1 HIGH TECH STRATEGIES Introduction to High Technology Industries
Dec 14, 2015
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Common Characteristics of High Tech Environments
• Market Uncertainty
• Technological Uncertainty
• Competitive Volatility
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Market Uncertainty
• Consumer fear, uncertainty and doubt • Customer needs change rapidly and unpredictably • Customer anxiety over the lack of standards and
dominant design • Uncertainty over the pace of adoption • Uncertainty over/inability to forecast market size
Market Uncertainty is the ambiguity about the type and extent of customer needs that can be satisfied by a particular technology
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Technology Uncertainty
• Uncertainty over whether the new innovation will function as promised
• Uncertainty over timetable for new product development
• Ambiguity over whether the supplier will be able to fix customer problems with the technology
• Concerns over unanticipated/unintended consequences
• Concerns over obsolescence
Technology Uncertainty is not knowing whether the technology or the company can deliver on its promise
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Competitive Volatility
• Uncertainty over who will be future competitors
• Uncertainty over “the rules of the game” (i.e., competitive strategies and tactics)
• Uncertainty over “product form” competition– competition between product classes vs. between
different brands of the same product
• Implication: Creative destruction
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High Tech Strategy Field
Market Uncertainty
Technological Uncertainty
Competitive Volatility
High- Technology
Strategies
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Network Externalities
• When the value of the product increases as more people adopt it– Also called demand-side increasing returns or
bandwagon effects– Ex: portals on the Internet – Metcalf’s Law: Value of the network = n2
(where n=# of users)
• Reliance on strategies to quickly grow the size of the “installed base” (or customers using the particular product/technology) – May give away products for low price or even free – Work to develop industry standards
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Development of Industry Standards
• Standards create a common, underlying architecture for products offered by different firms in the market
• Standards are important because:– Customers gain compatibility
• Lowers their perceived risk (FUD factor—fear, uncertainty, and doubt)
• Allows for seamless interface of product components.
– Due to network externalities, standards can increase the value a customer receives
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Why are industry standards important? (Cont.)
• Availability of complementary products determined by the size of the “installed base” of a given product. – Therefore, standards help ensure greater availability of
complementary products by helping to ensure a larger size of the installed base.
– Customers get more value from the base product as more complementary products are available.
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Self-reinforcing Nature of Standards
STANDARDS
Reduce customer
fear, uncertainty,
& doubt
Larger installed
base
More complementary
products developed
Increased customer
value
Increased demand for
product
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• Lecture based on the concepts developed by the best all-time high-tech strategies guru, Geoffrey Moore•Books from Geoffrey Moore:
- Crossing the Chasm: Very good, sometimes difficult to read- Inside the Tornado: Moore’s best book- The Gorilla Game: high tech investor’s perspective- Living in the Fault Line: Some parts are excellent, other parts
have changed much after the internet
bubble.
INTRODUCTION
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CONTINUOUS INNOVATIONS:
- Build upon existing standards and infrastructure- To enjoy the product benefits, users only need to buy the product and start using it
DISCONTINUOUS INNOVATIONS:
- Require new technologies and infrastructure that is incompatible with the existing one- Users will have to go through a a learning process- Vendors, partners, suppliers of complementary products will have to adapt to the new technology in order for the new product to be marketed
-Ex: when you buy a VCR you need movies to rent-Ex: when you buy a fax, you expects others to have it too
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Discontinuous Innovations
High Tech Marketing Specializes in Discontinuous InnovationsHigh Tech Marketing Specializes in Discontinuous Innovations
Discontinuous
Electric car
Multimedia Set-Tops
Video Conferencing
Continuous
Better mileage cars
Remote-control tuning
Voice Mail
Diesel cars
Programmable VCRs
Conference Calling
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UNSUCCESSFUL DISCONTINUOUS INNOVATION: THE ELECTRIC CAR
• General Motors and Honda introduced electric-powered car in California in mid 90s
• Positive features:– Silent motor– Non-polluting– California legislature at the time required car manufacturers to sell a
percentage of non-polluting automobiles• Challenges:
– Unpredictable battery charging needs (every 70 to 100 miles)– Risk of getting without power on the road: against “freedom” feeling
represented by a car in US– Lack of support by service infrastructure:
• Service stations, insurance, mechanics and repair• Result: A failure
– Product was not ready to satisfy core aspects consumer value (freedom, safety…)
– There is no successful introduction without the support of the rest of the product infrastructure (service providers, etc.)
