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DEMAND AND SUPPLY ANALYSIS
By:
Prof. Vani Khosla
If you cant pay for a thing, dont buy it.
If you cant get paid for it, dont sell it.
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MEANING OF DEMAND
Demand signifies the ability or the willingness to buy a particular
commodity at a given point of time or at a specified price.
DEMAND
=
DESIRE
+
ABILITY TO PAY+
WILL TO SPEND
Demand for commodity implies on three things:
Demand is the desire or want backed up by
money.
Demand is always related to price & time.
Demand may be viewed ex-ante or ex-post.
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Demand
Consumers
&
Producers
Goods
Demand
Durable
&
Non-Durable
Goods
Demand
Derived
&Autonomous
Demand
Companyor Firm
&
Industry
Demand
Short -Run
&
Long-Run
Demand
CLASSIFICATION OF DEMAND
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Individual Demand
ID....refers to the demand for a product from the individualpersons point of view. It is single consuming entitys demand.
Market Demand
MD.refers to the total demand of all the buyers, taken
together. It is aggregating all individual buyers demand
function in the market.
Two Levels of Consumer Demand
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Factors Influencing Individual Demand
Price of the Product.
Income of the Consumers:
Normal Goods, and
Inferior Goods.
Tastes & Preferences of the Consumers.
Prices of Other Products:
Substitute Goods, and
Complementary Goods.
Consumers Expectations.
Advertisement Effect.
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Factors Influencing Market Demand
Price of the Product.
Distribution of Income & Wealth in the Community.
Communitys Common Tastes & Preferences.
General Standards of Living & their Spending Habits.
Future Expectations.
Inventions & Innovations.
Fashions.
Climate or Weather Conditions.
Customs.
Advertisement & Sales Propaganda.
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LAW OF DEMAND
It is the functional relationship between the quantity demanded of a
particular product and its price in the market. The equation can be
written as:
Statement of the Law:
According to Alfred Marshall
The law of demand states that, .. The amount demanded increases
with a fall in prices & diminishes with a rise in prices.
Qdx = f (Px)
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Assumptions of the Law
Law of Demand based on fundamental assumption ceteris paribus are as
follows:
No change in Consumers Income.
No change in Consumers Tastes & Preferences.
No change in the Prices of related Goods.
No change in Fashions.
No change in Government Policy. No change in the Distribution of Income & Wealth.
No change in Weather Conditions.
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Cont.
DEMAND SCHEDULE ::
A Tabular Statement of price or quantity
relationship is called the demand schedule.
It shows the quantity of goods that a consumerwould be willing and able to buy at specific prices
under the existing circumstances.
DEMAND CURVE ::
A Graphical presentation of a demand schedule isknown as demand curve.
It expresses the relation between the price charged
for a product & the quantity demanded , holding
constant the effects of all other variables.
IndividualDemand Schedule
and Curve.
Market Demand
Schedule and
Curve.
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Price of
Oranges
Quantity
Demanded(Rs. Per kg.) (Qty. in kg.)
30 2
25 4
20 6
15 10
10 16
Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
e
D
D
Individual Demand Schedule
& Demand Curve
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Price
Quantity
Demanded
Market
demand
(Rs.) A B C
4 1 1 3 5
3 2 3 5 10
2 3 5 7 15
1 5 9 10 24
D
D
DD is the Market
Demand
Curve , which is the
summation of all
individual demand
curves.
Market Demand Schedule
& Demand Curve
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1. Operation of the law of Diminishing
Marginal Utility
2. Income Effect
3. Substitution Effect
4. Change of Number of Consumers
5. Change of Number of Uses
Why does the Demand Curve Slope
Downwards from Left to Right ??
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Demand
P
r
i
c
e
D
Giffen Goods.
Speculation. Articles of snob appeal
(Expensive Commodities).
Consumers psychological
bias or illusion. Demonstration Effect.
Goods with no substitutes.
