1 Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice Newsletter Volume 5, Issue I February 11, 2015
Apr 07, 2016
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Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice
Newsletter
Volume 5, Issue I
February 11, 2015
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Indonesia Develops Superior Rice Seedlings
Using Nuclear Technology
Feb 11, 2015
Indonesia's National Atomic Energy Agency (BATAN) has developed two varieties of rice
seedlings, which can withstand pests and
yield about 10.5 tons per hectare, using
nuclear technology, according to local
sources. BATAN is planning to release one
of the two varieties, Tropiko, once they get
an approval from the Agriculture Ministry.
The Head of the BATAN Radiation and
Isotopic Application Center told local
sources that since Tropiko has been
developed using different applications of
nuclear technology such as gamma rays
and electron radiation, huge volumes of seedlings can be grown compared to traditional methods
of growing seedlings.
He added that Tropiko can meet up to 10% of the national rice seedling demand.Some farmers
who demonstrated Tropiko noted that the Tropiko seedlings grew faster than usual and had
strong roots with a survival rate of 95%.BATAN developed 17 superior rice seedlings from 1982
to 2014.The Indonesian government is keen on achieving self-sufficiency in rice production and
ending rice imports within the next two years. In line with its targets, the government is planning
to rehabilitate around one million hectares of tertiary irrigation channels for paddy production
and distribute 25,000 tons of subsidized seeds and subsidized fertilizer for around one million
hectares of paddy fields.
The government has allocated around Rp 2 trillion ($163.8 million) for the purpose. Last year,
Indonesia imported 425,000 tons of rice from Thailand and Vietnam.USDA estimates Indonesia
to produce around 36.5 million tons of rice, basis milled (around 57.48 million tons, basis
paddy), and import around 1.3 million tons of rice in MY 2014-15 (January 2014 - December
2014. Consumption in 2015 is estimated at around 39.2 million tons.
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Brazil Paddy Rice Index Declines 1% from
Last Week
Feb 10, 2015
The Brazilian paddy rice index maintained by the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied
Economics (CEPEA) reached around 38.07 real per 50 kilograms as of February 09, 2015, down
about 1% from around 38.43 real per 50 kilograms recorded on February 02, 2015.In terms of
USD per ton, the index reached around $273 per ton on February 09, 2015, down about 4.8%
from around $286.9 per ton recorded on February 02, 2015
Global Rice Quotes
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February 11th, 2015
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade 415-425 ↔
Vietnam 5% broken 350-360 ↔
India 5% broken 395-405 ↔
Pakistan 5% broken 345-355 ↔
Myanmar 5% broken 410-420 ↔
Cambodia 5% broken 425-435 ↔
U.S. 4% broken 495-505 ↔
Uruguay 5% broken NQ ↔
Argentina 5% broken NQ ↔
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 365-375 ↔
Vietnam 25% broken 325-335 ↔
Pakistan 25% broken 305-315 ↓
Cambodia 25% broken 410-420 ↔
India 25% broken 360-370 ↔
U.S. 15% broken 485-495 ↔
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 405-415 ↔
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 385-395 ↓
India parboiled 5% broken stxd 390-400 ↔
U.S. parboiled 4% broken 550-560 ↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken 570-580 ↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ ↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92% 920-930 ↓
Vietnam Jasmine 445-455 ↔
India basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Cambodia Phka Mails 785-795 ↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super 320-330 ↔
Vietnam 100% broken 305-315 ↔
Pakistan 100% broken stxd 275-285 ↓
Cambodia A1 Super 335-345 ↔
India 100% broken stxd 295-305 ↔
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔
U.S. pet food 405-415 ↔
Brazil half grain NQ ↔
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All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
Italy Needs General National Paddy Pricing
System, Says Antitrust Agency
Feb 10, 2015
Italy's National Antitrust Agency, which is
responsible for market liberalization in the
country, has urged the Ente Nazionale Risi
(ENR), the National Agency for Rice, to
formulate common paddy pricing rules as the
current paddy pricing system does not provide
balanced pricing acceptable to both farmers and
millers, according to local sources.
