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2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
Friday January 6, 2017
4:00 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor)
6:30 p.m. – 8:00 p.m. WELCOMING RECEPTION Monet (1st Floor)
reception sponsored by
Saturday January 7, 2017
7:00 a.m. – 3:00 p.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor)
7:00 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST Monet (1st Floor)
7:45 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. WELCOMING SESSION Nazrul Hoque & David Swanson
Monet (1st Floor)
8:10 a.m. – 9:20 a.m. Session 1a Chair- Dely Alcantara
University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION 1b Chair- George Hough
OFM, Washington Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
9:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Keynote Address Lewis E. Faxhall
Vice President, MD Anderson Cancer Center Monet (1st floor)
10:40 a.m. – 11:50 a.m. Session II a
Chair- Mary Zey Rice University
Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
Session II b Chair- Mary McGehee
Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
12:00 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. LUNCHEON, MONET (1st Floor) Keynote Speaker
Steve H. Murdock Professor of Sociology, Rice University
1:35 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. SESSION III a Chair- Dely Alcantara
University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION III b Chair- Jeanne Gobalet
Lapkoff & Gobalet Demographic Research, Inc.
Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
3:00 p.m. – 4:10 p.m. SESSION IV a Chair- Dowell Myers
University of Southern California Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION IV b Chair- Mary McGehee
Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
4:20 p.m. – 5:30 p.m. SESSION V a Chair- David Swanson
University of California Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION V b Chair- Nazrul Hoque
University of Houston Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
5:30 p.m. DAY 1 ADJOURNMENT
Sunday January 8, 2017
7:00 a.m. – 9:00 a.m. REGISTRATION Foyers (1st Floor)
7:00 a.m. – 8:00 a.m. CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST Monet (1st Floor)
8:00 a.m. – 9:10 a.m. SESSION VI a Chair- George Hough
OFM, Washington Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION VI b Chair- Mary McGehee
Arkansas Dept. of Health Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
9:20 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. Keynote Address Stephen L. Klineberg
Rice University Monet (1st Floor)
10:30 a.m. – 11:50 p.m. SESSION VII a Chair- Dely Alcantara
University of New Mexico Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION VII b Chair- Clyde McNeil
Prairie View A&M University Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
12:00 p.m. – 1:20 p.m. LUNCH
1:30 p.m. – 2:40 p.m. SESSION VIII a Chair- Mike Cline Rice University
Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION VIIB b Chair- Clyde McNeil
Prairie View A&M University Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
2:50 p.m. – 4:00 p.m. SESSION IX a Chair- Nazrul Hoque
University of Houston Picasso 1 (1st Floor)
SESSION IX b Chair- Nazrul Hoque
University of Houston Picasso 2 (1st Floor)
4:00 p.m. CONFERENCE ADJOURNMENT
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
Session Ia – Houston, Texas: A Demographic Sketch Chair – Dely Alcantara, University of New Mexico
1. Population Change in Houston in the Houston Metropolitan Area. By
Michael E. Cline, Rice University. Email: Mike Cline mec6@rice.edu
2. An Analysis of the Impact of the Incendiary Language of Trump to
Stimulate New, Hispanic Voter Registrations in Harris County, Texas for
2016. by Max Beauregard, Principle, Demographics & GIS Consulting
Services, Government Professor, Houston Community College Northline
Campus, 1429 Columbia, Houston, Texas 77008, Email:
maxbeauregard@comcast.net
3. Clinic Access and Teenage Birth Rates: Racial/Ethnic and Spatial
Disparities in Houston, TX, Megan M. Wisniewski, Heather A. O’Connell,
Kinder Institute for Urban Research, Rice University. Email: Heather A
O'Connell hoconnell@rice.edu
4. Delineation of Current Urban Growth in the Houston Metropolitan Area.
By Sayed J Abedin and Michael E. Cline. Rice University. Email: Sayed
Abedin sayed.abedin@rice.edu
Session Ib – Health, Health Policy, and Population Chair – George Hough, OFM, Washington
1. The Population Health Movement: Opportunities for Demography and
Demographers. By Richard K. Thomas, Ph.D., University of Mississippi.
