Transcript
BOMBAY TRANSPORT CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS.
FOR MUMBAI TRANSPORT FORUM
ByAbhijit MehtaPolitical And Social Analyst
BREAKING NEWS…TRANSPORT RIOTS
BOGOTA2012 Transport Protests
BOGOTA2012 Transport Protests
BOGOTA2012 Transport Protests
BOGOTA2012 Transport Protest
SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests
SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests
SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests
SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests
SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests
MUMBAI’S TRANSPORT CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS.
ByAbhijit MehtaPolitical And Social Analyst
OF THE PEOPLE
BY THE PEOPLE
FOR THE PEOPLE
MUMBAI TRANSPORT
NO WHERE TO GO !!!
A SOLUTION LOOKS ELUSIVE.
GOALS
GOAL
50 % Less Travel Time
GOAL
1 Hour Back To The Citizens
GOAL
90 % Use Public Transportation
GOAL
6 Sq Meter
Density Max
GOALAverage speed
30 KMS/Hr
PLANNING
24/7 Availability
LETS DEFINE THE PROBLEM
DEMAND
AND
SUPPLY
POPULATION TRENDS
NO TRANSPORT
DEVELOPMENTIn Mumbai Suburban District
Above Average Below Average* www.demographia.com/db-mumbaidistr91.htm
Density Per Kilometer
Ward Density per Square Kilometer
C 1,14,001G/S 64,168E 59,505D 57,744B 56,936L 49,006G/N 45,793H/E 42,929P/N 41,651F/N 40,400Average 36,443.79R/S 33,177K/E 32,688K/W 29,956H/W 29,211F/S 28,294N 23,866M/W 21,233M/E 20,765R/N 20,213P/S 17,915A 16,868S 10,800R/C 10,262T 7,270
2001 figures
Above Average Below Average* Ward wise population has been rounded-up
* Source: BUDGET ESTIMATES FOR 2010-11 - CITIZENS DIGEST
Ward PopulationR/S 8,29,000K/E 8,06,000P/N 7,90,000F/N 7,02,000K/W 6,94,000S 6,91,000R/C 6,81,000M/E 6,75,000N 6,15,000G/N 5,91,000L 5,91,000H/E 5,79,000G/S 5,63,000Average 5,32,833T 5,10,000F/S 4,77,000P/S 4,52,000H/W 4,21,000M/W 4,14,000E 4,11,000D 3,79,000R/N 3,64,000A 2,11,000C 2,02,000B 1,40,000
Population per Ward
TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005Source CTS, MMRDA
TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005Source CTS, MMRDA
TRAFFIC NOT LINEAR ANYMORE
Source CTS, MMRDA
UNDERSTANDING DEMAND
Source CTS, MMRDA
UNDERSTANDING DEMAND
Source CTS, MMRDA
UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY
UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY
50,000 Peak Hour Peak Direction Traffic
(Per track, 12 car rake, 3 minute headway at 7 persons per SqMtr)Source CTS, MMRDA
BEST BUS SERVICEFleet: 4,680
Daily ridership: 4.5 million
MORE AUTOS ???246,458 auto rickshaws
MORE TAXIS ???58,000 In Greater Mumbai
MORE
PRIVATE
VEHICLES ???
DO WE HAVE THE
SPACE TO
E X PA N D ?
PLANNING
DELHI METROAlready Over loaded.
PLANNING FOR UNDER CAPACITY
PLANNING
52 % Walk To Work
Source CTS, MMRDA
PLANNING
100 % Increase in Demand
Source: MRVC
PLANNING
Planning for People instead of vehicles.
DEMAND(Current)
175,000PHPDT
100,000PHPDT
80,000PHPDT
DEMAND(2030)
350,000PHPDT
200,000PHPDT
160,000PHPDT
NO MORE BAND AID SOLUTIONS
THE QUALITY OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT SHOULD BE
BETTER THEN THE PRIVATE TRANSPORT.
