CCIM/NAIOP Industrial Market Review Presented by: Mark Byers, SIOR Executive Vice President EGS Commercial Real Estate
May 09, 2015
CCIM/NAIOP Industrial Market Review
Presented by:
Mark Byers, SIOR
Executive Vice President
EGS Commercial Real Estate
Birmingham Multi-Tenant Market
3rd Quarter Statistics
14,320,000 sf tracked
81% occupied
19% vacant
2,718,000 sf available
539,000 sf of sublease space available
Note: Square Feet (sf)
Birmingham Historical Occupancy
83.2%
86.2%
81.0%
83.1%
88.9%
85.3%
82.0%
85.2%87.2%
90.6%
95.5 %
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 3rd Q2009
% Occupancy
3rd Quarter Statistics
Birmingham Industrial Submarkets
Southern3.9 million sf82.7% occupied
Southwestern2.2 million sf63.3% occupied
Eastern1.3 million sf90.0% occupied
Central4.2 million sf84.3% occupied Oxmoor Valley
2.7 million sf83.8% occupied
Map of Southeast
Birmingham Occupancy vs. Other Southeast Markets
89.8%
81.0%
85.7%
88.1%
82.6%
91.1%
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
Atlanta Birmingham Charlotte Jacksonville Memphis Nashville
% Occupancy
3rd Quarter Statistics
Birmingham Vacancy vs. Other U.S. Cities
Market
Overall Vacancy
Rate Market
Overall Vacancy
Rate Market
Overall Vacancy
Rate Market
Overall Vacancy
Rate
Atlanta, GA 10.20% Fredericksburg, VA *** 24.50% Miami, FL 9.10% Richmond, VA *** 10.70%
Austin, TX *** 18.20% Ft. Lauderdale, FL 10% Milwaukee, WI *** 8.80% Roanoke, VA *** 15.10%
Baltimore, MD 12.90%Hampton Roads, VA*** 10.40% Minneapolis, MN 12.50% Rochester, NY *** 11.90%
Bellevue, WA 11.40% Hartford, CT 12.80% Nashville, TN *** 8.90% Salt Lake City, UT *** 7.40%
Bingham, NY *** 13.10% Houston, TX 9.70% Northern, NJ *** 7.40% San Antonio, TX *** 15.60%
Birmingham, AL *** 22.70% Indianapolis, IN *** 10.50% Northern, VA 15.10% San Diego, CA 10.50%
Boston, MA 15.80% Inland Empire, CA 13.50% Oakland, CA 8.90% San Francisco Peninsula, CA 8.40%
Central, NJ *** 10.10% Jacksonville, FL 11.90% Orange County, CA 7.10% Seattle, WA 9%
Charlotte, NC *** 14.30% Kansas City, MO *** 7.10% Orlando, FL 13.60% Silicon Valley, CA 13.90%
Chicago, IL 11.40% Lakeland, FL 6.70%PA I-871/I-78 Distribution Corridor 15.20% St. Louis, MO *** 8.50%
Cleveland, OH *** 7.90% Long Island, NY 10.10% Palm Beach, FL 9.70% St. Petersburg/Clearwater, FL 6.80%
Columbus, OH *** 13.80% Los Angeles, CA 5.10% Philadelphia, PA 8.70% Stockton/Tracy, CA 16%
Contra Costa, CA 15.80% Los Angeles-North, CA 4.40% Phoenix, AZ 15.50% Suburban MD *** 13.60%
Dallas/Ft. Worth, TX 12.40%Los Angeles-South, CA 5.60% Pittsburgh, PA *** 10.10% Syracuse, NY *** 14.90%
Denver, CO 7.30% Louisville, KY *** 9.20% Portland, OR 9% Tampa, FL 8.80%
Detroit, MI *** 18.90% Memphis, TN *** 17.40% Raleigh/Durham, NC *** 12.80% Tucson, AZ *** 10.70%
SOURCE: Cushman & Wakefield Research TOTAL -ALL MARKETS 10.60%
TOTAL - C&W MARKETS 10.30%
A Few Local Successes
Shelby West Corporate Park Owned by
Shelby County
Daniel Payne Industrial Park Owned by
City of Birmingham
Shelby West Corporate Park
Fresenius Medical Care – 123,000 sf build-to-suit currently under construction
Various Land Sales
Shelby West Commerce Center – 154,000 sf speculative building completed 1st quarter
Daniel Payne Industrial Park
Old Dominion Freight Lines 55,000 sf / 100 doors Truck Terminal Under construction
M & A Supply Company 70,000 sf Office/Warehouse 2nd Quarter Delivery
Daniel Payne Industrial Park
Conklin Metal Industries 50,000 sf Office/Warehouse 2nd Quarter Delivery
Flowers Foods 12,000 sf Office/Shipping Depot Under construction
Birmingham Industrial Highlights
Brice Building purchase of 63,000 sf building in the Oxmoor Valley submarket
Vital Records lease of 52,000 sf at Shelby Commerce Park in the Southern submarket
Kaman Industrial Technologies lease of 31,350 sf at Parkwest Corporate Center in the Southwestern submarket
InMark lease of 23,250 sf at Avondale Commerce park in the Central submarket
Pratt Industries lease renewal of 80,500 sf at Perimeter Industrial Park in the Southwestern submarket
Specialty Foundry Products purchase of 58,000 sf building in Southwestern submarket
Alabama Industrial Highlights
Mando America Corporation’s 400,000 sf
expansion in Opelika.
Mercedes’ 225,000 sf expansion in Vance.
Royal Technologies’ construction of 125,000 sf in
Cullman.
Austal USA’s construction of 350,000 sf in Mobile.
Cash Acme’s 175,000 sf expansion in Cullman.
Intermodal Activity
Norfolk Southern $112 million investment 316 acres 8,000 direct and indirect jobs 165,000 containers per year 1440 container parks
planned
CSX $6 million
investment/upgrades 25 acres 300 container parks
The Future of Industrial Construction
700,000 sf 1st generation space on the market today
3.25 million sf of industrial space available
Downward pressure on rates
Limited financing for owner-occupants and for speculative construction
No new speculative buildings
Built-to-Suit will require strong credit and long term leases
Market Forecast
Leasing Activity – At a record low and will not improve until employment, consumer confidence and consumer spending increases.
Construction Activity – Basically has ceased nationwide for speculative industrial product. The same is true for Alabama. Local developers will not begin construction on planned projects until significant absorption of existing product takes place.
Sales – Until credit markets improve and demand increases, industrial building sales will continue to remain flat.
Opportunity – Companies should review their real portfolios because opportunities may exist to reduce real estate related occupancy costs.
CCIM/NAIOP Industrial Market Report
Presented by:
Mark Byers, SIOR
Executive Vice President
EGS Commercial Real Estate