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    Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice Newsletter

    Volume 5, Issue I

    February 27, 2015

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    UK Seeks New GM Crop Regulations from

    EU

    Feb 26, 2015

    The United Kingdom has

    moved a step forward

    showcasing its interest

    for Genetically Modified

    (GM) crops. The EU

    state has called for new

    regulations, which

    apparently allow it to

    conduct trials and grow

    GM crops. The

    Parliament’s Science and

    Technology Committee

    has released a report on

    the European Union's

    (EU) existing GM regulations saying there is a need for a new trait-based system for regulating

    new crop breeding technologies as the existing regulations prevent GM crops to be grown in the

    UK despite being passed rigorous safety testing procedures, according to a press release on the

    UK Parliament website.

    The report indentifies three major flaws in the EU regulatory system for GM crops. First, the

    current regulations are based on assumption that GM crops inherently pose greater risk that

    traditional crops and fail to recognize the characteristics displayed by the GM crops in the field.

    Second, they fail to assess the risks posed by the GM crops in relations with the benefits to the

     producer, consumer and the environment leading to a one-sided judgement on their effects to the

    economy, society and environment. Third, the current regulations prevent EU States from takingtheir own decision on GM crops.

    Due to this member states who basically oppose GM crops have been trying to influence other

    members over the adoption of GM crops.The report concluded that the "Precautionary

    Principle", which controls the import and cultivation of GM crops, is no longer valid as there has

     been no significant evidence that there are potentially dangerous effects on the environment,

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    human, animal and plant health from GM crops. Continued application of this principle is acting

    as a barrier to progress in this field, stated the report

    Philippines to Conduct Auction for 500,000Tons of Rice on February 27, 2015

    Feb 26, 2015

    The Philippines will conduct an auction for 500,000 tons of rice on

    February 27, 2015, Bloomberg quoted the Philippine Presidential

    Adviser for Food Security as saying.The three countries - Thailand,

    Vietnam and Cambodia - which have import agreements with the

    Philippines will reportedly participate in the bidding.The imports are

    to boost buffer stocks ahead of the lean season (June - August).

    Earlier, a Reuters report noted that the National Food Authority (NFA) is planning to buy

    250,000 tons of 25% broken rice and 250,000 tons of 15% broken rice and is seeking delivery of

    half the volume by March 31, 2015 and the remaining half by April 30, 2015.

    The Philippines imported around 1.8 million tons of rice (including around 1.5 million tons of

    2014 imports and around 300,000 tons of 2013 residual imports) in 2014 to replenish rice stocks

    and control price hikes. USDA estimates the Philippines to produce around 12.2 million tons of

    rice, basis milled, in MY 2014-15 (July - June) and import around 1.6 million tons of rice in

    2015.

    U.S. Rice Producers Make Preparations to

    Send Rice Samples to Cuba

    Feb 26, 2015

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    Rice producers in the U.S. Missouri state

    have reportedly secured permission from the

    U.S. Department of Commerce (USDC) to

    ship one container of sample rice to Cubaafter the 50-year long trade embargo with

    the Caribbean nation had been lifted,

    according to local sources.They are waiting

    for the USDC to grant permission to send its

    second container as well. Missouri rice

     producers are keen on shipping one

    container with 40,000 pounds of rough rice (around 18 tons) and another container with 40,000

     pounds of milled rice (around 18 tons).U.S. Senator Claire McCaskill, who has been guiding the

    Missouri rice producers in overcoming the regulatory barriers to export rice to Cuba was quoted

    as saying in the St.Louis Public Radio a couple of days earlier that the rice producers couldsuccessfully obtain permission to ship a few containers of sample rice to Cuba. The Senator who

    recently visited Cuba also spoke to the Cuban authorities about Missouri rice.She noted that next

    month a delegation led by the Governor Jay Nixon will reach Cuba to attend the second round of

    talks over the U.S. - Cuba trade. The first round of talks were held in Havana last month.

