2012 Central Texas Education Profile

2012 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE

www.e3alliance.org

Made possible through the investment of:

http://www.e3alliance.org/

Agenda• Who is E3 Alliance?• Central Texas Economy• Educational Overview• Student Readiness & Success

E3 Alliance uses objective data and focused community collaboration to align our education systems

so all students succeed and lead Central Texas to economic prosperity

Mission

E3 Alliance is a Catalyst For Educational Change in Central Texas

E3 serves as the Central Texasregional P-16 Council

© E3 Alliance, 2012

What We Don’t Do• Run school programs• Provide direct services • Write curriculum• Make decisions that

school boards or leaders make for their districts

We are acatalyst for positive change

in education


• Improved Student Outcomes

• Economic Prosperity

E3 Alliance Model for Change

Using Information to Change Practice

Building Community Will for Change

Regional Strategic Plan


Education Research Centers• Authorized in 2006• UT Austin ERC• Linked data from TEA, THECB, & TWC

going back to early 1990s allow long-term student tracking

• Contains all 6.3M P-20 students in the state – can answer questions no district or institution ever could

• One of the first sources of student data along the entire pipeline in the country

• Brought over $11M in funded research to the state of Texas; $6.5M in queue


CENTRAL TEXAS ECONOMY


Central Texas Region

Central Texas Better than Texas and US during Great Recession

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts & US Labor Statistics

2001

Jun

2001

Dec

2002

Jun

2002

Dec

2003

Jun

2003

Dec

2004

Jun

2004

Dec

2005

Jun

2005

Dec

2006

Jun

2006

Dec

2007

Jun

2007

Dec

2008

Jun

2008

Dec

2009

Jun

2009

Dec

2010

Jun

2010

Dec

2011

Jun

2011

Aug

2011

Oct

2011

Dec

2012

Feb

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

CTX Unemp. Rate TX Unemp. Rate US Unemp. Rate

Une

mpl

oym

ent R

ate

Unemployment Rates for Central Texas, Texas and the USA

Higher Education = Higher Employment

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

14.9%

10.3%8.4%

4.7%

10.6%9.1%

7.4%

4.1%

US Texas

Une

mpl

oym

ent

Rate

Unemployment Rate for Persons Age 25 and Older, 2010

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: US Department of Labor and Census Bureau

Thriving CTX Economy Will Rely on Bachelor Degrees and STEM Education

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: Texas Workforce Commission

Educational Requirements

Number of Targeted

Occupations

TargetedOccupations in

STEM

Typical Salary Range

Work Experience in a Related Occupation

3 1 $32,000 - $57,000

On-the-Job Training 6 0 $33,000 - $67,000

Associates Degree or Vocational Certificate

6 3 $40,000 - $64,000

Bachelor Degree or Higher

28 16 $48,000 - $94,000

Top 43 Targeted Occupations in Texas, 2008-2018

EDUCATIONAL OVERVIEW

Texas Largest Growth by State

CTX ELLs

CTX Low Income Students

CTX Students

Texas Students

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%

139%

93%

40%

21%

Enrollment Growth Rate, 2001 to 2011

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data from TEA

Central Texas Student Population

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TEA’s AEIS data

Schools Students

35 Independent School Districts 443 299,738

15 Charter Organizations 37 6,978

Higher Education Institutions 8 127,203

Total = 433,919

Central Texas Schools and Student Enrollment, 2011-2012

Low Income Student Enrollment Doubled

CTX ELLs


CTX Students

Texas Students

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%

139%

93%

40%

21%



Half of Student Enrollment Low Income

2000-01

Non-Low Income,65%

Low Income,35%

2010-11

Non- Low Income,

51%Low Income,

49%

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data

Link

Percentage of Students Who are Low Income vs. Non-Low Income, Central Texas, 2000-01 and 2010-11

District Income Levels10 Years Ago


District Income LevelsLast Year


Large Increase in Hispanic Student Enrollment

Native,0%Asian,

3%

2000-01

White,52%

Hispanic,35%

Black,10%

Native,0%

Asian,4%

2010-11

White,40%

Hispanic,47%

Black,9%

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data

Link

Percentage of Student Population, by Ethnicity, Central Texas, 2000-01 and 2010-11

Largest Increase in Younger Student Enrollment

PK KG 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 -

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000 Growth in Student Enrollment,

Central Texas, 2000-01 and 2010-11

2010-112000-01

Grade Level

Num

ber o

f Stu

dent

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data © E3 Alliance, 2012

Central Texas ELL Enrollment is Growing 7 Times Faster than the Texas Student Enrollment