Exceptions to the Law Of Demand
(Upward Sloping Demand Curve)
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Elasticity of Demand = % age Change in Quantity Demanded% age Change in Determinant of Demand
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Alfred Marshall defines::
The Elasticity of Demand in a market is .
Great or small according to the amount demanded... Increases much
or little for a given fall in price, and diminishes much or little for a given
rise in price.
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ELASTICITY
OFDEMAND
Price
Elasticity of
Demand
Cross
Elasticity of
Demand
Income
Elasticity of
Demand
KINDS OF ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
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Price Elasticity of Demand = Proportionate Change in Quantity Demanded
Proportionate Change in Price
PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Price elasticity of demand is a measure used in economics to show the
responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a good or service to a change in
its price.
Types of Price Elasticity of Demand::
Perfectly Elastic Demand.
Perfectly Inelastic Demand.
Unitary Elastic Demand.
Relatively Elastic Demand.
Relatively Inelastic Demand
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Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
e
Q Q
DD
When the demand
for a product changes
increases or
decreases even when
there is no change in
price, it is
known asperfect elastic
demand.
e =
1. Perfectly Elastic demand
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Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
e
D
P
P
D
e = 0When a change in
price how so ever
large or small, there
is no change in
quantity demanded,
it is
known asperfect inelastic
demand.
2. Perfectly Inelastic demand
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Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
e P
P
D
e = 1
When the
proportionate
change in demand
is equal to
proportionate
changes in price, it
isknown as
unitary elastic
demand.Q Q
D
3. Unitary Elastic demand
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Quantity Demanded
Pr
i
c
eP
P
D
e > 1
When the
proportionate change
in demand is more
than the proportionate
changes in price, it is
known as
relatively elasticdemand.
Q Q
D
4. Relatively Elastic demand
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Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
e
P
P
D
e < 1
When the
proportionate change
in demand is less than
the proportionate
changes in price, it is
known as
relatively inelasticdemand.
Q Q
D
5. Relatively Inelastic demand
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Income Elasticity of Demand = Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded
Percentage Change in Income
INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Income elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded of a
good responds to a change in consumers income.
Types of Income Elasticity of Demand::
Unitary Income Elasticity.
Income Elas. Greater than Unity.
Income Elas. Less than Unity.
Zero Income Elasticity.
Negative Income Elasticity.
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Quantity Demanded
I
n
c
o
m
e
Y
Y
e = 1
Q Q
D
D
When an increase in
income brings about a
proportionate increasein quantity demanded,
then it is
known as
unitary incomeelasticity.
1. Unitary Income Elasticity
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Quantity Demanded
I
n
c
o
m
e
Y
Y
e > 1
Q Q
D
D
When an increase in
income brings about a
more than proportionate
increase in quantity
demanded, it is
known as
income elasticity greaterthan unity.
2. Income Elasticity Greater than Unity
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Quantity Demanded
I
n
c
o
m
e
Y
Y
e < 1
Q Q
D
D
When income
increases .. quantity
demanded alsoincreases but less than
proportionately, it is
known as
income elasticity lessthan unity.
3. Income Elasticity Less than Unity
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Quantity Demanded
I
n
c
o
m
e
D
Y
Y
D
e = 0When quantity
demanded remains
the sameeventhough income
increases, it is
known as
zero income elasticity.
4. Zero Income Elasticity
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Quantity Demanded
Y
Y
D
e < 0
Q Q
D
I
n
c
o
m
e
When there is
increase in
incomethenquantity demanded
falls, it is
known as
negative elastic
demand.
5. Negative Elastic demand
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The cross elasticity of demand or cross-price elasticity of demand
measures the responsiveness of the demand for a commodity to a given
change in the price of some another commodity.
Cross Elasticity of Demand =
Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded of X
Percentage Change in Price of Y
CROSS ELASTICITY OF DEMAND
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Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
eP
P
e > 0
Q Q
D
D
A substitute good is a
good with a positive cross
elasticity of demand. This
means a good's demand isincreased when the price
of another good is
increased.
