近近近近近近近近近近近近近近 近近近近近近近近近 近近近近近近近近近近近 近 近 近
近期经济走势及广东的发展思路
Jan 04, 2016
近期经济走势及广东的发展思路. 广东省人民政府参事 广东经济学会常务副会长. 陈 鸿 宇. 陈鸿宇， 广东省人民政府参事、经济学教授。原广东省委党校副校长、巡视员。. 广东省首届优秀社会科学家 广东省人民政府决策咨询专家委员会委员 广东省第十届政协特聘委员 新华社特约经济分析师 中山大学行政管理研究中心教授 中国延安干部学院教授 广东经济学会常务副会长 享受国务院政府特殊津贴专家. 一、关于近期国际和国内经济走势. 整体判断 “ 十二五 ” 时期是全面建设小康社会的关键时期，是深化改革开放、加快转变经济发展方式的攻坚时期。. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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*
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12
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10
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6
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20112012
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*
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*200820102011
-
1980-2010 G7GDP(%)*
19801990200020104671589753661452133142617758425489344673975493126129G750678193
-
2011
1.2011
-
2.20123.1,
-
113
-
117(EFSF)AAAAAAAA
-
200910200912.7%113%3%60%
-
140%
-
2011102011102610601470201269%300417
-
2011725003474440061141111.4
-
100014702011721%50%
-
201222122113002020160%121%53.5%310 1300
-
22020GDP120%160%4
-
31,7302,200565156(Syriza)
-
G8IMF30303314%22% GDP4
-
5.18 3
-
2012352012223218638%223763%3511006.66%1000%2012322CaC2012516B-CCCBC
-
3 20125
-
2012516
-
617
-
613(11)
-
3.2011(ISM)(23)1ISM(PMI)56.82011253.01253.052.6ADP11171229.232.512137.7
-
4.419:201120122%
-
122IMF201213.3%3.5%9IMF20122%10%1%
-
20111.7%4466.515.9%6.6
-
5315.3%6%200446.1%3.6%10%61GDP1%2%4.2%
-
*201120121.2011: 7
-
*20118 CPI6.2% PPI7.3%201118 CPI5.6% PPI7.1% 20119 CPI6.1% PPI6.5%
-
2010CPI7
-
*
-
2012CPI5%4%
-
2012CPIPPI20123.8%0.1%1.0%20125114CPI3.4%33.6%CPI4%
-
2012CPI5%
-
2.201220128.1%0.81.8%0.13.8%0.1%1.0%
-
679614.0%9.8%256017.0%12.7%8593.77.3%4300.27.6%4293.56.9%6.733305020111239
-
200714.2%2008200820089.6%20099.2%201010.4%1.220119.2%200710%
-
2012142012515201241-411671.86.0%5932.46.9%5739.45.1%193
-
3.51620082009
-
38
-
()2350%237%8%
-
()20128.1%8.1%
-
7%8%20128.1%
-
()7%
-
8.1%14.2%
-
420128.1%32012GDP8%8%
-
4.2011
-
20123112
-
201274.7%,68.2%,64.8%,,,
-
2012201160%10%420125
-
2012
-
201217%
-
2012
-
1.
11.2%20099%10%
-
8.1,7.5208.1,2.46,2.6,
-
,,,,,,,7.5,,2012
-
2.20111998
-
3.
2000201020830.9%
-
1
-
4.2011
-
201127.3%201017.9%2010
-
2012
-
*
-
2007201120072011110GDP3510.6GDP
-
20112011
-
20115300010%505008%.1366815.4%551422.1%.832689712.6%937218.8%1983
-
20115.35.3%
-
2024716.3%1693317.6%500531917.4%1/4
-
50%51.8%5.2
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5005.149.745.253.456.3%0.341/5
-
346877.5%85.5137.618.6
-
913516.4%251/3+40%34741%
-
423363%1772.46%.95.8%2001500
-
20122011GDP20128.5%1.52011GDP10%10.5%
-
0.839.0%20115319.417.4%
-
200820112008
-
2012PMI
-
20121PMI43.7%6.850%45%11950%1010
-
12/3,PMI2007PMIPMI2PMI6.8512.18.38.57.35.9
-
4PMI310350%PMI119
-
4119311PMI
-
2011.4-2012.5PMI
-
5PMI50.950%1192.32.51.91.2
-
50.30.2
-
20082008
-
2008-2009
-
19972002
(2010.12)
-
,,,,,,,
-
GDP
-
20128.57.515157.510
-
45.556.548.5221.9541010.53.53.992.322.52.2
-
,,,,,,,,,
-
2.
-
2011611 30201156201129821
-
201111779.82173.86
-
17831(12)(95)(102)(131)
-
GNHGNHGNH
-
77.8 GDP$34,600 80.5 GDP$32,300 79 GDP$32,700 80 GDP$35,600 65.6 GDP:$20,200 78.5 GDP$30,900 80.50 GDP$29,800
-
55 GDP$1,400 .47 75 GDP$23,600 80 GDP$34,000 77.7 GDP$41,000 79 GDP$55,600
-
50
-
35
-
GDPGDP
-
+=GDP
-
3030
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1 2
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100%
-
+=GDP
-
3
-
3
-
2011
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80 80-90
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90
-
90
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--
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4
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2009
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Email Add. [email protected]
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