In a document on rice growing sector, the agency noted that the current paddy pricing system is
controlled by selected millers' commissions and sets prices favorable to them and is damaging
the interests of rice growers. The agency reportedly drafted the document after taking into
account the prevailing prices in the main rice growing regions of Novara, Vercelli, Pavia,
Mortara and Milan. It found that paddy rice prices have been varying across different regions and
has recognized the need for a general telematic quotation system to help generate a common
national price thereby reducing the influence of millers on the pricing system.
The draft also noted that rice growers have been preferring a common national price in order to
attain a balanced presence of the farming and milling sectors.However, the General Manager of
the ENR denied the role of some millers in setting the paddy prices and the Board of Directors
act independently in this regard. He reiterated that the ENR always ensures a balance between
the farming and milling sector and no sector is allowed to prevail on the pricing aspects.
Oryza Overnight Recap - Chicago Rough
Rice Futures Slightly Lower Overnight as
Market Awaits Release of USDA S&D Report
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Feb 10, 2015
Chicago rough rice futures for Mar delivery are currently listed 3.5 cents per cwt (about $1 per
ton) lower at $10.560 per cwt (about $229 per ton) during early floor trading in Chicago. The
other grains are seen trading mostly lower ahead of today’s release of the latest USDA S&D
update: soybeans are currently seen about 0.3% lower, wheat is listed about 0.7% lower and corn
is currently noted about 0.4% lower.U.S. stock index futures signaled a higher open on Tuesday,
as negotiations over Greece's bailout program continue to keep investors cautious.
Rumors of a possible six-month extension for Greece briefly sent futures to session highs.
Concerns over the Greek debt negotiations continue to weigh on market sentiment. Speaking
from Washington, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she was looking for a "viable
recommendation" from Greece on Monday, after Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras reiterated his
pledge to end Greece's current bailout Sunday. The bodies making sure Greece sticks to the
bailout's rules —the troika of the European Central Bank, International Monetary Fund and
European Commission – have said Greece will not receive a final tranche of aid under the
current bailout plan.
The ECB has also refused Greece's request for a bridging loan to tide it over once its bailout
officially ends February 28. European equities were mixed on Tuesday as the impasse between
Greece and its international creditors continues. The week continues with a fairly light data
schedule Tuesday, when wholesale inventories figures for December are due at 10:00 am ET.
JOLTS job opening data for December, also released at 10:00 am ET, may be of interest in the
context of last week's robust labor market data. US stock index futures are currently noted about
0.7% higher. Gold is currently trading about 0.3% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 1.1%
lower, and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.3% higher at 8:30am Chicago time.
Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough
Rice Futures Continue Lower as Tumbling
Crude Weighs on US Grain Prices and USDA
S&D Provides Little in Way of Support
Feb 10, 2015
Chicago rough rice futures for Mar delivery settled 20 cents per cwt (about $4 per ton) lower at
$10.235 per cwt (about $226 per ton). Rough rice futures suffered another round of selling as the
USDA S&D update did little to provide support to prices and was more or less seen as a non-
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even by market participants. Although the net effect on all rice ending stocks was a 1m cwt
increase, long-grain stocks were lowered by 1m cwt thanks solely to an increase in estimated
exports for the product. Despite the release of what was seen as a neutral report, prices charted
another leg lower as outside markets weighed down on prices and as technical indicators
continue to forecast lower prices.
Some analysts are calling for a testing of the spike low of $10.010 per cwt (about $221 per ton)
in coming sessions. The other grains finished the day lower as the USDA S&D update was seen
as bearish to neutral and as a fresh round of crude selling exerted downward pressure on grain
prices; Soybeans closed about 1% lower at $9.6900 per bushel; wheat finished about 1.5% lower
at $5.2175 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 0.8% lower at $3.8800 per bushel.U.S.
stocks traded higher on Tuesday despite renewed uncertainty in developments in the Greece-euro
zone standoff.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recovered to trade more than 100 points higher after falling to
single-digit gains on Tuesday morning reports that said the German Finance Minister would not
agree to a new Greek debt program on Wednesday. Investors are watching closely for a possible
Greek debt deal when the euro group of finance ministers meets in Brussels on Wednesday
where Greece's Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis is expected to detail new reform proposals.
