Resource Slides “Future Talk” with County Councils Extension to Communities.
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Governor’s Strategic Planning Council2010 Goals
1. Iowa Welcomes a Diverse Population
2. Electronically Connected to Each Other and the World
3. Life Sciences Capital of the World
4. A Great Place to Visit and to Live
5. Higher Wages and Income
6. Education for a Lifetime
7. Protecting and Preserving Our Natural Resources
8. Smart Government Works for Iowans
Prepared by
Census Services
Iowa State UniversityExtension to Communities
with support from Iowa PROfiles and Department of Economics
ISU Census Services
Trends inWarren County
Margaret Hanson Georgeann Artz Renea Miller Mark Imerman Willis Goudy
April 2001
1900 1950 2000 20200
10
20
30
40
50
60Thousands
Projected Population Warren County
ISU Census ServicesSource: Woods & Poole Economics, Inc., 2000
Births and DeathsWarren County
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 20000
100
200
300
400
500
600
Births Deaths
ISU Census Services
Natural Change* by DecadeWarren County
1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s
0
2
4
6
-2
-4
-6
Thousands
ISU Census Services* Births minus deaths
Net Migration by DecadeWarren County
1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s
0
2
4
6
-2
-4
-6
Thousands
ISU Census Services
Certified and Projected K-12 Enrollment*Warren County
1995 1997 1999 2000 2002 20040
2
4
6
8
10Thousands
Certified Projected* Includes only public schools ISU Census Services
1978 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 20000%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
*Minority includes Hispanic, Black, Asian American, and American Indian students
State Warren County
Percent Minority* K - 12 Students
ISU Census Services
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35Thousands
State Warren County
Per Capita Income
ISU Census Services
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35Thousands
State Warren County
Adjusted Per Capita Income (1998 dollars)
ISU Census Services
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 19990%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Based on October public and nonpublic school enrollment
State Warren County
Percent of Students Receiving Free or Reduced-Price School Meals
ISU Census Services
Population Under 5 and 75 or OlderWarren County
1940 1950 1990 20000
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
198019701960
ISU Census Services
Under 5 75 or older
Population 2000Warren County
85+80 - 8475 - 7970 - 7465 - 6960 - 6455 - 6950 - 5445 - 4940 - 4435 - 3930 - 3425 - 2920 - 2415 - 1910 - 14
5 - 90 - 4
0%1%2%3%4%5%6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
Male Female
ISU Census Services
Population 1980Warren County
85+80 - 8475 - 7970 - 7465 - 6960 - 6455 - 6950 - 5445 - 4940 - 4435 - 3930 - 3425 - 2920 - 2415 - 1910 - 14
5 - 90 - 4
0%1%2%3%4%5%6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
Male Female
ISU Census Services
Surplus or Leakage of Retail Sales
• An indicator of the economic health of the county’s retail sector
• A positive number means there is a net inflow (surplus) of retail sales into the county
• A negative number means there is a net outflow of retail sales (leakage)
1980 Iowa County Retail Sales Surplus or Leakage
-11%
-25%
-11%
-8%
-17%
-30%
5%
-27%
-18%
-27%
10% -38%
-15%
22%
-4%
-30%
11%
-1%
-5%
-13%
10%
-7%
-16%
-7%
-29%
-28%-25%
-23%
10%
3%
4%
10%
11%
-23%
-13%
-38%
-25%
-32%
-31%
1%
-13%
13%
-28%
-10%
-17%
-5%
-32%
32%
-22%
-18%
-15%
-2%
1%
-28%
-3%
1%
22%
-38%
-39%
-18%
-42% 12%-26%
-4%
-53%
-6%
-22%
-29%-16%
-15%
-3%
6%
-10%
-23%
-16% -18%
34%
-22%
-26%
-27%
-19%
7%0%
5%
-15% -25%
-29%
2%
-44%
-12%
-50% -2%
-36%
28%
-21%-25%
6%
-32%
-20%
Lyon
Sioux
Plym outh
W oodbury
Montgom ery
Harrison
Monona
Pottawattam ie
Mills
Frem ont Page Taylor Ringgold Decatur W ayne Appanoose Davis
Adam s Union Clarke Lucas Monroe W apello Jefferson
Van Buren
Lee
HenryDes
Moines
Cass Adair Madison W arren Marion Mahaska Keokuk W ashington
Louisa
Muscatine
Scott
Cedar
Clinton
JacksonJonesLinn
Johnson
Osceola
O'Brien
Cherokee
Ida
Dickinson
Clay
Buena Vista
Em m et
Palo Alto
Pocahontas
Sac
Crawford
Shelby Audubon
Carroll
Calhoun
Greene
Guthrie
Kossuth
Hum boldt
W ebster
Boone
Dallas Polk Jasper Poweshiek Iowa
Tam a BentonStory Marshall
Ham ilton Hardin Grundy
Black Hawk Buchanan Delaware Dubuque
W right Franklin Butler Brem er
Fayette Clayton
W inneshiek Allam akeeW innebago
Hancock
W orth
Cerro Gordo
Mitchell
Floyd
Howard
Chickasaw
Counties with surplus (n=25)
Counties with leakage (n=74)Note: Rounded to nearest
whole number.
