBvity  • Predictability  

RS GS

U RU

Page 13: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Policy  prescriptions  should  be  based  on  matching  these  10  attributes  locally-­‐evaluated.  

1.  System  Size  2.  System  ProducBvity  3.  Dynamics  Predictability  4.  Resource  Unit  Mobility  5.  Number  of  Users  6.  Leadership  7.  Social  Capital  (norms)  8.  SES  Knowledge  9.  Importance  of  resource  to  user  10. CollecBve-­‐choice  Rules  

Page 14: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Collective  action  and  Self-­‐Organizing  is  determined  by  expected  bene=it  &  perceived  cost.  

Expected  Benefits  >  Perceived  Cost  

≈    é  Probability  of  Self-­‐Organizing  

Expected  Benefits  <  Perceived  Cost    

≈  ê  Probability  of  Self-­‐Organizing  

Resource Management

Inve

stm

ent

in R

ules

Resource Management

Inve

stm

ent

in R

ules

EB

PC

PC

EB

Page 15: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

+/-­‐  Analysis?  Methods?  Interpretation?  

+  Cross-­‐disciplinary  approach  incorporates  broader  expertise  &  solutions  than  the  average  economist  

+Embrace  complexity,  don’t  reduce  it    

+  Importance  of  understanding  the  “parts”  to  understand  the  “whole”  

−  Highly  theoretical;  few  examples  

−  Doesn’t  say  WHICH  empirical  research    

−  Other  characteristics  that  impact  “self-­‐organization?”  

Page 16: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Ostrom’s  recommendation  for  pinpointing  measurements  &  creating  a  shared  database  for  evaluating  SESs  is  HAPPENING!  

Page 17: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,
Page 18: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

Need  to  coordinate  ecology  &  social  sciences;    

Page 19: AGeneral!Framework!for!Analyzing! Sustainability!of ......Asian Irrigation in Transition: Responding to Challenges, edited with Ganesh Shivakoti, Douglas Vermillion, Wai Fung Lam,

But  also,    Science  &  Policy.