CTX ELLs


CTX Students

Texas Students

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160%

139%

93%

40%

21%


Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data from TEA © E3 Alliance, 2012

English Language Learners• ELLs are students who are learning English as

another language; once successful, they are excluded from the ELL group

• 831,904 ELL students in Texas (2010-11) – (Texas and Central Texas)– Texas has more ELLs than 28 states have students– 91% speak Spanish – Over 120 languages are spoken– Vast majority are US born

Source: TEA website, March 2012 © E3 Alliance, 2012

ELL Enrollment is Highest in Urban Center

2000-01 2010-11



Central Texas ELL Collaborative

Summary of FindingsDramatic increases in:1) # of Students2) Low Income Students3) Hispanic Students4) Youngest Students5) English Language Learners


EARLY CHILDHOOD SCHOOL READINESS

Kindergarten Readiness Collaborative


Half of Central Texas Students Are Not Ready for Kindergarten

Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2011

Ready, 50%

Not Ready, 50%

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of CTGSR assessment data © E3 Alliance, 2012

Pre-K Programs Associated with Higher Kindergarten Readiness

Source: CTGSR assessment data, un-weighted sample

Low Income Non-Low Income0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

19%

45%42%

63%

No Pre-K Any Pre-K

Perc

enta

ge o

f Ki

nder

gart

ener

s

Statistically Equal

Percentage of Students Meeting Kindergarten Readiness Components, Low Income vs. Non-Low Income, Fall 2011


75% of Eligible 4 year olds Attend Public Pre-K Programs

Source: 2010 and 2011 PEIMS enrollment data at UT ERC

Texas Central Texas0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

69%75%

31% 25%Enrollment in Pre-K Programs, Fall 2011

In Public Pre-K Not in Public Pre-K

Perc

enta

ge o

f Elig

ible

Chi

ldre

n


ELEMENTARY SCHOOL READINESS & SUCCESS

Achievement Gaps Appear to be ClosingGrade 5 Reading TAKS Scores,

Central Texas, 2003 through 2011

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 110%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Hispanic African AmericanWhite Low Income

Test Year

Perc

enta

ge W

ho M

et M

inim

um S

tand

ard

Grade 5 Math TAKS Scores, Central Texas, 2003 through 2011

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 110%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Hispanic African AmericanWhite Low Income

Test Year

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: TEA district-level TAKS data

But, Gaps are Persistent – at ALL GradesGrade 5 Reading TAKS Scores

Central Texas, 2003 Through 2011

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 112000

2100

2200

2300

2400

2500

Test Year

Aver

age

Read

ing

TAKS

Sco

re

Grade 5 Math TAKS ScoresCentral Texas, 2003 Through 2011

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 112000

2100

2200

2300

2400

2500

Test Year

Aver

age

Mat

h TA

KS S

core

© E3 Alliance, 2012Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TEA district-level TAKS data

Few Students are Retained in Grade 5

K 1 2 3 4 50%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

2.2%

2.7%

1.4%1.0%

0.5% 0.6%

Grade Level

Perc

enta

ge o

f Stu

dent

s Re

tain

ed

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS 2010 and 2011 enrollment data at UT ERC

Student Retention Rates by Grade Level,Central Texas, 2009-10 to 2010-11


ELL Students are Concentrated in Bilingual Programs

Pre-K K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 -

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000

ELL Student Enrollment by Language Program, by Grade Level, Fall 2011

ESL

BIL

Neither

Grade Level

Num

ber o

f ELL

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of 2010-11 PEIMS data from UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012

Special Education Services Lowest for ELLs in Bilingual Programs

Pre-K K 1 2 3 4 50%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%Special Education Participation by ELL Program, 2010-11

ESL

Bilingual

Neither

Non-ELL

Grade Level

Perc

enta

ge o

f En

glis

h La

ngua

ge L

earn

ers

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of 2010-11 PEIMS data from UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012

Summary of Findings• Low income children in PK

are equally K-Ready• Full-day PK => Higher

Enrollment• Achievement gaps persist • Grade 5 is NOT high-

retention grade• ELLs in bilingual programs

better off


MIDDLE SCHOOL READINESS & SUCCESS

Achievement Gaps• Persist• BUT, gaps are closing faster then in earlier

grades

• Helping middle school students reach college & career readiness

• 8 schools participated in 2011• All teachers receiving extensive training• Close to 1 in 4 students is a struggling reader


