GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, IASC SWG.

GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, www.gripweb.org

IASC SWG on Preparedness – Geneva, Switzerland, November 3, 2010

Global Risk Identification Programme - GRIP

Thematic Platform for the implementationof HFA’s Priority 2: Risk Identification

Carlos Villacis, Ph.D. – GRIP Coordinator

Overview

Motivation – Preparedness and development

GRIP as a Thematic Platform

The National Perspective

The Global Perspective

Interagency collaboration – Examples and a Proposal

The impact of disasters

In 2008,

• 354 natural disasters were reported

• 235,000 persons were killed (138,366 by Cyclone Nargis, Myanmar)

• More than 214 million people were affected (~ 10 times Mozambique’s population!)

• USD 190 billion in economic damages (~ 19 times Mozambique’s GDP!)

Note: These are only major reported events (≥10 killed, ≥100 affected, state of emergency, call for international assistance)

Source: Annual Disaster Statistical Review, CRED, 2009

Disaster-related mortality risk

Underweight children

Epidemic meningitis

Epidemic malariaSource: Columbia University

Disaster risk and the MDGs:

Disaster impacts have become impediments to sustainable development in Africa (Report on Disaster Risk Reduction for Sustainable Development in Africa, 2004)

Global Distribution of Natural Hazards and Poverty

Understanding of the problem

Risk Assessment

Proper Planning

Evidence-based decision making

Disaster Risk Reduction + Safe Development Processes

Effective Actions

The Problem

• Goal:– Promote sustainable development by reducing the impact of

natural hazards in high risk areas

• Specific objectives:– To improve risk information – To ensure its application in disaster risk management and

development processes

Global Risk Identification Programme - GRIP

Programme Steering Committee

GRIP as Thematic Platform

Three main activities:

•Improve Coordination• Avoid duplication• Optimize resources• Increase effectiveness

•Promote Quality• Develop minimum standards• Establish QC mechanisms

•Provide Support• Capacity development resources• Support local implementation

• Risk Information– Risk assessment studies done in the country– Data available and their sources– Information needs and requirements for decision/policy making

• Institutional capabilities – Mandates– Experience

• Existing DRR strategy, framework, programmes, etc.– Legal, political, financial frameworks

The National perspective – What already exists

Country Situation AnalysisSystematic Inventory and Evaluation

for Risk Assessment (SIERA)

• Comparable Country Profiles• E-Libraries• Implementation Plan for NRA• Multi-stakeholder engagement• National coordination mechanism

Key Outputs

Learning from the past - NDO

• Local authorities• Sectors• Civil society

Strong institutional coordination

Estimating future losses - NRIS

Hazards

Vulnerabilities

Exposure

National Risk Information System

– GRIP Portal: Comprehensive service provider for Risk Assessment at every level

• The Disaster Analyst – Analysis of past disasters• The Risk Informer – Estimation of potential losses• The Capacity Developer – Capacity development

The global perspective

National and local

observatories& RISs

Integration of Loss Databases 66 Loss databases

15 Global43 National 2 Multi-national 4 Sub-national

Disaster country profiles

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Fact sheetCountry profileFull reportE-libraryKey contactsUNDP Portfolio

Regional Risk Information

Systems

Tracking progress in Risk Assessment

Project tracking system

Interagency Collaboration

• Integration and coordination• Standardization and QC• Comprehensive support

WHO – Integration and coordination

Vulnerability and Risk Analysisand Mapping (VRAM) Platformfor Health Risk Reduction

Compatible and complementary country profiles

Joint implementation:Development of

Sierra Leone’s risk profile

WMO – Coordination and collaboration

Capacity development:

Flood R. A. – IstanbulDrought R. A. - Slovenia

Joint capacity assessment for South

East Europe

Coordinated National

Assessments

Regional initiatives

Strengthen Met ServicesImprove risk information and applications

AGREEMENT OF COOPERATIONbetween

UNITED NATIONS HUMAN SETTLEMENTS PROGRAMME

Risk Mapping for Strategic Planning of Shelter Response in Tijuana, Baja California, México.

H. AYUNTAMIENTO TIJUANA B.C.

Antonio Rosquillas and Luis Moreno

Municipio de Tijuana

June 2009

CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIÓN CIENTÍFICA Y DE EDUCACIÓN

SUPERIOR DE ENSENADA.

Emergency Shelter Cluster-PDSP Methodology

MUNICIPIODE

TIJUANA B.C.

6 possible earthquakes

Damage Evaluation

c c c c c c c c c c c d c c c b d d c c c b c c c c c c b a b c a c c c b c c c c c b a a a c c c c b c c d c b c b a a c c c b b c c c d c b a c b b b c c a a c c d d c b a a b c b c b a a b c b c b c b a a b a b a a a a a b c a b b a a a a a a a a a a b a a a a a a a a a a b b a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a b a a a a a a a a a a a a b b a a a b a a a a a a b a b b b a a a a b b a a a b b b b b a a

a a a b b b b a a b a a b a a a

a a a a a a a a a b b a a a a a

a a a a a a a a a a a b a a a a a

a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

a a a a a a a a a a a a

a a a a a a a a a a a a a a

Color ID

Automatic Range Manual Range

From To From Toa 0 18 0 18b 18 35 18 35c 35 53 35 53d 53 70 53 70

Estimated distribution of buildings damage

Results

SAB CEN CTO CCO CVE LME PRE OTA PLA TAB TotalEQ1 10,000 4,622 8,917 3,282 1,226 5,839 7,276 4,497 6,372 6,246 58,277EQ2 12,392 4,593 6,853 3,661 3,184 7,012 8,576 3,341 5,335 9,503 64,449EQ3 3,025 2,792 1,942 2,400 1,360 2,751 8,457 1,266 947 3,648 28,588EQ4 12,465 10,140 11,085 6,676 1,703 9,942 15,133 7,984 6,019 10,169 91,316EQ5 4,986 4,504 2,900 4,289 2,581 5,317 16,561 1,993 1,456 6,338 50,925EQ6 6,411 6,063 5,761 3,581 1,032 4,979 8,437 3,985 3,216 4,979 48,444

Number of persons with shelter needs estimated for the six earthquake scenarios

Shelter plan uploaded on Google Map

Concrete Proposal

Integrated Risk Information Portal

- Standardization- Quality control- Coordination

Multi-sectoral risk information

Health - WHO Schools - Unicef,Unesco

Settlements – UN-Habitat

Community - IFRC

Risk Information Portal

- Standardization- Quality control- Coordination

Information components

Basic dataHazard, exposure

ProductsCountry profilesStudies

ResourcesTools, contacts,methodologies

Risk Information Portal

Standard Hazard Classification and

Definitions

Standardized disaster loss data collection– CRED, Munich-Re, ADRC, La Red, ISDR,UNDP

Munich – Feb 08

Proposed mechanism

• Expansion of Steering Committee– Incorporate beneficiaries & agencies– Revise terms of reference

• Active engagement of Agencies– Secondment of staff– Focal points Risk information portal– Risk Assessment units Coordinated Sectoral Risk

Assessments

Proposed mechanism

• Coordinated initiatives– Methodologies (PDSP with Habitat)– Standards– Capacity development programmes (CADRI)

THANK YOU!

GRIP - Global Risk Identification Programme, UNDP Bureau for Crisis Prevention and Recovery, +41 22 9178399, info@gripweb.org, IASC SWG.

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