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Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic
37

Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Dec 31, 2015

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Dorthy Bruce
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Page 1: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic

Page 2: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Boundaries

Thunderstorm Outflows

Lake Breezes

Page 3: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Arc of blowing dust

Reflectivity “thin lines”

Gust Fronts

Very shallow feature, emanate from a thunderstorm. Recall the depth-detection discussion.

Page 4: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Example of Boundary in Reflectivity-10 to 20 dBZ

Page 5: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Rapid Storm Evolution (Time lapse < 5 hours)Animation

120

km

Page 6: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Movie Loop Showing Cold Front, Gravity Wave and Dry Line Interactions

International H20 Water Vapor Project (IHOP) May 11, 2002

Page 7: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Gravity Waves

International H20 Water Vapor Project (IHOP) May 11, 2002

Page 8: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Drizzle

Page 9: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

A Typical Z – RBeijing Summer

Page 10: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Reflectivity and DrizzleBeijing Summer

Page 11: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

How to remember beamheight numbers?

Aside

Page 12: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

S = r θ

• 1o = 180/pi = 0.0175 radians

• At r=100 km then s = 100 * 0.0175

• S = 1.75km = beamwidth at 100km

• For flat Earth, for beam at 1o elevation angle, height of beam centre ~= 1.75km

H = sqrt ( r^2 + 2*Ke*ae*r + sin ( theta_e ) ) – ke * ae

r

Page 13: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Beam Height Diagram

Page 14: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

What is the approximate Height / Width the Beam

0.5o beamwidth 1.0o beamwidth

Elevation Angle 0.5o 1.0o 0.5o 1.0o

Range

50 km

100 km

Arc distance = r theta 1 deg = 180 / pi = 0.01745329

Page 15: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Forest Fires

Page 16: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Kelowna Forest Fires

Page 17: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Nocturnal bird migration looks like drizzle

Page 18: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Insect migration and Cb

Page 19: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Lake Breezes and Tornados

Pat King and Dave Sills

Page 20: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Morning

Mid Afternoon“Pure” LB exampleEnhance convergence

Lake Breeze BoundariesLakeHuron Lake Ontario

LakeSt Clair

Lake Erie

Page 21: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

+

+

=

Pure lake breeze

Moderate SW Flow

Lake Breezes

Page 22: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Average of 6 VIS Images from 1500-1800 UTC

Page 23: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Spring (15 Mar - 15 Jun) Tornado Touchdown Points

Confirmed and probable only

Page 24: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Spring (15 Mar - 15 Jun) Tornado Touchdown Points

… overlaid with boundaries from 31 July 1994 ...

… tornadoes are suppressed in regions where Southwest winds are onshore ...

… and enhanced in regions where lake breeze boundaries often form.

Forecasters use knowledge of lake breeze positions in their severe weather forecast for weak tornadoes

Page 25: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Lee Side Troughing

On a very small terrain feature

Page 26: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Southern Ontario is relatively flat. Elevations rise from about 200m on Lake Huron to about 400m just south of Georgian Bay.

Lake

Huron

Lake Ontario

Lake Erie

Georgian Bay

Topography of Southern Ontario

Page 27: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Topography of Southern Ontario

Average of six GOES images over a 3-hour period

Moderate WSW flow

Dissipation of thin SC cloud in downslope flow

SC cloud formingbeneath an inversionat 1500 m above ground

Dissipation of Clouds in a SW Flow

Page 28: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Topography of Southern Ontario

Niagara Escarpment

Average of six GOES images over a 3-hour period

Page 29: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

20 February, 2008

2008 NWA Conference - Louisville, KYSam Lashley – National Weather Service

Northern IndianaJon Hitchcock – National Weather Service

Buffalo, NY

Page 30: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Mountain Top Radars

Show Rodger Brown Paper graphs

Page 31: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Negative Elevation Scans

Show DEM and the one degree beam

Show negative elevation angle

Discuss caveats – need gc filtering

Need 3dB filling

Show

Page 32: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Scanning in Complex TerrainValley Radars

Show the v10 radar DEM and discuss with respect the weather

NOT surveillance

Page 33: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Radar Detection Issues

CAPPI (too high) 0o PPI

Page 34: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Lake Breezes and Convection Initiation/Suppression

• Review the wilson boundary rules/Aurora did a poster on this

• Show Pat King Lake Breeze and Prevailing Wind Analysis

• Show Pat King Tornado climatology and Lake Breezes

• Show AF358 or another case

Page 35: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Lake Effect Snow Bands

Show the EGPM lake effect snow bands

Show single bands

Show multiple bands

Show the convergence in the middle of the band

Talk about TREC tracking

Page 36: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Sea Spray

Page 37: Advanced Shallow Weather and Orographic. Boundaries Thunderstorm Outflows Lake Breezes.

Orographic Effects•Precipitation Enhancement

– upslope condensation and development

•Precipitation Suppression–lee side troughing–Blocked flow –Radar Blockage – can not see

•Explanation– Impact of Froude Number