Rick Thomas richardkthomas@att.net
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
2. The U.S. Government Funding and Antiretroviral Treatment Coverage
Rates: Select Countries, 2010-2014, Bashiruddin Ahmed, Population
Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC. Email: Bashiruddin
Ahmed (CENSUS/POP FED) Bashiruddin.Ahmed@census.gov
3. Income inequality and Individual Health Status: Evidence from India. By
Sohini Paul. Email: Sohini Paul spaul@ncaer.org
4. Determinants of stunting and underweight among Indian children: A
quantile regression approach. By Raj Kumar Verma. Email: Raj Kumar
Verma rajverma_bhu@yahoo.co.in
Session IIa – Population Projections & Their Applications Chair –Mary Zey, Rice University
1. Projections of Veteran Benefit Program Use, Michael E. Cline, Steve H.
Murdock, Mary Zey. Email: Mike Cline mec6@rice.edu
2. Projecting Future Demand for Assisted Living: A Case Study. By Peter A.
Morrison. Email: Peter Morrison petermorrison@me.com
3. A two-step smoothing method for small area demographics and its
application to the long-term population projection. By Takashi Inoue,
Aoyama Gakuin University (Japan), Email: Takashi INOUE t-
inoue@cc.aoyama.ac.jp
4. The Civil War’s Demographic Impact on Non-Hispanic White Males in the
11 Confederate States: An Analysis by State and Selected Age Groups. By
David A. Swanson and Richard R.Verdugo. Email: David Swanson
dswanson@ucr.edu
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
Session IIb – Obesity: Determinants & Consequences Chair – Mary McGehee, Arkansas Dept. of Health
1. Decomposing trends in adult body mass index, obesity, and morbid
obesity, 1971-2012. By Ashley W. Kranjac, Rice University and
Robert L. Wagmiller, Temple University, Email: Ashley
awk1@rice.edu
2. Changing population structure as a driving force of the increase in
obesity prevalence and healthcare costs in Spain 2016-2031, Alexis R.
Santos-Lozada, PhD, Department of Sociology and Criminology,
Pennsylvania State University, Daniel Ramírez, M.A., Department of
Sociology and Criminology, Demography Program, Pennsylvania State
University. Email: ALEXIS R SANTOS ars39@psu.edu
3. The Impact of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program -
Education (SNAP-Ed) on Obesity among Public School Children. By
Danhong Chen, Email: Chen, Danhong dxc062@SHSU.EDU
4. Obesity in the Bayou City: How distinct neighborhood contexts
influence obesity risk differently by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic
status. By Ashley W. Kranjac, Rice University, Rachel T. Kimbro, Rice
University, Justin T. Denney, Rice University, Email: Ashley
awk1@rice.edu
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
Session IIIa – Spatial Analysis and Its Applications Chair – Dely Alcantara, University of New Mexico
1. Interpolating ACS Data Using an Adaptive Bandwidth Grid. Richard Lycan
lycand@pdx.edu
2. A Spatial Analysis of Income Inequality, by Joe Francis, Cornell University.
Email: Joe Douglas Francis joe.francis@cornell.edu
3. Assessing the future of geographic access to primary care among aging
populations in Wisconsin: a space-time geography approach. By Caitlin
McKown (cmckown@wisc.edu), Malia Jones (malia.jones@wisc.edu), and
William R. Buckingham (wrbuckin@wisc.edu), University of Wisconsin-
Madison, Applied Population Laboratory. Malia Jones
maliajones@gmail.com
Session IIIb – Population Dynamics: Emerging Data
and Methods Chair – Jeanne Gobalet, Lapkoff & Gobalet Demographic Research, Inc.
1. State Longitudinal Data Systems: Applications to Applied Demography
George C. Hough Jr. and Melissa M. Beard. Hough, George (OFM)
George.Hough@ofm.wa.gov
2. Convergence to population stability and population momentum: An
exploration of future posterity of Indian states. . By Raj Kumar Verma.
Email: Raj Kumar Verma rajverma_bhu@yahoo.co.in
3. Integrating International Student Data into Population Estimates. Email:
Po-Chun Huang stvhuang@ucdavis.edu
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
4. Methods for estimating sub-state immigration and emigration: the case of
Australia, Tom Wilson, Northern Institute, Charles Darwin University,
Darwin, NT 0909, Australia, Email: Thomas Wilson
thomas.guy.wilson@gmail.com
Session IVa – Data, Old and New & Their Role in
Examining Emerging Issues Chair – Dowell Myers, University of Southern California
1. Applications of “Big Demographic Data” in Running Local Elections. By
Peter Morrison. Email: Peter Morrison petermorrison@me.com
2. Using DHS Administrative Data To Explore Immigrant Family Dynamics
and Post-LPR Trajectories, Guillermina Jasso, New York University,
Email: Guillermina Jasso (reply to gj1@nyu.edu) jasso@nyc.rr.com
3. Undercount Patterns in South African censuses: Systematic and
consistent? By Jeremy Gumbo. Email: Jeremy Dickson Gumbo
jeremy.d.gumbo@gmail.com
Session IVb - Methods of Population Projections Chair – Mary McGehee, Arkansas Dept. of Health