    Representatives of all agricultural producers, including rice, will follow the Governor.Recently,

    the U.S. has eased the existing financing and banking restrictions with Cuba allowing for the

    revival of rice and other agricultural trade with the Caribbean nation.Cuba imports about 50% of

    its annual rice consumption needs. USDA estimates Cuba to produce around 455,000 tons of

    milled rice and import around 450,000 tons of rice in MY 2014-15 (July - June) to meet a

    consumption demand of around 905,000 tons. Cuba currently imports rice from Brazil, India and

    Thailand.

    Myanmar Signs 100,000 Ton Rice Export

    Contract with China

    Feb 26, 2015

    The Myanmar Rice

    Federation (MRF) has

    signed a contract with

    the China's state run

    China National

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    Cereals, Oils and Foodstuffs Corporation (COFCO) to export 100,000 tons of rice to China in

    separate monthly shipments in accordance with market prices at the time of shipment, local

    sources quoted an official from the (MRF) was quoted as saying.According to the Joint

    Secretary of the MRF, it has been agreed to export rice in separate monthly shipments at the prevailing prices at the time of shipment to ensure a fair trade for both parties. He also noted that

    the Myanmar rice exporters do not have enough capacity to export all 100,000 tons of rice at

    once.

    Officials from the MRF have been working to sign this contract for last few months in order to

    legalize rice exports to China.Initially nine companies were shortlisted to export rice to China

     but the number is likely to go up as China seeks increase in the number of exporters in which it

    will do business with.According to the agreement, rice exporters should get their rice inspected

    and accredited with the China's General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and

    Quarantine (AQSIQ) and then seek approval from the China Certification and Inspection Group before exporting rice to China.The MRF Joint Secretary noted that they would begin exporting

    rice to China from April. He noted that the MRF is taking all measures to meet the quality and

    variety standards in accordance with China's specifications.Currently export quotes for Myanmar

    5% broken rice are at around $415 per ton and 25% broken rice is quoted at around $325 per ton.

    Around 1.1 million tons of rice have been exported from Myanmar in the first nine months of

    2014-15, including 800,000 tons to China through border trade. The Myanmar government is

    targeting to export around 2.5 million tons of rice in FY 2015-16 (April - March), up about 67%

    from an estimated 1.5 million tons in FY 2014-15.USDA estimates Myanmar to produce 18.98

    million tons of paddy rice (around 12.15 million tons, milled basis) and export around 1.4million tons of rice in MY 2014-15 (January - December 2015).

    Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough

    Rice Futures are Seen Lower Overnight

    ahead of Weekly Export Sales Report and as

    Crude Turns Negative Once Again

    Feb 26, 2015

    Chicago rough rice futures for May delivery are currently listed 12 cents per cwt (about $3 per

    ton) lower at $10.650 per cwt (about $235 per ton) ahead of floor trading in Chicago. The other

    grains are seen mixed this morning: soybeans are currently seen about 0.3% higher, wheat is

    listed about 0.4% lower and corn is currently noted about 0.6% higher.U.S. stock index futures

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    signaled a softer open on Thursday as investors digested mixed U.S. data that was mostly worse

    than expectations. The core CPI, the key figure for the Fed that excludes more volatile food and

    energy prices, gained 0.2%. However, CPI data for January was down more than expected at

    0.7%.

    Expectations were for a further sharp drop of 0.6 percent month on month, the biggest fall since

    2008, driven by energy prices to leave the year-on-year rate in negative territory. Durable goods

    orders figures for January increased a more-than-expected 2.8%, after a 3.4% decline in the prior

    month. Initial claims for unemployment for the week of Feb. 15, came in at 313,000. Analysts

    had expected the figure to increase moderately to 285,000 from 283,000 the week prior. Earlier,

    futures pointed to a higher open as investors welcomed comments from U.S. Federal Reserve

    Chair Janet Yellen's speech to Congress, which hinted that the central bank was not in a rush to

    hike interest rates.

