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2. Demand and Supply Analysis

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    DEMAND AND SUPPLY ANALYSIS

    By:

    Prof. Vani Khosla

    If you cant pay for a thing, dont buy it.

    If you cant get paid for it, dont sell it.

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    MEANING OF DEMAND

    Demand signifies the ability or the willingness to buy a particular

    commodity at a given point of time or at a specified price.

    DEMAND

    =

    DESIRE

    +

    ABILITY TO PAY+

    WILL TO SPEND

    Demand for commodity implies on three things:

    Demand is the desire or want backed up by

    money.

    Demand is always related to price & time.

    Demand may be viewed ex-ante or ex-post.

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    Demand

    Consumers

    &

    Producers

    Goods

    Demand

    Durable

    &

    Non-Durable

    Goods

    Demand

    Derived

    &Autonomous

    Demand

    Companyor Firm

    &

    Industry

    Demand

    Short -Run

    &

    Long-Run

    Demand

    CLASSIFICATION OF DEMAND

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    Individual Demand

    ID....refers to the demand for a product from the individualpersons point of view. It is single consuming entitys demand.

    Market Demand

    MD.refers to the total demand of all the buyers, taken

    together. It is aggregating all individual buyers demand

    function in the market.

    Two Levels of Consumer Demand

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    Factors Influencing Individual Demand

    Price of the Product.

    Income of the Consumers:

    Normal Goods, and

    Inferior Goods.

    Tastes & Preferences of the Consumers.

    Prices of Other Products:

    Substitute Goods, and

    Complementary Goods.

    Consumers Expectations.

    Advertisement Effect.

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    Factors Influencing Market Demand

    Price of the Product.

    Distribution of Income & Wealth in the Community.

    Communitys Common Tastes & Preferences.

    General Standards of Living & their Spending Habits.

    Future Expectations.

    Inventions & Innovations.

    Fashions.

    Climate or Weather Conditions.

    Customs.

    Advertisement & Sales Propaganda.

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    LAW OF DEMAND

    It is the functional relationship between the quantity demanded of a

    particular product and its price in the market. The equation can be

    written as:

    Statement of the Law:

    According to Alfred Marshall

    The law of demand states that, .. The amount demanded increases

    with a fall in prices & diminishes with a rise in prices.

    Qdx = f (Px)

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    Assumptions of the Law

    Law of Demand based on fundamental assumption ceteris paribus are as

    follows:

    No change in Consumers Income.

    No change in Consumers Tastes & Preferences.

    No change in the Prices of related Goods.

    No change in Fashions.

    No change in Government Policy. No change in the Distribution of Income & Wealth.

    No change in Weather Conditions.

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    Cont.

    DEMAND SCHEDULE ::

    A Tabular Statement of price or quantity

    relationship is called the demand schedule.

    It shows the quantity of goods that a consumerwould be willing and able to buy at specific prices

    under the existing circumstances.

    DEMAND CURVE ::

    A Graphical presentation of a demand schedule isknown as demand curve.

    It expresses the relation between the price charged

    for a product & the quantity demanded , holding

    constant the effects of all other variables.

    IndividualDemand Schedule

    and Curve.

    Market Demand

    Schedule and

    Curve.

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    Price of

    Oranges

    Quantity

    Demanded(Rs. Per kg.) (Qty. in kg.)

    30 2

    25 4

    20 6

    15 10

    10 16

    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    D

    D

    Individual Demand Schedule

    & Demand Curve

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    Price

    Quantity

    Demanded

    Market

    demand

    (Rs.) A B C

    4 1 1 3 5

    3 2 3 5 10

    2 3 5 7 15

    1 5 9 10 24

    D

    D

    DD is the Market

    Demand

    Curve , which is the

    summation of all

    individual demand

    curves.

    Market Demand Schedule

    & Demand Curve

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    1. Operation of the law of Diminishing

    Marginal Utility

    2. Income Effect

    3. Substitution Effect

    4. Change of Number of Consumers

    5. Change of Number of Uses

    Why does the Demand Curve Slope

    Downwards from Left to Right ??

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    Demand

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    D

    Giffen Goods.

    Speculation. Articles of snob appeal

    (Expensive Commodities).

    Consumers psychological

    bias or illusion. Demonstration Effect.

    Goods with no substitutes.