MS & HS Bright Spots, Reading/ELA

State Average

Low Growth AverageGrowth High Growth


HIGH SCHOOL READINESS & SUCCESS

HS Students Miss 2+ Weeks of School

Elementary School Middle School High School0

5

10

15

6.6 7.4

11.3

Aver

age

Day

s Ab

sent

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC

Student Absences by School Level, Central Texas, 2009-10


Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC

Central Texas Student Miss More School

9 10 11 120

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

10 10 101111 10

11

14

Texas

Central TX

Grade Level

Aver

age

Day

s Ab

sent

Student Absences by Grade Level, Central Texas vs. Texas, 2009-10


Grade 9 Retention is Dramatic

PK KG Gr1 Gr2 Gr3 Gr4 Gr5 Gr6 Gr7 Gr8 Gr9 Gr10 Gr11 Gr12 -

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000 Central Texas Students, by Grade Level, 2010-11

Stud

ent E

nrol

lmen

t

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of AEIS data

1 in 10 Freshmen areRetained Students


Retained Freshmen Missed 5 Weeks of School

Retained in 9th Promoted to 10th0

5

10

15

20

25

24

6

Absences for First Time 9th Graders in 2006-07

Status in 2007-2008 School Year

Aver

age

Num

ber o

f Abs

ence

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012

Only 17% of Retained Freshmen Passed TAKS Math

Retained in 9th Promoted to 10th0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% Percentage of Students Passing Math TAKS, Central Texas, 2006-07

2008 Student Status

Perc

enta

ge o

f Stu

dent

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and TAKS data at UT ERC

74%

17%

57 Percentage Point Difference


Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and TAKS data at UT ERC.

Retained Freshman 10x More Likely to Dropout

Retained in 9th Promoted to 10th0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

19%

1.7%

Percentage of Students Dropping Out in 9th Grade,Central Texas, 2010-11

Perc

enta

ge o

f Stu

dent

s D

ropp

ing

Out


10 Times Difference

Graduation Rates Improving Slowly

Class of 2007 Class of 2008 Class of 2009 Class of 20100

102030405060708090

100

76 80 79 8285 84 86

4-Year Rate

5-Year Rate

Perc

enta

ge o

f 9th

Gra

ders

Percentage of 9th Graders Graduating Within 4 & 5 Years,Central Texas, Classes of 2007 through 2010


Summary of Findings• 1 in 4 MS students is

struggling reader• E3 is working to identify

bright spot campuses• Poor attendance associated

with host of negative academic outcomes


POST-SECONDARYREADINESS & SUCCESS

Only 1 in 4 Freshmen College and Career Ready

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000 9th Graders in 2003-0418,200

Graduated on Time

11,700 (64%)On-Time Gradu-ate with RHSP or

DAP9,640 (53%)

RHSP/DAP On-Time Graduate & Took SAT or

ACT7,600 (42%)

RHSP/DAP Graduate & Col-

lege Ready in Math & ELA4,540 (25%)

Num

ber o

f Stu

dent

s

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TEA ad hoc data

2003-04 9th Grade Cohort Milestones to College Enrollment,Central Texas, Class of 2007


Gaps in College Readiness Exist

African American Hispanic White0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

52%59%

82%

42%

55%

80%

TAKS College and Career Readiness Rates of Texas Graduates, by Ethnicity, Central Texas, Class of 2011

English Language Arts (ELA)

Math

Perc

enta

ge o

f Gra

duat

es


African American & Hispanic Students Receive More Minimum Diplomas

African American Hispanic White0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

23% 18% 12%

70% 74%66%

7% 8%22%

Distinguished

Recommended

Minimum

Perc

enta

ge o

f Gra

duat

es

Types of Diplomas Received by Ethnicity, Central Texas, Class of 2010

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS data at UT ERC © E3 Alliance, 2012

Distinguished Diploma Shows Highest Degree Completion

CTX 2004 HS Graduates Enrolling in Higher Education Fall/Spring after Graduation

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Data at UT ERC

Minimum Recommended Distinguished0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

26%

61%

71%

2%

21%

45%

Enrolled IHE 6-Year Degree

High School Diploma

Perc

enta

ge o

f Gra

duat

es


Direct to College Enrollment = Higher Degree Attainment

2004 High School Graduates Direct Enrollment into Postsecondary

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

20.2%

35.6%

5.9%

19.7%

Non-Low Income

Low Income

Perc

enta

ge o

f Gra

duat

es

Earn

ing

Cred

entia

l

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of state data at UT ERC

Degree Attainment Within 6 Years, Central Texas, Class of 2004


Conclusions• Region’s demographics

changing dramatically• Performance improving and

gaps closing in later grades• Attendance key to success• Now time for qualitative

exploration of bright spots• Distinguished diploma =

most likely to graduate from college/university


Next Food For Thought

Attendance: Using Data to Drive Action & Policy

Late July


www.e3alliance.org/moreinfo

The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.

2012 Central Texas Education Profile

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