Speed Cost Comfort
ALTERNATE PLANMinimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
MINIMUM OF 50,000 PHPDT PER SYSTEM
ALTERNATE PLANMinimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
5 Major Systems on
North - South Direction
3 Major Systems on
East - West Direction
ALTERNATE PLANMinimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
1 Major Systems on
North - South Directionupto Dhanu with one and
half hour connectivity to city centre
2 Major Systems on
East - West Directionupto Kalyan and Panvel with
one hour connectivity to city centre
GOVT PLAN
GOVT PLANComprehensive Transport Plan
2005
METRO SYSTEMSComprehensive Transport Plan
2005
SUBURBAN RAILComprehensive Transport Plan
2005
HIGHWAY SYSTEMSComprehensive Transport Plan
2005
MUMBAI METRO10 yrs to complete 11 kms
EASTERN EXPRESS FREEWAYConceptualized in 1962
Bombay Traffic And Transportation Study 1961
MONO RAILA Ride To No WhereCost: US$470 million
OUR PLAN
YOU
WALK
200 Meters
Every200 Meters
BRTS
Every2 Kms
Every2 Kms
Traveling in North - South Direction
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
BRTS
Every5 Kms
Every5 Kms
Traveling in East - West Direction
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
BRTS
Every200 Meters
Every2 KmsNorth - South
Travel
Every5 KmsEast - West
Travel
Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system
OPTIONSNew Age Transport Systems
Light Rail
High Capacity Trams
DOUBLE DECKER BUS
DOUBLE ARTICULATED BUSES
DOUBLE DECKER SUBURBAN TRAINS
B R T S
MASSIVE METRO
Great Walking Environment
FUNDING
FINANCING
The goal of a good transport network is to improve the quality of
life of the citizens.
FINANCING
The Return On Investment should be calculated based on the increase
of city level productivity.
FINANCING
A
SPV(Special Purpose Vehicle)
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
This entity will own and operate all
public transportation in
Bombay
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
All purchases and sales by this entity
will betax free
Why Tax something that is going to benefit thegeneral population?
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
This cuts the over all costs by
20%
BR
People
SPV
Govt
TaxPeople Govt
BR
Tax Free BondsPeople
SPV
BR
Govt Bonds
SPV
Govt
BR
Buy Bonds
SPV
Govt
BR
Buy Share in SPV via IPO
People
SPV
BR
ReturnsMoney
SPV
Govt
B
People
SPV Govt Govt
B
SPV
People
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
A special tax free bond up-to
200,000per person
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
A special tax free bond up-to
10,000,000 OR 40% Tax Liability
for Small & Medium Business
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
A special tax free bond up-to 25% of
Taxable Incomefor
Major Business(Revenue of 1,000crs+)
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
Donation to this entity will be considered as part of
2% CSR activity
ALL MAJOR TRANSITTransit Oriented Development
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
T-O-Dwill compensate for all
revenue deficitfrom
fare box revenues.(Operations and Maintenance)
Thru this model In theory Public Transport can be free.
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
Dis-investment of
20%thru Proposed IPO in first
3-5 yrs.of operations
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
Dis-investment of next
30%after another
5 yrs.of operations
S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)
This makes the entire project revenue neutral
in just a decade
IMPLEMENTATION
11/2 Year
Planning
IMPLEMENTATION
5 Years
Executing
IMPLEMENTATION2014 - 2015
Planning 2016 - 2021 Execution
PLANNING
24/7 Availability
GOAL
6 Sq Meter
Density Max
GOAL
90 % Use Public Transportation
GOALAverage speed
30 KMS/Hr
GOAL
1 Hour Back To The Citizens
GOAL
50 % Less Travel Time
GOAL ACHIEVED
WE CANNOT KEEPING
SOLVING
YESTERDAY'S PROBLEM
TOMORROW
WE NEED TO THINK
BIG
WE NEED TO PLAN FOR
Tomorrow
OF THE PEOPLE
BY THE PEOPLE
FOR THE PEOPLE
MUMBAI TRANSPORT
THANK YOU
Abhijit Mehtawww.abhijitmehta.com
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