FROM MPD TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS (TOURISM CASE) · 2019. 7. 3. · Alfatihah Reno Maulani-Statistics Indonesia STATISTICS INDONESIA. WHY TELKOMSEL •±140 million customers with identified

FROM MPD TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS

(TOURISM CASE)Alfatihah Reno Maulani - Statistics Indonesia

STATISTICS INDONESIA

WHY TELKOMSEL

• ±140 million customers with identified home locations• Staypoint data• ±1,4 Terabyte/year• ± 60 billion rows of data

ORIGIN DESTINATION MODEL

CALCULATION FLOW

HOME AND OFFICE DETERMINATION

Select the maximum duration from subscriber’s work

candidates as “OFFICE LOCATION”

S T A R T

09.00 – 16.59Weekday only

Sum the duration of subscriber’s work candidates

(6 months data)

E N D

Select the maximum duration from subscriber’s home

candidates as “HOME LOCATION”

S T A R T

17.00 – 08.59 Weekday + Weekend

Sum the duration of subscriber’s home candidates

(6 months data)

E N D

HOME DETERMINATION EXAMPLE

Home: 17.00 – 08.59 weekday + weekend

Work: 09.00 – 16.59 weekday only

Select the maximum duration from subscriber’s home

candidates as “HOME LOCATION”

S T A R T

17.00 – 08.59 Weekday + Weekend

Sum the duration of subscriber’s home candidates

(6 months data)

E N D

COMMUTER AND CIRCULAR

Commuter Circular (monthly)

Circular (weekly)

RESULT

TRIP DETERMINATION

TRIP DETERMINATIONFOR TOURISM

TOURISM

TOURISM

CONCLUSION

When using MPD, you also have to recognize common habits in using the mobile phone that applies in your country, so you can get the best parameters to design the algorithm to be used.

QUESTION ON MPD

what about those who don't use cellphones?

what about those who have more

than one cellphone?

what about other cellular operators?

1. B + C = A2. E + F = D3. C / A = % travellers with cell phones4. D / C = double simcard ratio 5. E / D = % telkomsel subscriber

TRADITIONAL SURVEY– BUILDING WEIGHT

use a cell phone

(B)no

Number of simcard used

(D)

yes

Travellers(A)

Telkomselnumber

Sum of number

(E)

Sum of number

(F)

yes

no

Number of travellers with

phones(C)

Tourism = ��� ∗ �∗�∗�

�∗�∗�

EMPIRICAL RESULT

EMPIRICAL RESULT

NEXT - DIGITAL SURVEY

subscribers are predicted to travel

get the amount for each district

take a proportional

sample

blast the SMS containing a link

to the digital survey

SMS was stopped when the response

had reached the target

Thank you

mpd@bps.go.id