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K

Koninkrijk der Netherlanden

WWF Mongolia

2009

UND

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Typewritten Text
62806

: : ,

- 2010 1-

25-

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:

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:

(PhD) .

Rich Harris (PhD)

C. ( )

.

.

. (PhD) .

. . . . . . . .

2009

,

,

: - 2010 1- 15-

.

: 2010 ... …- .

2009

2

2010

(Ovis ammon L.,1758), (Capra sibirica L.,1758)

,

: . (Ph.D)

: .

: Richard Harris

2010

2009

3

............................................................................................................... 4

................................................................................................ 5-8

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, ........................................................................................................ 10

.............................................................10-20

..................................................... 20-21

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……………… 22-28

, ( )............. 28-109

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..................................................................................... 98-106

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.................................................................................. 110-113

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2009

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2009

6

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.

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(Ovis ammon),

(Capra sibirica) . 2

, .

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752085.85 48732.59 6.48 50215.4 6.68 1482.8

2009

24

10- .

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10- .

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(10 2, 2009)

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86 55985.9

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. .

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56 , 56 38 .

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11.8%

. 50

40 .

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/ .

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11 .

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51

, , , ,

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12- .

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2247 2 591

Rich Harris .

2001

,

.

2004

,

. 2009 2004

13%-

,

.

2009

52

.

591

.

.

.

1315,9 ² .

24 7 93

414 591

.

multiply survey 4 -

25,14

² (S=2 R) .

527,52 ² 414 .

1315,9 ² [=1315,9*414/

(2*3,14*4*21)] 1000±33 .

,

.

.

:

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122.18 2;

- 61.83 2,

98.56 2, 120.20 2, 28.19 2,

47.87 2;

2009

53

- 254.32 2

.

1335.0 2

,

.

15- .

,

1 78

.

13- .

2009

54

2004

: : : 1.2:3.8:1:1.7 .

/13- /.

- 2004 100:45

(90%) .

- 26% /

, 2004/.

, ,

2004 , -

, .

3430 2 8972

( , 2004).

, 2009

, - ,

.

8- .

/ 2/

/ /

1

150.16 800-1000

2

89.70 50

3

68.33 200

4 ,

122.18 300

5

219.91 2000

6

50.89 100

7 , , ,

,

356.65 620

8

254.32 500

1312.14 4570-4770

76 1 .

, , ,

2009

55

, , , , , ,

o

1:500,000 .

1335 2 1900

.

, ,

( , 2008). ,

6 , 7

. , 2001

1991

19.8%- , 15.6-24%- . 2001

, ,

,

. 2004

2001 8%-

45%- 2 .

, .

2004, 2009

79.8%- 100 28.1%-

20.7%- , 32%- .

.

, .

, ,

.

2009

56

,

,

.

,

.

, , , ,

. ,

.

, ,

.

, ,

,

.

,

, ,

, ,

.

,

, .

2007 217255

, 2005 199733 -

. 2008 2004

893 - ,

1472 - ,

. 2007

2003 24 ,

24 , 92 ,1 ( , 2004) ,

.

, .

. (6.7%)

2009

57

.

,

, ,

.

, ,

,

.

,

,

,

,

.

1. , ,

,

.

“ ”

, .

,

,

. “ ” - 2009

2003 72.5%- , 2007

51.2%- ,

.

,

2009

58

, .

.

2.

.

, , , GPS, , ,

.

.

3. ( )

4.

,

5.

,

6. , , ,

7.

,

,

8. ,

,

.

. , ,

.

.

.

. 2

.

2009

59

. .

80%-

, 14 272 .

216

341 . 5 ,

2 .

33 780 .

1246

2200 . 4 ,

2 .

.

1992

.

,

, , .

16- . , 2009

2009

60

17- . , 2009

9- .

1 1992 3000 5000

2 2001 2000 - ,

3 2007 476 4191 , , “ ”

4 2008 690 3444 “

5 2009

10

2311 4532 , “

, , ,

.

.

341 .

2009

61

2001

.

Richard Harris- .

3172,6 ² .