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Industries where discontinuous innnovations are a driving force:
• High-tech industries:– Telecommunications (mobile phones, infrastructure,
telecommunications services)– Computers and ”hardware” – Chemicals– Software – Biotechnology – Electronics– Fiber optics– Microelectronics– Multimedia systems– Pharmaceutical industry– Robotics– Semiconductors– Defense– Other emerging high-tech
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Industries where discontinuous innovations are a driving force:
• Main Industries outside high-tech but highly influenced by high-tech:– Financial services– Insurance– Health care– Aerospace– Utilities– Retailing– Publishing– Broadcasting
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CustomersService ProvidersProduct Providers
Value Chain
$$
All these linkages are requiredfor a new technology wave to succeed
Applications
Products &Consumables
Technology
CustomerService
Sales &Support
Consulting
EconomicBuyers
End Users
TechnicalBuyers
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Technology Adoption Life Cycle
Pragmatists create the dynamics of high-tech market development.Pragmatists create the dynamics of high-tech market development.
Innovators EarlyAdopters
Early Majority Late Majority Laggards
Techies:Try it!
Pragmatists:Stick with the herd!
Conservatives:Hold on!
Skeptics:No way!
Visionaries:Get ahead of the herd!
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Innovators - Technology Enthusiasts• Primary Motivation:
– Natural attitude to explore-learn about new technologies• Key Characteristics:
– Where to find them• Advanced technological departments of big firms: usually
empowered to buy new products for exploration• “Techies” of smaller firms: Part of the MIS or product design team
– Believe in the value of technology as such– Strong ability for understanding technical information– Like to be the first ones to test new products– Do not mind if the product has still missing elements or features (low
speed, poor documentation, questionable performance) as long as it is the newest technology
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• Key Characteristics- Do whatever they can to help to develop the product- Great source of technical feedback- Crucial for identifying if the technology is truly innovative or not- Will discover bugs and problems with the new technology- Will try to develop the technology beyond what is possible- They have strong referencing power for later stages: their
opinion is relevant
• Challenges/Difficulties:- Want unrestricted access to top technical people whenever there is a technical problem (risky from the company side)- Will test the new technology for free (they usually have more passion than money) - They do not represent strong buying power- Not a market by themselves, but a test “if the product works”: crucial to find technology enthusiasts with access to big bosses
Innovators - Technology Enthusiasts
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Early Adopters - The Visionaries
• Primary Motivation:– To gain dramatic competitive advantage respect to competitors,
through a revolutionary use of the technology in their business processes
• That is the visionary’s “dream” that must be understood• They are not looking for improvements, but for fundamental
breakthroughs
• Key Characteristics:– Great imagination for applying technology to specific business
processes– Top executives, attracted by high-risk, high-reward business plans– Charisma for getting the rest of their organization to buy the
project
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Early Adopters - The Visionaries• Key Characteristics:
– Will commit to create the missing elements of the new technology, for making it ready to be used
– They are not price-sensitive: emphasize more the potential future gains (they bring real big money to develop the product): best source of high-tech development capital
– Motivated by the potential return on investment of their dream– Effective in informing the business community about technology
advances: draw media attention to themselves and indirectly to our product
– Easy to sell, hard to please (dreams are difficult to fulfill as initially imagined)
• Challenges/Difficulties:– Want to market the new technology fast (not always easy in high-
tech)– Demand high degree of customization of the technology to their very
particular needs, and demand a lot of technical support/resources:• Too much money can be spent in customization for just one
customer
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Early Majority - Pragmatists
• Primary Motivation:– They want to gain productivity improvements through evolutionary
changes in the new technology, only if the new technology has previous successes
• Key Characteristics:– Intelligent department managers, responsible for critical business
applications– Risk averse: risks will be undertaken only when all safety nets in
place– They are the mass– They aim technology to serve their purposes for the long term– Require competition for feeling safe and having alternatives
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Early Majority - Pragmatists
• Key Characteristics:– Do not love technology: they accept technology only in proven
applications, where improved productivity is guaranteed, and if the mass goes with them
– Price sensitive– Like to go with the market leader because:
• Everyone will adapt its products to the leader (leader sets the standard)