    U.S. stocks closed narrowly mixed on Wednesday, after struggling for direction amid firming

    oil prices and some debate over the tone of Yellen's congressional remarks. Gold is currently

    trading about 1% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 2.6% lower, and the U.S. dollar is

    currently trading about 0.7% higher at 8:00am Chicago time.

    Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Slip

    Slightly as Long Export Sales Disappoint

    Feb 26, 2015

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    The U.S. cash market was slightly weaker again today as long grain export sales continue todisappoint and buyers show little to no interest in this market despite it being the cheapest rice in

    the western hemisphere.In the meantime, the USDA reported that cumulative net export sales for

    the week ending on February 19 totaled 95,400 tons, which was 3% lower than last week but

    20% higher than the prior 4-week average.

    Increases were reported for the following destinations: 48,200 tons to Japan, 16,200 tons to

    Mexico, 8,100 tons to Saudi Arabia, 7,400 tons to Haiti, and 5,200 tons to Jordan.U.S. rice

    exporters shipped 93,700 tons, which was considerably higher than last week and the prior 4-

    week average. The primary destinations included 38,200 tons to Mexico, 27,500 tons to

    Colombia, 20,900 tons to Haiti, 2,200 tons to Jordan, and 1,500 tons to Canada.

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    Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough

    Rice Futures Fall Despite Strong Export

    Sales and Rallying Grains

    Feb 26, 2015

    Chicago rough rice futures for May delivery settled 11.5 cents per cwt (about $3 per ton) lower

    at $10.655 per cwt (about $235 per ton). The other grains closed higher as corn and wheat were

     both lifted out of negative territory by surging beans; Soybeans closed about 1.6% higher at

    $10.2650 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.7% higher at $5.0050 per bushel, and corn finished

    the day about 1.2% higher at $3.8850 per bushel.

    U.S. stocks traded in a narrow range on Thursday, with only the Nasdaq holding higher, as

    investors digested mixed economic data and declines in oil. Crude oil traded below $50 a barrel

    and Brent held near $61 a barrel on Thursday. he core Consumer Price Index, the key figure for

    the Fed that excludes more volatile food and energy prices, gained 0.2% in January. However,

    the broader index was down more than expected at 0.7%. Expectations were for a further sharp

    drop of 0.6% month on month, the biggest fall since 2008, driven by energy prices to leave the

    year-on-year rate in negative territory.

    Durable goods orders figures for January increased a more-than-expected 2.8%, after a 3.4%

    decline in the prior month. Initial claims for unemployment for the week of Feb. 15, came in at313,000. Analysts had expected the figure to increase moderately to 285,000 from 283,000 the

    week prior. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded down 7 points, or 0.04%, to 18,217. The

    S&P 500 traded down 3 points, or 0.15%, to 2,110, with energy the greatest decliner and

    information technology leading four sectors higher. The S&P 500 traded down 3 points, or

    0.15%, to 2,110. Gold is trading about 0.7% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 4.6% lower,

    and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 1.1% higher at about 1:00pm Chicago time.

    Wednesday, there were 2,098 contracts traded, up from 1,505 contracts traded on Tuesday. Open

    interest  –   the number of contracts outstanding  –   on Wednesday decreased by 59 contracts to

    9,121.

    Oryza Global Weather Outlook

    Feb 26, 2015

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    Rain is expected across the Yangtze Valley and eastern South China this week. 

    Light rain showers are expected across India and Pakistan this week.

    Weather is expected to remain dry in Bangladesh.

    In Indonesia, rain is expected western and southern Sumatra, Kalimantan, south western East

    Malaysia, Sulawesi, and Java this week.

    Rain showers are expected in central and northern Vietnam, and south eastern Thailand this

    week.

    A few showers are expected in south eastern Philippines this week.

    Rain is expected across the centre-south and north-east Brazil this week.