    Exceptions to the Law Of Demand

    (Upward Sloping Demand Curve)

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    Elasticity of Demand = % age Change in Quantity Demanded% age Change in Determinant of Demand

    ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Alfred Marshall defines::

    The Elasticity of Demand in a market is .

    Great or small according to the amount demanded... Increases much

    or little for a given fall in price, and diminishes much or little for a given

    rise in price.

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    ELASTICITY

    OFDEMAND

    Price

    Elasticity of

    Demand

    Cross

    Elasticity of

    Demand

    Income

    Elasticity of

    Demand

    KINDS OF ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

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    Price Elasticity of Demand = Proportionate Change in Quantity Demanded

    Proportionate Change in Price

    PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Price elasticity of demand is a measure used in economics to show the

    responsiveness of the quantity demanded of a good or service to a change in

    its price.

    Types of Price Elasticity of Demand::

    Perfectly Elastic Demand.

    Perfectly Inelastic Demand.

    Unitary Elastic Demand.

    Relatively Elastic Demand.

    Relatively Inelastic Demand

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    Q Q

    DD

    When the demand

    for a product changes

    increases or

    decreases even when

    there is no change in

    price, it is

    known asperfect elastic

    demand.

    e =

    1. Perfectly Elastic demand

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    D

    P

    P

    D

    e = 0When a change in

    price how so ever

    large or small, there

    is no change in

    quantity demanded,

    it is

    known asperfect inelastic

    demand.

    2. Perfectly Inelastic demand

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e P

    P

    D

    e = 1

    When the

    proportionate

    change in demand

    is equal to

    proportionate

    changes in price, it

    isknown as

    unitary elastic

    demand.Q Q

    D

    3. Unitary Elastic demand

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    Quantity Demanded

    Pr

    i

    c

    eP

    P

    D

    e > 1

    When the

    proportionate change

    in demand is more

    than the proportionate

    changes in price, it is

    known as

    relatively elasticdemand.

    Q Q

    D

    4. Relatively Elastic demand

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    P

    P

    D

    e < 1

    When the

    proportionate change

    in demand is less than

    the proportionate

    changes in price, it is

    known as

    relatively inelasticdemand.

    Q Q

    D

    5. Relatively Inelastic demand

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    Income Elasticity of Demand = Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded

    Percentage Change in Income

    INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Income elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded of a

    good responds to a change in consumers income.

    Types of Income Elasticity of Demand::

    Unitary Income Elasticity.

    Income Elas. Greater than Unity.

    Income Elas. Less than Unity.

    Zero Income Elasticity.

    Negative Income Elasticity.

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    Quantity Demanded

    I

    n

    c

    o

    m

    e

    Y

    Y

    e = 1

    Q Q

    D

    D

    When an increase in

    income brings about a

    proportionate increasein quantity demanded,

    then it is

    known as

    unitary incomeelasticity.

    1. Unitary Income Elasticity

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    Quantity Demanded

    I

    n

    c

    o

    m

    e

    Y

    Y

    e > 1

    Q Q

    D

    D

    When an increase in

    income brings about a

    more than proportionate

    increase in quantity

    demanded, it is

    known as

    income elasticity greaterthan unity.

    2. Income Elasticity Greater than Unity

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    Quantity Demanded

    I

    n

    c

    o

    m

    e

    Y

    Y

    e < 1

    Q Q

    D

    D

    When income

    increases .. quantity

    demanded alsoincreases but less than

    proportionately, it is

    known as

    income elasticity lessthan unity.

    3. Income Elasticity Less than Unity

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    Quantity Demanded

    I

    n

    c

    o

    m

    e

    D

    Y

    Y

    D

    e = 0When quantity

    demanded remains

    the sameeventhough income

    increases, it is

    known as

    zero income elasticity.

    4. Zero Income Elasticity

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    Quantity Demanded

    Y

    Y

    D

    e < 0

    Q Q

    D

    I

    n

    c

    o

    m

    e

    When there is

    increase in

    incomethenquantity demanded

    falls, it is

    known as

    negative elastic

    demand.

    5. Negative Elastic demand

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    The cross elasticity of demand or cross-price elasticity of demand

    measures the responsiveness of the demand for a commodity to a given

    change in the price of some another commodity.

