Theme 4 - Carol Turley
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Theme 4 - Carol Turley
WP13: “Uncertainties, risks and thresholds” - Carol Turley
WP14: “Dissemination, Exploitation and Management of Knowledge” - Carol Turley
WP13:Thresholds or “Tipping Points”
Little things can make a big differenceMajor change can happen rapidly
nonlinear, tipping
1. The tipping point is the critical point (threshold) in an evolving situation that leads to a new and irreversible development (state)
2. The term “tipping point” has been used to describe a change in the environment such that a different environment regime results
Level of confidenceUsing your best judgement, indicate the level of confidence that you feel can be placed in the scientific evidence presented in your submission.Please indicate which of the 9 squares your assessment best fits into. (based on the axes provided in the grid below). Where possible please consult with close colleagues working on this topic for their opinion. Please also refer to the ‘Rationale’ on the next slide
High
Moderate
Low
Low Moderate High
Amount of evidence(theory, observations or models)
Lev
el o
f ag
reem
ent
or
con
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Low
Medium
High
WP13 - The Final Outcome
WP13 will produce, in year 4, a final synthesis report:
• It will be in a format and language suitable for policy-makers
• It will identify thresholds, new states and risks to the marine environment of IPCC AR4 mitigation and non-mitigation scenarios and pathways to CO2 stabilisation
• It will identify potential feedback to climate and associated uncertainties and probabilities
WP14: Dissemination, Exploitation and Management
of Knowledge - Carol Turley
EPOCA will circumvent the hierarchical method of dissemination by:•dealing directly with policy makers through expert groups and committees •the formation of an EPOCA Reference User Group of stakeholders
Methods of Dissemination & Outreach:
• The EPOCA Website: a multifunctional web service for communication, information and education: http://epoca-project.eu/
• Scientific publications in international refereed journals and presentation at conferences
• Research seminars around core themes
• EPOCA Member Activities: on Policy Advisory Committees, Working Groups and Boards
• Formation of the EPOCA Reference User Group of Stakeholders
• Digital material (e.g. flyers and posters) will be available on the EPOCA web site for members to download, distribute and display to authorities, public bodies, agencies, institutions and organisations
• EPOCA Press releases linked to publication of key research findings and other media activities
USB sticks loaded with key material and publications on ocean acidification will be used to target key stakeholders e.g. RUG members
The EPOCA RUG Members
Randy WilliamsCanadian Tourism Industry Association
Chris WestUKCIP
David WelshRolls-Royce
Ed UrbanSCOR
Kristian TelekiUNEP-WCMC
David SantilloGreenpeace
Emily PidgeonConservation Internat.
Kevin NooneIGBP
Evin McGovernMarine Institute
Carl Gustaf LundinIUCN
Jane LubchencoClimate Central
Lynne HaleThe Natural Conservancy
Peter GullestadEuropean Union
Marc GilletONERC
Tony EspieBP
William M. EichbaumWWF
Gail CardewRoyal Institution
Valentina BosettiFEEM
John BaxterSNH
Dr Dan LaffoleyNE & IUCNChairman of RUG
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