• Leader attracts many third parties for complementary products and services: the market will be more responsible to the leader product
• Challenges:– Insist on good references from other pragmatists, not from
visionaries– Want to see the solution working well at the site that provided the
references/recommendations (product must be ready)
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Late Majority - Conservatives
• Primary Motivation:– They acquire technology just to stay at the same level with the competition
(skeptical about value gains from technology).• Key Characteristics:
– Fear technology a little bit– Do not have high aspirations about high-tech investments: will not support high
margins– Not risk takers– Very much price-sensitive: buying late provides them with the opportunity to
negotiate better prices and conditions– Highly reliant on a single, trusted advisor
• Challenges:– Package required:
• Pre-assembled and bundled solution• Single-use and simple • User friendly solutions
– Would benefit from value-added services but do not want to pay for them
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Laggards - Skeptics
• Primary Motivation:– To maintain things as they have traditionally been: prefer low-
cost and non-technical solutions
• Key Characteristics:– Good at criticizing technology marketing ”booms”– Do not believe productivity-improvement gain from technology – Seek to block purchases of new technology
• Challenges:– Not a customer, but should be considered– Can form a strong opposition to early technology adoption
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Four Product Management PrioritiesC
us
tom
er
Sat
isfa
ctio
n
Time
SolutionEnablers
Bowling Alley
CompetitivePrice/Performance
Tornado
End UserDelighters
Main StreetEarly Market
CoreProduct
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Sample Service Offerings
ProfessionalServices
• Consultative selling
• Business process reengineering
• Systems integration
• Project management
• Custom training
• System conversion
• Contract management
TransactionServices
• Order processing
• Maintenance
• Facilities management
• Outsourcing
• Upgrade management
• Broadcast data feeds
• Proprietary database access privileges
DistributionServices
• Competitive selling
• System configuration
• Implementation support
• Train-the-trainers
• Customer service
• Technical support
• Warranty
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Service Management Priorities
Deep Water
Shallow Water
High marginCustom
Medium margin Customized
Low margin Standard
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Assessing Innovation Discontinuity
A B C D
4
3
2
1
ShadowArea
Gain
Pa
in
Ideal Positioning of the Innovation according to its stage in the TALC
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Assessing Innovation Discontinuity
- Analysis- Shadow zone:
- Future is uncertain- There is gain at an equivalent level of pain- Not very compelling: markets will not move these innovations forward- Areas in the periphery are easier to dealt with than areas in the shadow zone (where benefit/pain tradeoffs are less visible- Action: Decide a specific TALC stage into which to move, and assess the needed strategy (explained further)
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Strategy Template Checklist
1. Target Customer
2. Compelling Reason to Buy
3. Whole Product
4. Partners and Allies
5. Distribution
6. Pricing
7. Competition
8. Positioning
9. Next Target
Source of money
To fulfill the compellingreason to buy
Function of whole productintegration complexity
For the customer's money
Next move
Source of demand
Needed for whole product
Function of all other factors
This template holds for all stages in the Life Cycle.This template holds for all stages in the Life Cycle.
Relative to competition
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Target Customer
Economic Buyers
Technical Buyers End Users
LOBExecutive
DepartmentManager
LeadEnd Users
FinancialExecutive
ITDirector
TechnologyEvaluator
• Business-to-business model supports up to six roles
• Titles change, but roles are the same
• Consumer markets fuse these roles into three or fewer
• Purchase influence migrates over the the life cycle
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Target Customer
• Success with a set of prospects will depend on:• Are customers identifiable?• Can customers be accessed through sales and marketing efforts?• Do customers have funds for purchasing in a reasonable time under appropriate circumstances?• Are customers able to make the purchase (power and financial ability)?
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Compelling Reasons to Buy
Go ahead of the herd for competitive advantage.
Go ahead of the herd to fix a broken business process.
Go with the herd to get on the new infrastructure.
Go after the herd to get better values.
- Main motive: economic consequences of doing nothing vs. making an investment to address a current problem/exploit an opportunity
- Motivation is more apparent in bowling alley and tornado markets- Motivation is more latent in Early Markets and Main Street (more emotional as well)- Purchase must be justified to oneself, colleagues and superiors
Compelling Reasons to Buy and the TALC
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Whole Product Elements
The whole product is the minimum set of products and servicesneeded to fulfill the target customer's compelling reason to buy.
