Design ● Policy ● Disruption Tony Pesklevits Northern Wildfire Resilience Conference Burns Lake, April 2019
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Design ● Policy ● Disruption Tony Pesklevits
Northern Wildfire Resilience Conference
Burns Lake, April 2019
Source: Apis Cor
3
Source: Apis Cor
4
Source: Arch Daily
Credit: Andrew Bremner
Rogers’ Theory of
Diffusion of Innovations
Tipping Point
Inflection Point
Critical Mass
40-80 years 5-15 years
Source: The American Genius
Sources: Futurism and CNN
Source:geek.com
Source: Apis Cor
The future is already here –
it’s just not evenly distributed. William Gibson
Turbulent ● Unpredictable ● Novel ● Ambiguous
Source: Wilkinson (2017)
pol·i·cy /ˈpäləsē/
noun
1. a course or principle of action adopted or proposed by a government, party, business, or individual
2. a set of ideas or plans that is used as a basis for making decisions, especially in politics, economics, or business
Land of
Should
Subjective
Values
Vision
Preferable
Ends
Land of Is
Objective
Facts
Reality
Possible
Means
Here Be Dragons
POLICY
Define the Problem
Define Objectives
Gather Evidence
Develop Options
Decide
Implement, Monitor, Evaluate
The
Policy
Cycle
Define the Problem
Define Objectives
Gather Evidence
Develop Options
Consult & Decide
Implement, Monitor, Evaluate
PUBLIC Monolithic
The Public Good
PROBLEMS Technical
PURPOSE Order, stability,
consistency
PROCESS Optimization
POWER Experts
PUBLIC Monolithic
The Public Good
Atomized
Interests
PROBLEMS Technical Social
PURPOSE Order, stability,
consistency
“Balance”,
peace
PROCESS Optimization Compromise
POWER Experts Advocates,
Mediators
PUBLIC Monolithic
The Public Good
Atomized
Interests
Networked
Communities
PROBLEMS Technical Social Wicked
PURPOSE Order, stability,
consistency
“Balance”,
peace
Resilience &
adaptation
PROCESS Optimization Compromise Prototypes
POWER Experts Advocates,
Mediators Partnerships
The future is already here –
it’s just not evenly distributed. William Gibson
NETWORKED COMMUNITIES
WICKED PROBLEMS
RESILIENCE & ADAPTATION
PROTOTYPES
PARTNERSHIPS
YELLOW HOUSE
TUNA
TECTONIC PLATES
DRAGONS UNDER THE BRIDGE
YOUR PHONE IS UPDATING
KEEP IT HUMAN
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