    Cross Elasticity of Demand =

    Percentage Change in Quantity Demanded of X

    Percentage Change in Price of Y

    CROSS ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    eP

    P

    e > 0

    Q Q

    D

    D

    A substitute good is a

    good with a positive cross

    elasticity of demand. This

    means a good's demand isincreased when the price

    of another good is

    increased.

    For example: Tea and

    Coffee

    1. Substitute Goods

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    P

    D

    e < 0

    Q Q

    D

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    A complementary good is a

    good with a negative cross

    elasticity of demand. This

    means a good's demand is

    increased when the price of

    another good is decreased.

    For example:Bread and Butter.

    2. Complementary Goods

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    Quantity Demanded

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    D

    P

    P

    D

    e = 0The unrelated goodshave zero cross elasticity

    of demand. This means a

    change in the price of

    one good has no effect

    on the demand of

    another good.

    For example:

    Razor Blade & Petrol

    3. Unrelated Goods

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    CASE STUDY DISCUSSION

    (Pricing Game by a Game Marketer)

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    SUPPLY

    ANALYSIS

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    MEANING OF SUPPLY

    The supply of a commodity means the

    amount of that commodity which

    producers are able and willingness to offer

    for sale at a given prices in specific period

    of time.

    The supply of a product can be

    mathematically expressed as:

    Sx = f (Px,Py,Pi,T,Mi,G,N etc.)

    which includes Total supply

    of product x, Price of product x, Price of

    related products, Prices of inputs, Change

    in technology, Time periods etc.

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    DETERMINANTS OF SUPPLY

    Price of the Product (Own Price).

    Price of Related Products.

    Cost of Factors of Production.

    Change in Technology.

    Time Periods.

    Government Policy.

    The Natural Factors.

    Self Consumption.

    Sellers Expectations.

    Motives of Producer.

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    LAW OF SUPPLY

    The Law of Supply simply expresses the relation between the quantity

    of product supplied & its price and other things remaining constant.

    According to S.E.Thomas,a rise in price tends to increase supply and a

    fall in price tends to reduce it.

    Sx = f (Px)

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    Assumptions of Law of Supply

    Cost of production is unchanged.

    Fixed scale of production.

    Government policies are unchanged. No change in the technique of production.

    No speculation.

    No change in transportation cost.

    The prices of all other goods remains constant.

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    INDIVIDUAL SUPPLY SCHEDULE

    & SUPPLY CURVE

    Price of

    Product (Rs.)

    Quantity

    Supplied

    (units)10 100

    15 200

    20 270

    25 350

    30 450

    40 600

    P

    R

    I

    C

    E

    QTY. SUPPLIED

    S

    S

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    Price

    Quantity

    Supplied

    Market

    Supply

    (Rs.) A B C

    5 10 20 30 60

    15 20 40 50 110

    25 30 50 80 160

    35 50 90 100 240

    S

    S

    SS is the Market

    Supply Curve.

    P

    R

    I

    C

    E

    QTY. SUPPLIED

    MARKET SUPPLY SCHEDULE

    & SUPPLY CURVE

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    EXCEPTIONS TO THE LAW OF SUPPLY

    Labor Supply

    Immediate Need

    For Cash

    Hoardings

    Rare Goods

    Self

    Consumption

    Future

    Expectation

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    ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY

    Elasticity of supply is the responsiveness of producers to changes in

    the price of their goods or services .

    Elasticity is measured as the percent change in quantity divided by

    the percent change in price.

    Elasticity of Supply = %age Change in Quantity Supplied%age Change in Price

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    Perfectly Elastic

    Supply

    Perfectly InelasticSupply

    Unitary Elastic

    Supply

    Relatively Elastic

    Supply

    Relatively InelasticSupply

    Types of Elasticity of Supply

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    Quantity Supplied

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    Q Q

    SS

    When the supply

    for a product changes

    increases ordecreases even when

    there is no change in

    price, it is

    known asperfectly elastic

    supply.

    1. Perfectly Elastic Supply

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    Quantity Supplied

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    S

    P

    P

    SWhen there is a

    heavy change in price

    level, but there isno change in quantity

    supplied, it is

    known as

    perfectly inelasticsupply.

    2. Perfectly Inelastic Supply

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    Quantity Supplied

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e P

    P

    S

    When the

    proportionate change

    in supply is exactlyequal to

    proportionate

    changes in price, it is

    known asunitary elastic supply.