Futures touched session highs on speculation that the European Commission could be ready to
table a compromise on Greece's bailout program and propose a six-month extension to the
country's bailout which is due to end on February 28. The Athens stock exchange was trading up
about 8% on Tuesday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 76 points, or 0.46%, to 17,805. The S&P 500
gained about 13 points, or 0.63%, to 2,059, with health care leading all sectors higher except
energy. The Nasdaq gained 42 points, or 0.91%, to 4,768. Gold is trading about 0.8% lower,
crude oil is seen trading about 4.8% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.3% higher
at about 1:00pm Chicago time.Monday, there were 795 contracts traded, down from 1,055
contracts traded on Friday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Monday
increased by 144 contracts to 10,546.
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Fall
despite Decreasing Ending Stocks
Feb 10, 2015
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The U.S. cash market was weaker today despite a slightly neutral to bullish WASDE report as
selling interest continues to mount amid limited buy interest.Today’s USDA WASDE report
showed a 1.0 million cwt (45,359 tons) increase in U.S. long grain exports which in turn
decreased U.S. long grain ending stocks by the same amount, putting their 2014/2015 carry over
projection at 28.1 million cwts (1,274,596 tons).
Public Invited to Try GM Rice to Prove It's
Safe
Feb 10, 2015
A science website in China had organized an event on Sunday, February 8, 2015, to promote the
safety of genetically modified (GM) rice amid concerns that it is harmful to humans and the
environment.As part of the event hundreds of people were invited to taste GM rice in restaurants
in 23 cities across the country. The idea behind this campaign is remove certain misconceptions
among the public over the GM rice.The restaurants reportedly used the rice grown from the
genetically modified Bt 63 strain developed by the Huazhong Agricultural University in Wuhan,
Hubei province. The Bacillus thuringiensis gene embedded in the plant is known to produce a
natural pesticide that protects the plant.
Safety certificates for Bt 63 and Huahui 1 were renewed in January for another four year from
the bio safety committee of the Agriculture Ministry. However, the Ministry has not given its
nod for commercial production of these varieties.Last month, the Communist Party of China
Central Committee reportedly noted that China "will strengthen research and manage the safety
of GM foods."The Deputy Director of Central Rural Work Leading Group, noted that the science
has proved the safety of GM rice, it is the turn of the public to trust the science.
Philippines to Decide Over Rice Import
Volume on February 13, 2015
Feb 10, 2015
The National Food Authority (NFA) Council is likely to decide over this year's rice importation
volume on February 13, 2014, Business World quoted the Presidential Assistant for Food
Security and Agricultural Modernization as saying.The NFA planned to import rice this year also
to ensure adequate stocks in the lean season (June – August).
However, the Presidential Assistant, who is also the NFA Council Chairman, did not specify the
actual volume of rice that the NFA will import but noted that the NFA is authorized to import
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500,000 tons of rice in government-to-government (G2G) deals from Thailand, Vietnam and
Cambodia, with whom the Philippines has import agreements.
He noted that revealing the figure would impact prices as
Philippines is a major importer of rice.He noted that the
actual import figure will depend on the last harvest volume
and the current supply. The Philippines imported more than
1.8 million tons of rice (including 1.5 million tons of 2014
imports and 300,000 tons of 2013 residual imports) in 2014
to replenish rice stocks and control price hikes.
Turkey to Reduce VAT on Milled Rice to 1%
to Control Price Hikes, Says USDA Post
Feb 10, 2015
The government of Turkey has announced on December 9, 2014 that it would reduced the value
added tax (VAT) on milled rice to 1% from the existing 8% and make it equal with the VAT on
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paddy rice, according to the USDA Post. However, the Post reports that the government has so
far not announced the effective date. The tax reduction is expected to discourage unregistered
millers from undertaking milling activities as well as reduce retail prices.The Post reports that
Turkish millers and retailers have been facing problems due to high taxes.
Also declining consumption levels in recent times are have been leading to lesser sales and have
been forcing millers to operate below their capacities resulting in substantial production
inefficiencies.Turkey produces only 60% of total annual consumption and imports the rest.
