Mumbai Transport Plan Full Version

BOMBAY TRANSPORT CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS.

FOR MUMBAI TRANSPORT FORUM

ByAbhijit MehtaPolitical And Social Analyst

BREAKING NEWS…TRANSPORT RIOTS

BOGOTA2012 Transport Protests

BOGOTA2012 Transport Protests

BOGOTA2012 Transport Protests

BOGOTA2012 Transport Protest

SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests

SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests

SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests

SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests

SAO PAULOJune 2013, Transport Protests

MUMBAI’S TRANSPORT CHALLENGES & SOLUTIONS.

ByAbhijit MehtaPolitical And Social Analyst

OF THE PEOPLE

BY THE PEOPLE

FOR THE PEOPLE

MUMBAI TRANSPORT

NO WHERE TO GO !!!

A SOLUTION LOOKS ELUSIVE.

GOALS

GOAL

50 % Less Travel Time

GOAL

1 Hour Back To The Citizens

GOAL

90 % Use Public Transportation

GOAL

6 Sq Meter

Density Max

GOALAverage speed

30 KMS/Hr

PLANNING

24/7 Availability

LETS DEFINE THE PROBLEM

DEMAND

AND

SUPPLY

POPULATION TRENDS

NO TRANSPORT

DEVELOPMENTIn Mumbai Suburban District

Above Average Below Average* www.demographia.com/db-mumbaidistr91.htm

Density Per Kilometer

Ward Density per Square Kilometer

C 1,14,001G/S 64,168E 59,505D 57,744B 56,936L 49,006G/N 45,793H/E 42,929P/N 41,651F/N 40,400Average 36,443.79R/S 33,177K/E 32,688K/W 29,956H/W 29,211F/S 28,294N 23,866M/W 21,233M/E 20,765R/N 20,213P/S 17,915A 16,868S 10,800R/C 10,262T 7,270

2001 figures

Above Average Below Average* Ward wise population has been rounded-up

* Source: BUDGET ESTIMATES FOR 2010-11 - CITIZENS DIGEST

Ward PopulationR/S 8,29,000K/E 8,06,000P/N 7,90,000F/N 7,02,000K/W 6,94,000S 6,91,000R/C 6,81,000M/E 6,75,000N 6,15,000G/N 5,91,000L 5,91,000H/E 5,79,000G/S 5,63,000Average 5,32,833T 5,10,000F/S 4,77,000P/S 4,52,000H/W 4,21,000M/W 4,14,000E 4,11,000D 3,79,000R/N 3,64,000A 2,11,000C 2,02,000B 1,40,000

Population per Ward

TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005Source CTS, MMRDA

TRAFFIC LOAD IN 2005Source CTS, MMRDA

TRAFFIC NOT LINEAR ANYMORE

Source CTS, MMRDA

UNDERSTANDING DEMAND

Source CTS, MMRDA

UNDERSTANDING DEMAND

Source CTS, MMRDA

UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY

UNDERSTANDING SUPPLY

50,000 Peak Hour Peak Direction Traffic

(Per track, 12 car rake, 3 minute headway at 7 persons per SqMtr)Source CTS, MMRDA

BEST BUS SERVICEFleet: 4,680

Daily ridership: 4.5 million

MORE AUTOS ???246,458 auto rickshaws

MORE TAXIS ???58,000 In Greater Mumbai

MORE

PRIVATE

VEHICLES ???

DO WE HAVE THE

SPACE TO

E X PA N D ?

PLANNING

DELHI METROAlready Over loaded.

PLANNING FOR UNDER CAPACITY

PLANNING

52 % Walk To Work

Source CTS, MMRDA

PLANNING

100 % Increase in Demand

Source: MRVC

PLANNING

Planning for People instead of vehicles.

DEMAND(Current)

175,000PHPDT

100,000PHPDT

80,000PHPDT

DEMAND(2030)

350,000PHPDT

200,000PHPDT

160,000PHPDT

NO MORE BAND AID SOLUTIONS

THE QUALITY OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT SHOULD BE

BETTER THEN THE PRIVATE TRANSPORT.