The whole product is the minimum set of products and servicesneeded to fulfill the target customer's compelling reason to buy.
TheProduct
Hardware
Software
Legacyinterfaces Connectivity
Pre-salesservices
Post-salesservice
& support
Peripherals
Consulting
ComplementaryProducts
ComplementaryServices
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Whole Product
• Generic Product-What is shipped when the purchase is made
• Expected Product-What the customer things to be buying when the generic order is placed
- Example: If the generic order is a computer, the expected product is the CPU, keyboard, mouse, monitor and cabling
• Augmented Product-The idealized form of the product in which the buyer will achieve the buying objective
- Example: In a PC, the software, printer, Internet connections and other services
• Potential Product-An extension of the product benefits through a set of products and services
- Example: TV view hardware and software, infrared mouse…
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Evolution of the Whole Product
Different whole product priorities at different stages of the life cycle.Different whole product priorities at different stages of the life cycle.
Mostlycustom
work
Plug & playsome
customization
Fullyintegrated
Masscustomized
GenericProduct
PotentialProduct
ExpectedProduct
AugmentedProduct
AssimilatedProduct
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Types of Partnerships (cont.)
• Vertical partnerships: with members at other levels of the supply chain– Suppliers– Distribution channel members– Customers
• Horizontal partnerships: with members at the same level of the supply chain – “Complementors:” makers of jointly-used
products– Competitors—”competition”
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Reasons to Partner
• Accelerate Product Development• Access resources and skills• Gain cost efficiencies• Speed time-to-market• Access new markets• Define industry standards• Differentiate the Product• Develop complementary products• Gain market clout
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Product Life Cycle, Innovation, and the Role of Alliances
Emergence Growth Maturity Decline
ProcessInnovation
ProductInnovation
StandardsLicensingTechnology
LicensingR&DMarketing
ManufacturingMarketingProcess R&D
AttackerIncumbent
High
Low
Rate ofMajor
Innovation
Stage of Product Life Cycle
Alliance Types
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Risks in Partnering
• Failure of the relationship– Adversarial rather than cooperative thinking– Mistrust, insecurity, impatience, hidden agendas– Partners don’t invest energy in the alliance because it
requires a level of intimacy they are not used to
• Failure to understand the other Party’s Goal• Machiavellian attitudes
– Example: Strategic Alliance for Technology where the only real goal is to access each other customers
– Example: Lets join forces so me (A) and you (B) can both sell our products, degenerates into “lets partner so you (B) can sell our products for us (A)”, or A tries to sell in B, rather than sell through B.
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• Loss of autonomy and control• Loss of proprietary information to partner• Potential legal issues and antitrust problems • Failure to achieve alliance objectives
• Unchecked Executive Egos• Excessive promises when negotiations are done without checking the organization and colleagues capabilities to deliver them
• Absence of a real strategy• Joint development fails, and ends up in both parties bundling or packaging difficult-to-sell-products instead of creating a better solution for the customer
• Resource commitments do not materialize
Risks in Partnering
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Factors Contributing to Partnership Success
• Joint (bilateral) interdependence – Caution warranted with partners of unequal
size• Governance Structure• Joint Commitment • Trust in the partner’s motives and intents • Effective Communication• Compatible Corporate Cultures • Integrative conflict resolution and negotiation
(vs. “hard,” win/lose bargaining)
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Partners and Allies
Us
Us
Us
Us
?
?
?
?
US
Assemble for the project
Recruit for the whole product
Limit to reduce friction
Eliminate to retain margin
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Distribution Channels
Direct Sales
VARs
Retail
Web, Telesales
Systems Integrators
Mainframes
Minis
LANs
PC Servers
Desktop PCs
Printers
Keyboards
Toner
WANs
Global Systems
Ma
rke
tin
g C
om
ple
xity
Solution Complexity
Higher Value A
ddedHigher V
olume
Evangelists
ServiceTechnicians
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Distribution Channels• Distribution Channel concepts:
- Define System Integrators• Dealers that manage very large and complex computer projects• Create customized solutions for customers (high level of consulting and tailoring required)• Bundle and Re-Sell different brands of equipment, providing the missing elements, and tailoring them for specific customer needs
• Define Direct Sales• Sales from Manufacturer to the customer through manufacturer’s own sales force or through the internet
• Define Value Added Retailers (VARs or VADs)• Purchase products from several hi-tech companies and add value to them for meeting the customer’s specific needs
• Ex.: VAR purchases hardware, operating system and bundles it with specific medical software for dentists. Some degree of tailoring, at much smaller scale than system integrators
• Retail• Web, Telesales
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Distribution Channels• Primary Objective of Distribution Channel Selection
• To ensure that a relationship can be created and sustained with the most influential customer (economic, technical or final user) as the product moves through the TALC
• Criteria to design the Distribution Channel Choice:• Solution Complexity: How complex is the product to install, deploy and use?• Marketing Complexity: How difficult is the product to source, buy and support?