2 10 11 183 .

multiply survey 4 -

18,84 ²

(S=2 R) .

251,2 ² 272 .

3172,6 ² [=3172,6*272/(2*3,14*4*10)] 2300±11

.

, ,

4 144 39

27.1% , 60 41.6% , 23 16% ,

22 15.3% .

: : : 27.1%:41.6%:16%:15.3% .

1:0.6 : 1:0.3,

: 1:0.4 .

, , , ,

27 1273

.

. 5-128 (10- ).

10- . (2009 10 )

1-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-

3 4 1 1 1 3

9 51 24 36 49 259

2.1% 11.9% 5.6% 8.4% 11.4% 60.5%

, ,

2009

62

,

.

, , ,

. , , , ,

, .

, ,

.

, ,

,

. ,

, 2000-2003 4

, 2001-2002 .

, .

:

o .

, 2002-2004

. .

o

, .

o ,

, , .

1990-

.

,

.

.

,

2009

63

.

1992 ,

,

.

, . , ,

, ,

, , , 3

163 , 2 115 , 2, 2

.

,

.

,

, ,

. .

. -

12162 215 12 72

( 3-10) 85.8% . 50

.

16 83 . 12 6-

. 1-13- ( x =5.2, SD = 3.4).

83 , 38 , 20 , 16 , 9

. (> 2 ) ,

.

2 (hazard rate key function with a maximum

of 2 cosine adjustments, half-normal key function with maximum of 2 cosine

adjustments) ,

. 1,236 (SE = 282m)

0.321 / 2 (95%

2009

64

0.137 – 0.753), 12,162 2 1556 (95%- 1,666 - 9,158)

.

2001 -

6 6263,84 2

,

69.5% .

-

. , . 2007 -

27.3%-

.

2009 ( “ ” ),

, ,

, ( ) ( “ ”

) , .

,

.

- , ,

, - “ ” , - ,

,

.

,

.

- , ,

, , ,

, ,

.

.

. , ,

, , ,

, , , ,

2009

65

.

(5- 11- )

, ,

,

.

.

,

.

2003

2-3 .

, ,

, .

, ,

,

.

3719 7 . . 3707

, 6 . . 343 ,

3 . . 3397 ,

. . 3526 .

, , , ,

, - “ ” “ ”

.

, ,

, .

,

, .

2009

66

- :

- ,

.

. 624,22 2 .

.

- 190 2 .

, -

.

. 60

.

- 638.70 2

2 .

.

- - - ,

136.9 2

,

- ,

,

.

- , 393,59 2 .

- 316.82 2

.

,

. ,

,

, ,

.

.

2009

67

18- . -

2001

-

, , , 670 2 40

, , , ,

650 2 20 , ,

2470 2 90 , ( ) , ,

780 2 200 , 6364 2 380

.

3164 2 380

, 1000 - 0.6 .

-

. , . 2007

2009

68

, , , ,

, 57 .

2009 ,

, - “ ” , , ,

, 16 83

(11- ).

11- . -

-

2 14 10 4 3 13 4 7 2

3 9 5 4 , 2 7 3 2 2

3 14 4 4 2 3 1 3 26 5 13 8

16 83 31 26 14 11

2 14, 3 13,

3 9, 2 7, - -

3 14, 3 26

.

258.28 2 14,

2057.57 2 13, , 597.59 2

9, 1228.27 2 7, - -

820.97 2 14, 258.28 2 26

.

12- .

2007 2009

- 14

- 13

- 9

- 7

- - 7 14

25 26

- 25 -

57 83

2009

69

, , , ,

, .

- , 2007 7 2009

14 . 2007 25

2009 26 .

,

.

, .

14 - . ,

2001

1:1.4, 1:1.5, 1:1.7 2007

: : : 2.3: 4.8: 1: 1.1 . :

1:2.07, 1:4.8, 1:4.1

.

3 (21.4%)

, (35.7%) , 6 (42.9%) .

,

1: 5.8 .

-

2001 -

6364 2 380 .

2009

70

-

. , . 2007 -

4.597 484±24

. 2001

27.3%- .