For example: Tea and
Coffee
1. Substitute Goods
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Quantity Demanded
P
P
D
e < 0
Q Q
D
P
r
i
c
e
A complementary good is a
good with a negative cross
elasticity of demand. This
means a good's demand is
increased when the price of
another good is decreased.
For example:Bread and Butter.
2. Complementary Goods
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Quantity Demanded
P
r
i
c
e
D
P
P
D
e = 0The unrelated goodshave zero cross elasticity
of demand. This means a
change in the price of
one good has no effect
on the demand of
another good.
For example:
Razor Blade & Petrol
3. Unrelated Goods
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CASE STUDY DISCUSSION
(Pricing Game by a Game Marketer)
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SUPPLY
ANALYSIS
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MEANING OF SUPPLY
The supply of a commodity means the
amount of that commodity which
producers are able and willingness to offer
for sale at a given prices in specific period
of time.
The supply of a product can be
mathematically expressed as:
Sx = f (Px,Py,Pi,T,Mi,G,N etc.)
which includes Total supply
of product x, Price of product x, Price of
related products, Prices of inputs, Change
in technology, Time periods etc.
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DETERMINANTS OF SUPPLY
Price of the Product (Own Price).
Price of Related Products.
Cost of Factors of Production.
Change in Technology.
Time Periods.
Government Policy.
The Natural Factors.
Self Consumption.
Sellers Expectations.
Motives of Producer.
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LAW OF SUPPLY
The Law of Supply simply expresses the relation between the quantity
of product supplied & its price and other things remaining constant.
According to S.E.Thomas,a rise in price tends to increase supply and a
fall in price tends to reduce it.
Sx = f (Px)
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Assumptions of Law of Supply
Cost of production is unchanged.
Fixed scale of production.
Government policies are unchanged. No change in the technique of production.
No speculation.
No change in transportation cost.
The prices of all other goods remains constant.
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INDIVIDUAL SUPPLY SCHEDULE
& SUPPLY CURVE
Price of
Product (Rs.)
Quantity
Supplied
(units)10 100
15 200
20 270
25 350
30 450
40 600
P
R
I
C
E
QTY. SUPPLIED
S
S
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Price
Quantity
Supplied
Market
Supply
(Rs.) A B C
5 10 20 30 60
15 20 40 50 110
25 30 50 80 160
35 50 90 100 240
S
S
SS is the Market
Supply Curve.
P
R
I
C
E
QTY. SUPPLIED
MARKET SUPPLY SCHEDULE
& SUPPLY CURVE
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EXCEPTIONS TO THE LAW OF SUPPLY
Labor Supply
Immediate Need
For Cash
Hoardings
Rare Goods
Self
Consumption
Future
Expectation
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ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY
Elasticity of supply is the responsiveness of producers to changes in
the price of their goods or services .
Elasticity is measured as the percent change in quantity divided by
the percent change in price.
Elasticity of Supply = %age Change in Quantity Supplied%age Change in Price
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Perfectly Elastic
Supply
Perfectly InelasticSupply
Unitary Elastic
Supply
Relatively Elastic
Supply
Relatively InelasticSupply
Types of Elasticity of Supply
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Quantity Supplied
P
r
i
c
e
Q Q
SS
When the supply
for a product changes
increases ordecreases even when
there is no change in
price, it is
known asperfectly elastic
supply.
1. Perfectly Elastic Supply
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Quantity Supplied
P
r
i
c
e
S
P
P
SWhen there is a
heavy change in price
level, but there isno change in quantity
supplied, it is
known as
perfectly inelasticsupply.
2. Perfectly Inelastic Supply
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Quantity Supplied
P
r
i
c
e P
P
S
When the
proportionate change
in supply is exactlyequal to
proportionate
changes in price, it is
known asunitary elastic supply.
Q Q
S
3. Unitary Elastic Supply
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Quantity Supplied
P
r
i
c
e
P
P
S
When the
proportionate
change in supply is
greater than the
proportionate
changes in price, it is
known as
relatively elasticsupply.