    Rain showers are expected to increase across the Argentina and Uruguay rice areas this week.

    Thailand to Auction One Million Tons of Rice

    on March 6, 2015

    Feb 26, 2015

    The Thai government is planning to auction one million tons of rice on March 6, 2015, according

    to Reuters.The government is expecting a good number of bidders in the upcoming auction and it

    is planning to sell rice based on whole-warehouse basis. It is inviting bids for the March 6

    auction on March 5, according to Bloomberg.Thailand sold about 500,000 tons of rice from the

    one million tons of rice auctioned on January 29, 2015.

    The government reiterated its plans to sell about 10 million tons of rice this year and about 7

    million tons next year.

    Indonesia's Plan to Replace Raskin Rice with

    E-Money Invites Criticism

    Feb 26, 2015

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    Indonesia's plan to replace subsidized rice

    for poor (Raskin) with E-Money has invitedcriticism from an official from the Bank of

    Indonesia, according to Reuters.The official

    noted that the plan would trigger inflation in

    the long run. He added that if the poor are

    given money, they would be tempted to buy

    rice from the open market instead of from

    the Bulog leading to price pressure in the

    market. Further, the government may lose its

    authority of controlling the price of rice, he

    said. The official also noted that the peoplemay also use the money for other purposes as well. He therefore noted that the plan would be

    fruitful if the government can control its use. He added that the e-money concept is better than

    giving cash as people tend to use e-money in a more conservatory manner.

    India Average Wholesale Rice Prices Decline

    Sharply in February 2015

    Feb 26, 2015

    India average wholesale rice prices, which increased in January 2015 after declining for two

    consecutive months have again declined in February 2015 due to increased supplies and

    declining export demand, according to official sources.Average monthly wholesale rice prices in

    India declined to around Rs.2,709.78 per quintal in February 2015, down about 4% from around

    Rs.2,836 per quintal in January 2015, and down about 2% from their year-ago levels of around

    Rs.2,761.2 per quintal.

    In terms of USD per ton, wholesale rice prices in India stand at around $438 per ton (using

    current exchange rates) in February 2015, down about 5% from around $461 per ton (usinghistorical exchange rates) in January 2015, and down about 1.5% from around $445 per ton

    (using historical exchange rates) in February 2014.

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    The government of India, in its second advance estimates for major crops, has estimated India's

    rice production for 2014-15 marketing year (October 2014 - September 2015) at around 103.04

    million tons, down about 3% from an estimated 106.65 million tons in 2013-14, according to a

    statement from the agriculture Ministry this month. The government of India is estimating 2014-

    15 (April 2014 - March 2015) rice exports, including basmati and non-basmati, at around 10.1

    million tons, down about 7% from around 10.9 million tons exported in 2013-14.

    USDA estimates India's 2014-15 (October - September) production at around 102 million tons,down about 4% from an estimated 106.54 million tons in 2013-14. It estimates India’s rice

    exports to decline about 16% y/y to around 8.7 million tons in 2015 from an estimated 10.3

    million tons in 2014.

    India Basmati Rice May Not Get Legal

    Protection Soon

    Feb 26, 2015

    The Intellectual Property Appellate Board (IPAB) has

    accepted the petition of Pakistan's Basmati Grower's

    Association (BGA) opposing the granting of Geographical

    Indications (GI) tag for India's basmati rice, a move that

    could delay India's basmati rice getting a legal

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     protection.The IPAB also considered the petition by farmers' body in the Central Indian State

    Madhya Pradesh, which sought inclusion of Madhya Pradesh in India's basmati application.