1-13- ( x =5.2, SD = 3.4). 83

, 38 , 20 , 16 , 9 .

(> 2 ) ,

.

2 (hazard rate key function with a maximum of 2

cosine adjustments, half-normal key function with maximum of 2 cosine adjustments)

, .

1,236 (SE = 282m)

0.321 / 2 (95% 0.137 – 0.753),

12,162 2 1550 .

2009 , 2001

.

-

.

3900 .

.

.

- 6449,7 ² .

2 11 11 50

.

- multiply survey 4 -

25,2

² (S=2 R) .

207,2 ² 50 .

6449,7 ² [=6449,7*50/(2*3,14*4*11)] 1550±6

.

2009

71

-

1:500,000

, .

. - 32

314 . 7 34

. 12

140

. , 13 314

258-

135 , 71 , 34 , 18 .

(> 2 ) ,

.

, ,

, . , -

, , , -

, ,

.

6 78

. 14

.

:

, , , , ,

, , , , , ,

, , , -

, , , , ,

, , , , ,

, , , , , ,

, , , , ,

, , , , , ,

, , , ,

, , , , ,

, , , ,

, , - , , ,

, , , , , ,

2009

72

, , , , , , -

, , , , , ,

, , .

2006

281 10 2 12,54

.

, , ,

, , , ,

, , ,

, , 1155,6 2,

, , , , , , ,

, , , ,

, , 2 , ,

, , , , ,

, , ,

.

19- .

2009

73

- “ ”

.

. , ,

. , , ,

, .

100 .

-

,

, .

, ,

. ,

,

. 8 10

.

2007

, ,

.

, ,

.

13- . -

2007 2009 - 71

- 112 - 3

- 14 - 14

- 7 - - 14

- 30 197 47

- 16 4 -

11 - 26 -

2 - 1 -

241 328

2009

74

, ,

,

,

, .

14- . ,

-

2009 32 328 129 77 38 17 54

2007 6 241 23 99 90 29

2007 241 23 (9.5%) , 99 (41%)

, 90 (37.3) , 29 (12.2%) 2009

32 328 , 129 (39.3%),

77 (23.4%), 38 (11.5%), 17 (5.1%) .

2007 2009 ,

. , 2007

2009 16 .

, .

, , ,

.

,

.

-

-

. , . -

21543,07 2 5720±286

1000 - 2.6 .

13 154

.

1,865m, (SE = 92m)

0.404 / 2 (95%

0.195 – 0.837), 12,162 2 3

2009

75

4913 (95%- 2,372 - 10,180)

.

.

10 , , , , ,

, , .

- ,

.

.

. , (16

83 )

.

,

. -

, . -

, .

.

.

15000

.

.

.

. 2001

6 3142,38 2

, , - ,

,

. 2009 ,

, - , ,

,

.

2009

76

, ,

(2001 ). ,

. 2

, .

.

.

.

,

.

,

(2001 ) .

2008

,

. -

,

. -

2009 10- 10- 2010

5-

.

2009

77

20- .

- , ,

(2001 ) .

, -

. ,

. .

,

(2001 ) .

.

2009

78

(2001 ).

.

,

(2001 )

, .

(20- ).

,

1<5 6 ( 40,0%)

18 ( 12,6%), 6<10

5 ( 33,3%) 42 (

29,4%), 11<15 2 ( 13,3%)

27 ( 18,9%), 16<20 1 (

6,7%) 16 (

11,2%), 31<40 1 ( 6,7%) 40

( 28,0%) (15- ) .

15- .

, 100:62.5, , 100:6.3, ,

100:34.4 .

6.3% 34.4% .

, ,

15 143 14

62 . 20

2009

79

14.0% , 32 22.4% , 2 1.4%

, 11 7.7% . 12

4,393 ² 3,561 ²

50 95%-

444-927,

572 .

2009

49,3%- .

.

( ) .

. ,

, , , .

, ,

,

, .

.

. ( ) 6

39 310 .

1- 50- ( x =7.9, SD = 9.1). 192 ,

90 , 53 , 1 , 48 .

