Successful Adaptation to Coastal Climate Change
Post on 25-Jun-2015
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Successful Adaptation to Coastal Climate ChangeIdentifying Effective Process and Outcome Characteristics and Practice-Relevant Metrics
The all-star, all-female, three-state
Project Leadership Team
Dr. Pamela Matson (PI) Stanford University
Dr. Susanne Moser (lead co-PI)Susanne Moser Research & Consulting/Stanford
Dr. Amy Snover (co-PI)University of Washington
Dr. Hannah Gosnell (co-PI)Oregon State University
Central Question
What does successful adaptation look like?
…in different physical, ecological, socio-economic, institutional and cultural contexts
that characterize coastal communities
• Scientific perspective: What process and outcome elements could be considered?
• Ethical/normative perspective: Which process and outcome elements should be considered?
• Practical perspective: How can communities measure progress towards successful adaptation, both in the near and long-term?
An Increasingly Pressing QuestionGlobal sea level rise expected to
accelerate with climate warming
High
Interm
ediate 1
Intermediate 2
Low
~7-8 in 1900-2000~16 in by 2050~55 in by 2010
RationaleWhy do coastal managers want to
know?To decide on a particular course of action
To garner the necessary political and social support to commit scarce resources to adaptation
To define defensible and measurable goals
To assess trade-offs among different options
To agree with coastal stakeholders on a preferable strategy
To illustrate reasonable progress and be accountable for the funds committed to policies
Alignment with Sea Grant Goals
National Sea Grant Program Vision: “people live along our coasts in harmony with the natural resources that attracted and sustain them”
Sea Grant Core Values:- strong partnerships- integration of scientific expertise and research - active engagement of stakeholders- extension and education
Touches all focal areas in the 2009-13 Strategic Plan
Project ApproachRooted in existing literatureStepwise engagement of
scientists, and coastal practitioners
Comparative approach◦WA, OR, CA practitioner workshops◦Perspectives from science and
practice◦Extensive stakeholder engagement
during and after project
Approach: Step-by-step1. Literature review
- Scientific literature- Plans, policy documents
Questions: What has been said to-date about adaptation success? What intentions about desirable processes or endpoints can be discerned? What dimensions of success are commonly delineated? What timeframes are (implicitly or explicitly) considered relevant for the
determination of success? What criteria and metrics have been proposed to measure progress toward
adaptation success? Over what temporal and geographic scales is success defined? What social, economic, and ecological endpoints and process aspects are
considered? Are trade-offs recognized, and if so, how are they being discussed or
handled? Is the prospect of unavoidable loss raised, and how is it treated? What, if anything, is unique concerning the coastal adaptation context?
Approach: Step-by-step (cont.)
2. Workshops◦ - Science experts
◦ - Practitioners in each state (incl. preparatory interviews)
◦ - Capstone: Science and practitioners
Day-long interaction and discussion:
◦ Tabletop (pair and small group) activities, and group discussion to elicit participants’ mental models or top-of-mind elements of successful adaptation
◦ Focus on persistent and vexing CZM challenges
◦ Discuss success through various theoretical lenses
◦ Explore metrics of success
◦ Consider different time horizons
◦ Examine trade offs
◦ Explore possibility of developing guidelines, delineating principles, and providing a set of indicators (scorecards)
Expected OutcomesSpecific results of the project include:Clear categorization of “desirable” and
undesirable” outcomes of coastal climate adaptation actions;
Sophisticated articulation of desirable process characteristics (generically, or for particular stakeholders), and why;
Guiding principles on how to assess adaptation options as to their traits, desirability, and potential trade-offs;
Practical success metrics (e.g., existing or new “performance measures”)
Stakeholder Engagement Pre-workshop interviews with
practitioners ◦ identify existing mental models ◦ support development of useful workshops
Practitioner Engagement in Workshops Outreach to Coastal and Other
Stakeholders after the Workshop Series◦ Network of Sea Grant programs and
extension◦ Network of coastal and climate-focused
organizations in each West Coast state◦ Network of adaptation-focused organizations
nationwide◦ Local, state, federal and tribal policymakers
through existing connections◦ National Climate Assessment
Outputs3 Practitioner workshops Peer-reviewed publicationsLay audience publications (coastal
magazines, etc.) Presentation templates for
professional and lay audiencesp/vodcasts for public and
stakeholdersConference presentationsBriefings with policymakers
YOUR QUESTIONS?
Acknowledgments:
• Steve Adams, Adina
Abeles, Stacy Vynne,
and Lara Whitley-
Binder in developing
and executing this
project.
• The West Coast Sea
Grant programs for
core funding, and all
partner institutions for
matching funds.
Contacts
We welcome questions, ideas, and comments:
Susi MoserEmail: promundi@susannemoser.com
Amy SnoverEmail: aksnover@u.washington.edu
Hannah GosnellEmail: gosnellh@geo.oregonstate.edu
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