1. The Top Ten Reasons to Use the Cohort Change Ratio Method. By David A.
Swanson & Lucky Tedrow , Email: David Swanson dswanson@ucr.edu
2. Two Population Forecasting Models for Portland, Oregon. By Richard
Lycan, Institute on Aging, Portland State University, Oregon, email:
lycand@pdx.edu
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
3. Evaluating the Utility of Model-Based Rates in the Projection of Small
Populations, By Joseph Salvo, Peter Lobo, and Erica Maurer, Population
Division, New York City Department of City Planning. Joseph Salvo (DCP)
JSALVO@planning.nyc.gov
Session Va – Behavioral Dynamics in Demographic
Analyses Chair – David Swanson, University of California
1. Experience of Domestic Violence by Young Women in India: Does the
Nature of Occupation Plays any Role? By Ashish Singh. Email: Ashish
Singh singhmb.ashish@gmail.com
2. Violence in US youth in the 21st century: differing trends in homicide and
suicide By Sally C. Curtin, M.A., Margaret Warner, Ph.D., and Melonie
Heron, Ph.D.,Division of Vital Statistics, NCHS/CDC. Email: Curtin, Sally
C. (CDC/OPHSS/NCHS) sac2@cdc.gov
3. India’s Mobile Phone Revolution & Sexual Behaviour. Email: Amit Thorat
amitthorat@gmail.com
Session Vb – Implications of Fertility Policies: China Chair – Nazrul Hoque, University of Houston
1. Demographic Implications of the Two-Child Policy in China. By Chen
Wei. Email: Chen Wei weichen@ruc.edu.cn
2. China’s Two-Child Policy and Its Implications: A Gender Equity
Perspective, Yingchun Ji, Shanghai University, Shengwei Sun,
University of Maryland, College Park, Peter McDonald, Australian
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
National University, Guangye He, Nanjing University. Email:
yingchun_ji yingchun_ji@163.com
3. Breaking the “Women Hold Up Half of the Sky” Ideology? Privatization
and Gender Inequality in China by Sharon Xuejing Zuo, Ph.D.
Candidate, Department of Economics, University of Houston, Email:
xzuo2@uh.edu; Sharon Xuejing Zuo xuejingzuo84@gmail.com
Session VIa – Changing Population Characteristics
and Their Consequences Chair – George Hough, OFM, Washington
1. Race Projections and Demographic Narrative in a Democracy: Can
Audience Backlash be Avoided?” by Dowell Myers, Sol Price School of
Public Policy, University of Southern California and Morris Levy,
Department of Political Science, University of Southern California. Email:
Myers, Dowell dowell@price.usc.edu
2. Aging in the Western Hemisphere, 2015-2035. By David A. Swanson.
Email: David Swanson dswanson@ucr.edu
3. Mexican American Workers 1900 to 2014. By Richard Verdugo. Richard
Verdugo swamis59@yahoo.com
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
Session VIb – Migration, Dynamics, Policies, and
Implications Chair – Mary McGehee, Arkansas Dept. of Health
1. Dynamics and Sustainability of Migration Restriction Regimes, Guillermina
Jasso, New York University. Email: Guillermina Jasso (reply to
gj1@nyu.edu) jasso@nyc.rr.com
2. Battle for the Highly-Educated International Students: An Overview of the
US Immigration Policy and China’s Return Migration Policy, Wendy Chen.
Email: wendy chen wendychen0316@gmail.com
3. The impacts of incidence and timing of household economic shocks on
children’s education in developing countries. Email: Reda, Alex
alex_reda@brown.edu
4. Impact of Remittances on Socioeconomic Development in Rural
Bangladesh. By Golam Mostofa, University of Rajshahi, Bangladesh. Nazrul
Hoque, University of Houston.
Session VIIa – Food Security, Population & Policy Chair – Dely Alcantara, University of New Mexico
1. Limitations in Functional Tasks of Daily Living and Food Insecurity. by
Daniela Krotzer. Email: Daniela Krotzer danielakrotzer@gmail.com
2. Raw Milk Legislation, By Albert Cheng, Public Health Analyst, Harris
County Public Health, Email: Cheng, Albert (PHES) acheng@hcphes.org
3. No Cake to Eat: An Empirical Essay regarding Food Insecurity among
Syrian Refugees and Internally-Displaced Persons, Authored by Shawn
Hadwiger, M.A., Department of Sociology at the University of Oklahoma.