• Potential difficulties (outside the dotted-line)• High marketing complexity / Low solution complexity (Upper-left quadrant)
• The product is too easy for the channel use that wont be able to provide enough services/do enough businesses• Bad deal for the customer (channel will charge too much), customer feels paying for something which is not needed• Example: Sell PC through direct sales• Solution: Change the channel (killing flies with cannonballs!)
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Distribution Channels• High solution complexity / Low marketing complexity (Lower-right quadrant)
• Too complicated product for the used channel • Distribution channel will suffer• Ex: Trying to sell a complex supply chain mgmt software application through avge. computer reseller• Solution: distribution channel will change the pricing (higher)
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Evaluation of Distribution Performance
Reseller’s contribution to supplier profits
Reseller’s contribution to supplier sales
Reseller’s contribution to growth
Reseller’s competence
Reseller’s compliance
Reseller’s adaptability
Reseller’s loyalty
Customer satisfaction with reseller
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Blurring of Distinctions
• Distributors/resellers backward integrating into assembling products
• Suppliers forward integrating into computer manufacturing
• Channel assembly– Customization, speedy turnaround– Based on build-to-order model
• Co-location– Distributor’s employees work from vendor’s site – Customization
• Shift into services
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Gray Markets
• Diversion of goods to unauthorized distributors, sold at discounted prices– Manufacturer loses control over distribution– Legitimate channels lose business– Loss of incentive for legitimate channel
members to push sales or provide service– Intra-brand competition, channel conflict
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Causes of Gray Markets
• Pricing policies with large volume discounts• Differential in international exchange rates (parallel importing) • Cost differences between different types of resellers
– Free-riding of discount outlets on full-service outlets• Selective distribution
– Lack of intra-brand competition may invited gray marketers • Producers perform marketing functions
– Reduces customer’s risk in buying from unauthorized distributors• Incompatible compensation policies
– Utilize plant capacity– Meet sales volume quotas
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Solutions to Gray Markets
• Track source of units and cut off supply to gray market– Signals commitment to legitimate channels – Mitigates price erosion– May be burdensome administratively
• One-price policy (no volume discounts)• Increase penetration in the market • Collect information on extent of the problem,
consistently measure channel member performance
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Black Markets, Piracy, and Restricted Exports
• Black Markets – Counterfeit goods– Piracy– Especially problematic with unit-one cost structures
• Export Restrictions on sales of “dual use” products to some countries
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Adding New Channels: The Internet
• Hybrid channels – Conflicts between manufacturer and its dealers
pursuing same customers – “Co-opetition”
• Options – Avoid the Web (and conflict) – Go to the Web (invite conflict and even mutiny)– Disintermediate– Bricks-and-clicks model
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Avoiding Conflict with Existing Channel
• Use website to disseminate only product information
• Use website only to generate leads; direct buyers to dealers
• Sell limited merchandise offerings through website
• Take online orders from small customers; direct larger customers to dealers
• Launch website without publicity
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Trends in Supply Chain Management
• Vertical electronic markets on the Internet– Hubs used to connect suppliers to their manufacturing
customers– Often owned by cybermediaries
• Supply chain management software– Bring data from manufacturing, inventory, and suppliers
to integrate decision making
• Outsourcing– Reduces cost but increases supply chain vulnerability– Political backlash from unions and legislatures
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Pricing
Value-based
Competition-based
Gain Pain
Pricing Frame of Reference
Buyer Motivation
Early market Bowling alley
TornadoMain Street
vs. status quo vs. price leader
vs. market leadervs. status quo
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Pricing
• Pricing in high-tech highly associated with customer value• Who are the target customers? Do they have budget/power to buy?• What are the customer objectives when buying our product? How grave for them is the risk of doing nothing?• How is the product assembled to meet customer objectives?• How is the product delivered, supported and complemented? Will partners get a fair return for their efforts?