(> 2 ) ,

. , ,

1,160 -2,368, 4

1,756 . , .

1000 .

, 50-60

2009

80

, .

.

, 50-60

. , ,

, ,

.

, ,

50-60, 10-20, 10 ,

. 2-3

,

. ,

. 2

10 . 21-

.

21- .

4 (2 , 2 ) . ,

, , , ,

2009

81

.

, (22- ).

2568.9 2 330

100 - 1.3 .

22- .

3 12 , 2 ,

2 .

.

31 23-

8,743 2 80.8% . 194 (

1-41). 112 .

17 102 . 23 11-

. 1- 22- ( x = 4.6, SD = 4.7).

2009

82

66 , 41 , 15 , 3 , 7

. (> 2 )

, .

half-

normal key function with maximum of 2 cosine adjustments

1,006 (SE = 140 ).

0.275 / 2 (95% 0.137 – 0.555),

2,404 2 2,123 (95% 1,198 - 4,852)

.

2001

14 9937 2 3044

6.1% , , , , 4.8%

, , , , 3.2%

, , , .

- 473 2 60 ,

, 316 2 50 , - ,

481 2 140 , 570 2 110 , , 348 2

90 , , 86,0 2

50 , , , ,

1792 2 1150 , - 42 2 20 , , , 1395 2 280 , , , 1040 2

460 , 629 2

210 ( 2001).

2007

8890.77 2 956

, 1000 - 1.06

.

4945.8 2 2018

, 1000 - 4.08

( 2007).

2009

83

10- , 683 2

.

2007 100 , 553 2008

48 192 , 108 743

.

-

.

- , , ,

, , ,

, , , ,

, , , ,

251 (

) . ,

11 175 , 77

. ,

11 25 , 24 ,

, , .

,

.

G-10 9 32 , 23

. -

,

. ,

.

6 5.3

28 12 , 3 , 5 , 8

. 43 %- ,

1.5:1

.

2009

84

4 23 5.75

.

.

. 9 35 , .

6 5.83

, .

20 11 , 3 , 2 , 4 .

55 , 15 , 10 , 20

. ,

. 3.66:1

.

9

2008

, – , –

. ,

.

, 21 44 , 9 .

.

. - ,

.

.

, ,

.

. 9

4.88 .

.

33 13 , 8 , 7 , 5 .

2009

85

40 , 24 , 21

, 15 . 2.66:1

.

1.66:1 .

3 .

, .

. 3 .

12 12 , 1 .

2007 , ,

. 3

4 . 2 8

.

, ,

. 24

29 , 2 .

, , ,

,

.

.

13 2.2

1 . 26 11

, 3 , 8 , 4 . 42

, 12 , 31 , 15 .

2.8:1

. 3.5:1 .

9 2 , .

21

, 7 , ,

.

.

2009

86

. , .

3 ,

, , “ ”, “ ”

.

( ) 10

14 .

. 6

2.5 8 3 , 1 , 2 ,

2 . 1.48:1 ,

2.8: 1 2.8 .

.

3 14 ,

9

. 3 2 , 6 , 1 , 2 .

2 . ,

.

. 2007 3

. 10

.

. 2

.

14 3 5 .

.

.

. . .

17 22 .

, ,

, .

.

2009

87

7 25 .

.

23- .

. , ,

.

2001, 2007

,

. 2001 9937 2

4044

.

25 14 56% , 7 28%

, 4 16% .

, , ,

.

,

, (568,48 2), (113,65 2) . ,

, , ,

. 5 24

.

2009

88

24 4 17% , 11 46% , 1

4% , 6 25% 2 8%-

.

.

24- .

,

1990- . , .

1995 1000 - 5,7 , 0,8 , 1996

1000 - 6,4 , 1,2 .

1995 2977, 1996 3333 , 1997

3250±1071 3000-3300

(Reading R.P 1997).

2001

14 9937 2 3044

1000 - 3.1 ( . 2001).

2007

8890.77 2 956

1000 - 1.06

. 4945.8 2 2018

, 1000 - 4.08

( 2007).