2000 Iowa County Retail Sales Surplus or Leakage
-32%
-48%
-21%
-21%
-55%
-49%
15%
-38%
-37%
-40%
-12% -57%
-59%
6%
-5%
-58%
32%
-25%
-36%
-29%
39%
-35%
-20%
-30%
-53%
-46%-48%
-35%
17%
28%
16%
-2%
-25%
-30%
-49%
-19%
-34%
-60%
-41%
-32%
-53%
-14%
-56%
-37%
-29%
-29%
-41%
9%
-34%
-37%
4%
3%
-19%
-68%
-23%
-9%
26%
-79%
-43%
-46%
-41% -21%-30%
-7%
-63%
-41%
-46%
-43%-25%
-14%
-23%
-40%
-34%
-43%
-38% -52%
42%
5%
-27%
-44%
-44%
26%-32%
-17%
-2% -50%
-58%
13%
-61%
7%
-55% -33%
-56%
32%
-21%-14%
9%
-62%
-26%
Lyon
Sioux
Plym outh
W oodbury
Montgom ery
Harrison
Monona
Pottawattam ie
Mills
Frem ont Page Taylor Ringgold Decatur W ayne Appanoose Davis
Adam s Union Clarke Lucas Monroe W apello Jefferson
Van Buren
Lee
HenryDes
Moines
Cass Adair Madison W arren Marion Mahaska Keokuk W ashington
Louisa
Muscatine
Scott
Cedar
Clinton
JacksonJonesLinn
Johnson
Osceola
O'Brien
Cherokee
Ida
Dickinson
Clay
Buena Vista
Em m et
Palo Alto
Pocahontas
Sac
Crawford
Shelby Audubon
Carroll
Calhoun
Greene
Guthrie
Kossuth
Hum boldt
W ebster
Boone
Dallas Polk Jasper Poweshiek Iowa
Tam a BentonStory Marshall
Ham ilton Hardin Grundy
Black Hawk Buchanan Delaware Dubuque
W right Franklin Butler Brem er
Fayette Clayton
W inneshiek Allam akeeW innebago
Hancock
W orth
Cerro Gordo
Mitchell
Floyd
Howard
Chickasaw
Counties with surplus (n=18)
Counties with leakage (n=81)Note: Rounded to nearest
whole number.
Warren County Surplus or Leakage for Total Taxable Retail Sales
($250)
($200)
($150)
($100)
($50)
$0
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00
Mil
lion
s of
Dol
lars
Warren County Surplus or Leakage by Merchandise Category, 2000
($16.57)
($32.20)
($23.14)
($14.26)
($27.73)
($26.32)
($21.01)
($23.00)
NA
($218.48)
-$250 -$200 -$150 -$100 -$50 $0
Total Sales
Wholesale
Services
Specialty
Home Furnishings
General Merch.
Food
Eating & Drinking
Building Mat.
Apparel
Millions of DollarsNA means data not available.
• Net outflow: payroll exceeds reported earnings (i.e., non-county residents are commuting into the county for work).
• Net inflow: reported earnings exceeds reported payroll (i.e., county residents commuting out of county for work).
• “Balanced”: earnings and reported payroll relatively equal.
Lyon
Sioux
Plym outh
W oodbury
Montgom ery
Harrison
Monona
Pottawattam ie
Mills
Frem ont Page Taylor Ringgold Decatur W ayne Appanoose Davis
Adam s Union Clarke Lucas Monroe W apello Jefferson
Van Buren
Lee
HenryDes
Moines
Cass Adair Madison W arren Marion Mahaska Keokuk W ashington
Louisa
Muscatine
Scott
Cedar
Clinton
JacksonJonesLinn
Johnson
Osceola
O'Brien
Cherokee
Ida
Dickinson
Clay
Buena Vista
Em m et
Palo Alto
Pocahontas
Sac
Crawford
Shelby Audubon
Carroll
Calhoun
Greene
Guthrie
Kossuth
Hum boldt
W ebster
Boone
Dallas Polk Jasper Poweshiek Iowa
Tam a BentonStory Marshall
Ham ilton Hardin Grundy
Black Hawk Buchanan Delaware Dubuque
W right Franklin Butler Brem er
Fayette Clayton
W inneshiek Allam akeeW innebago
Hancock
W orth
Cerro Gordo
Mitchell
Floyd
Howard
Chickasaw
Net Earnings, 1999
Map created by the Rural Data ProjectData Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Net outflow"Balanced"Net inflow
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