• Pricing in perspective:• Our product vs. status quo
• Used in Early Markets and Crossing the Chasm• Value-based pricing• Based on returns from visionary’s dream or gains from switching to new paradigm• Inelastic• Pricing should reflect the need for margins in order to fund the creation of product infrastructure
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Pricing
• Pricing in perspective:• Our product vs. market leader (used in tornado strategies)
• Product infrastructure is in place, product is commoditized• New Entrants in the industry
• Our product vs. Price Leader (Main Street)• Price can be higher or lower depending on strategy adopted (low price, differentiation, segmentation…)
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Computing Customer Equity
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Profit from Referrals
Profit from IncreasedPurchases
Base Profit
Acquisition Cost
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Customer Acquisition Strategies
Retention ProfitPotential
Acquisition Investment Recovery Time
High
Low
Short Long
Take them all! Selective
Pay as You Go Restructure/Divest
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Aspects of Cost to Serve
• Acquisition Costs
• Production Costs
• Distribution Costs
• Service Costs
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Competition
Marketvs.
Market
Companyvs.
Company
Productvs.
Product
Categoryvs.
Category
Productvs.
Service
Reference competition (with a set of alternatives in the same category)Economic competition (set of alternatives competing for the same budget)
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Basis for Positioning Strength
Thought leader in a new category
“Owns” one or more market niches
Has market share in a hypergrowth market
Continually makes great new offers
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Next Target Customer
Mass market growth:Grow horizontally
into new channels,platforms, and geographies
The Tornado
Niche penetration:Dominate first niche
then go afteradjacent niches
The Bowling Alley
Niche expansion:Grow profitable
revenue from installed base through 1-on-1
marketing and mass customization
Main Street
The Early Market
Go get anotherbig deal
First customers
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Strategy Thumbnail: Early Market
Target Customer
Compelling Reason to Buy
Whole Product
Partners and Allies
Distribution
Pricing
Competition
Positioning
Next Target Customer
Visionary LOB executive
Dramatic competitive advantage
Technology-based project
Consultants and integrators
Direct sales
Value-based, gain motivated
Category vs. category
Technology-based leadership
Another LOB exec in a different industry
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Early Market Whole Product
• Technology Enthusiasts:• Value GENERIC PRODUCT• Will develop the elements pieces for making it work• GENERIC PRODUCT can be incomplete• Areas investigated in the core product by enthusiasts:
• Will technology work?• Will technology be supportable• Are other techies interested?• What are the camps forming around the product?
• Visionaries:• Value POTENTIAL PRODUCT: Ability of the product in creating competitive advantage• They will need strong system integrator partnership for transforming the CORE into the POTENTIAL PRODUCT of a specific application• Selling argument: The possibilities associated with specific applications of the emerging technology
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Strategy Thumbnail: Bowling Alley
Target Customer
Compelling Reason to Buy
Whole Product
Partners and Allies
Distribution
Pricing
Competition
Positioning
Next Target Customer
Pragmatist departmental manager
Fix a problem business process
Niche-focused application
Emerging value chain
Direct sales transitioning to VARs
Value-based, pain motivated
Market vs. market
Niche market leadership
Adjacent niche market
108
Strategy Thumbnail: Tornado
Target Customer
Compelling Reason to Buy
Whole Product
Partners and Allies
Distribution
Pricing
Competition
Positioning
Next Target Customer
Pragmatist technical buyer
Get on the new infrastructure
Platform products
Consolidating value chain
Drive to higher-volume, lower-touch
Competition-based, pain motivated
Company vs. company
Market-share-based leadership
New platforms, channels, geographies
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Strategy Thumbnail: Main Street
Target Customer
Compelling Reason to Buy
Whole Product
Partners and Allies
Distribution
Pricing
Competition
Positioning
Next Target Customer
End-users
Better values with no risk
Add-ons, consumables, transactions
Disintermediated value chain
Low-cost, high-touch
Competition-based, gain motivated
Offer vs. offer
Better experience for end users
Next micro-niche