Q Q
S
4. Relatively Elastic Supply
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Quantity Supplied
P
r
i
c
eP
P
S
When the
proportionate change
in supply is less thanthe proportionate
changes in price, it is
known as
relatively inelasticsupply.
Q Q
S
5. Relatively Inelastic Supply
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MARKET
EQUILIBRIUM
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MEANING OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
Market equilibrium is that state in which
the quantity that firms want to supply
equals the quantity that consumers want
to buy.
According to Marshall,
Just As the two blades of a
pair of scissors are required t cut the cloth, so
also the two blades of demand & supply are
required to determined the price in the
market.
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Market for Denim PantsPrice of Denim Pants
Quantity Demanded
Quantity Supplied
0 8 050 7 1
100 6 2150 5 3200
4
4
250 3 5300 2 6350 1 7400 0 8
Example of Market Equilibrium
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E
Market Equilibrium in Diagrammatical Form
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At prices abovetheequilibrium price, quantity
supplied is greater than quantity
demanded, resulting in atemporary surplus.
At prices below the equilibriumprice, consumers desire to buy
more products than are available,creating a temporary shortage.
Market Disequilibrium
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Quantity
Price
P
Q0 2 4 6 8
100
200
300
400S
Market Disequilibrium in Diagrammatical Form
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GOLD:
The Supply-DemandEquilibrium
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Recent News..Gold
Why gold had been going through a phenomenal bull run for the past
11 years.
Gold went up when the market went up. It went further up when the
market went down - and it's still moving closer to the top.
What are the logical reasons behind this increasing valuation?
Gold demand is rising faster than its supply.
Central banks around the world are hoarding gold and are buying more. Inflationary Pressures and Fear
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The Demand and Supply Equation In the commodities market, traders buy and sell
commodities based on their expectation aboutfuture supply and demand equations, thus pushingthe price higher or lower.
There are two primary ways in which Gold is supplied: Mines and Recycled Gold.
Recycled gold supply will depend on gold priceexpectation, cost and availability.
The three primary drivers of gold demand areJewellery, manufacturing technology products suchas semiconductors, and Investments.
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Why central banks hold gold All Central banks need some reserve assets that are readily available to
them and are buying more gold in order to reduce their dependency on the
dollar or euro.
Gold is liquid and not correlated closely to any other asset class, not even to
its own supply demand equation.
In India,
The gold holding is 557.5 tonnes which is least among the major
economies.
RBI is known to buy International Monetary Fund gold and considers
investment in gold as a safe investment.
But India is the largest country with a gold demand of 933.4 tonnes,
which is a quite significant figure considering fact that fluctuating and
increasing gold prices and rupee weakening against U.S. dollar.
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Inflationary Pressures and Fear Though no one says gold prices are going up only because of inflation, it
does play an indirect role in the price rise.
With most central banks around the world engaged in monetary easing,inflationary fears and the expectation of weakening local currency pushes
investors and banks to hedge their position using gold.
Inflation or deflation, as long as economic concerns and fear remain,
investment demand for gold will remain steady.
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Current Situation of India in Gold Market
In 2011, India and China accounted for 61% of total demand of gold.
When a country's economy grows..the more the growth, the more thedemand for gold will be. If these economies slow down, then the demand
for gold will automatically dive.
But there is one more problem, the price rise.people are not able toafford that much money. The strength of local currency can also pay amajor role here.
For example, the Indian currency weakened steadily against the dollarthis year. While the price of gold dropped around 10% in the globalmarket this year, the price of gold kept moving higher in India due to thecountry's weak local currency.
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Todays Gold Rate in India:
10 gram gold Rate in
India = Rs.32320.00
24 carat gold per gram
Rate in India =
Rs.3232.00
22 carat gold per gram
Rate in India =Rs.3022.00
(Updated On 10-09-2012)
Cont..