Speed Cost Comfort

ALTERNATE PLANMinimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system

MINIMUM OF 50,000 PHPDT PER SYSTEM

ALTERNATE PLANMinimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system

5 Major Systems on

North - South Direction

3 Major Systems on

East - West Direction

ALTERNATE PLANMinimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system

1 Major Systems on

North - South Directionupto Dhanu with one and

half hour connectivity to city centre

2 Major Systems on

East - West Directionupto Kalyan and Panvel with

one hour connectivity to city centre

GOVT PLAN

GOVT PLANComprehensive Transport Plan

2005

METRO SYSTEMSComprehensive Transport Plan

2005

SUBURBAN RAILComprehensive Transport Plan

2005

HIGHWAY SYSTEMSComprehensive Transport Plan

2005

MUMBAI METRO10 yrs to complete 11 kms

EASTERN EXPRESS FREEWAYConceptualized in 1962

Bombay Traffic And Transportation Study 1961

MONO RAILA Ride To No WhereCost: US$470 million

OUR PLAN

YOU

WALK

200 Meters

Every200 Meters

BRTS

Every2 Kms

Every2 Kms

Traveling in North - South Direction

Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system

BRTS

Every5 Kms

Every5 Kms

Traveling in East - West Direction

Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system

BRTS

Every200 Meters

Every2 KmsNorth - South

Travel

Every5 KmsEast - West

Travel

Minimum of 50,000 PHPDT per system

OPTIONSNew Age Transport Systems

Light Rail

High Capacity Trams

DOUBLE DECKER BUS

DOUBLE ARTICULATED BUSES

DOUBLE DECKER SUBURBAN TRAINS

B R T S

MASSIVE METRO

Great Walking Environment

FUNDING

FINANCING

The goal of a good transport network is to improve the quality of

life of the citizens.

FINANCING

The Return On Investment should be calculated based on the increase

of city level productivity.

FINANCING

A

SPV(Special Purpose Vehicle)

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

This entity will own and operate all

public transportation in

Bombay

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

All purchases and sales by this entity

will betax free

Why Tax something that is going to benefit thegeneral population?

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

This cuts the over all costs by

20%

BR

People

SPV

Govt

TaxPeople Govt

BR

Tax Free BondsPeople

SPV

BR

Govt Bonds

SPV

Govt

BR

Buy Bonds

SPV

Govt

BR

Buy Share in SPV via IPO

People

SPV

BR

ReturnsMoney

SPV

Govt

B

People

SPV Govt Govt

B

SPV

People

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

A special tax free bond up-to

200,000per person

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

A special tax free bond up-to

10,000,000 OR 40% Tax Liability

for Small & Medium Business

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

A special tax free bond up-to 25% of

Taxable Incomefor

Major Business(Revenue of 1,000crs+)

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

Donation to this entity will be considered as part of

2% CSR activity

ALL MAJOR TRANSITTransit Oriented Development

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

T-O-Dwill compensate for all

revenue deficitfrom

fare box revenues.(Operations and Maintenance)

Thru this model In theory Public Transport can be free.

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

Dis-investment of

20%thru Proposed IPO in first

3-5 yrs.of operations

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

Dis-investment of next

30%after another

5 yrs.of operations

S P V (Special Purpose Vehicle)

This makes the entire project revenue neutral

in just a decade

IMPLEMENTATION

11/2 Year

Planning

IMPLEMENTATION

5 Years

Executing

IMPLEMENTATION2014 - 2015

Planning 2016 - 2021 Execution

PLANNING

24/7 Availability

GOAL

6 Sq Meter

Density Max

GOAL

90 % Use Public Transportation

GOALAverage speed

30 KMS/Hr

GOAL

1 Hour Back To The Citizens

GOAL

50 % Less Travel Time

GOAL ACHIEVED

WE CANNOT KEEPING

SOLVING

YESTERDAY'S PROBLEM

TOMORROW

WE NEED TO THINK

BIG

WE NEED TO PLAN FOR

Tomorrow

OF THE PEOPLE

BY THE PEOPLE

FOR THE PEOPLE

MUMBAI TRANSPORT

THANK YOU

Abhijit Mehtawww.abhijitmehta.com