USDA Post has estimated Turkey's rice imports at around 300,000 tons in MY 2014-15
(September - August), down about 12% from an estimated 341,000 tons imported in the previous
year. According to data from the Turkish Grain Board (TMO), Turkey imported around 413,932
tons of rice in MY 2013-14. The U.S. was the top exporter to Turkey with around 172,872 tons
followed by India with 67,338 tons.
The Post reports the TMO has not procured any domestic rice since 2013, but has imported
35,000 tons of paddy rice and 33,000 tons of milled rice in 2013. The TMO has opened rice sales
in the retail market in 2014 to control price hikes. As prices of most popular variety Osmancik
again plummeted in January 2015 to around 3,50 TL/ton (around $1,281 per ton) from around
2,300 TL/ton (around $1,161 per ton) in October 2014, the TMO has already imported around
8,000 tons of milled rice and 40,000 tons of paddy in 2015. Prices of imported rice, especially
Calrose rice, have increased to around $1,300 per ton due to high prices in California.
Vietnam Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their
Quotes Today; Other Asia Rice Quotes
Unchanged
Feb 10, 2015
Vietnam rice sellers lowered their quotes for Jasmine rice by about $5 per ton to around $445 -
$455 per ton today. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged.
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is quoted at around $405 - $415 per ton, about $55 per ton premium on
Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $350 - $360 per ton. India 5% rice is quoted at around $395 -
$405 per ton, about $50 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice quoted at around $345 - $355 per
ton.
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25% Broken Rice
Thailand 25% rice is quoted at around $365 - $375 per ton, about $40 per ton premium on
Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $325- $335 per ton. India 25% rice is quoted at around $360
- $370, about $50 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice quoted at around $310 - $320 per ton.
Parboiled Rice
Thailand parboiled rice is quoted at around $405 - $415 per ton. India parboiled rice is quoted at
around $390 - $400 per ton, about $5 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice quoted at around
$395 - $405 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thailand broken rice, A1 Super, is quoted at around $320 - $330 per ton, about $15 per ton
premium on Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $305 - $315 per ton. India's 100%
broken rice is shown at around $295 - $305 per ton, about $5 per ton premium on Pakistan
broken sortexed rice quoted at around $290 - $300 per ton.
Vietnam Rice Exports to Africa Decline
Sharply in 2014
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Feb 10, 2015
Vietnam has exported around 6.32 million tons of rice in 2014, down about 5% from around 6.63
million tons exported in 2013, according to USDA. While Vietnam's share of rice exports to
Asian and Australian destinations increased, its share to African, European and American
destinations declined.
Asia accounted for around 4.92 million tons (about 78% of Vietnam's total 2014 rice exports),
down about 20% from around 4.09 million tons exported in 2013. Vietnam exported around
772,537 tons of rice to Africa (about 12% of Vietnam's total 2014 rice exports), down about
57% from around 1.8 million tons exported in 2013. The decline is mainly due to the outbreak of
Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) in West African nations such as Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia;
and the decline in oil prices, which has led to decline in export revenues of major rice importing
countries such as Nigeria.
Vietnam exported around 438,197 tons of rice to American destinations (about 7% of Vietnam's
total 2014 rice exports), down about 9% from around 480,033 tons exported in 2013. Vietnam's
rice exports to Australia increased about 2.5 times to around 52,960 tons (about 1% of
Vietnam's total 2014 rice exports) from around 20,776 tons exported in 2013. Vietnam's exports
to Europe and CIS countries accounted for around 26,158 tons (about 2% of Vietnam's total
2014 rice exports), down about 33% from around 206,568 tons exported in 2013.
In December 2014, Vietnam has exported around 366,130 tons of rice, down about 26% from
around 495,457 tons exported in November 2014, and down about 31% from around 526,995
tons exported in December 2013, according to USDA. Month-on-month, Vietnam's rice exports
to Asia declined about 36% to around 247,999 tons; exports to Africa increased about 6% to
around 76,888 tons; exports to Europe and CIS countries declined about 88% to around 3,164
tons; exports to Americas increased about 6.6 times to around 31,684 tons; and exports to
Australia increased about 3 times to around 6,395 tons.