Email: Shawn R Hadwiger hadwiger.shawn@gmail.com
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
4. Food Resources in Comal County: A Spatial Mismatch. By Daniela Krotzer.
Email: Daniela Krotzer danielakrotzer@gmail.com
Session VIIb – Labor, Migration and Public Health
Issues in Sub-Saharan Africa Chair – Clyde McNeil, Prairie View A&M University
1. Labor Migration, Social Capital and HIV Risks in South Africa. Winfred A.
Avogo, Illinois State University. Email: Avogo, Winfred wavogo@ilstu.edu
2. Are there working children and child labour in Uganda when it’s a signatory
to the UN Convection and having UPE?, by Mubuuke Dorothy (Ms),
Department of Population Studies, School of Statistics and Applied
Economics, Makerere University P.O Box 7062 Kampala, Uganda. email:
dorothy mubuuke dovelymark@yahoo.com ;
3. Who Benefits from Public Health spending in mining and non-mining
districts? Selective Evidence from Indian States. By Yadawendra Singh and
Lekha Chakraborty Poster. Email: Yadawendra yadawendra@gmail.com
Session VIIIa – Population Health: Models and
Analyses Chair – Mike Cline, Rice University
1. Marginal risk progression and of major non-communicable diseases in India:
An application of competing risk model. By Raj Kumar Verma. Email: Raj
Kumar Verma rajverma_bhu@yahoo.co.in
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
2. An Assessment of the Impact of climate change on the Health Sector in
Uganda: A case of Malaria and Cholera epidemics and how to improve
planning for effective preparedness and response, Ndagire Dorothy,
Department of Population Studies, Institute of Statistics and Applied
Economics, Makerere, University, P.O.Box, 7062, Kampala. Email: ndagire
dorothy ndagiredorothy@gmail.com
3. Correlates of High Risk Fertility Behaviour in Ethiopia: A Multilevel
Analysis of the 2011 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey Data.
Email: Eshetu Gurmu eshetugurmu@gmail.com
4. The connection between early health status and schooling among
adolescents in developing countries , Alex A. Reda, Departments of
Sociology and Biostatistics, Brown University. Email: Reda, Alex
alex_reda@brown.edu
Session VIIIb – Marital Status & Cohabitation Chair – Clyde McNeil, Prairie View A&M University
1. Legal Recognition of cohabitation in Europe. Email: Leen Rahnu
rahnu@tlu.ee
2. Effects of Nuptiality and Marital Fertility on Fertility Change in Syria. By
Rana Youssef. Email: Rana YOUSSEF rana.youssef@gmail.com
3. Socioeconomic Factors Affecting on the Duration of Married life: A Cross-
sectional Study among Divorced Women in Natore District, Bangladesh. By
Md. Nazrul Islam Mondal, Department of Population Science and Human
Resource Development, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh,
E-mail: Md. Nazrul Islam Mondal nazrulupm@gmail.com
2017 Population and Public Policy Conference
At a Glance
Session IXa – Health & Health Policy Issues Chair – Nazrul Hoque, University of Houston
1. Factors Affecting the Utilisation of Antenatal Care Services Among
Adolescent Pregnant Mothers at Naguru Teenage Health Center, Uganda.
By Nansubuga Resty, Department of Population Studies, School of
Statistics and Applied Economics, Makerere University P.O.Box 7062,
Kampala, Uganda. Email: resty nansubuga restynan@yahoo.com
2. Quality of Midwifery Care in Uganda. Case Study Soroti District. By
Nansubuga Resty, Department of Population Studies, School of Statistics
and Applied Economics, Makerere University P.O.Box 7062, Kampala,
Uganda. . Email: resty nansubuga restynan@yahoo.com
3. Prevalence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus among Patients with Influenza-
like Illness Symptoms from Selected Hospitals in Uganda. By Nampewo
Elizabeth, Country of Birth and Residence: Uganda, Department of
Population Studies, School of Statistics and Applied Economics, Makerere
University, P.O. Box 7062, Kampala, Uganda. Email: Nampewo Elizabeth
nampewozabetha@gmail.com
Poster Session IXb Chair – Nazrul Hoque, University of Houston
Visualizing the demographic components of change shaping the age
structures of Australian State and Territory Populations, by Tom Wilson.
Email: Thomas Wilson thomas.guy.wilson@gmail.com
Retail Pharmacy Health Clinics: Improved Health Care Access?, by Jose L.
Louro, MPH, MBA, Email: louro_jose@yahoo.com
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