2009

89

31 23-

8,743 2 80.8% . 194 (

1-41). 112 .

17 102 . 23 11-

. 1-22- ( x = 4.6, SD = 4.7). 66

, 41 , 15 , 3 , 7

. (> 2 )

, .

.

half-normal key function with maximum of 2 cosine adjustments

1,006 (SE

= 140 ). 0.275 / 2 (95% 0.137 –

0.555), 2404 (95% 1,198 - 4,852)

.

13 6

. 249 109- , 78 , 6 , 2

, 23 . 52 (190 ) distance

. 2 (hazard rate key function

with a maximum of 2 cosine adjustments, half-normal key function with maximum of 2

cosine adjustments) 530

(SE = 682 ). 1.524 / 2 (95%

0.877 – 2.65), 12,162 2

13324 (95% CI 7,671 - 23,169)

.

2009

90

16- .

2000- 3000

2001 2007

. , ,

2000

. 2009 2404

, . 2007

( , , , )

.

,

,

.

.

, . ,

.

, .

2009

91

,

.

( X = 530 )

.

,

,

.

,

.

. ,

.

, .

.

, .

, , , ,

.

200 1 2009 10- 15-

. - 10 12- 7

.

2009

92

.

1401 2 24 21-

11 .

25- .

72 . 19 142 .

1-17- ( x = 7.5, SD =4.6). 142 ,

84 , 26 , 7 , 25 .

half-normal key function

with maximum of 2 cosine adjustments

894 (SE = 1160 ).

0.595 / 2 (95% 0.298 – 1.188), 1,401 2 834

(95% 417 - 1,664) .

1

11 ( ) .

, .

2009

93

26- .

2009 10- 6- 57 , 10-

8- 11 .

, , .

.

0.6 / 2 .

, .

, .

.

11 4,010.05 2

8 3,587.6 2 , 6

494.22 2 , ,

. 2009 11 . - ,

, , , ,

2009

94

,

.

- - , , ,

, , , ,

,

.

27- .

46 293

20 (8%) , 176 (75,%) , 3(1%) , 37 (16%)

. 2-12

2007 2009

0,6%- 1,2%, 11,2%, 1,8%- .

: : : 6,7:58,7:1:12,3 .

1,7% .

98,3 .

- 58,7:1

.

2009

95

, :

2007 1.6:1 2009 4.8:1 .

,

,

, , .

2001

, 410 2 100 ,

186 2 20 , ,

410 2 110 , 886 2

10 , , , , ,

, , 957 2 200 ,

, 421 2 60 ,

342 2 20 , - 155 2

30 , 157 2 20 ,

, 126 2 110

, 3924 2 850 .

21 18- (

4,439 km2 96%). 108 6 . 90

( 2-9) . 49

. 46 293 . 1-27-

( x = 6.2, SD =5.9). 236 ,

176 , 20 , 3 , 37 .

half-normal

key function with maximum of 2 cosine adjustments

619 (SE = 1370 ).

1.084 / 2 (95% 0.339 – 3.471), 4,439 2

2330 .

2007 2001 1,5%-

2009 2007 0,7%- .

2007 2001 1,3%- , 2009 2007 30,6%-

.

2009

96

.

4800

.

.

.

1723,5 ² .

46 58 293

.

49 multiply survey

.

line transect 108

, 2 -

216 ² .

216 ² 293 .

1723,5 ² [=1723,5*293/216] 2338

.

5 1564.7 2

.

, ,

, , ,

.

2009

97

28- . , 2009

,

. ,

, - , ,

, , ,

14 75 .

.

7

,

10 (28,6%) , 16 (45,7%) , 2 (5,7%) ,

32 (20%) .

: : : 5:8:1:3,2 . :

8:1 . :

8:3,2 43,8%- . , ,

,

. 2007 2665.4 2

. 2009 21 6- .

1-20- ( x = 5.3, SD =5.1). 35 ,

16 , 10 , 2 , 7 .

2009

98

half-normal key function with maximum

of 2 cosine adjustments

703 (SE = 65 ).

0.634 / 2 (95%

0.2889 – 1.392), 4439 2 1520 (95%

1,278 - 6,179) .