West African Rice Farmers and Millers to
Receive Support Under CARI Initiative
Feb 10, 2015
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About 120,000 small scale rice farmers,
millers and rural service providers from
Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Ghana and Tanzania
will receive support under the Competitive
African Rice Initiative (CARI) initiative,
according to local sources.Bill and Melinda
Gates (BMGF) and the German Development
Cooperation (BMZ) have provided a $3.3
million grant under their CARI initiative to
help rice farmers, millers and other stakeholders increase the quality rice production in the
region.According to the CARI coordinator, they aim to encourage effective coordination and
linkages between the rice value chain actors to ensure quality rice supply as well as better returns
to all the stakeholders. The initiative also aims to provide employment to rural farmers and youth
as well as provide food security. Eventually, the initiative aims to reduce imports in these
countries.
She noted that the CARI would seek support of local private sector to implement the projects.
While the CARI would provide 40% of the funds from the current grant, remaining 60% would
be provided by the local private sectors in the respective countries.The Economic Community of
West African States (ECOWAS) Commissioner for Agriculture also emphasized the need for
building sustainable rice value chains with access to requisite finance, modern technology and
knowledge to help these countries achieve self-sufficiency in rice production
South Korea Buys 35,000 Tons of Rice in
International Tender; Passes On Tender for
5,000 Tons
Feb 10, 2015
South Korea's state run Agro Fisheries & Food Trade Corporation (KAFTC) has purchased
35,000 tons of non-glutinous rice for delivery between April and June, according to a statement
on its website.KAFTC purchased 15,000 tons of brown long non-glutinous rice of Vietnamese
origin at about $442 per ton (CIP) and for delivery by April 30, 2015; 15,000 tons of brown long
non-glutinous rice of Vietnamese origin at about $449.60 per ton (CIP) and for delivery by June
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30, 2015; and 5,000 tons of brown medium non-glutinous rice of the U.S. origin at about $786
per ton (CIP) and for delivery by May 31, 2015.
The agency originally sought to buy 40,000 ton of non-glutinous rice in four tenders, that closed
on January 27, 2015. But it passed on the tender for 5,000 tons of brown short non-glutinous rice
for delivery by April 30, 2015 as the offers failed to meet specifications and price standards. It is
not clear if the KAFTC would reissue the tender.
USDA Post Estimates Bangladesh to Import
700,000 Tons of Rice in 2014-15; Down 7%
from Last Year
Feb 10, 2015
USDA Post has estimated Bangladesh to import around 700,000 tons of rice in MY 2014-15
(May - April), down about 7% from an estimated 751,000 tons imported in MY 2013-14, and up
about 40% from USDA's official estimates of around 500,000 tons based on the current import
pace. Imports in 2013-14 (mostly by private sector) are said to have increased due to competitive
Indian as well as global rice prices.
According to official media sources, the government of Bangladesh agreed to export 50,000 tons
of coarse tons to Sri Lanka. But the Post reports that it is not clear if an agreement has been
finalized and according to Sri Lankan customs data, no imports are known to have arrived at any
of the ports.
The Post has estimated Bangladesh's 2014-15 milled rice production at around 34.5 million tons,
slightly up from an estimated 34.39, and slightly down from USDA's official estimates of around
34.6 million tons. The Post reports that the ongoing blockades have led to an increase in the
prices fertilizer, fuel and other input costs and have disrupted the rice supply chain in many
cities.
The government has planned to procure around 1.4 million tons of paddy and 200,000 tons of
milled rice in 2014-15. According to official media sources, the government's procurement of
Aman rice from began on November 15, 2014 and will continue till February 28, 2015. The
government is expected to procure about 300,000 tons from the Aman crop at around Tk 32 per
kilogram (around $386 per ton) for husked rice and around Tk 20 (around $257 per ton) for
unhusked rice.
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Last month Post reported that prices of coarse rice have been falling since October 2014 due to
excess supplies from Aman harvest. It says it is unclear if the blockades would further push
down prices in the near future.