Design Policy Disruption · Design Policy Disruption Tony Pesklevits Northern Wildfire Resilience Conference Burns Lake, April 2019

Design ● Policy ● Disruption Tony Pesklevits

Northern Wildfire Resilience Conference

Burns Lake, April 2019

Source: Apis Cor

3

Source: Apis Cor

4

Source: Arch Daily

Credit: Andrew Bremner

Rogers’ Theory of

Diffusion of Innovations

Tipping Point

Inflection Point

Critical Mass

Source: USNR

Source: Market Realist

40-80 years 5-15 years

Source: The American Genius

Sources: Futurism and CNN

Source:geek.com

Source: Apis Cor

The future is already here –

it’s just not evenly distributed. William Gibson

Turbulent ● Unpredictable ● Novel ● Ambiguous

Source: Wilkinson (2017)

pol·i·cy /ˈpäləsē/

noun

1. a course or principle of action adopted or proposed by a government, party, business, or individual

2. a set of ideas or plans that is used as a basis for making decisions, especially in politics, economics, or business

Land of

Should

Subjective

Values

Vision

Preferable

Ends

Land of Is

Objective

Facts

Reality

Possible

Means

Here Be Dragons

POLICY

Define the Problem

Define Objectives

Gather Evidence

Develop Options

Decide

Implement, Monitor, Evaluate

The

Policy

Cycle

Define the Problem

Define Objectives

Gather Evidence

Develop Options

Consult & Decide

Implement, Monitor, Evaluate

PUBLIC Monolithic

The Public Good

PROBLEMS Technical

PURPOSE Order, stability,

consistency

PROCESS Optimization

POWER Experts

PUBLIC Monolithic

The Public Good

Atomized

Interests

PROBLEMS Technical Social

PURPOSE Order, stability,

consistency

“Balance”,

peace

PROCESS Optimization Compromise

POWER Experts Advocates,

Mediators

PUBLIC Monolithic

The Public Good

Atomized

Interests

Networked

Communities

PROBLEMS Technical Social Wicked

PURPOSE Order, stability,

consistency

“Balance”,

peace

Resilience &

adaptation

PROCESS Optimization Compromise Prototypes

POWER Experts Advocates,

Mediators Partnerships

The future is already here –

it’s just not evenly distributed. William Gibson

Credit: The Uncomfortable

NETWORKED COMMUNITIES

WICKED PROBLEMS

RESILIENCE & ADAPTATION

PROTOTYPES

PARTNERSHIPS

YELLOW HOUSE

TUNA

TECTONIC PLATES

DRAGONS UNDER THE BRIDGE

YOUR PHONE IS UPDATING

KEEP IT HUMAN