    Q Q

    S

    3. Unitary Elastic Supply

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    Quantity Supplied

    P

    r

    i

    c

    e

    P

    P

    S

    When the

    proportionate

    change in supply is

    greater than the

    proportionate

    changes in price, it is

    known as

    relatively elasticsupply.

    Q Q

    S

    4. Relatively Elastic Supply

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    Quantity Supplied

    P

    r

    i

    c

    eP

    P

    S

    When the

    proportionate change

    in supply is less thanthe proportionate

    changes in price, it is

    known as

    relatively inelasticsupply.

    Q Q

    S

    5. Relatively Inelastic Supply

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    MARKET

    EQUILIBRIUM

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    MEANING OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    Market equilibrium is that state in which

    the quantity that firms want to supply

    equals the quantity that consumers want

    to buy.

    According to Marshall,

    Just As the two blades of a

    pair of scissors are required t cut the cloth, so

    also the two blades of demand & supply are

    required to determined the price in the

    market.

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    Market for Denim PantsPrice of Denim Pants

    Quantity Demanded

    Quantity Supplied

    0 8 050 7 1

    100 6 2150 5 3200

    4

    4

    250 3 5300 2 6350 1 7400 0 8

    Example of Market Equilibrium

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    E

    Market Equilibrium in Diagrammatical Form

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    At prices abovetheequilibrium price, quantity

    supplied is greater than quantity

    demanded, resulting in atemporary surplus.

    At prices below the equilibriumprice, consumers desire to buy

    more products than are available,creating a temporary shortage.

    Market Disequilibrium

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    Quantity

    Price

    P

    Q0 2 4 6 8

    100

    200

    300

    400S

    Market Disequilibrium in Diagrammatical Form

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    GOLD:

    The Supply-DemandEquilibrium

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    Recent News..Gold

    Why gold had been going through a phenomenal bull run for the past

    11 years.

    Gold went up when the market went up. It went further up when the

    market went down - and it's still moving closer to the top.

    What are the logical reasons behind this increasing valuation?

    Gold demand is rising faster than its supply.

    Central banks around the world are hoarding gold and are buying more. Inflationary Pressures and Fear

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    The Demand and Supply Equation In the commodities market, traders buy and sell

    commodities based on their expectation aboutfuture supply and demand equations, thus pushingthe price higher or lower.

    There are two primary ways in which Gold is supplied: Mines and Recycled Gold.

    Recycled gold supply will depend on gold priceexpectation, cost and availability.

    The three primary drivers of gold demand areJewellery, manufacturing technology products suchas semiconductors, and Investments.

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    Why central banks hold gold All Central banks need some reserve assets that are readily available to

    them and are buying more gold in order to reduce their dependency on the

    dollar or euro.

    Gold is liquid and not correlated closely to any other asset class, not even to

    its own supply demand equation.

    In India,

    The gold holding is 557.5 tonnes which is least among the major

    economies.

    RBI is known to buy International Monetary Fund gold and considers

    investment in gold as a safe investment.

    But India is the largest country with a gold demand of 933.4 tonnes,

    which is a quite significant figure considering fact that fluctuating and

    increasing gold prices and rupee weakening against U.S. dollar.

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    Inflationary Pressures and Fear Though no one says gold prices are going up only because of inflation, it

    does play an indirect role in the price rise.

    With most central banks around the world engaged in monetary easing,inflationary fears and the expectation of weakening local currency pushes

    investors and banks to hedge their position using gold.

    Inflation or deflation, as long as economic concerns and fear remain,

    investment demand for gold will remain steady.

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    Current Situation of India in Gold Market

    In 2011, India and China accounted for 61% of total demand of gold.

    When a country's economy grows..the more the growth, the more thedemand for gold will be. If these economies slow down, then the demand

    for gold will automatically dive.

    But there is one more problem, the price rise.people are not able toafford that much money. The strength of local currency can also pay amajor role here.

    For example, the Indian currency weakened steadily against the dollarthis year. While the price of gold dropped around 10% in the globalmarket this year, the price of gold kept moving higher in India due to thecountry's weak local currency.

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    Todays Gold Rate in India:

    10 gram gold Rate in

    India = Rs.32320.00

    24 carat gold per gram

    Rate in India =

    Rs.3232.00

    22 carat gold per gram

    Rate in India =Rs.3022.00

    (Updated On 10-09-2012)

    Cont..