. :

1.

2. ,

,

3. ,

,

4. ,

5.

.

5 (310, 75, 6, 5,35) , 1 6 , 4 , 1

.

Distance sampling

, .

,

. ,

K.

.

, , (40-50 ),

, (10- ), (10

), (60-70 ), , , (3-4),

2009

99

(15 ), , , , (100

), (10), , , (20 ),

, , , , , ,

, , , , , ,

, , , ,

, , , , ,

, , , , , , ,

, , , , , ,

9825,4 2 (29- ).

, , ,

. , ,

. .

. ,

. .

,

.

1-32

. 1-5 (14 ) 41,2%-

. 1-10 70,6%- . 15-

, 17- .

15- .

% % 1- 5 14 36 41.2 11.0 6- 10 10 80 29.4 24.4 11- 15 2 24 5.9 7.3 16-20 3 55 8.8 16.8 21-25 2 44 5.9 13.4 25-30 2 57 5.9 17.4 31-35 1 32 2.9 9.8

2009

100

17- .

0.05.0

10.015.020.025.030.035.040.045.0

1- 5 6- 10 11- 15 16-20 21-25 25-30 31-35

% %

, 1- 22

(..- , ..- ). 1-5 (49)

69,0%- . 1-10 87,3%-

63,8% .

16- .

% % 1- 5 49 143 69.01 38.34 6- 10 13 95 18.31 25.47 11- 15 6 78 8.45 20.91 16-20 2 35 2.82 9.38 21-25 1 22 1.41 5.90

71 373 100.00 100.00 14.20 74.60 20.00 20.00

SE 8.95 21.73 12.61 5.82

18- .

2009

101

, .

, , 34 328

. 282

86.6% .

: : : 23,4: 69,9: 3,2: 3,5 .

67 .

, 841 -3,561, 4

2050 .

.

. 324 .

~ 121 32

189 . DISTANCE 1.63

/ 2 (95% 0.59 – 3.29) , 539 (95%

196-1,082) .

– 467 .

24-98, 58.1 . 4

19-223-

91.4 . 25 8

(7 , 1 ) ( 12 ). 7 .

461 (95%- 278 – 643), 191 (95%-

81 – 379), 652 (%- 359-1,022) 779

(95%- 269 – 1,289), 268 (95%-

5 – 820), 1,047 (%- 274 – 2,109)

.

( ) 2773 .

2009

102

29- .

,

, , -

.

- 2009 9, 10, 11-

.

98 941 . 1-5

35,7%- , 1-10 66,39-

. 10-

.

2009

103

16- . -

% % 1- 5 35 119 35.71 12.65 6- 10 30 230 30.61 24.44 11- 15 15 194 15.31 20.62 16-20 9 161 9.18 17.11 21-25 5 109 5.10 11.58 26-30 2 55 2 6 31-35 0 0 0 0 36-40 2 73 2 8

98 941 100 100 12.25 117.63 12.50 12.50

SE 4.75 26.78 4.85 2.85

19- .

6 22

, .

,

. -

2000 .

2009 9, 10, 11-

. 3

: : : 26,9: 41,8:

12,6: 18,7 (20- ).

2009

104

20- . -

100 ,

10 ,

10 , 120

.

30- .

2009

105

2008 12-

.

.

- .

.

, -

“ ”

10 .

.

, .

, , ,

, , , , ,

GPS, .

,

, ,

.

, ,

. 2000 ,

2005

.

. 10

3 1000- .

2 ,

.

2009

106

.

.

.

. , New Juulchin tour

1 .

( ) .

2005

( - ) 4

.

.

.

. -

.

.

-

.

.

.

, , , , ,

6 , 2 .

. .

1976 , 2 100

- . ,

. . ,

2009

107

19 140 . 139

. : : :

18,7:56,8:2,9:21,6 .

17- .

100 5,1 38,0

.

.

.

.

.

. .

-

.

2009

108

, , , ,

14 682,5 2 180

.

31- .

.

3 135 5 , 23

. , .

. ,

27 . 7

, 40

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