    In 2009, the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA)applied to the GI Registry in Chennai seeking GI protection for India's basmati rice. However,

     based on complaints from the Madhya Pradesh department of farmer welfare and agriculture

    development and some basmati exporters in the state, in December 2013, the GI Registry

    directed the APEDA to file an amended GI application to include Madhya Pradesh as a basmati

    growing area.Not convinced by the GI Registry's directive, the APEDA approached the

    Intellectual Property Appellate Board (IPAB) in February 2014 to decide over the inclusion of

    Madhya Pradesh in its Geographical Indications (GI) application. The APEDA has been very

    keen on not including other basmati growing states, other than those recognized by National

    Agricultural Research System under the agriculture and co-operative department, in its

    application as it views the GI status is critical in determining the genuine basmati rice cultivators.

    However, the farmers' body in Madhya Pradesh and the BGA also appealed against the APEDA

    with the IPAB.A GI label certifies the geographical origin of a product and confirms adherence

    to some production standards. It also prevents producers who aren't covered by the tag from

    using the same.

    Government of India to End Levy Rice

    Procurement from 2015-16 Marketing Season

    Feb 26, 2015

    The government of India has decided to end the levy rice procurement system starting from the 2015-16 (October -September) marketing season to ensure better prices tofarmers, local sources quoted a communication from theFood Ministry as saying. Under the levy rice procurementsystem, millers purchase paddy from farmers at minimum purchase price (MSP) and the state governments in turn procure milled rice from millers to meet their public

    distribution needs. Percentage of levy rice procured frommillers differs from state to state and used to be in the range of 30-75% of total procurement inrespective states. However, in August 2014, the government of India capped the levy rice procurement from millers at 25% for the 2014-15 procurement season.Usually about 5 milliontons of milled rice are procured annually through levy system from millers. The rice thus procured was directly handed over to public distribution system (PDS) operators. The millerswere also happy as they used their installed capacities optimally.However, the government of

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    India felt the need to abolish the levy rice procurement as there was no proper supervisionsystem and the millers were often not paying MSP to the farmers and were selling the better-quality grain in the open market. Therefore the Food Ministry opined that the actual purpose oflevy rice system to bridge the capacity gap with government procurement agencies is not being

    fulfilled.With the abolition of levy rice system, the government mandates the Food Corporation of India(FCI) and state procurement agencies to step up their procurement operations as well as entirelyadopt the custom milled rice (CMR) under which they would directly buy paddy from farmersand get it milled from registered millers. This would ensure payment of MSP to farmers andremove some irregularities in the levy rice procurement.Major rice producing states such asPunjab and Haryana had abolished the levy rice system two years back but it still exists in thestates of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and West Bengal.The decision is being hailed by some rice market veterans. “It is a step in right direction, finally

    moving away from controlled system to somewhat free markets. The rice millers will havefreedom to sell in the market, which should ultimately help farmers getting a better price,” a

    former chairman, Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP) was quoted assaying.The Indian government targets to procure 30.05 million tons of rice during the 2014-15Kharif Marketing Season (October 2014 - September 2015), down about 12% from last year'starget of around 34.3 million tons.Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged today. 

    5% Broken Rice Thailand 5% rice is quoted at around $405 - $415 per ton, about $45 per ton premium onVietnam 5% rice shown at around $360 - $370 per ton. India 5% rice is quoted at around $390 -$400 per ton, about $55 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice quoted at around $335 - $345 perton.

    25% Broken RiceThailand 25% rice is quoted at around $365 - $375 per ton, about $30 per ton premium onVietnam 25% rice shown at around $335- $345 per ton. India 25% rice is quoted at around $355- $365, about $50 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice quoted at around $305 - $315 per ton.

    Parboiled Rice Thailand parboiled rice is quoted at around $405 - $415 per ton. India parboiled rice is quoted ataround $385 - $395 per ton, on par with Pakistan parboiled rice quoted at around $385 - $395 perton.

    100% Broken Rice 

    Thailand broken rice, A1 Super, is quoted at around $320 - $330 per ton, about $15 per ton premium on Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $305 - $315 per ton.India's 100% broken rice is shown at around $280 - $290 per ton, about $5 per ton premium onPakistan broken sortexed rice quoted at around $275 - $285 per ton.